BUY in HASH Ribbons

BUY in HASH Ribbons Indicator

The BUY in HASH Ribbons indicator is designed to identify Bitcoin miner capitulation phases, often referred to as "Springs," using hash rate data. These phases signal potential buying opportunities with historically low downside risk. Built for TradingView with Pine Script v6, it visualizes hash rate trends and generates actionable signals for traders.


Key Features

Hash Ribbons Analysis: Tracks Bitcoin miner capitulation through the relationship between short-term (30-day) and long-term (60-day) Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) of the hash rate.


Signal Visualization:
Gray Circle: Marks the start of capitulation (30-day SMA crosses below 60-day SMA).
White Circles: Indicate ongoing capitulation, with brighter white showing hash rate recovery (increasing short SMA).
Yellow Circle: Signals the end of capitulation (30-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA).
Orange Circle: Represents a buy signal after full recovery, combining hash rate and price momentum for optimal entry.


Flexible Display:
Ribbons Mode: Plots the short and long SMAs as colored ribbons (red for capitulation, green for recovery).
Oscillator Mode: Shows the percentage difference between short and long SMAs as a histogram (red for negative, blue for positive).
Halving Events: Optionally plots Bitcoin halving dates with dashed lines and labels for context (2012, 2016, 2020, 2024).
Raw Hash Rate: Option to display raw hash rate data in EH/s (exahashes per second).
Alerts: Configurable alerts for capitulation, recovery, and buy signals.

How It Works

The indicator uses hash rate data from external sources (e.g., IntoTheBlock or Quandl) to calculate SMAs. Capitulation occurs when miners reduce activity, often during price declines, causing the short-term SMA to fall below the long-term SMA. Recovery is detected as the short-term SMA begins to rise, and a buy signal is generated when the hash rate recovers alongside bullish price action (10-day SMA crossing above 20-day SMA).


Inputs

Plot Type: Choose between "Ribbons" or "Oscillator" display.
Hash Rate Short SMA: Default 30 days, adjustable.
Hash Rate Long SMA: Default 60 days, adjustable.
Plot Signals: Enable/disable signal circles (capitulation, recovery, buy).
Plot Halvings: Show/hide Bitcoin halving events.
Plot Raw Hash Rate: Display raw hash rate data.
Source Hash Rate: Select data provider (e.g., IntoTheBlock or Quandl).


Why Use It?

Proven Strategy: Hash Ribbons, popularized by Capriole Investments, have historically identified strong Bitcoin buying opportunities post-capitulation.
Customizable: Tailor the indicator to your trading style with adjustable SMAs and display options.
Contextual Insight: Halving markers provide additional market context, as miner dynamics often shift post-halving.
Real-Time Alerts: Stay informed with alerts for key events, ideal for active traders.


Usage Notes

Timeframe: Best used on daily charts for accurate hash rate and price SMA calculations.
Data Sources: Ensure the selected hash rate source is reliable; IntoTheBlock is the default for consistency.
Risk Management: Combine with other indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) and fundamental analysis for robust trading decisions.
Backtesting: Test the indicator on historical data to understand its performance in different market cycles.

Credits

Developed by Trader T (THEPFUND). Inspired by the Hash Ribbons concept from Capriole Investments.


This indicator empowers traders to capitalize on Bitcoin’s miner-driven market cycles with clear, data-driven signals. Add it to your TradingView chart and start identifying high-probability entries today!