Emas Semerta / Dolar A.S.Telah dikemas kini 2.13 Gold Analysis---Continue to do more at low prices
2.13 Gold Analysis---Continue to do more at low prices
Investment is a practice, with only a starting point but no end point.
For example, when cutting onions, you always close your eyes, thinking that you will not cry, but you will still cry if you cut your hand.
Just like investment, you keep your orders and think that you can survive today, but tomorrow's wind and rain will blow away all your extravagant hopes!
News analysis
Risk aversion dominates: Although the US CPI data in January exceeded expectations, risk aversion is still the main driving force of the current gold market.
Conclusion: After the correction, the gold price quickly returned to the bullish range and is expected to accelerate further in the short term.
Fed policy: Fed Chairman Powell emphasized that there is no rush to cut interest rates and keep interest rates unchanged. The market expects no interest rate cuts before September, and there may be only one interest rate cut this year. The Fed will also review monetary policy strategies, further affecting market expectations.
Trade policy: The Trump administration's tariff measures may intensify global trade wars and inflation. The increase in steel and aluminum tariffs to 25% and the upcoming reciprocal tariff plan will have a chain reaction on the global economy.
Geopolitics: Trump's call with Russian and Ukrainian leaders may affect the situation in Russia and Ukraine, further increasing market uncertainty.
Technical analysis
Upward trend: Since the price hit the key point of 2583, the gold price has risen in a step-by-step manner, and the adjustment cycle of the negative line is short and does not exceed two, indicating that the bulls are strong.
Key time node: Whether the market can close positive today will determine whether the subsequent market can continue the strong pattern.
Conclusion: It is expected that the price will turn positive and maintain a strong market.
Trend callback: The market is currently in the callback stage after the upward trend, and there is no turning signal such as the continuous arrangement of large negative lines, indicating that this is just a relay callback in the bull market, accumulating strength for subsequent rises.
Operation strategy: It is recommended to maintain a low-multiple strategy.
Pay attention to the stop loss signal at the 2900 integer mark, follow up with long orders, and continue to be bullish.
Pay attention to the 2923-2928 line for upper resistance and the 2900-2895 line for lower support.
Operation suggestions
Short-term operation: mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by short on rebounds.
Key points:
Upper resistance: 2923-2928
Lower support: 2900-2895
Summary
The gold market is expected to continue to rise in the short term under the dual influence of risk aversion and the Fed's policy.
Technically, the gold price is in the correction stage of the upward trend, and the bulls are still strong. Investors should pay close attention to the support and resistance of key points, flexibly adjust the operation strategy, and seize market opportunities.
I will continue to share my trading plan with you after the US market opens
Thank you for your attention and comments
Investment is a practice, with only a starting point but no end point.
For example, when cutting onions, you always close your eyes, thinking that you will not cry, but you will still cry if you cut your hand.
Just like investment, you keep your orders and think that you can survive today, but tomorrow's wind and rain will blow away all your extravagant hopes!
News analysis
Risk aversion dominates: Although the US CPI data in January exceeded expectations, risk aversion is still the main driving force of the current gold market.
Conclusion: After the correction, the gold price quickly returned to the bullish range and is expected to accelerate further in the short term.
Fed policy: Fed Chairman Powell emphasized that there is no rush to cut interest rates and keep interest rates unchanged. The market expects no interest rate cuts before September, and there may be only one interest rate cut this year. The Fed will also review monetary policy strategies, further affecting market expectations.
Trade policy: The Trump administration's tariff measures may intensify global trade wars and inflation. The increase in steel and aluminum tariffs to 25% and the upcoming reciprocal tariff plan will have a chain reaction on the global economy.
Geopolitics: Trump's call with Russian and Ukrainian leaders may affect the situation in Russia and Ukraine, further increasing market uncertainty.
Technical analysis
Upward trend: Since the price hit the key point of 2583, the gold price has risen in a step-by-step manner, and the adjustment cycle of the negative line is short and does not exceed two, indicating that the bulls are strong.
Key time node: Whether the market can close positive today will determine whether the subsequent market can continue the strong pattern.
Conclusion: It is expected that the price will turn positive and maintain a strong market.
Trend callback: The market is currently in the callback stage after the upward trend, and there is no turning signal such as the continuous arrangement of large negative lines, indicating that this is just a relay callback in the bull market, accumulating strength for subsequent rises.
Operation strategy: It is recommended to maintain a low-multiple strategy.
Pay attention to the stop loss signal at the 2900 integer mark, follow up with long orders, and continue to be bullish.
Pay attention to the 2923-2928 line for upper resistance and the 2900-2895 line for lower support.
Operation suggestions
Short-term operation: mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by short on rebounds.
Key points:
Upper resistance: 2923-2928
Lower support: 2900-2895
Summary
The gold market is expected to continue to rise in the short term under the dual influence of risk aversion and the Fed's policy.
Technically, the gold price is in the correction stage of the upward trend, and the bulls are still strong. Investors should pay close attention to the support and resistance of key points, flexibly adjust the operation strategy, and seize market opportunities.
I will continue to share my trading plan with you after the US market opens
Thank you for your attention and comments
Dagangan aktif
Dagangan ditutup: sasaran tercapai
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.