My Ultimate Reversal Probability Signal (Adaptive)

Adaptive indicator combining RSI, T3, ZigZag, Torben, TDI, POB, and reversal probability (credit to original Author) to identify potential trend reversals with customizable settings.


My Ultimate Reversal Probability Signal (Adaptive)

Overview:

This advanced technical indicator is designed to help traders identify potential trend reversals by combining multiple analytical methods into a single, customizable tool. It integrates adaptive RSI, T3 Moving Average, ZigZag Multi-Scale, Torben Moving Median, Trend Direction Index (TDI), Point of Balance (POB) Oscillator, and a Trend Reversal Probability model. The indicator provides clear visual signals and a detailed table for real-time market analysis, making it suitable for traders of all experience levels.

Key Features:

Adaptive RSI: Dynamically adjusts RSI length based on market volatility, with customizable min/max lengths (5–50).
T3 Moving Average: Smooths price data with adaptive length (5–50) for trend detection.
ZigZag Multi-Scale: Identifies key swing points with adaptive length (3–20) and plots an average line.
Torben Moving Median: Provides robust trend bands using a median-based approach (5–50).
Trend Direction Index (TDI): Assesses future trend direction with adaptive length (3–7) and ADX integration.
Point of Balance (POB) Oscillator: Measures market equilibrium with adaptive length (5–50).
Trend Reversal Probability: Estimates reversal likelihood using a statistical model based on SMA crossovers.
Reversal Zones: Highlights overbought/oversold conditions with RSI-based zones (default: 70/30).
Future Trend Visualization: Projects potential price movements using volume delta analysis.
Comprehensive Table: Displays real-time values for RSI length, T3 length, ZigZag length, Torben length, TDI length, POB length, Delta1, and reversal probability.
Backtesting Metrics: Tracks win rate, profit factor, and total trades within a user-defined date range.
Customizable Settings: Extensive input options for enabling/disabling components, adjusting lengths, and tweaking volatility influence.
How It Works:

The indicator combines multiple signals to generate buy/sell conditions, visualized as upward (▲) or downward (▼) arrows on the chart. Each component (RSI, T3, etc.) can be enabled or disabled via the settings panel, allowing traders to tailor the tool to their strategy. The adaptive lengths adjust dynamically based on market conditions, ensuring relevance across different timeframes and assets. A table in the bottom-left corner provides a snapshot of key metrics, including the newly added Delta1 (volume delta for the first period), enhancing decision-making.

Usage Tips:

Timeframes: Works on any timeframe, but higher timeframes (e.g., 1H, 4H, Daily) may reduce noise.
Assets: Suitable for stocks, forex, cryptocurrencies, and commodities.
Confirmation: Combine with price action or other indicators for stronger signals.
Settings: Adjust RSI overbought/oversold levels (default 70/30) and enable/disable components to match your trading style.
Backtesting: Use the built-in win rate and profit factor metrics to evaluate performance within a custom date range.
Settings:

Main Settings: ATR period (14), RSI length (min 5, max 50, default 14).
Signal Filtering: Enable/disable T3, ZigZag, VolDelta, Torben, TDI, POB, Reversal Probability, and Reversal Zones.
T3 Settings: Adaptive/static length (5–50), volume factor (0.7), volatility influence (0.3).
VolDelta Settings: Adaptive/static length (3–20), volatility influence (0.3).
Torben Settings: Adaptive/static length (5–50), volatility influence (0.3).
Trend Reversal Settings: Adaptive/static length (5–50), SMA periods (5/34).
TDI Settings: Adaptive/static length (3–7), ATR/ADX periods (14), smoothing factor (0.5).
POB Settings: Adaptive/static length (5–50), volatility influence (0.3).
Colors: Customize up/down colors and volatility band display.
Backtest Date Range: Set start/end dates for performance metrics.
Visual Elements:

Plots: T3 line, ZigZag average line, Torben bands, volatility bands, reversal zones.
Shapes: Buy (▲) and sell (▼) signals, T3 crossover markers (🞛).
Boxes: Volume delta-based future trend boxes (drawn on the last bar).
Table: Displays adaptive lengths, Delta1, and reversal probability.
Labels: Optional reversal labels for overbought/oversold conditions.
Intended Audience:

Day traders seeking precise reversal signals.
Swing traders analyzing multi-timeframe trends.
Technical analysts combining multiple indicators.
Beginners learning adaptive indicator mechanics.
Disclaimer:

This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes only. It does not guarantee profits or predict future market movements. Always conduct your own research, use proper risk management, and consider market conditions before trading. The author is not responsible for any financial losses incurred.

Feedback:

I welcome your feedback and suggestions to improve this indicator. Please share your experience in the comments or contact me directly. Happy trading!