The SPX is showing 4 variables that suggest the price will drop.
In our trading strategy, when an asset that is showing 4 variables in the same direction, we take the trade. As always the SL is one that as of right now makes sense, we will update if something changes.
The 4 edges (Variables) that suggest downside:
1. Confirmation of old channel as resistance.
2. Confirmation of 2021 high as resistance after price failed to return above it.
3. Bearish divergence on the MacD.
4. A bearish dark cloud cover/ piercing line candlestick formation (Confirmed with a negative close today).
Not to mention the asset retraced 61.8% to its recent high from low putting it in the golden zone.
We can never say an asset WILL go in a specific direction. We just look for scenarios where, based on researched methods, an asset has a higher probability of going in a direction. When multiple edges line up, we take the trade. This is one of those cases.