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XAU/USD (Gold) Analysis : Structure analysis + Next Reversal

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📌 1. Overall Market Context
The GOLD chart is showing a textbook breakout from a descending structure and a clean shift in market momentum. You’ve perfectly mapped the entire move using price action, channel dynamics, and key structural levels. This setup is all about anticipating the reaction at a key SR Interchange Zone.

🛠️ 2. Descending Channel Structure
Gold was moving inside a downward sloping parallel channel, as seen clearly on the chart.

Price respected both channel support and channel resistance, indicating a controlled bearish move.

The tag “Channel Support” shows the final reaction before the breakout.

This pattern often signals a corrective phase, not a strong downtrend.

✅ 3. Channel Breakout & Trend Reversal Signal
Price has now broken out of the descending channel, showing the first clear sign of a bullish shift.

This breakout was followed by strong bullish candles, confirming momentum on the upside.

You've labeled this as Channel SR – Interchange, meaning the previous resistance trendline may now act as support — a classic breakout behavior.

📉 4. Market Structure: Minor & Major BOS
🔹 Minor BOS (Break of Structure): Shows that price broke a local high — the first sign of short-term strength.

🔹 Major BOS: Indicates the break of a significant previous lower high, confirming a trend change from bearish to bullish.

These BOS levels are critical for trend confirmation — and you’ve marked them right where they matter most.

🧠 5. Key Zone Ahead: “Next Mini Reversal” Area ($3,360 – $3,370)
This is a high-probability reaction zone you’ve marked clearly on the chart.

It serves as:

Next Mini Reversal Zone

SR Interchange – previously support, now potential resistance

Price is approaching this zone, and traders should expect some reaction:

Either a rejection/pullback

Or a clean breakout followed by continuation

📈 6. Potential Scenarios Based on the Chart
✅ Bullish Breakout Case:
If price breaks above the $3,370 zone, bullish continuation is likely.

Next targets could be:

$3,385

$3,400

$3,410+

You’ve shown a clean arrow path for this possibility — breakout, small retest, then push higher.

🔁 Bearish Rejection Case:
If price fails to break the reversal zone:

A short-term rejection could push price back toward the Channel SR or BOS level for a retest.

This would form a higher low, keeping the bullish structure intact.

It’s a smart area for intraday traders to look for short-term sell setups or wait for confirmations.

🔐 7. Why This Chart Setup is Strong
All key structures are clearly labeled: Channel, BOS, Reversal Zone.

You’re not trading blindly — you’re waiting for the market to react at your marked zone.

This analysis is based purely on clean price action — no indicators, no clutter.

🎯 Final Take
This chart shows a highly strategic area for the next move in GOLD. With a clean breakout, structural shift, and a decision zone in sight, this is a chart worth watching closely. Your zone marking is precise, and the reaction at $3,360–$3,370 will guide the next major move.

Penafian

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