This numbers are already obsolete, this was applicable to at the end of September, tesla recently has reached 1 ev made every 13 seconds. That implies and annualized run rate of between 2.75 to 3.4 million cars produced. You know the papermaking rule yes? 1 million evs = $417 in share price.
The number that tesla should be trading right now, is 2.75 * $417 = ???? And 3.4 * $417 = ????? - this is the third time the shorts pile into tesla. Every time the distance traveled is enormous.
CALCULATE THE PRICE OF YOUR TESLA SHARES IN SECONDS - A MODEL FOR YOU TO COPY
CARS PRODUCED 687,000.00
ANNUALIZED PRODUCTION 2,748,000.00 1
AVERAGE CAR PRICE $69,500.00
PROFIT MARGIN % PER CAR 39%
PROFIT MARGIN PER CAR $27,105.00 1
PRICE MULTIPLE 30.00 2
TOTAL SHARES
OUTSTANDING SHARES 3,130,000,000 3
SHARES TRADED 2,600,000,000
SHORTED SHARES estimated 156,500,000
VALUE OF SHORTED SHARES $36,918,350,000.00
VALUE OF TRADE SHARES $613,340,000,000.00
SHARES TRADED PER DAY 28,906,061
Calculation
1 Multiply Net per car x Annualized Production $74,484,540,000
2 Multiply the result of 1 x 30 $2,234,536,200,000
3 Divide 2 by the Total Shares $713.91 TOTAL 1
STEP 2: NET PRESENT VALUE FUTURE PRODUCTION FOR THE NEXT 5 YEARS
CALCULATE CAPACITY ADDED
TEXAS 16,000,000
BERLIN 500,000
SHANGHAI EXPANSION 1,000,000
TOTAL EXPANDED CAPACITY AVAILABLE IN 5 YEARS 17,500,000
PROFIT MARGINED PER VEHICLE $27,105
TOTAL PROFIT FROM ADDED CAPACITY $474,337,500,000
RISK FREE RATE FOR DISCOUNT 5%
NET PRESENT VALUE OF FUTURE PRODUCTION $451,750,000,005
SIMILAR TO ABC COSTING
1. DISCOUNT PROFIT FROM ADDED CAPACITY $451,750,000,005
how to discount, USE NPV formula at 5% for 5 periods
2. Multiply the NPV x 30 the multiple $13,552,500,000,136
3. Divide by the total shares $4,329.87 TOTAL 2
NOW ADD THE TWO TOTAL $5,043.78 TOTAL 3
A TESLA SHARE SHOULD BE TRADING FOR $5,043.78 <<< THIS NUMBER
feel free to gather data from tesla's other ventures
The number that tesla should be trading right now, is 2.75 * $417 = ???? And 3.4 * $417 = ????? - this is the third time the shorts pile into tesla. Every time the distance traveled is enormous.
CALCULATE THE PRICE OF YOUR TESLA SHARES IN SECONDS - A MODEL FOR YOU TO COPY
CARS PRODUCED 687,000.00
ANNUALIZED PRODUCTION 2,748,000.00 1
AVERAGE CAR PRICE $69,500.00
PROFIT MARGIN % PER CAR 39%
PROFIT MARGIN PER CAR $27,105.00 1
PRICE MULTIPLE 30.00 2
TOTAL SHARES
OUTSTANDING SHARES 3,130,000,000 3
SHARES TRADED 2,600,000,000
SHORTED SHARES estimated 156,500,000
VALUE OF SHORTED SHARES $36,918,350,000.00
VALUE OF TRADE SHARES $613,340,000,000.00
SHARES TRADED PER DAY 28,906,061
Calculation
1 Multiply Net per car x Annualized Production $74,484,540,000
2 Multiply the result of 1 x 30 $2,234,536,200,000
3 Divide 2 by the Total Shares $713.91 TOTAL 1
STEP 2: NET PRESENT VALUE FUTURE PRODUCTION FOR THE NEXT 5 YEARS
CALCULATE CAPACITY ADDED
TEXAS 16,000,000
BERLIN 500,000
SHANGHAI EXPANSION 1,000,000
TOTAL EXPANDED CAPACITY AVAILABLE IN 5 YEARS 17,500,000
PROFIT MARGINED PER VEHICLE $27,105
TOTAL PROFIT FROM ADDED CAPACITY $474,337,500,000
RISK FREE RATE FOR DISCOUNT 5%
NET PRESENT VALUE OF FUTURE PRODUCTION $451,750,000,005
SIMILAR TO ABC COSTING
1. DISCOUNT PROFIT FROM ADDED CAPACITY $451,750,000,005
how to discount, USE NPV formula at 5% for 5 periods
2. Multiply the NPV x 30 the multiple $13,552,500,000,136
3. Divide by the total shares $4,329.87 TOTAL 2
NOW ADD THE TWO TOTAL $5,043.78 TOTAL 3
A TESLA SHARE SHOULD BE TRADING FOR $5,043.78 <<< THIS NUMBER
feel free to gather data from tesla's other ventures
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.