Accumulation Stage Identifier and Strategy around for TradingIn the psychology of trading at any market condition, there are four stage usually occurs on any tickers.
Stage 1 -> Neglect phase or consolidation phase
It occurs when the company does not produce the expected result and waiting for next result.
It can extend for days, weeks, months and years. Never give entry at this stage though that blue-chip told to be cheaper in price.
Stage 2 -> Accumulation
It occurs when the company's earning and sales consistently grows.
It can extend for days, weeks, months but should not expect the continues increase in price, as there will be potential pull-back which can be considered as opportunity to accumulate.
If the company fundamental is good, just give some space at the time of pullback.
Most of the time, the pullback volume will be low to compare to volume at the time of increase.
Usually, the stock that is going through accumulation stage will definitely trade above 200SMA and short term MA will be greater than long term moving average.
Continues the highest high and highest low along with volume.
Stage 3 -> Distribution
It occurs when the company's earning and sales stagnated due to certain reason.
It can extend for days, weeks while the price and volume highly volatile.
High volume while the price low
Typically, the stock that is going through distribution stage will certainly trade below 200SMA and short term MA will be lesser than long term moving average.
Continues the lowest high and lowest low along with volume.
Stage 4 -> Capitalization
Price reaches the 52W low while volume spikes on big down.
In each stage, the price & volume are perfect indicator to highlight the situation and the trader with proper discipline and patients can certainly reap the fruitful outcome of accumulation stage.
Based on this explanation, here is the strategy that is created with 50,90 & 200 Simple moving average and price volume trends (PVT) indicator applied on MACD to signal whenever the PVT convergence and divergence.
Note:
As the indicator designed to signal on the ticker that trade above 200 moving average, it is good to use this strategy on companies that are fundamental strong.
Whenever, there is pull back happens, the strategy might signal for exit, however, here comes the traders patient based on the conviction on the particular chosen stocks.
White being patient is good, disciplinary in following the strategy also important. Hence, consider the action when the stock goes opposite direction from your expectation.
Hope this strategy would help you find the profit.
Happy investing.
Accumulation
Trend Identifier StrategyTrend Identifier Strategy for 1D BTC.USD
The indicator smoothens a closely following moving average into a polynomial like plot and assumes 4 staged cycles based on the first and the second derivatives. This is an optimized strategy for long term buying and selling with a Sortino Ratio above 3. It is designed to be a more profitable alternative to HODLing. It can be combined with 'Accumulation/Distribution Bands & Signals' and 'Exponential Top and Bottom Finder'.
Money Flow LineWhat is this? The Money Flow Line (MFL) indicator is at its core a more even-tempered version of the Price-Volume-Trend (PVT). The primary difference is the usage of `hlc3` ((high + low + close) / 3) rather than `close` to use the "typical price" that it critical to the calculation of the Money Flow Index (MFI). Other similar indicators include the Accumulation Distribution Line (ADL) and the On Balance Volume (OBV) indicators. The purpose of all of these indicators is to attempt to measure the strength of the money flow by combining price and volume into a rolling measurement that can be compared over time to look for confirmations and divergences.
The indicator also includes an optional averaging (smoothing) line that can be enabled in the display settings. Enabling this smoothing line with a desired period allows for simpler trend comparisons and also allows the user to view how far the line has diverged from the mean. This creates an indicator very similar to Elder's Force Index (EFI), which is also a `close * volume` style indicator.
Why is this important? After an extreme movement or volume spike the MFI will "snap back" sharply as that bar eventually exits the set period. This produces a result that is meaningless and skews the indicator away from the market structure. Because of this behavior, range clamping, and the loss of comparative history I prefer to shy away from oscillator style indicators. The Money Flow Line instead gives you all of the history so you may compare and see the broader trend without sharp snaps in history based on an arbitrary period setting.
Why is this better? This produces a no-lag indicator that isn't subject to the harsh skewing produced by they Money Flow Index's period calculation. It doesn't lose history like MFI or EFI, is clear about the trend direction, and prefers a "typical price" (averaging the entire range of each bar) rather than whatever happens to be the closing price for a given bar.
How can I use it? The indicator is attempting to measure supply and demand in the markets. No indicator is perfect, but we can use all of the information we have available to make our best predictions. There are only 3 pieces of data the market gives us:
1. Price (action)
2. Volume
3. Time
The Money Flow Line combines all of these data points into a readable rolling data set that attempts to show subtle balance of power shifts based on changes in volume and "smart money" (or "big money") stepping in and out of the picture. Much like PVT, we look for the same things:
- Trend Identification: an up or down trend appears in the MFL
- Confirmations: the MFL agrees with price action in direction and magnitude
- Divergence: the MFL disagrees with price action, indicating a reversal may be coming soon
When applying the smoothing line we can also look for similar things we would with EFI. The primary case would be to look for the MFL to jump very far away from the mean (a high magnitude movement) which indicates that price may be reverting towards the mean soon (a "mean reversion"). On the other hand, it may indicate strength in the current price direction. All of these predictions depend heavily on price action and market structure. Good luck!
Trend IdentifierTrend Identifier for 1D BTC.USD
It smoothens a closely following moving average into a polynomial like plot.
And assumes 4 stage cycles based on the first and second derivatives.
Green: Bull / Exponential Rise
Yellow: Distribution
Red: Bear / Exponential Drop
Blue: Accumulation
Red --> Blue --> Green: indicates the start of a bull market
Green --> Yellow --> Red: indicates the start of a bear market
Green --> Yellow: Start of a distribution phase, take profits
Red --> Blue: Start of a accumulation phase, DCA
Breakout Accumulation/DistributionBasic modification of my SFP Momentum Indicator showing accumulation/distribution patterns based on breakouts above previous anchor points.
Candles are colored based on whether accumulation or distribution was last.
Best if used at HTF then confirmed at LTF.
SFP MomentumCustom swing fail detector with levels and breakouts both major and minor plus colored candles based on SFP momentum.
LebahFX AccDist_CandlesLebahFX Indicator that showing Accumulation and Distribution Signal in HTF Candlestick
Price Moving Average Ratio & PercentileIntroducing the Price Moving Average Ratio & Percentile indicator
A simple indicator which calculates :
The ratio between a chosen source price and a user defined moving average ( PMAR ) or
The percentile of the ratio between the chosen source price and a user defined moving average over an adjustable lookback period ( PMARP )
It then displays either the PMAR or PMARP as a line plot with optional user defined signal moving average.
It also plots an optional Visual Alert Level line and background signal bars.
Indicator Settings
Main Properties :
Source Price .. choice of price values or external value from another indicator ( default )
Line Plot Type .. choice between PMAR or PMARP ( default PMAR )
Price Moving Average Ratio Settings :
PMAR Length ..The time period to be used in calculating the Moving Average for the Price Moving Average Ratio and the PMAR component of the PMARP. ( default )
PMAR Type ..The type of Moving Average which creates the MA for the Price Moving Average Ratio and the PMAR component of the PMARP. ( default )
Price Moving Average Ratio Percentile Settings :
PMARP Lookback .. The lookback period to be used in calculating the Price Moving Average Ratio Percentile.
Line Plot Color Settings :
Gives a choice between a user defined solid color, and a choice of "Blue Green Red", or "Blue Red" spectrum palettes.
Signal Moving Average Settings :
Signal MA Length ..The time period to be used in calculating the Signal Moving Average for the Line Plot ( default )
Signal MA Type ..The type of Moving Average which creates the Signal Moving Average for the Line Plot ( default )
Signal Moving Average Color Settings :
Gives a choice between a user defined solid color, and a choice of "Blue Green Red", or "Blue Red" spectrum palettes.
Visual Alert Level Settings :
Alert level .. Level which activates the background signal bars ( default )
Typical Use case for the Price Moving Average Ratio
Traders and Technical Analysts will typically use the PMAR as an accumulation signal generator.
To do this....
Set a level below 1 where it has been historically profitable to accumulate the asset in question on the chosen timeframe.
Typical Use case for the Price Moving Average Ratio Percentile
Traders and Technical Analysts will look at the PMARP to judge how far away current PA is away from the defined MA based on a statistical measure of the lookback period in a percentile format.
Traders and Technical Analysts will typically use the PMAR as an accumulation signal generator.
To do this...
Set a low level where it has been historically profitable to accumulate the asset in question on the chosen timeframe.
Note : The default settings are specifically set up for use on the daily timeframe with a MA of 140 equating (approximately) to the 20 week moving average.
This is not a stand alone indicator and should be used in combination with volatility and momentum indicators for a more effective trading edge.
Average Dollar VolumeDollar volume is simply the volume traded multiplied times the cost of the stock.
Dollar volume is an extremely important metric for finding stocks with enough liquidity for market makers to position themselves in. Market Liquidity is defined as market's feature whereby an individual or firm can quickly purchase or sell an asset without causing a drastic change in the asset's price. The key concept you want to understand is that these big instructions with billions of dollars need liquidity in a stock in order to even think about buying it, and therefore these institutions will demand a large dollar volume. A good dollar volume amount, that represents a pretty liquid name, is typically above 100 million $ average. Why are institutions important? Simple because they are the ones who make stocks move, and I mean really move. If you want to see large growth from a stock in a short amount of time, you need institutions wielding billions of dollars to be fighting one another to buy more shares. Institutions are the ones who make or break a stock, this is why we call them market makers.
My script calculates average dollar volume using four averages: the 50, the 30, the 20, and the 10 period. I use multiple averages in order to provide the accurate and up to date information to you. It then selects the minimum of these averages and divides this value by 1 million and displays this number to you.
TL;DR? If you want monster moves from your stocks, you need to pick names with average high liquidity(dollar volume >= $100 million). The number presented to you is in millions of whatever currency the name is traded in.
Up/Down Volume RatioUp/Down Volume Ratio is calculated by summing volume on days when it closes up and divide that total by the volume on days when the stock closed down.
High volume up days are typically a sign of accumulation(buying) by big players, while down days are signs of distribution(selling) by big market players. The Up Down volume ratio takes this assumption and turns it into a tangible number that's easier for the trader to understand. My formula is calculated using the past 50 periods, be warned it will not display a value for stocks with under 50 periods of trading history. This indicator is great for identify accumulation of growth stocks early on in their moves, most of the time you would like a growth stocks U/D value to be above 2, showing institutional sponsorship of a stock.
Up/Down Volume value interpretation:
U/D < 1 -> Bearish outlook, as sellers are in control
U/D = 1 -> Sellers and Buyers are equal
U/D > 1 -> Bullish outlook, as buyers are in control
U/D > 2 -> Bullish outlook, significant accumulation underway by market makers
U/D >= 3 -> MONSTER STOCK ALERT, market makers can not get enough of this stock and are ravenous to buy more
U/D values greater than 2 are rare and typically do not last very long, and U/D >= 3 are extremely rare one example I kind find of a stock's U/D peaking above 3 was Google back in 2005.
MAKE SURE TO HIT THE SETTINGS WHEEL AND CHECK THE BOX NEXT TO PLOT IN ORDER TO GET RID OF THE PLOTTED LINE.
Volume Buzz 2.0Volume Buzz/Volume Run Rate as seen on TC2000 and MarketSmith respectively.
Basically, the volume buzz tells you what percentage over average(100 time period moving average) the volume traded was. You can use this indicator to more readily identify above-average trading volume and accumulation days on charts. The percentage will show up in the top left corner, make sure to click the settings button and uncheck the second box(left of plot) in order to get rid of the chart line.
Pictured above, a chart with the volume on the bottom along with the 50-day moving average applied to volume. As you can see in the top left it will tell you the "volume buzz" of that day, telling you what days were on above-average volume and how above-average those days were.
Volume BuzzProvides the volume run rate/buzz rate which measures volume traded compared to the past one hundred days, from marketsmith and tc2000 respectively, in the top corner. Make sure to hide the other plot so you don't have to see it :)
Accumulation and Distribution MomentumThis applies Chande Momentum to Accumulation and Distribution index as a means to changes.
Experimental oscillator.
Compare it to both Money Flows, Acc/Dis and Chande and you notice it has elements of all of them. Could potentially replace other volume based momentum indicators in your strategy.
It is a little more volatile, reaching from side to side, while having a tendency to lean towards the side that gets the most action over a longer period of time.
It also tends to reach and hang in oversold regions BEFORE a pump - something I noticed.
Could be used as an early warning sign as well as for overall trend analysis.
Price Divergence AccumulatePrice divergence is a good indicator to detect a trend change.
But only check the divergence value is not enough, the time range of how long the trend continues also needs to be measured.
This indicator accumulated Price Divergence until it turns from plus to minus or minus to plus.
From this Accumulated Price Divergence
1. The upper-level (long term) trend should be supported by the lower-level (short term) trend.
if the peaks of the lower-level trend become lower and lower, it is indicating the upper-level trend might get an adjustment.
2. At the beginning of the upper-level trend
The 1st lower-level trend peak might exceed the upper-level trend. But often we see it will be corrected and 2nd lower-level trend will be underneath the upper-level trend.
A/D + 21/200EMASimple Accumulation & Distribution indicator with the 21 and 200EMA plotted on it. Might be a useful tool in your arsenal.
Chaikin Oscillator (ADL Oscillator) [UTS]The Chaikin Oscillator is basically an oscillator version of the Accumulation / Distribution Index, also known as ADL Indicator.
General Usage
The indicator runs both above and below zero, made to denote whether an asset is in a bullish (above zero) or bearish (below zero) trend.
It can be used to confirm trends, as well as spot possible trading signals due to divergences.
A benefit of the oscillator version is that it can produce LONG or SHORT signals on zero line cross.
Moving Averages
4 different Moving Averages are available:
EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
SMA (Simple Moving Average)
VWMA (Volume Weighted Moving Average)
WMA (Weighted Moving Average)
ADL - Accumulation Distribution Line [UTS]an underlying asset.
It is determined by the changes in price and volume. The volume acts as a weighting coefficient at the change of price — the higher the coefficient (the volume) is the greater the contribution of the price change (for this period of time) will be in the value of the indicator. The indicator is also known as Accumulation / Distribution Index.
Common known variants of this type of indicator are the On Balance Volume, Chaikin Oscillator or Chaikin Money Flow.
Based on www.metatrader5.com
PriceDivergence (ps4)This script implements price divergence module using signals from several factors like:
RSI, RSI Stochastic, MACD, Volume MA, Accumulation/Distribution, Fisher Transform and CCI
Volume Extension [DepthHouse]DepthHouse Volume Extension uses average calculations to determine the dynamic range which the volume travels through. Any spike above the line represents an over extension in average volume.
The colored bars are then calculated in a similar way, which measures a combination of both price and volume action to determine bull & bear exhaustion levels, and possible entry/exit points for big players.
This indicator is 100% free , so if you benefit from using it, please consider supporting me by checking out the several other indicators available on my page :)
Ichimoku A/D Breakoutthis is basically a clone of the super a/d indicator but we're using a standard ichimoku as the source for the trend instead of the supertrend indicator
Positive Volume IndexHello traders!
This indicator was originally developed by Paul L. Dysart in the 1930s and then described and popularized by Norman G. Fosback in his book "Stock Market Logic: A Sophisticated Approach to Profits on Wall Street"
Like and follow for more cool indicators!
Happy Trading!
Supertrend A/D BreakoutModified Hoffman A/D:
1. uses standard supertrend to determine up/down direction (previous version used ema crossover)
2. uses improved A/D candlestick patterns
I'm optimistic about this one
