PRO Investing - Quant AlphaCentauri D |XLF|

PRO Investing - Quant AlphaCentauri D |XLF|

1. Summary and Core Concept
This is a quantitative backtesting strategy engineered specifically for the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) on the Daily (1D) timeframe. The name "AlphaCentauri" reflects its goal: to seek alpha by identifying statistically significant opportunities through rigorous time series analysis.
The strategy's core principle is to move beyond conventional technical indicators and instead analyze the underlying structure and character of price data. It is designed to methodically identify conditions that have historically preceded sustained directional trends in the financial sector.

2. The Analytical Process: How It Works
This strategy employs a multi-stage quantitative process to filter for high-probability setups. It is a "mashup" of statistical concepts applied to price action.

Structural Pattern Recognition: The engine's primary function is to analyze the historical price series of XLF to identify specific, recurring structural patterns. It examines price geometry and cyclical behavior to find formations that often act as the foundation for a new, emerging trend.

Signal Execution: A signal to enter a trade is only generated when the findings from both the structural analysis and the validation stages are in agreement. This disciplined, multi-layered approach ensures the strategy remains flat during periods of high uncertainty and only engages when its quantitative criteria are fully met.

3. How to Use This Strategy
Timeframe: This strategy has been designed, tested, and optimized exclusively for the Daily (1D) timeframe on the XLF ticker. Its logic is not intended for other timeframes or assets and may produce unreliable results if used differently.
On-Chart Signals: The strategy's operation is transparent. It plots all historical buy and sell entries, along with their corresponding exits, directly on the chart for easy performance review and analysis.

4. Risk Management: The Strategy's Foundation
This strategy is built upon a foundation of strict, non-negotiable risk management, which is reflected in its code and backtesting parameters. This design complies with TradingView's guidelines for publishing realistic and responsible strategies.
Dynamic Stop-Loss and Position Sizing: A stop-loss is dynamically calculated for each trade based on recent market volatility. The strategy then automatically adjusts the position size for that trade to target a defined risk percentage. In cases of extreme market volatility, the maximum potential loss on a single trade may approach, but is designed not to exceed, 5% of total account equity. Under normal market conditions, the risk for most trades will be below this maximum threshold.
Realistic Backtesting Parameters:
Initial Capital: The backtest defaults to an initial capital of $100,000.
Commission: A realistic fee of $5.00 per order is included to simulate broker costs.

5. Disclaimer
This strategy is an educational tool provided for informational and research purposes. It is not financial advice. All trading carries a high level of risk, and past performance is not a guarantee of future results. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions and risk management. Always conduct your own due diligence before deploying any trading strategy in a live account.