1. Significant rally followed by decline
2. Downward trend resumes first week of April
3. Sideways ranging market (no clear trend)
#1 seems the most likely imo. Why?
Fundamental: pensions allocating from equities from bonds soon. Also millions will be infected with Rona in U.S.
Technical: bounce of 50 rsi and MA's
Unemployment will hit 8-9%. Say goodbye to consumer spending.
Corporate debt is looking awful.... Ford downgraded to below investment grade! FORD! 44% of corp debt is BBB. Won't take much for the house of cards to come down.
FED will continue QE4... but what happens if inflation rises dramatically?
Even when businesses re-open, prices will go up to cover for gov sponsored rona-related loans and recoup lossess.
Demand for foreign currency rises. Then perhaps a bank run due to the ABSURD 0%-reserve requirements.
2. Downward trend resumes first week of April
3. Sideways ranging market (no clear trend)
#1 seems the most likely imo. Why?
Fundamental: pensions allocating from equities from bonds soon. Also millions will be infected with Rona in U.S.
Technical: bounce of 50 rsi and MA's
Unemployment will hit 8-9%. Say goodbye to consumer spending.
Corporate debt is looking awful.... Ford downgraded to below investment grade! FORD! 44% of corp debt is BBB. Won't take much for the house of cards to come down.
FED will continue QE4... but what happens if inflation rises dramatically?
Even when businesses re-open, prices will go up to cover for gov sponsored rona-related loans and recoup lossess.
Demand for foreign currency rises. Then perhaps a bank run due to the ABSURD 0%-reserve requirements.
Penerbitan berkaitan
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penerbitan berkaitan
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.