USD/JPY (UJ) Analysis (Daily Timeframe)

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The USD/JPY pair has been following a clear market cycle, transitioning from distribution to markdown, followed by accumulation, and now entering a bullish markup phase, showcasing strong bullish momentum.

Key Observations:

Market Phases:
  • Distribution Phase: The bullish move ended near the 162 level, where sellers gained control, initiating a markdown.
  • Accumulation Phase: After a significant markdown, UJ found a base around the 140 level, forming an accumulation phase with demand coming back into the market.
  • Current Phase: The pair has now broken out of accumulation and is in a bullish move, with a well-defined structure of higher highs and higher lows.

EMA Surfing and Momentum:
  • The price is currently surfing upward along the EMAs, showing strong trend-following behavior with EMAs acting as dynamic support.
  • The tightening of the EMAs during the accumulation phase has now expanded, supporting the continuation of the bullish move.

Scenarios to Watch:
  • Continuation to Targets:
    USD/JPY could continue its bullish momentum toward the short-term target near 159 and potentially the medium-term target around 162. This aligns with the ongoing strength in the USD and the current bullish structure.
  • Pullback for Reaccumulation:
    A potential retracement could act as a reaccumulation phase, gathering liquidity before resuming the uptrend.



Penafian

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