Dolar A.S. / Yen Jepun
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Navigating the Market : USDJPY 23 September 2019

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I am bullish bias for this pair. My sentiment/fundamental analysis rationale to be bullish is the hawkish Fed's rate cut and the easing safe haven flow based on the US-China trade war and the potential "Oil War" provoked by Houthi's strike at Saudi two big oilfields.

My technical rational to be bullish is what I read from the daily chart (I am not sharing how I deduced the daily chart for now)

Last week's range was 96 pips whilst the 20-week Average Weekly Range (20-day AWR) was 147 pips. I am anticipating a price expansion (weekly range wise) this coming week to the upside.

This week's 20-week Average Weekly Range is 146 pips. As I am bullish for this pair, naturally I am looking for the low of the week as late as Wednesday but it could happen as early as Monday Asian session. My guesstimate of this upcoming week's low around 107.350 - 107.500. There are reported sell stops at 107.250 and some huge option expiries in this price as well.

If price enters the liquidity pool 107.350-107.250, that will activate my bullish bias and I will wait for the bullish trigger.

Monday is a bank holiday in Japan and no risk event for U.S

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