Here is my assessment of
SPX BEAR market duration, and years of recovery period based on 2008 GFC bear market analysis.
1- BEAR market is not over yet, it has just begun
2- Market/
SPX will go further down, as we haven't seen the bottom yet
3- Meanwhile, market goes up and down, so expect a very high volatile market till end of 2020
4- This is not a Buy and Hold market yet. Best to trade it, Buy Low, Sell or short High
5- Covid-19 has crushed consumer demand and it will get worse
6- Commodity oversupply and demand crash makes things worse
7- Many Zombies and high leveraged debt companies like One Web that is $3.3 billion in debt will file chapter 11 bankruptcy
8- You can no longer rely on INDEX
SPX to gauge the market. Individual sectors and companies within sectors will flash warning first
9- The ETF index easy buying days is over. Index is a mixed bag of good, bad and ugly.
20- Only strong stocks within all Index will survive and up to 20% of existing companies within the index will be replaced by 2023.
21- Emerging market currency and stock will suffer the most in coming month. Stay away from the lure of "it is cheap'
22- When Covid-19 extreme dust settles, the real pain of low earning, crushed demands will surface
23-The US, EU and rest of global world are in ACTUAL recession that will continue well into 2023
24- Massive FEd, ECB, BOC, BOJ stimulus, and buying sprees will cause the biggest damage for years to come
25- Have a nice day
1- BEAR market is not over yet, it has just begun
2- Market/
3- Meanwhile, market goes up and down, so expect a very high volatile market till end of 2020
4- This is not a Buy and Hold market yet. Best to trade it, Buy Low, Sell or short High
5- Covid-19 has crushed consumer demand and it will get worse
6- Commodity oversupply and demand crash makes things worse
7- Many Zombies and high leveraged debt companies like One Web that is $3.3 billion in debt will file chapter 11 bankruptcy
8- You can no longer rely on INDEX
9- The ETF index easy buying days is over. Index is a mixed bag of good, bad and ugly.
20- Only strong stocks within all Index will survive and up to 20% of existing companies within the index will be replaced by 2023.
21- Emerging market currency and stock will suffer the most in coming month. Stay away from the lure of "it is cheap'
22- When Covid-19 extreme dust settles, the real pain of low earning, crushed demands will surface
23-The US, EU and rest of global world are in ACTUAL recession that will continue well into 2023
24- Massive FEd, ECB, BOC, BOJ stimulus, and buying sprees will cause the biggest damage for years to come
25- Have a nice day
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.