Crude Oil is Building Momentum for a Breakout

142
During the U.S. trading session on Thursday, international oil prices fluctuated higher, with U.S. crude oil currently trading near $63.55 per barrel. Despite the intraday volatility, international oil prices remain under downward pressure, primarily influenced by two key factors.
First, data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed that as of last week, U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories increased more than expected, signaling weakening refined product demand in the world’s largest economy. This development has sparked investor concerns about whether the U.S. summer driving season can sustain demand growth, leading to a ~1% decline in oil prices on Wednesday.
The current crude oil market is caught between supply and demand headwinds:
Supply-side pressures: OPEC+’s production increase plan and Saudi Arabia’s strategic price cuts have created short-term bearish sentiment.
Demand-side uncertainties: The unexpected rise in U.S. refined product inventories has amplified market doubts about the vigor of global consumption recovery.
Additionally, the escalation of international trade frictions has further dampened risk appetite, exacerbating downward pressure on prices.
In the short term, oil prices are likely to continue oscillating within the $60–$65 per barrel range. Market participants should closely monitor U.S. macroeconomic data and OPEC+’s compliance with its production policies for directional cues.


Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@61.5-62.0
TP:63.0-63.5

Penafian

Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.