Indeks S&P 500
Panjang

🟨 January - Massive BULLISH Sign

206
JANUARY HAS A PROVEN PREDICTIVE POWER FOR THE END OF THE YEAR

WHY THIS MATTERS
This indicator has been 90% correct since 1950. It is used on the SP500.


BY THE NUMBERS
  • The January Trifecta (def below) has occured 31 years since 1950. 28 of them we have followed with positive year for SP
  • Average gain during January Trifecta is +17%
  • If January Barometer closes above 5% (CURRENTLY +6% for month), average gain is 17.5%
  • If you are coming from a negative previous year (like we have 2022) and we get the January Trifecta the average gain is 28.9%
  • Down year follwed by January Trifecta has happened 10 times since 1950. Look them up: 1954, 1958, 1961, 1963, 1971, 195, 1995, 2012, 2019, 2023



THE DEFINITIONS
  • Santa Clause Rally - last 5 days oof Dec + 2d Jan
  • January "First Five Days" - the total move for the first 5 trading days of Jan
  • January Barometer - the total move of the Jan Mov
  • January Trifecta - Positive signs from Santa Clause Rally, First Five Days and the Barometer

Penafian

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