SPX500 | Regression Channel Aligned with Bullish Sentiment – 6,1
The S&P 500 (
SPX500) continues to respect the newly drawn regression channel after breaking above both descending resistance and AI-based mid-zones. Price is now moving in alignment with the prevailing sentiment bias, indicating potential momentum toward the 6,156–6,167 extension range.
🧠 Key Observations:
Breakout from a compressed structure
VWAP reclaims confirm market strength
Regression channel suggests controlled ascent
1.236 Fib projection at 6,062.22 aligns with short-term resistance
Higher confluence targets: 6,156.60 and 6,167.02
📉 Risk Levels:
Breakdown below 6,007 or re-entry into the prior wedge would invalidate this view short term.
🔍 Follow US, WaverVanir_International_LLC for more high-precision confluence maps, risk models, and macro-aligned quant setups.
SPX500) continues to respect the newly drawn regression channel after breaking above both descending resistance and AI-based mid-zones. Price is now moving in alignment with the prevailing sentiment bias, indicating potential momentum toward the 6,156–6,167 extension range.🧠 Key Observations:
Breakout from a compressed structure
VWAP reclaims confirm market strength
Regression channel suggests controlled ascent
1.236 Fib projection at 6,062.22 aligns with short-term resistance
Higher confluence targets: 6,156.60 and 6,167.02
📉 Risk Levels:
Breakdown below 6,007 or re-entry into the prior wedge would invalidate this view short term.
🔍 Follow US, WaverVanir_International_LLC for more high-precision confluence maps, risk models, and macro-aligned quant setups.
Nota
Nota
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Here’s a high-reward, low-risk options play based on your SPX500 regression breakout chart. This setup assumes the bullish trend continuation toward the 6,156–6,167 resistance zone holds, with clearly defined invalidation below 6,007.54.🎯 Options Strategy: SPX Call Debit Spread (Bull Call Spread)
Targeting: 6,150–6,160
DTE: 5–7 days (short-term momentum)
Trade Date: June 16–17, 2025
🔧 Trade Construction
Buy SPX 6,100 Call
Sell SPX 6,160 Call
Expiration: June 21, 2025
Net Debit (Estimated): $20–$25 per spread (depending on IV and timing)
Max Profit: $40–$45
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.0
Breakeven: 6,120
🧠 Why This Works
You're capitalizing on bullish continuation without overpaying for high IV near-the-money calls.
The spread reduces theta decay and volatility risk while keeping exposure directional.
Ideal for swing trades within defined regression channels and technical validation.
✅ Trigger Conditions
Price must hold above 6,007.54 on 1H close
Continuation volume and structure above 6,040 confirm entry
🛡️ Risk Management
If SPX closes below 6,007 intraday, cut or scale out.
Adjust to a butterfly or vertical hedge if price stalls at 6,100–6,120.
Dagangan aktif
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.