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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 25, 2025

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🔮 Nightly SPY / SPX Scenarios for June 25, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍

💱 Dollar Slides on Middle East Ceasefire Optimism
A fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran lifted risk sentiment across global markets. The U.S. dollar weakened, while the euro and British pound hovered near multi‑year highs

📈 Equities Near Record Highs
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq pushed toward all-time highs on June 25, supported by the Middle East truce and retreating energy prices. The S&P 500 rallied ~1.1%, with tech and discretionary sectors leading the charge

🛢 Oil & Treasuries Dip, Yield Cuts Anticipated
Oil plunged ~6% to ~$65/bbl as conflict fears eased. Softer prices plus weak consumer confidence spurred expectations of up to 60 bps in Fed rate cuts by December; Treasury yields pulled back accordingly

📉 Consumer Confidence Falls Again
The Conference Board’s index dropped to 93—the lowest level since May 2020—as concerns over tariffs and job availability weighed on households

📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, June 25:

(No major U.S. economic data scheduled)
Markets remain focused on geopolitical dynamics, Fed commentary, and next week’s PCE inflation release.

⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #Fed #inflation #technicalanalysis

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