Gold Head and Shoulders Pattern

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🔍 Pattern Identified: Head and Shoulders (Bearish Reversal Pattern)
This is a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, which often signals a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish.

Left Shoulder: Formed after a strong uptrend, followed by a small correction.

Head: A higher peak than the shoulders, indicating the last strong bullish push.

Right Shoulder: A lower high, indicating weakening bullish momentum.

Neckline: The support level connecting the lows between shoulders and the head. In this chart, it's slightly sloped upward.

💡 Current Price Action:
Price is hovering just around the neckline (~$3,300–3,310).

A break below the neckline with strong volume would confirm the pattern and likely trigger a move lower.

Volume has spiked during the right shoulder drop, suggesting sellers are already getting aggressive.

📉 Bearish Scenario (Most Probable if neckline breaks):
Breakdown from the neckline could lead to a drop toward the $3,160–3,180 zone initially.

Measured move target (height from head to neckline projected downward) could push price even lower, around $3,100–3,120.

📈 Bullish Rejection (Invalidation):
If price fails to break the neckline and instead rebounds, watch for resistance around the $3,360–3,400 zone (right shoulder high).

A break above the head (~$3,520) would completely invalidate this pattern and suggest a continuation of the uptrend.

🔄 Trading Strategy Suggestions:
Aggressive bears could short on a break and close below the neckline.

Conservative bears might wait for a retest of the neckline after the breakdown.

Bulls should wait for confirmation of support above the neckline or a higher high formation.

Penafian

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