NZD/CAD Pair Falls on Soft Inflation and Stronger USD

21 Apr 2023

During the first half of the European session on Friday, the NZD/CAD pair experienced significant selling pressure for the second consecutive day, leading to a five-week low. The NZD was particularly affected by the release of domestic consumer inflation figures on Thursday, which were softer than anticipated, resulting in a less hawkish stance by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). On the other hand, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to continue raising interest rates, benefiting the safe-haven US Dollar (USD) amidst a softer risk tone. Consequently, the NZD/CAD pair decreased on the last day of the week.

Based on technical analysis, there was a breakout of a bearish pattern within a Bearish channel after a pullback on the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the Dynamic trendline of the upperside of the channel, suggesting a potential AB=CD Pattern of continuation. As a result, it is possible that the NZD/CAD pair will continue to decrease over the next few days.