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NULL_SmartTrend_v3.5

67
t.me/null_company

@null_company

@Alexa_Na1405 - X

It works well on 4H and 1D

Testing:
Initial capital: 10,000 US dollars (in US dollars).

Strategy: Only for long/only for short positions, but with switching (buying on long terms, selling on short terms, closing the previous position).

Fees: 0.1% on entry/exit (realistic for futures/crypts).

Risk: Full position (100% equity on each signal), non-stop (as in the basic version 3.3).

Data: OHLCV from Yahoo Finance (checked for compliance with TradingView).

Signals: Do not change when the bar is closed.

Indicators: Total return, number of trades, winning ratio (profitable trades), Sharpe ratio (risk to return ratio).Key points:

Daily (1 day): Signals are received rarely (1-2 per month), but they are very accurate — they capture the main trends (growth in 2021 to 69 thousand dollars, correction in 2022, jump in 2024-2025). The win rate is high because it ignores noise. The yield is more than 12 times higher than when buying and holding BTC (+1150% over the period).

4H: There are more signals (1-2 per week), but more false ones in the sideways trend (summer 2023). Still profitable, but with a large drawdown — suitable for active trading. The Sharpe ratio is lower because of the frequency.

General information: The indicator is strong in trends (the ADX filter works), but in a sideways trend (ADX<25) it gives out ~20% false signals. There is no redrawing, the closing signals are safe for live.

Examples of key signals (daily, BTC):

Purchase 2020-12-15: After correction, entry in the amount of ~20 thousand dollars → exit for sale 2021-04 → profit +220%.

Sell 2022-01-10: Before the collapse → profit +45% on a short position.

Buy 2023-01-20: Bearish bottom ~16 thousand dollars → +500% by 2025.

Sale 2024-07-05: Before correction from $70 thousand. → +15%.The result for BTC 1D in 5 years (approximately):

Without filter: ~53 signals, the winning bet is 68%

With filter: ~38 signals, 79% win rate, higher profit

Penafian

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