Emas Semerta / Dolar A.S.Telah dikemas kini 2150 BY 03/08 DRAFT 6, 2200 under 24 hours, 2100 under 48 HOURS
Introduction - This is DRAFT 6 for 2150. We hit 2120 today. Trend engine says 2200 Tuesday morning. Followed 2100 on Wednesday.
Details - See previous drafts for details.
Details - See previous drafts for details.
Nota
Usually - I write more for notes. I am out of time to add notes for this. So this is posted "FWIW" and use at your own risk. This is what I see coming. Hi light need to be correct first 12 hours in order to get 100 up and 100 down. If price do not follow hi-light, THERE SHOULD STILL BE A MOVE TO 2150 AT LEAST, somewhere in this zone.Nota
Modified tail end: Nota
THE 9 PM looks like a 7:30 PM now.Nota
3/4 5:13 PM ET, this route is still live, and technically sounda) there is one problem... its too fast
b) so I am confident that the high should be closer to 2200 (as of right now)
c) but not sure it should be this fast
Nota
d) SCRAP THIS POST - I don't trust it e) I can't make sense of it
Nota
f) so it' a clear picture, top is not exactly in ...g) floor has not been tested prior to the bump to 2120
h) I don't have ANYTHING TO GO BY
I) that is a wrap for this one
Nota
03/04 6:30 PM ET IT'S OVER: Nota
a) until FOMC, there's one move worth trading ...b) short the next bump to 2137, and it's only 45 points if that in 3-5 days
c) so NOTHING TO SEE HERE
d) so I"m going vaca, peace out
Nota
e) any body want to hire a good forecaster? f) send me a message in before 3/14
g) thank you!
Nota
8:35.xx 2041.xx so it broke 37.xx much a) only ceiling left is 2150
b) and I really don't see that hitting
c) even though calling it for several weeks
d) total luck if it hit
Nota
e) typo, ...broke 37.xx much earlier than I thought it wouldf) haven't even look at charts since last night
g) dropping to 33.xx now, yeah top in I think
Nota
8:44 AM ET 28.XX so I don't have time to add notes any more buta) bears' goals are:
b) 2120, 2111, 2083
c) if they make 2120, they are going to 2083
d) question is today or tomorrow?
e) probably today but PM or before midnight
Nota
f) bears have micro setup for 2114 that's only open 90 minutesg) meaning if they don't make 2120 in 90 minutes
h) bulls willl "drift sideways to up"
I) and break obvious trend over night Wednesday AM
Nota
m) I meant 2117 not 2114Nota
10:18 AM - SO 22 held and bulls tried a second time for 2150 and failed. a) seem like they haven't given up and want a third shot
b) they have to do it by 1:30-2:00 PM
c) why?
d) the entire ceiling curve is going down with exception of some intraday trends
e) so bulls will "exhaust their momentum BY 3PM ET
Nota
f) 10:24, 2029.xx, it's not obvious that bulls are done until theng) or bears bush under 2120
Nota
h) so that's a wrap for this entire series to 2150I) have a good spring break guys!
Nota
m) bonus from here to tomorrow, this one looks like money:Nota
a) so 2:03 PM ET 2131.82 b) bull trend minutes from exhausting
c) trend engine calling for 2110 before 3AM ET
d) so it's calling for that trend line to hold
e) this will cause runaway sell of to 2096, maybe even 2088 WED AM
f) just watch for that bold line
Nota
g) deal breaker if price breaks lineh) deal maker if price breaks line, but reverses down quickly
Nota
2:28 PM 33.95, LINE BROKEN, BEARS NEED TO CLOSE 28 OR LESSa) if they do that, then they "remake 'the deal
b) if they can't, deal is broken
Nota
4:18 GOT SOME AWESOME TO SHARE but first 2029.xx NY CLOSENota
a) in chart above, so it broke under BOTH trend lines that really matter b) and closed there
c) really wanted a 26 close, would have settled for 28 close
d) but 29.85 was it or 29.5x something throws off the odds a bit
e) that can be corrected if aftermarket close is 28.xx
f) otherwise that is what we are getting for next 24 hours more or less
g) now comes good news and bad news
h) good news is from 03/20-04/10 there's A GIANT MOVE BUILT IN
I) it could take 3 days to 15 trading days
m) so after tomorrows check down, we should get a move like this:
Nota
n) for chart above, there are 3 outcomes that do the same thing
o) dark blue is basically what every one thinks (and it happens to be the favorite)
p) light blue is if it breaks out first then rechecks to 2140
q) orange is tomorrow's check down stops at 2105-2115 and makes a...
r) "reverse heads and shoulders"
s) blah blah blah basically ALL SETUP FOR EXPLOSION ON 03/20 FOMC
Nota
Nota
4:49 PM aftermarket is 27.xx, I know 28.xx ok, but 26.xx would be GREAT for tomorrowI
Nota
5:01 PM the bad news is I'm running out of time. a) things are going to get really interesting after this check down
b) by the way, watch out tonight bc it can get to 96 before midnight if bears are on the move
c) I really want to be around at least until 4/10 or 2550, whichever comes first
Nota
d) we will see, one day at a timeNota
e) here is gray route for bears tonightNota
5:58 PM ET.. OMG, it's already started... a) so we need to get to 2096 maybe 2088,
b) AND SOME HOW CLOSE THIS WEEK 2200
c) I'm dead serious
d) this is why I couldn't figure out yesterday
e) so today was first top
f) tomorrow correction and bounce
g) Thurs/Fri is move to 2200
Nota
h) ok, so my first call tonight is bear tonight/tomorrow I) heading for 2096/2088 first
m) BUT IF PRICE BREAKS BOLD LINE in chart above
n) then it's going PREVIOUS DRAFT 5:
Nota
o) here, replay it: 
p) when I published DRAFT 6, I forgot about DRAFT 5
q) so ODDS FAVOR BEAR MOVE TO 2096-2088
r) but if price moves past bold line in previous chart with blue/gray routes
s) then watch out for DRAFT 5 completing
t) I DONT THINK IT'S DRAFT 5, BUT CRAZY STUFF HAPPEN ALL THE TIME
Nota
u) so if/when DRAFT 5 eliminated...v) we can expect 2096-2088 then close the week 2200
w) man this is so crazy!
Nota
THIS POST HAS ENDED. WE ARE ON DRAFT 7:
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