United Parcel Service, Inc.
Panjang

UPS - Support; Ascending Triangle; Inverse Head & Shoulders

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Price has just hit an established level of support (previously, price has twice bounced from this level). There is also an overlying ascending triangle; price could breakout of this consolidation around the end of the month and continue the prior uptrend. From a broader perspective(hourly chart), UPS has formed an inverse head & shoulders pattern. Although inverse head & shoulders is generally a reversal pattern that indicates the end of a downtrend, it could also signify the continuation of a prior uptrend. PT#1 is at $220 - the upper level of the ascending triangle; if price can breakout past this, the next target is as high as $250. A stop loss should be placed at $205; if this level of support doesn't hold, the trade premise gets invalidated.

From an options perspective, monthly calls (expiring Jan 31) with a strike of $210 could yield profit. A longer term option could be calls expiring in March or April with a strike price of $220. As always, trim as price goes up and use a trailing stop loss depending on the risk that you can tolerate.

Penafian

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