Dolar A.S. / Franc Swiss
Panjang

USD/CHF Elliott Wave Count โ€“ Building for Wave (5)

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๐ŸŒ€ USD/CHF Elliott Wave Count โ€“ Building for Wave (5) ๐Ÿš€
Chart Analysis โ€“ May 13, 2025

I'm tracking a well-structured 5-wave impulse on USD/CHF using Elliott Wave Theory, supported by Fibonacci confluence, Awesome Oscillator (AO) momentum shifts, and convergence-divergence signals.

๐Ÿ”น Elliott Wave Count
We're currently in the corrective phase of Wave (4) after a strong Wave (3) extension. Here's the breakdown:

โœ… Wave (1), (2), and (3) are clearly in place, with (3) showing healthy extension.

๐Ÿ” Wave (4) is pulling back and is now testing key support.

๐Ÿ”œ Anticipating a bullish Wave (5) continuation.

๐Ÿ”น Key Fibonacci Levels & Buy Zone (Zone 1)
Wave (4) is approaching a high-probability reversal zone:

Zone 1 Buy Area: 0.8362 โ€“ 0.8341, marked by:

1.618โ€“1.786 Fibonacci extension

Confluence with previous breakout structure (resistance turned support)

Classic Elliott correction depth for Wave (4)

This zone provides a strong technical base for a potential bounce into Wave (5).

๐Ÿ”น Awesome Oscillator (AO) + Convergence/Divergence
AO confirms the wave count momentum:

Strong green bars during Wave (3)

Bearish red bars during Wave (4) correction

Potential bullish convergence forming:

Price is making lower lows

AO is showing higher lows โ€“ this is bullish divergence, a classic pre-Wave (5) signal

This momentum shift suggests buyers are returning, even as price dips into support โ€” a strong signal for trend continuation.

๐ŸŽฏ Bias, Target & Invalidation
Trade Bias: Bullish

Buy Zone: 0.8362โ€“0.8341 (Zone 1)

Wave (5) Target: 0.8470 โ€“ 0.8500 (based on Wave (1)-(3) projection and previous high)

Invalidation: Break and close below 0.8341 suggests deeper corrective structure or invalid wave count

โœ… Summary
This setup combines:

Elliott Wave 5-impulse structure

Fibonacci confluence at key buy zone

Bullish divergence on AO supporting Wave (5) potential

Strong risk-to-reward opportunity from Zone 1

๐Ÿ“‰ Waiting for confirmation via bullish price action or stronger AO green bars before committing. Let me know your view or alternate wave counts!

#elliottwave #usdchf #wave5setup #fibonacci #awesomeoscillator #divergence #priceaction #forexanalysis #tradingview

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