OIL - The magic 200 SMA

Telah dikemas kini
The 200 SMA played an important role in oil's past history during tha last few years.
This call is going to be based on the scenario when oil tags /marginally breaks the 200 SMA and drops into its daily cycle low.
The daily cycle is very mature, I already closed my longs last week.
From this point it's definetely risky to hold any long positions before we have a correction.

A possible target could be the 100 SMA.

Nota
syot kilat
100 SMA
Nota
We broke above the 200 SMA.
syot kilat

Just like at this rally:
syot kilat

In the worst case scenarion the DCL will test back the 200 SMA and we get out with small gains or break even.
But I don't think we can stay above the 200 SMA for too long.
Nota
We’ve arrived to the next resistance zone: the 2018 year’s resistance at 64$.
syot kilat
Nota
The DCL will minimum back test the 200SMA at 61$.
syot kilat
Nota
I’m adding to the short positions at this point.
Nota
syot kilat
So far so good.
Nota
Double top is developing on the 4hrs/1hr chart
syot kilat
Nota
We have a weird broadening top as someone is trying to push up price to the same level again and again.(64.65)
syot kilat
I let you guess who are this guys.
Nota
It will come down sooner or later and we will sit this out.
Nota
syot kilat
Let’s if we get a rescue at 62.3 again.
LOL
Nota
syot kilat
Finally the move into the DCL is on the way.
I hope everybody still on board
Nota
I’m waiting for the RSI 5 or 6 reach oversold conditions.
Nota
Watching today’s drop the 200SMA doesn’t seem like an unrealistic target does it?
syot kilat
Nota
These heavily manipulated markets are losing ground in a blink of a moment. When the players who are proping up the price quietly exit the trade the small trader gets trapped in the position and doesn’t understand why the breakout didn’t work this time.
Nota
Im always using the same color for the 100 and 200 SMA.
200 cyan
100 magenta
50 blue
Nota
And here is the 200SMA.
syot kilat
Nota
I promised you 61$ as a minimum target of a DCL.
Nota
Closing the 50% of the position at 61.10. Just in case if OPEC decide to save this tomorrow.
syot kilat
Nota
If it stays here Im going to close the rest of the short during the european night .
syot kilat
Key reversal is forming.
Nota
Key reversal. Bounce from the 200 SMA. It’s too risky to hold any shorts.
syot kilat
Dagangan ditutup secara manual
syot kilat
We got a small pullback this morning , I used it to close all my short positions. Even if you didn’t add to the shorts where I suggested you can still close here at break even. The 200SMA was back tested. Waiting for a new setup.
Chart PatternsTechnical IndicatorsTrend Analysis

Juga pada:

Penerbitan berkaitan

Penafian