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USD Liquidity Regime for BTC Perps (Dual) V1

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USD Liquidity Regime for BTC Perps (Dual)

This intents to be a BTC Perps USD Liquidity Regime macro indicator.

As it names states it is designed for BTCUSDT perpetual futures traders.

It attempts to tracks USD strength (DXY, UUP, yields, VIX composite) as liquidity proxy:

  • Lower index = weak USD = Risk-On (green background/histogram = long tailwind for BTC).
  • Higher = strong USD = Risk-Off (red = caution longs, shorts favor).


How to use:

Green background/histogram: Favor longs — rallies likely, dips bought.
Red: Caution longs — corrections hurt, short bias possible.
Blue line (index) vs red SMA: Crosses signal regime shifts.
Histogram strength: Bigger bars = stronger bias.

This is not intended as financial advise or trigger signal tool.
This is a work in progress

Its value is limited, if you do not understand any or some of the words above please do not use this indicator. If you did, then you understand you are not supposed to use this alone to make decisions.

Feel free to ask any questions, this is a work in progress.
Feel free to suggest improvements.

Educational macro context tool — not signals/advice.

Ok for avoiding going against the USD trend dominance by following liquidity.

By frank_vergaram
Nota Keluaran
Optimised macro regime indicator for BTCUSDT perpetual futures traders.

Tracks USD liquidity via composite index (DXY 40%, US10Y 30%, VIX 30%):

Lower index = weak USD = Risk-On (green = long tailwind for BTC)
Higher = strong USD = Risk-Off (red = caution longs, short bias)

How to use:

Green background/histogram: Favor longs — rallies likely, dips bought
Red: Caution longs — corrections hurt, short bias possible
Blue line vs red EMA: Crosses signal regime shifts
Histogram strength: Bigger bars = stronger conviction

v2 Optimisations:

Removed UUP (redundant with DXY)
VIX weight tripled (crypto is a pure risk asset)
EMA(14) smoothing for faster response
Adjustable normalisation period (default 100 bars)
Educational macro context tool — use as a filter, not an entry signal.
Best combined with price action/momentum for entry timing.

Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Educational tool only. I am a programmer, not a financial advisor.

Work in progress - feedback welcome!

by frank_vergaram

Penafian

Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak bertujuan, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat atau cadangan kewangan, pelaburan, dagangan atau jenis lain yang diberikan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca lebih dalam Terma Penggunaan.