SBSW | Weekly Chart Analysis
4-Year Cycle | Smart Money Levels | Precious Metals Macro Tailwind
This chart paints a clear picture — Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) has followed a reliable 4-year accumulation-to-expansion cycle:
🔹 2015–2016
🔹 2019–2021
🔹 Now shaping up for 2025–2026
Each rally kicked off after institutional accumulation around the $3 level, and once again, we’re seeing the same behavior. History doesn’t just rhyme — it repeats.
🧠 Smart Money Moves
Every major cycle began after price based out near the $3 level. That’s exactly what we’ve just seen — accumulation, basing, and now lift-off. We’ve entered a familiar pattern — the same smart money footprints showing up again.
📊 Technical Breakdown
This is the weekly chart, and we’re now testing the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level (7.39) drawn from the 2020 high to the recent low.
✅ A weekly close above this level + structure building could confirm the beginning of a long-term leg higher.
📈 Volume Flow Indicator has crossed above the midline for the first time in years, suggesting that real buying pressure is back. That’s a shift in momentum worth noting.
🎯 Key Areas of Interest:
• $10.00 – Volume node + prior S/R
• $12.00 – Fib midpoint + prior pivot
• $14.90 – Confluence zone
These are zones where I’ll be watching for continuation, reaction, or reversal.
🌎 Macro Tailwind: Precious Metals Demand
Platinum and palladium are gaining renewed attention as demand increases in EVs, clean energy, and industrial sectors. SBSW — with its deep exposure to both metals — is positioned as a long-term beneficiary if this trend continues.
Add to that the recent global instability and de-dollarization chatter, and you’ve got a macro backdrop favoring real assets over paper. Precious metals are catching a bid — and SBSW could ride that wave.
🧠 My Position
Started buying $4.00 calls and recently rolled to $5.50s. I’m letting this one develop over time — watching for confirmation and continuation.
(Not financial advice — just sharing my perspective as always.)
🕰️ Cycles matter.
📚 History teaches.
💰 Smart money accumulates before the breakout.
This setup has all the hallmarks of a repeat cycle in progress. I’m locked in.
—
📍 Long-term chartwork, weekly timeframe. Zoom out to see the rhythm.
SBSW | Weekly Chart Analysis
4-Year Cycle | Smart Money Levels | Precious Metals Macro Tailwind
This chart paints a clear picture — Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) has followed a reliable 4-year accumulation-to-expansion cycle:
🔹 2015–2016
🔹 2019–2021
🔹 Now shaping up for 2025–2026
Each rally kicked off after institutional accumulation around the $3 level, and once again, we’re seeing the same behavior. History doesn’t just rhyme — it repeats.
🧠 Smart Money Moves
Every major cycle began after price based out near the $3 level. That’s exactly what we’ve just seen — accumulation, basing, and now lift-off. We’ve entered a familiar pattern — the same smart money footprints showing up again.
📊 Technical Breakdown
This is the weekly chart, and we’re now testing the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level (7.39) drawn from the 2020 high to the recent low.
✅ A weekly close above this level + structure building could confirm the beginning of a long-term leg higher.
📈 Volume Flow Indicator has crossed above the midline for the first time in years, suggesting that real buying pressure is back. That’s a shift in momentum worth noting.
🎯 Key Areas of Interest:
• $10.00 – Volume node + prior S/R
• $12.00 – Fib midpoint + prior pivot
• $14.90 – Confluence zone
These are zones where I’ll be watching for continuation, reaction, or reversal.
🌎 Macro Tailwind: Precious Metals Demand
Platinum and palladium are gaining renewed attention as demand increases in EVs, clean energy, and industrial sectors. SBSW — with its deep exposure to both metals — is positioned as a long-term beneficiary if this trend continues.
Add to that the recent global instability and de-dollarization chatter, and you’ve got a macro backdrop favoring real assets over paper. Precious metals are catching a bid — and SBSW could ride that wave.
🧠 My Position
Started buying $4.00 calls and recently rolled to $5.50s. I’m letting this one develop over time — watching for confirmation and continuation.
(Not financial advice — just sharing my perspective as always.)
🕰️ Cycles matter.
📚 History teaches.
💰 Smart money accumulates before the breakout.
This setup has all the hallmarks of a repeat cycle in progress. I’m locked in.
📍 Long-term chartwork, weekly timeframe. Zoom out to see the rhythm.
🛑 Invalidation below $5.50 — no structure, no conviction, I’m out.
If SBSW breaks back below the $5.50 level with high volume and fails to reclaim it quickly, that would invalidate the current breakout structure and suggest this move was a false start. I'd reassess the cycle thesis if we revisit the $4 range with no buyer defense.
Please feel free to comment and let me your opinion
4-Year Cycle | Smart Money Levels | Precious Metals Macro Tailwind
This chart paints a clear picture — Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) has followed a reliable 4-year accumulation-to-expansion cycle:
🔹 2015–2016
🔹 2019–2021
🔹 Now shaping up for 2025–2026
Each rally kicked off after institutional accumulation around the $3 level, and once again, we’re seeing the same behavior. History doesn’t just rhyme — it repeats.
🧠 Smart Money Moves
Every major cycle began after price based out near the $3 level. That’s exactly what we’ve just seen — accumulation, basing, and now lift-off. We’ve entered a familiar pattern — the same smart money footprints showing up again.
📊 Technical Breakdown
This is the weekly chart, and we’re now testing the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level (7.39) drawn from the 2020 high to the recent low.
✅ A weekly close above this level + structure building could confirm the beginning of a long-term leg higher.
📈 Volume Flow Indicator has crossed above the midline for the first time in years, suggesting that real buying pressure is back. That’s a shift in momentum worth noting.
🎯 Key Areas of Interest:
• $10.00 – Volume node + prior S/R
• $12.00 – Fib midpoint + prior pivot
• $14.90 – Confluence zone
These are zones where I’ll be watching for continuation, reaction, or reversal.
🌎 Macro Tailwind: Precious Metals Demand
Platinum and palladium are gaining renewed attention as demand increases in EVs, clean energy, and industrial sectors. SBSW — with its deep exposure to both metals — is positioned as a long-term beneficiary if this trend continues.
Add to that the recent global instability and de-dollarization chatter, and you’ve got a macro backdrop favoring real assets over paper. Precious metals are catching a bid — and SBSW could ride that wave.
🧠 My Position
Started buying $4.00 calls and recently rolled to $5.50s. I’m letting this one develop over time — watching for confirmation and continuation.
(Not financial advice — just sharing my perspective as always.)
🕰️ Cycles matter.
📚 History teaches.
💰 Smart money accumulates before the breakout.
This setup has all the hallmarks of a repeat cycle in progress. I’m locked in.
—
📍 Long-term chartwork, weekly timeframe. Zoom out to see the rhythm.
SBSW | Weekly Chart Analysis
4-Year Cycle | Smart Money Levels | Precious Metals Macro Tailwind
This chart paints a clear picture — Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) has followed a reliable 4-year accumulation-to-expansion cycle:
🔹 2015–2016
🔹 2019–2021
🔹 Now shaping up for 2025–2026
Each rally kicked off after institutional accumulation around the $3 level, and once again, we’re seeing the same behavior. History doesn’t just rhyme — it repeats.
🧠 Smart Money Moves
Every major cycle began after price based out near the $3 level. That’s exactly what we’ve just seen — accumulation, basing, and now lift-off. We’ve entered a familiar pattern — the same smart money footprints showing up again.
📊 Technical Breakdown
This is the weekly chart, and we’re now testing the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level (7.39) drawn from the 2020 high to the recent low.
✅ A weekly close above this level + structure building could confirm the beginning of a long-term leg higher.
📈 Volume Flow Indicator has crossed above the midline for the first time in years, suggesting that real buying pressure is back. That’s a shift in momentum worth noting.
🎯 Key Areas of Interest:
• $10.00 – Volume node + prior S/R
• $12.00 – Fib midpoint + prior pivot
• $14.90 – Confluence zone
These are zones where I’ll be watching for continuation, reaction, or reversal.
🌎 Macro Tailwind: Precious Metals Demand
Platinum and palladium are gaining renewed attention as demand increases in EVs, clean energy, and industrial sectors. SBSW — with its deep exposure to both metals — is positioned as a long-term beneficiary if this trend continues.
Add to that the recent global instability and de-dollarization chatter, and you’ve got a macro backdrop favoring real assets over paper. Precious metals are catching a bid — and SBSW could ride that wave.
🧠 My Position
Started buying $4.00 calls and recently rolled to $5.50s. I’m letting this one develop over time — watching for confirmation and continuation.
(Not financial advice — just sharing my perspective as always.)
🕰️ Cycles matter.
📚 History teaches.
💰 Smart money accumulates before the breakout.
This setup has all the hallmarks of a repeat cycle in progress. I’m locked in.
📍 Long-term chartwork, weekly timeframe. Zoom out to see the rhythm.
🛑 Invalidation below $5.50 — no structure, no conviction, I’m out.
If SBSW breaks back below the $5.50 level with high volume and fails to reclaim it quickly, that would invalidate the current breakout structure and suggest this move was a false start. I'd reassess the cycle thesis if we revisit the $4 range with no buyer defense.
Please feel free to comment and let me your opinion
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.