Now that it has been nearly a year since this forecast for a large drop in the price of crude oil came to pass, we are entering the stage where we should look for a rise in crude oil. The news today about the Pfizer vaccine for Covid19 might just be the spark that ignites the reality that an economic recovery would lead to a lasting and large rise in the price of oil. Stay tuned... The pattern is there in that people expect the price of oil to stay low and are addicted to low oil prices. Also it would be logical too for oil producers to find a way to get prices back up. How can they do that? Study the last cycle and see if we can find a pattern there. My best guess is a vaccine should lead to a doubling of oil prices over the next 12 months. For now, invest in deep freezers that can store the vaccine and freezer trucks to deliver the vaccine all across the US and the world.