On a long-term horizon, USD/JPY remains entrenched in a solid uptrend. On a shorter timeframe, however, the pair has been coiling inside a rising wedge, a bearish pattern composed of two converging upward sloping lines that connect a series of higher highs and higher lows.
Confirmation of the rising wedge occurs when prices successfully breach its lower trendline, which is considered a dynamic technical support. In the case at hand, the area to watch is at 149.50. A break below this floor could see a pullback towards the 148.00 handle. On further softness, the focus shifts to 146.00.
In the event of renewed strength, resistance for USD/JPY first appears around 150.75, the 2023 high. Upside clearance of this key ceiling could reinforce upward momentum, setting the stage for a rally towards last year’s peak at 151.95. Beyond that level, attention turns to channel resistance near 152.70.
Patiently waiting to see how price will respect these areas...
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