This is a very simple and straightforward technical analysis on
SPY of price action VS the Moving Averages.
A tried, True and Valid method of analysis is knowing when we have become to extended from the moving averages and determining that a return to the mean is appropriate.
In the case of the
SPY,
SPX or
US500 we are more and more extended by the day.
For comparison I have included an image from the Dot Com Bubble Crash when we moved 47% away from the 20 Year Moving Average. Again in 2022 when we moved nearly 32% away from the 20 year moving average. The NDX for reference was almost 75%!!!! Off it's moving average in the Dot Com Bubble.
We currently sit at nearly 33% away from the 20 Year Moving Average.
To Say we are extended is an overstatement. Things will return to normal.
But will we have a spectacular blow off top first?
A tried, True and Valid method of analysis is knowing when we have become to extended from the moving averages and determining that a return to the mean is appropriate.
In the case of the
For comparison I have included an image from the Dot Com Bubble Crash when we moved 47% away from the 20 Year Moving Average. Again in 2022 when we moved nearly 32% away from the 20 year moving average. The NDX for reference was almost 75%!!!! Off it's moving average in the Dot Com Bubble.
We currently sit at nearly 33% away from the 20 Year Moving Average.
To Say we are extended is an overstatement. Things will return to normal.
But will we have a spectacular blow off top first?
All opinions while deemed valid by its operators and shared on this board are not financial advice and are primarily for Entertainment Purposes.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
All opinions while deemed valid by its operators and shared on this board are not financial advice and are primarily for Entertainment Purposes.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.