NVIDIA
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NVIDIA: From $300B to $3T – Is the Pullback a Setup?

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Between October 2022 and mid-2024, Nvidia's market capitalization surged from $300 billion to over $3 trillion — a tenfold increase that outpaced the GDP of entire nations such as Russia or Canada. This meteoric rise made Nvidia the largest public company in the world at one point.

A long-term investment in NVDA has dramatically outperformed the broader market. From May 2014 to May 2024, the stock gained over 22,000%, compared to 179% for the S&P 500 and 77% for gold.

However, in 2025, Nvidia stock declined by 43%, raising the question: does this mark the end of the rally or the beginning of a new accumulation phase?

Core Drivers

AI dominance: Nvidia controls 95% of the GPU market used in machine learning applications.
Strategic clients: Tesla, Meta, Microsoft, and Alphabet continue to deepen partnerships with NVDA.
Crypto leverage: The company holds 82% of the GPU market used for mining, benefiting from the renewed crypto upcycle.
Domestic production push: Nvidia is developing over 1 million square feet of manufacturing space in Arizona and Texas, aiming to produce $500B worth of AI infrastructure over the next four years.
Policy support: The US and EU are investing more than $240B to secure domestic chip production via the CHIPS Acts.

Financial Strength

FY2024 revenue grew 114% YoY to $130.5B
Q4 net income reached $22B
Nvidia joined the Dow Jones Industrial Average in late 2024
Announced a $50B buyback program
Executed a 10-for-1 stock split in June 2024
Trading View

After peaking in 2024, NVDA retraced to the $110 area, which now acts as a potential accumulation zone. The next major resistance lies near $150, offering a 35% upside if momentum returns.

The macro backdrop remains highly favorable — AI infrastructure investment continues to accelerate, and the recent correction may reflect short-term positioning rather than fundamental weakness.

Final Thoughts

Nvidia is no longer just a semiconductor company — it is a system-level platform powering the AI economy. With robust fundamentals, strategic expansion, and institutional demand, the current price levels could represent a key medium-term opportunity for trend-followers and long-term investors alike.

#NVDA #Nvidia #Semiconductors #AI #EquityMarkets #TradingViewIdeas

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