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Could S&P go down to 200?

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It appears that S&P500 has completed five waves. It could go down to 207, the 38% retracement level of the Elliott wave started in 2009. A 61.8% retracement could take S&P500 down to 154 (see weekly and daily charts below).
Nota
Weekly chart:
syot kilat


Daily chart:
syot kilat
Nota
Sorry, I meant SPY, not S&P500!
And, of course, this analysis is just for educational purposes and is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Please do your own research and trade at your own risk.
Nota
Wave (1) likely completed. SPY could go up in wave (2) now.
Chart PatternsdowjonesS&P 500 (SPX500)Trend AnalysisUSustech100Wave Analysis
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