ridethepig

ridethepig | RUB Market Commentary 2020.03.02

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FOREXCOM:USDRUB   Dolar A.S. / Ruble Rusia
Fed rate cuts taking full control of the FX board as virus disruptions start to fade - it's time to go shopping in G10 and EM FX and the intervention policies will provide some USD relief. Here looking for a rebound into previous ranges in USDRUB as a pro-cyclical currency.

A test of the previous range we were trading looks around the corner:


The spread of the virus is naturally impacting global growth, and tipping OPEC towards intervention in Oil as well as a number of CBs. Markets now price Fed to cut 75bps by June - similar story in Australia with RBA, UK with BOE and BOC in Canada. Tracking closely for risk to find a temporary floor this week.

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