bands

⚡ What This Script Does
This is a structured trading system specifically designed for navigating Bitcoin cycles and identifying higher-probability buy setups.
It is not a simple combination of public indicators instead, it applies a rules-based logic to adapt signals dynamically depending on the current market phase (bull/bear), while also using a triple confirmation framework (macro trend + volatility bands + buy signals).
This approach aims to reduce false signals and align trading decisions with Bitcoin’s well-known cyclical behavior.

⚡ Core Concept & Components
The system combines three complementary elements:

A macro trend filter band (red/green), shown at the bottom of the chart, representing Bitcoin’s macro trend environment.

Adaptive volatility bands using advanced smoothing techniques including HMA, KAMA, WVMA, combined with moving average (MA) and average true range (ATR) logic to capture dynamic “cheap” and “expensive” price zones. These bands adapt to Bitcoin’s volatility structure better than standard Bollinger Bands or SMA plus ATR setups.

Multi-timeframe RSI-based Buy Signals on 8h, 1D, 1W, and 1M timeframes historically calibrated for Bitcoin cycles.

These components work together through a rules-based process, dynamically adapting signal validity depending on the macro trend state.

⚡ Signal System and how to use
The red and green band at the bottom of the chart represents Bitcoin’s macro trend environment:

Light Green → Likely start of a bull market
Dark Green → Market is bullish but becoming extended; potentially nearing a local top
Red → Bear market conditions

Our trading approach uses four distinct BUY signals, depending on the market phase:

Red (8h) → weak buy signal
Yellow (1D) → medium buy signal
Green (1W) → strong buy signal
Blue (1M) → strongest buy signal

However, Day Trading and Swing Trading signals are automatically blocked during bear markets (Red Band).
Reason: low timeframe signals (1 minute to 1 day) tend to perform poorly in bear markets, as major bottoms typically form on higher timeframes (1 week or 1 month).

Therefore, during Red Band conditions, only Buy Bear Market and Buy Recession signals remain active.

to use it correctly you must go to configuration of the indicator, section input and enable 4 buy signals and check every day timefarme 8h 1d 1w and 1m.

⚡ Invalidation Conditions
To exit the bear market, the system includes an invalidation condition:

If the price closes above a specific SMA on a defined timeframe, the Red Band switches to Green → signaling a potential market recovery.

Additionally, for the Red Band to activate initially, the system requires that:
Price must break below a specific Hull Moving Average (HMA) on a defined timeframe and length.

⚡ Why These 3 Indicators Work Well Together
If the band is green (bull market conditions) and a Buy signal (any color) appears → it is generally safer to buy in a bull market than in a bear market.
(I’m trying to apply the famous phrase "the trend is your friend" in this trading indicator and trading strategy.)

If the price is also touching the lower green band, and a Buy signal appears → the buy becomes even more reliable, as you are combining big trend plus band support plus signal confirmation.

This gives you triple confirmation:
Band color plus band level touch plus Buy signal → increasing the probability that the trade is going to work.

By combining:

Blocking low timeframe signals during bear markets
Using a clear invalidation point to detect recovery
Requiring a structural break via HMA to enter a bear market phase, and requiring a break above a specific SMA (length and timeframe) to enter a bull market
Applying a triple confirmation logic when conditions are favorable

→ this framework helps you navigate Bitcoin markets more securely and profitably than using unfiltered signals alone.

⚡ Why It’s Not a Simple Mashup
The logic of the system is not just an overlay of RSI, moving averages and bands:

It applies a structured "state machine" logic:

Macro Band determines which signals are allowed.
Band-level touches condition the strength of signals.
Triple confirmation (macro trend plus band level plus signal) governs high-probability setups.
Invalidation points (SMA breakouts) dynamically switch macro state, ensuring no lagging bull signals in a bear market or vice versa.

This makes the system superior to using public domain components in isolation, as those do not provide dynamic signal filtering nor respect Bitcoin’s macro cyclicality explicitly.

⚡ Why This is Invite-Only
This script reflects deep backtesting and original integration of state logic specific to Bitcoin cycles, I also tried to choose the the correct conditions and invalidation points by using hma and smas in specific timeframes and lengths,
it has a system that also block many wrong buy signals during bearmarkets.

It encapsulates a rules-based trading process which goes beyond simply combining public indicators. The aim is to provide traders with a coherent framework that reduces false signals, adapts to bitcoin cycles, and promotes risk-aware participation in Bitcoin markets.

I also refined the line aesthetics and thicknesses to improve chart readability and help users quickly identify key levels.

⚡ Disclaimer
This is an analytical tool, not financial advice. Use with appropriate risk management and as part of a broader trading strategy.
Past positive results this indicator achieved do NOT guarantee future success !!

Per TradingView rules:
The logic is described sufficiently so that traders understand what it does and how it works.
This is not a simple mashup, but an original framework applying structured logic to Bitcoin macro trading.

This is a COMPLEMENTARY tool designed for use by my existing clients who are already familiar with my trading strategy and risk management approach. If you are not one of my clients or do not know my trading strategy, please do NOT request access or attempt to purchase it !!

⚡ Conformance
This description is written to comply with TradingView’s script publishing rules (tradingview.com/pine-script-docs/en/v5/writing/Publishing.html), as per recent moderator feedback.
If further clarification is required, I welcome additional feedback.