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ALPHA: VolumePLEASE READ THE ENTIRE POST BEFORE PURCHASING & USING THE ALPHA: Volume INDICATOR. Saves you and me some time in emails and messages. :) Volume is the only true predictive method for an assets movement.  Most of my followers know I am volume-obsessed, volume precedes price and identifying major spikes in volume prior to an assets movement is one of the most valuable finds a trader can accomplish. I have spent more time studying volume then any other analysis technique. During this time I have become frustrated time and time again with the inefficiencies our typical volume indicators produce. We have the old bar volume indicator everyone sees on their charts, OBV, CMF, Accumulation/Distribution, MFI etc. etc., the list goes on. I have my favorites that I have written about in past publications, but none provide a real time volume view to my liking. Frustration has led me to create something I truly believe is groundbreaking.... And it wasn't easy, by any means. ALPHA: Volume The ALPHA series is a suite of indicators designed to improve analysis and past analysis techniques. The ALPHA: Volume provides real time volume in addition to identifying major positions and true visibility into where and when positions are being taken. Being able to consistently identify these qualities creates an invaluable edge on the market.  The average buyer of assets are a drop in the bucket in terms of how they impact daily transactions (volume) compared to institutional buyers. The institutional buyers typically buy in large blocks. When institutional buyers get into the market, they cause significant increase in demand. Like any case of supply and demand, when demand increases and supply stays the same, price will increase. When an asset becomes desirable, it is more likely that supply may decrease (as current holders will be less willing to sell) which will cause even more price pressure.  Based on this volume precedes price analysis, it is probably obvious that there is a herd mentality when it comes to the market. When one institution is buying a large block of an asset, other institutions will spot the buying and be motivated to jump in as well. This increases the pressure on the assets price. You and I are small investors so it is important to join the herd and let the supply and demand caused by the institutions carry our investments higher. Introduction It's fairly simple to read, the default settings show an area with breaks view meaning positive and negative values, this is useful for seeing trends, pressure, and measuring divergences. Additionally, there is coloring to keep an eye on. To keep it simple: Blue: Buying Red: Selling Teal: Heavy buying/major positions being taken. Orange: Heavy selling/major positions being taken. Let's get into what ALPHA: Volume does, it has numerous capabilities that I am still discovering, identifying false rallies/sell offs, telegraphing major moves, identifying underwater positions, spotting divergences, bottoms, tops and on and on. One thing to note that it doesn't do is show cumulative volume such as the OBV, this can be useful for identifying rising wedges and similar patterns, I will no longer be using other volume indicators unless I am identifying a pattern that is reliant on cumulative volume.  In this example below, we see heavy selling causing a dip that was then bought up with major positions causing a rally because demand exceeded supply.  The next example shows large positions being taken drying up supply ultimately causing a rally, very well telegraphed. Same scenario but heavy selling weakening demand. Originally, I planned on going on and on with examples, but I am going to keep this simple & short as I don't want to prolong the publishing. This will sell itself as more people discover the quality and accuracy. Still not sold? No worries, I'll be doing all of my volume analysis off of this indicator, so stay tuned for more in depth analysis with it on TradingView and twitter, I am truly excited for this indicator to be used by traders and analysts. Those of you that purchase and use it, (already orders off of my site and I haven't even published this) feel free to tag me in a tweet with a chart if you have questions, there will be times when volume is not making sense and perhaps I can offer insight into what is happening. Conclusion Before I get messages, "But Nick, the volume indicator was wrong here!".... No it wasn't, its not a signal generator, it is measuring real time volume. I cannot fix peoples' faulty positions that the indicator is showing. Volume should never be used independent of price action & other forms of analysis to determine buying or selling patterns. Volume is extremely important as a confirmation for technical indicators and I strongly suggest you use it as such. I will be doing several videos on this over the next couple weeks on my youtube channel showing ways to confirm other indicators with volume. Ichimoku goes great with it btw :). Please note this works on all assets on all time frames, during my volume studies with this indicator I noticed lots of noise depending on the time frame, so I have implemented a feature that automatically adjusts to the correct settings based on what time frame you are on. I added a masking feature to keep my work proprietary that shows 30 and 500 (not true) as the settings in case my formula is ever figured out (doubtful but the capitalist in me that believes it is ok to protect what you work for) If you uncheck "Use Preset Periods" in settings then it will allow you to adjust the periods and peak limit, I don't recommend playing around with the settings as you can disturb the balance I've found. However, the option is there for the analysts that are into experimenting. If you feel the need to adjust some things then peak limit is the only thing I recommend adjusting, it allows you to view higher parameter limits on the volume spike to measure divergences of very large orders, the peak limit doesn't matter so much as long as it indicates the teal or orange, some spikes go as high as 80K in testing. In the end the size is typically irrelevant, but it is there in case you want to measure it or have curiosity.  I want to provide research and discoveries from its users and myself on a regular basis. I will be holding discussions & providing research in my discord server that I run with a team of very talented analysts. The link for that is here: discord.gg This indicator is available for TradingView users on my web site www.thetradingwizard.com for $99, that includes a life time subscription. There is also a monthly subscription option for all three indicators from the ALPHA series. (Please see my published scripts for information on the other two) Both purchase options include updates and support as a user. This will be the end of the ALPHA indicator series for a while, after finally conquering volume I am moving on with the formulas from the ALPHA series to bigger things. Enjoy! Disclaimer  Nothing in this post is to be used or construed as financial advice. The indicator is not a signal-generating indicator and should not be used to trade off of solely. This post is meant as an educational post to explain the functions of the indicator.
Penunjuk Pine Script®
oleh Nick_Core
25
ALPHA: ReversalWhat is a divergence? In the case of strength and momentum indicators, it is when the price deviates from the movement of the oscillator, it can have significant implications for trade management. Divergences in an uptrend occurs when the price makes a higher high but the indicator does not. In a downtrend, divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the indicator does not. When a divergence is spotted, there is a higher probability of a price reversal. Divergences helps the trader recognize and react appropriately to a change in price action. It tells us something is changing and the trader must make a decision, such as tighten the stop-loss or take profit. Seeing divergences increases profitability by alerting the trader to protect profits or open a position. Divergences indicate that something is changing, but it does not automatically mean the trend will reverse. It signals the trader must consider holding, tightening the stop loss, opening a position or take profit. Introduction The Alpha: Reversal is an indicator based off of the Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Momentum indicator. Its sole purpose is to be able to identify divergences when they matter and identify high probability reversal areas. The formula used between the three indicators will be kept proprietary, in addition to the slight changes made on the Stochastic formula. The indicator plots the histogram with a divergence formula within a 14 period look-back on default. Additionally, there is a moving average of the histograms movement to identify the divergences when they matter. Divergences exist on just about every candle, most of the time they are at a minuscule level. Rarely do the price and oscillator movement collude, the question becomes when do these divergences matter? With that in mind I approached the task of finding a reliable reversal model. On default, the indicator has a moving average that measures the past histogram (the formula of the three indicators) movement to identify when a high potential trend shift may happen. Keeping volatility in mind there is a feature called "Fixed Threshold" in settings. Various assets move at different speeds, so the indicator needs the ability to adjust to fit the assets speed. This "Threshold" option does not have a set of rules to use for each asset, the option is there though, so it may be adjusted by the analyst manually if the histogram moving average seems inaccurate due to volatility or lack thereof. In future publications (or possibly indicator updates) I plan on expanding on a fixed set of rules for various assets. This will take considerable time to research and backtest the various values needed for an asset's speed, so for now the default MA can be used until you are comfortable with adjusting the threshold level manually. The look-back period on the histogram and threshold MA can be adjusted to whichever time period you would like. However, the default 14 is typically what is best considering the inputs of the three underlying indicators. Analysis The indicator is actually quite simple to read. When the price spikes blue, there is a high probability of reversal, same goes for red but in the opposite fashion. Now as always, you should use this indicator as an analysis tool and not rely on it by itself. Many times Cryptocurrencies couldn't care less about strength or oversold/overbought and volume explodes out of nowhere, I highly recommend you use price action in addition to Alpha: Exhaustion and Alpha: Volume with this tool. Oh wait, Alpha: Volume is not out yet.... SOON. :) Point is, use proper analysis techniques with this indicator, nothing is perfect. NOTHING. But the Alpha: Reversal is a great tool to use for not only the beginner trader, but the advanced also. There is a ton of ways to use this indicator beyond the high probability reversal areas, I am discovering some really neat patterns within my new formula that I plan on expanding on in future publications, i.e. dead cat bounces and relief candles plus a few more. Conclusion The Alpha: Reversal is a great analysis tool that I now use on all my charts, as time goes on I plan on holding classes for its users on a regular basis to expand on the various techniques that can be implemented in addition to publishing research relevant to its purpose. Access to the indicator can be purchased on my site www.thetradingwizard.com with either a monthly option for this & the Alpha: Exhaustion (), or a lifetime subscription independently. All updates and changes will be done automatically and included for every user. The Alpha series is designed to help you make your analysis easier to comprehend and more accurate, I really think this one will be enjoyed by many for years to come, I have enjoyed designing and using this immensely. As always, please make your own decisions when trading and use proper analysis techniques. Note: The options within the Alpha: Reversal allow the indicator to be used on any timeframe & any asset. As with any indicator, the higher the timeframe, the higher the accuracy. Disclaimer Nothing in this post is to be used or construed as financial advice. This post is meant as an educational post to explain the functions of the indicator.
Penunjuk Pine Script®
oleh Nick_Core
23
Alpha-Sutte ModelThe Alpha-Sutte model is an ongoing project run by Ansari Saleh Ahmar, a lecturer and researcher at Universitas Negeri Makassar in Indonesia, that attempts to make forecasts for time series like how Arima and Holt-Winters models do. Currently Ahmar and his team have conducted research and published papers comparing the efficacy of the Alpha-Sutte and other models, such as Arima and Holt-Winters, on topics ranging from forecasting Turkey's CPI data, Bitcoin prices, Apple's stock prices, primary energy supply of Indonesia, to infant mortality rates in China. The Alpha-Sutte model in comparison to the other two models listed above shows promise in providing a more accurate forecast, and the project has been able to receive some of its funding from organizations such as the US Agency for International Development, which is a part of the US Federal Government, so maybe the project has some actual merit. How it works: In this model there are four values presented at the top of the window. 1) The first value in blue is the value of the Alpha-Sutte model whose purpose is to forecast the price of the current bar. 2) The second value in yellow is an adaptive version of the Alpha-Sutte model that I made. The purpose of the adaptive Alpha-Sutte model is to expand upon the Alpha-Sutte by allowing new information to be introduced, causing the value to change during the current period, hence the adaptiveness of it. 3) The third value in aqua is the moving average of the low% Sutte line which is a predictive line that is based off of the close and low of the current and previous periods. 4) The fourth value in red is the moving average of the high% Sutte line which is a predictive line that is based off of the close and high of the current and previous periods. Trend signals: If low% Sutte (aqua value/line) is greater than high% Sutte (red value/line) then this is a buy signal. If high% Sutte (red value/line) is greater than low% Sutte (aqua value/line) then this is a sell signal. Caveat: Even though this model's purpose is to forecast the future, will it be able to predict periods of large movements? No, of course not, but it will adjust quickly to try to make more accurate forecasts for the next period. This was also a reason why I made an adaptive version of this model to try to reduce some of the discrepancies between the Alpha Sutte and price when there is a large unexpected move. *WARNING before using this I would highly recommend that you look up "Sutte Indicator" online and read some of the papers about this model before you use this , even though this model has shown merit when compared to Arima and Holt-Winter models this is still an ongoing project.* Hopefully this project will actually come to something in the near future as the calculation for this time series predictive model is much easier to calculate and program in pine editor than something like an Arima model. *Also, if you know how to use R language there is a package for the "Alpha-Sutte model".*
Penunjuk Pine Script®
oleh SegaRKO
6
[NG] Indicator - Altcoin Alpha - v1(Created for Client) Alpha (Unique price action of asset) indicator for ALTcoins implementation, taking `BINANCE:BTCUSDT` as the market reference. Can be improved by adding more BTC charts from more sources, so as to get a unified chart of BTC for market representation. Set `alpha period` to a value, wherein you want to see the unique price action of the asset. For short term trend, a value of 24 is good for `1H` charts (1 day), and value of 168 is good for long term trends on `1H` charts (1 week trend). Corresponding values of `beta period` should be `168` (1 week for 1 day alpha) and `720` (1 month for 1 week alpha period). You can set `alpha` and `beta` period as per your requirements. Regards,
Penunjuk Pine Script®
oleh NikhilGuptab4
420_alphaA newer, more polished (aka less buggy), and updated version of the holy grail script I published for silver before. This script is a work in progress (as was the last version) and although I have been trying to refine this script I would still only classify it in the early stages of development; unlike my previous Euro Dollar strength holy grail script which was designed to work with only the EU pair or the XAG spread script that was designed to work only with silver, this script is designed to work with ANY commodity traded in US dollars as this script also utilizes my holy grail basket method to determine the true strength of any commodity in terms of USD.
Strategi Pine Script®
oleh 420snoop
57
[RS][ALPHA]Predictive Range Analysis V0this code is untested use at your own risk... applying timed price change over the square to predict price expansion or contraction of the range, it is not predicting the future price only the range that is possible for the price to be in within a margin of error of possibility, with that said i think its very unlikely for price to fall outside the range, due to virtual constraint applied by the auto corrective/cyclical nature of price action.
Penunjuk Pine Script®
oleh RicardoSantos
21