Forecasts. Securities Market Situation in Russia 2020.

11 Jun 2020

The securities market in Russia 2019, its statistics largely repeat the global trend. At the same time, the Russian Central Bank has its own peculiarities. Shares of Russian companies remain one of the most undervalued in the world in terms of price to earnings per share - P / E.
According to statistics from the Central Bank of Russia, following the results of three quarters, the number of clients of professional participants in the securities market increased:
- on brokerage services by 53% from 2,222 thousand to 3,406 thousand;
- in trust by 70% from 152.2 thousand to 259.4 thousand;
- those who opened IMS - by 96% from 599 thousand to 1,175 thousand.
The Russian securities market remains financial and oil and gas. The price of oil is stable and is growing slightly. The outlook is positive up to overcoming the mark of $ 70 per barrel of Brent brand in 2020.
The ruble bond market grew by 11.8% and reached 21.811 trillion rubles. for 9 months of 2019 according to the REGION Group of Companies.
The share of the Russian securities market in the world remains less than 0.5%. At the same time, the country's GDP is 1.8% of the global.
Statistics is inexorable: the dynamics of the domestic securities market is due to global. Another major factor is the price of oil. Additionally, the Russian economy is stimulated by investments in stocks and the expansion of the circle of domestic investors, low key rate and inflation.

The market is underestimated and has great potential. The outlook for Russia's economic growth and energy prices is positive. All things being equal, in 2020 everything should grow.

A sharp change in trend before the fall will obviously indicate the man-made crisis. In the conditions of the modern information field, independent analysts will calculate this once or twice. Such a clear embodiment of the negative scenario will lead to a change in global processes.

It will undermine confidence in the United States, the American securities market, and the global financial and not only architecture. Such a “restructuring” is hardly in the interests of leading players. Therefore, the scenario is less likely than positive (until the fall of 2020).