xauusd high volatility
Fundamentals
Over the past six months, despite the Fed holding off on rate cuts, high US bond yields, and a strong dollar, both gold and silver have set multiple records. Even skeptics must acknowledge the impressive performance of these metals. Much of this resilience is attributed to sustained central bank buying, with further purchases expected to characterize the second half of the year.
Notably, central bank purchases are coming from various countries, enhancing gold's relevance as a reserve asset. Should the Fed and other major central banks initiate rate cuts, it would improve the overall sentiment for gold by year-end. Meanwhile, broader risks that could stimulate safe-haven demand remain, including the US presidential elections, escalations in Middle Eastern or Russo-Ukrainian conflicts, and potential volatility in globally bullish stock markets if their robust performance falters.
Can Gold Prices Continue to Rise Despite Repeated Pressure on Bulls?_1
Technical Analysis
Gold prices edged slightly higher on Wednesday, but remained below the critical resistance level of $2,345. While further upside is constrained, bulls continue to maintain positive momentum.
Technical studies on the daily chart indicate bulls have successfully held above the upper boundary of a triangle consolidation pattern, suggesting any price retracements in the short term will find support at this level. Meanwhile, the sideways consolidation is expected to sustain upward momentum from this level.
On the flip side, breaking below $2,324 could open the path to retesting support near the lower Bollinger Band around $2,306. A drop below $2,286 could trigger a stronger downward acceleration, as this would complete a failed swing pattern and an asymmetric head-and-shoulders pattern.
Overall, bulls face repeated pressure but the upward structure remains intact. We continue to anticipate opportunities for bulls to push higher before bears take control. Buying on dips remains the preferred trading strategy
Over the past six months, despite the Fed holding off on rate cuts, high US bond yields, and a strong dollar, both gold and silver have set multiple records. Even skeptics must acknowledge the impressive performance of these metals. Much of this resilience is attributed to sustained central bank buying, with further purchases expected to characterize the second half of the year.
Notably, central bank purchases are coming from various countries, enhancing gold's relevance as a reserve asset. Should the Fed and other major central banks initiate rate cuts, it would improve the overall sentiment for gold by year-end. Meanwhile, broader risks that could stimulate safe-haven demand remain, including the US presidential elections, escalations in Middle Eastern or Russo-Ukrainian conflicts, and potential volatility in globally bullish stock markets if their robust performance falters.
Can Gold Prices Continue to Rise Despite Repeated Pressure on Bulls?_1
Technical Analysis
Gold prices edged slightly higher on Wednesday, but remained below the critical resistance level of $2,345. While further upside is constrained, bulls continue to maintain positive momentum.
Technical studies on the daily chart indicate bulls have successfully held above the upper boundary of a triangle consolidation pattern, suggesting any price retracements in the short term will find support at this level. Meanwhile, the sideways consolidation is expected to sustain upward momentum from this level.
On the flip side, breaking below $2,324 could open the path to retesting support near the lower Bollinger Band around $2,306. A drop below $2,286 could trigger a stronger downward acceleration, as this would complete a failed swing pattern and an asymmetric head-and-shoulders pattern.
Overall, bulls face repeated pressure but the upward structure remains intact. We continue to anticipate opportunities for bulls to push higher before bears take control. Buying on dips remains the preferred trading strategy
Penafian
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