ORCL Earnings Play – Riding AI Momentum (2025-06-11)

📈 ORCL Earnings Play – Riding AI Momentum (2025-06-11)
Ticker: ORCL (Oracle Corp)
Event: Earnings Report — 📆 June 11, After Market Close (AMC)
Bias: ✅ Moderately Bullish | Confidence: 70%
Strategy: Call Option | Expiry: June 13, 2025

🔍 Market Snapshot
📍 Price: Trading near recent highs
📈 RSI (Daily): 87.66 — Extremely overbought
📊 IV Rank: 0.75 → Implied volatility is high
📦 Options Market: Bullish skew; max pain at $170 suggests risk, but not dominant
🧠 Narrative Drivers: AI/cloud strength, institutional accumulation, strong uptrend

🧠 AI Model Consensus Summary
✅ Bullish (3/4 Models):
• Grok/xAI, Llama/Meta, Gemini/Google → all recommend a long call
• Favor upside potential due to strong trend + favorable sentiment
• Strike debate: $195 vs. $200 → $200 favored for cost/leverage

⚠️ Bearish (1/4 Models – DeepSeek):
• Flags overbought RSI + $170 max pain
• Recommends buying puts (contrarian sell-the-news play)

✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: CALL
📍 Strike: $200
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $0.86
🎯 Profit Target: $1.00 (+16%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.25 (–71%)
📈 Confidence: 70%
⏰ Entry Timing: Before earnings close
📏 Size: 1 contract (limit to ~1% of capital)

⚠️ Risk Factors
• ❗ Binary Event: IV crush or weak results can kill premium
• 🧊 RSI > 87 → potential for short-term correction
• 🔁 If no move materializes, you may lose full premium


📣 Will ORCL deliver an AI-fueled beat or flop on IV crush?
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