Spotify Setup Going into March
SPOT is in an interesting position and testing a pretty important area of support when compared to it's price action in 2019. The recent selling pressure across the tech sector briefly pushed this stock back into the prior horizontal price channel (accumulation zone of 2019), and is trying to test this support zone between $148-$152 as we go into March.
Bullish Scenario:
SPOT would have to break above the 50 and 100 MA going into March, and hold levels above the midline of it's current descending channel in order to build bullish momentum back up to $200. Considering the volatile price bounce across the major indexes over the last two days, I think it is possible that the 100MA is tested (~$160), but going into March I expect that bullish positions will be hampered by the anticipation of interest rate hikes from the Fed.
Bearish Scenario:
Assuming that SPOT successfully tests the 100 MA over the next two weeks but is unable to hold above those levels, I see a very plausible case where price begins to fall back into 2019's horizontal channel as the markets begin to react to the Fed's expected interest rate decision. I'm considering this to be the more plausible of the two scenarios.
Bullish Scenario:
SPOT would have to break above the 50 and 100 MA going into March, and hold levels above the midline of it's current descending channel in order to build bullish momentum back up to $200. Considering the volatile price bounce across the major indexes over the last two days, I think it is possible that the 100MA is tested (~$160), but going into March I expect that bullish positions will be hampered by the anticipation of interest rate hikes from the Fed.
Bearish Scenario:
Assuming that SPOT successfully tests the 100 MA over the next two weeks but is unable to hold above those levels, I see a very plausible case where price begins to fall back into 2019's horizontal channel as the markets begin to react to the Fed's expected interest rate decision. I'm considering this to be the more plausible of the two scenarios.
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