XAUUSD 25/11/24

25 Nov

Following last week's shift into a bullish narrative, we remain bullish on the higher timeframe. This outcome was anticipated in our previous reports, where we noted that failing to interact with key areas appropriately would likely result in a bullish shift.

As expected, the daily bias has also turned bullish, aligning with our forecast. We failed to engage with the liquid highs and areas of supply, resulting in a push upward and the establishment of a new upward trajectory. Currently, we have an unmitigated area of supply, representing a potential counter move. While this scenario is less likely, we are closely monitoring the area of demand at the base of the last major move. If the current upward trajectory breaks, this demand zone will be our focus.

As always, if the price continues downward to the demand area and fails to hold, we will look for lower points within the current range. Our bias will remain bullish unless the daily timeframe bias shifts again. However, if there is no pullback—as previously mentioned—this will be a counter-trend move, increasing the likelihood of another upward expansion. This would target pre-established highs and potentially breach the area of supply.

It’s also worth noting that there are several pockets of liquidity around the demand area, as well as liquidity above the major highs of our previous downward trade.

Trade safely, stick to your plan, and always follow your risk management rules.