Jalur dan Saluran
Center and Volume AnalyzerCenter and Volume Analyzer that utilizes the chart's Center of Gravity alongside the Rate of Change with Bollinger Bands with a basis for the midpoint. As always, none of this is investment or financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and research.
SPX EMAs - Bala//@version=5
indicator("SPX EMAs", overlay = true)
// Inputs
ema8 = ta.ema(close, 8)
ema21 = ta.ema(close, 21)
ema50 = ta.ema(close, 50)
ema200 = ta.ema(close, 200)
// Plot EMAs
plot(ema8, "EMA 8", color=color.new(color.green, 0), linewidth=2)
plot(ema21, "EMA 21", color=color.new(color.orange, 0), linewidth=2)
plot(ema50, "EMA 50", color=color.new(color.blue, 0), linewidth=2)
plot(ema200,"EMA 200",color=color.new(color.red, 0), linewidth=2)
Estrategia Trend Following: 52w/26w BreakoutThis is a classic long-term Trend Following strategy, heavily inspired by the Donchian Channel system and the legendary "Turtle Trading" rules. It is designed to capture major market moves (bull runs) while filtering out short-term market noise and volatility.
This script is ideal for investors and swing traders who prefer a "hands-off" approach, looking to catch large trends rather than day-trading small fluctuations.
How it Works:
1. Entry Condition (The Breakout):
52-Week High: The strategy enters a Long position when the price breaks above the highest high of the last 252 trading days (approx. 1 year).
SuperTrend Filter: An additional filter using the SuperTrend indicator ensures that the breakout is supported by positive momentum, helping to reduce false signals during choppy lateral markets.
2. Exit Condition (The Trailing Stop):
26-Week Low: The strategy ignores short-term corrections. It only closes the position if the price closes below the lowest low of the last 126 trading days (approx. 6 months).
This wide stop allows the trade to "breathe" and stay open during significant pullbacks, ensuring you stay in the trend for as long as possible.
Features & Settings:
Customizable Lookback Periods: You can adjust the Entry (default 252 days) and Exit (default 126 days) periods in the settings menu.
Visual Aids:
Blue Line: Represents the 1-Year High (Entry Threshold).
Red Line: Represents the 6-Month Low (Dynamic Stop Loss).
Channel Shading: Visualizes the trading range between the high and low.
Labels: Clearly marks "BUY" and "EXIT" points on the chart.
Recommended Usage:
Timeframe: Daily (1D). This logic is designed for daily candles.
Assets: Works best on assets with strong trending characteristics (e.g., Bitcoin/Crypto, Tech Stocks, Indices like SPX/NDX, and Commodities).
Patience Required: This strategy generates very few signals. It may stay quiet for months and then hold a position for over a year.
Interactive Compound Interest ProjectorThis indicator is an interactive tool designed for long-term investors and analysts who want to compare an asset's performance against a theoretical compound interest growth curve.
Unlike static tools, this script utilizes the Interactive Anchor feature. This allows you to click on any specific point on the chart (e.g., a market bottom, a specific entry date, or a previous all-time high) to serve as the starting point ("Principal") for the projection.
How to use
Add the indicator to your chart.
Important: Because confirm=true is enabled, the script will wait for you to click on the chart. Click on the specific candle you want to use as the "Start Date".
The Yellow Line will appear starting from that candle.
Open the indicator settings to adjust:
Annual Interest Rate: (Default 6.0%).
Project until Year: (Default 2050).
Use this to visualize if an asset is "beating" a standard benchmark (like a 10% S&P500 average or a 4% risk-free rate) from a specific moment in time.
Disclaimer: This tool is for educational and comparative analysis purposes only and does not guarantee future results.
SMC Fib Range Signals [@gyanapravah]SMC Fib Range Signals
This indicator blends Smart Money Concepts (SMC) with a Range Filter Trend System and Fibonacci Retracement & Extensions to generate high-probability automated Buy/Sell signals.
Designed to avoid noise and focus on market structure + trend + price confluence, this tool is ideal for:
1. Intraday traders
2. Swing traders
3. Index & stock traders
4. Crypto & Forex traders
CORE FEATURES
Range Filter Trend Detection
Smooth adaptive filter identifies true trend direction
Visual confirmation:
🟢 Green filter = bullish pressure
🔴 Red filter = bearish pressure
🟡 Yellow filter = neutral
Upper & Lower Bands act as dynamic support/resistance zones
Smart Money Order Blocks (SMC)
Automatically detects important pivot highs & lows
Marks:
OB High → supply / resistance zone
OB Low → demand / support zone
Continuously tracks latest OB levels for live price interaction
Fibonacci Engine
Detects the current swing zone and plots:
Retracement levels
0.236 – 0.382 – 0.500 – 0.618 – 0.786 (editable)
Extension targets
1.272 – 1.618
All levels update dynamically on new market structure and pivots.
SIGNAL ENGINE
This indicator generates signals from three independent confirmation systems:
BUY SIGNALS trigger when:
1. Trend flips bullish (price crosses above the Filter)
2.Bullish trend + price reacts near:
Order Block support
Fibonacci 0.382 / 0.618 levels
Bounce from the Lower Band with trend support
All setups require volume confirmation to filter fake breakouts.
SELL SIGNALS trigger when:
1. Trend flips bearish (price crosses below the Filter)
2. Bearish trend + price reacts near:
Order Block resistance
Fibonacci 0.382 / 0.618 levels
Rejection from the Upper Band with trend support
ALERTS READY
Two built-in alerts:
BUY Alert — fires on bullish signal
SELL Alert — fires on bearish signal
INPUT SETTINGS
Trend Engine
1.Source
2.Sampling Period
3.Range Multiplier
Smart Money
Pivot detection sensitivity (Left / Right bars)
Fibonacci
1.Swing lookback length
2.Editable Fib retracement and extension values
3.Toggle show/hide Fib levels
BEST USE CASE
Works extremely well on:
⏱️ 3M – 15M Intraday scalping
⏱️ 30M – 1H positional entries
⏱️ 4H – D1 swing trading
Tested on:
NIFTY / BANKNIFTY / FINNIFTY
Stocks
Crypto
Forex
DISCLAIMER
This indicator is for educational purposes only.
It does NOT guarantee profits.
Always use:
Proper risk management
Stop-loss rules
Your own confirmation before entering trades.
AUTHOR
Built & shared by @gyanapravah (Odisha, India)
Open-source for learning and community improvement.
Auto Trend Channels OXEThis indicator automatically detects and draws trend channels based on swing highs and lows.
How it works:
It identifies pivot points (swing highs/lows) using your chosen lookback period, then connects consecutive pivots to form channels:
Descending channels connect lower highs (resistance line), with a parallel support line projected from the lowest low between those highs
Ascending channels connect higher lows (support line), with a parallel resistance line projected from the highest high between those lows
Key features:
Channels extend forward so you can see where price might interact with them
Broken channels automatically switch to dashed lines and show "✗" labels
Fill shading helps visualize the channel zone
Info table shows current pivot counts
Trading application:
You'd use this for identifying trend direction and potential reversal zones. Price bouncing off channel boundaries = continuation. Price breaking through = potential trend change or acceleration. The "break detection" highlighting makes it easy to spot when a channel has been invalidated.
The pivot length setting is your main control - higher values find longer-term, more significant channels; lower values catch shorter-term moves.
10% and 23.6% support bandsWhen a share is in momentum and showing lot of strength that relative strength it takes breather at 10% band from new 52 week high and and tends to consolidate at 23.6% from new 52 week high. This forms a higher low and gives opportunity to get in the rally. The volume bars should be taken into consideration as low volume and dry up at the bottom indicate reversal is coming. The stoploss for all entry is 1% below recent base low and entry pont is crossing of weekly high with greater than 20 days volume average.
⚔️ The Scalpel⚔️ THE SCALPEL v2.0
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Surgical-Grade Market Structure Detection System
🔬 WHAT IS THE SCALPEL?
The Scalpel is a precision-engineered market structure analyzer that identifies and tracks critical support and resistance zones with surgical accuracy. Unlike conventional S&R tools that flood your chart with noise, The Scalpel cuts through the clutter to reveal only the most significant price structures.
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⚙️ CORE TECHNOLOGY
▸ Pivot-Based Detection Engine
Advanced pivot analysis calibrated by user-defined precision settings
▸ Tissue Integrity Validation
Filters structures based on candle body-to-range ratios
▸ Dynamic Stress Analysis
Tracks zone interactions and removes exhausted levels automatically
▸ Volatility-Adaptive Zones
Zone width scales with ATR for consistent performance across all markets
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🎨 VISUAL SPECTRUM
💜 STERILE ZONES (Electric Violet)
Fresh, untested structures with maximum potential
🔴 COMPRESSION ZONES (Magenta Fire)
Tested resistance ceilings under selling pressure
🩵 FOUNDATION ZONES (Neon Teal)
Tested support floors with proven buyer interest
✨ PLASMA AURA EFFECT
Multi-layered glow effect for enhanced visibility
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📐 PARAMETERS
🔪 Blade Precision (1-10)
Higher = fewer but sharper pivots detected
🩺 Tissue Integrity % (30-90)
Minimum candle body percentage required
📏 Incision Depth (0.1-2.0 ATR)
Controls zone thickness based on volatility
💉 Stress Threshold (1-10)
Maximum touches before zone invalidation
📐 Projection Range (10-200)
How far zones extend into the future
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💡 HOW TO USE
1. Fresh sterile zones (violet) are your highest-probability setups
2. Watch for price reaction at zone boundaries
3. Tested zones confirm structure but may have diminished strength
4. Zones auto-remove after stress threshold is reached
5. Use projection range to anticipate future tests
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🎯 BEST FOR
✓ Scalping & Day Trading
✓ Swing Trade Entries
✓ Stop Loss Placement
✓ Take Profit Targeting
✓ Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This indicator is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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🏷️ TAGS
support resistance zones SNR pivot points market structure scalping day trading swing trading price action order blocks smart money supply demand technical analysis
Simulated Liquidation Heatmap [QuantAlgo]🟢 Overview
This indicator visualizes where clusters of stop-loss orders and liquidation levels are likely located, displayed as a 'heatmap'. It's based on the concept of market structure liquidity: large groups of stop orders tend to gather around obvious technical levels (like swing highs and lows), and these pools of orders often attract price movement from institutional traders. The indicator uses a fractal-based algorithm to identify these high-probability liquidation zones and displays them as dynamic, color-coded boxes.
The key feature is the thermal color gradient, which indicates the freshness (age) and therefore the relative relevance of the liquidity zone. Hot colors (e.g., Red/Yellow) represent fresh clusters that have just formed, suggesting strong and immediate liquidity interest. Cold colors (e.g., Blue/Purple) represent aged or decaying clusters that are becoming less relevant over time. This visualization allows traders to anticipate potential liquidity sweeps (stop hunts) and understand areas of significant retail and institutional positioning.
🟢 Key Features
1. Liquidity Zone Heatmap
The core function is the identification of swing high and swing low price points using a user-defined Lookback period. These points are where retail traders are statistically most likely to place their stop-loss orders. The indicator simulates the clustering of these orders by drawing a zone (box) around the detected swing point, with the vertical size controlled by the Stop/Liquidation Zone Width (%) setting.
▶ Cluster Lookback: Defines the sensitivity of swing point detection. Lower values detect frequent, minor zones (scalping/intraday); higher values detect major, stronger swing points (swing trading).
▶ Zone Width (%): Sets the percentage range above and below the swing point where stops are simulated to cluster, accounting for slippage and typical stop placement spread.
▶ Liquidity Decay: Zones gradually fade in color intensity and are eventually removed after the user-defined Liquidity Decay Period (Bars), ensuring the heatmap only displays relevant, current liquidity areas.
▶ Round Number Filter: An optional filter that limits the display to liquidity zones occurring only at psychologically significant round numbers (e.g., $100, $1,500.00), which typically attract higher concentrations of orders.
2. Thermal Color Gradient
The heatmap's color is a direct function of the zone's age, providing a visual proxy for immediate relevance.
▶ Freshness: Newly created zones are displayed in the Hot Color (high relevance).
▶ Decay: As bars pass, the zone color transitions along the gradient toward the Cold Color and increased transparency (lower relevance), until it is removed entirely.
▶ Color Schemes: Multiple pre-configured and custom color schemes are available to optimize the visualization for different chart themes and color preferences.
3. Liquidity Heat Thermometer
An optional visual thermometer is displayed on the chart to provide an instant, overall assessment of the current liquidation heat level in the immediate vicinity of the price.
▶ Calculation: The thermometer calculates an aggregate heat score based on the age and proximity of all liquidity zones within a user-defined Zone Detection Range (%) of the current price.
▶ Visual Feedback: A marker (triangle) points to the corresponding level on the thermometer's color gradient (Hot to Cold). A high reading indicates price is close to fresh, dense stop clusters, suggesting high volatility or an imminent liquidity sweep is probable. A low reading indicates price is in a low-density or aged liquidity area.
▶ Customization: The thermometer's resolution, position, and text size are fully customizable for optimal chart placement and readability.
🟢 Practical Applications
▶ Anticipate Sweeps: Prioritize trading in the direction of Hot (fresh) liquidity zones. For example, a hot low-side zone suggests strong sell-side liquidity (stop-losses) is available for large buyers to sweep.
▶ Filter Noise: Use the Round Number Filter to focus only on the highest probability liquidation zones, which are often at clean, psychological price levels.
▶ Validate Entries: Combine the Heat Thermometer with price action analysis. A rising heat level indicates increasing proximity to a major stop cluster, signaling a potential turn or an aggressive market move to sweep those stops.
▶ Risk Management: Understand that price often acts dynamically around these zones. High heat levels imply high risk/reward setups; stops should be placed strategically beyond the defined Liquidation Zone Width.
▶ Multi-Timeframe Context: Higher timeframes (e.g., Daily, 4-Hour) often reveal more significant, major liquidity zones. Use this indicator on lower timeframes (e.g., 5-min, 15-min) for execution, but prioritize zones that align with higher-timeframe structures.
SDFADE nuvolébasic script to signal mean reversions and alert fades when stretched to +/-2.5VWAP Standard Deviation
QUANTLABS Fisher Stream: 5-TF Consensus RibbonMarkets are noisy. A single timeframe often lies. The Fisher Stream cuts through the noise by inspecting 5 sequential timeframes (Default: 5m, 6m, 7m, 8m, 9m) simultaneously to find the "Perfect Flow."
Unlike standard indicators that repaint or lag, this tool looks for Consensus. When the fast, medium, and slow timeframes within the stream all agree, the ribbon glows, and the background flashes, indicating a high-probability "Full Flow" state.
The Ribbon: Plots 5 distinct Fisher Transforms.
Blue Lines: Faster timeframes (leading indicators).
Orange Lines: Slower timeframes (trend confirmation).
Consensus Check:
FULL FLOW (Bull): When all 5 lines are > 0. The background flashes Green.
FULL FLOW (Bear): When all 5 lines are < 0. The background flashes Red.
MIXED (Chop): When the lines disagree. The background remains dark, warning you to stay out.
Dashboard: A heads-up display showing the exact Fisher value for every timeframe in the cluster.
Scalpers: Use the default settings (5m-9m). Enter only when the dashboard says "FULL FLOW" and the candles turn solid Green/Red.
Trend Traders: Change the inputs to higher timeframes (e.g., 15m, 30m, 45m, 1H, 4H) to catch major swing moves.
USD Liquidity / FX Swap + Money Market StressThis indicator shows, in a simple way, how tight or loose USD liquidity is. It combines two things: signs of stress in the FX market (Fed swap lines + dollar strength) and signs from the money market (the difference between repo rates like SOFR/TGCR and the Fed’s IORB rate). All of this is merged into a single blue line: when it rises, liquidity tends to be more abundant; when it falls, there is more stress and the dollar becomes “expensive” to obtain.
You read it like a traffic light:
If the background is red, the indicator is below the lower threshold → liquidity stress, an environment that is more prone to sell-offs and violent moves in risk assets (including crypto).
If the background is green, the indicator is above the upper threshold → more relaxed liquidity, a backdrop that is more favorable for risk rallies to be sustained.
No background color → neutral zone, neither very good nor very bad: you trade according to your usual system.
It is designed as a macro context filter, not as a buy/sell signal. In red, it makes sense to be more defensive with risk and leverage; in green, if your technical system gives a long signal, you have a somewhat more favorable tailwind. It should always be used together with other tools and strict risk management.
Lines Blue OrangeTry this without candles. Can be used with other indicators to help determine the direction.
Quantum Ribbon Lite📊 WHAT IS IT?
Quantum Ribbon Lite is a trend trading indicator built on a 5-layer exponential moving average ribbon system. It analyzes price momentum, volume, and ribbon alignment to generate entry signals with pre-calculated stop loss and take profit levels.
The indicator is designed for traders who want a straightforward approach to trend trading without managing complex configurations.
🔧 HOW IT WORKS
The Ribbon System
The indicator uses 5 pairs of EMAs (10 moving averages total) that create colored "clouds" on your chart:
Blue/Teal ribbons indicate bullish alignment
Red/Pink ribbons indicate bearish alignment
Mixed colors indicate neutral or transitional periods
The ribbon spacing automatically adjusts from a fast EMA (21) to a slow EMA (60), creating layers that show trend strength and direction.
Signal Generation
Signals appear when multiple conditions align:
For LONG signals:
Fast EMAs are above slow EMAs
Price momentum is positive and strong (> 0.5 ATR)
Volume is above average (> 1.1x average)
Ribbon confirms bullish state
Minimum confidence threshold met (filters weak setups)
For SHORT signals:
Fast EMAs are below slow EMAs
Price momentum is negative and strong
Volume is above average
Ribbon confirms bearish state
Minimum confidence threshold met
📈 VISUAL COMPONENTS
Entry Signals
Green "BUY" label = Long entry signal at candle close
Red "SELL" label = Short entry signal at candle close
Signals only trigger on confirmed candle closes (no repainting).
Risk Management Lines
Three lines appear when you have an active position:
White dotted line = Entry price
Red dotted line = Stop loss level
Green dotted line = Take profit target
Performance Dashboard
The stats table shows:
Current position status (In Long/Short or Waiting for signal)
Entry, stop, and target prices when in a trade
Win/loss record
Win rate percentage with color coding
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. Signal Sensitivity (1-10)
Controls the minimum time between signals (cooldown period):
1 = 2 bars between signals (most frequent)
5 = 10 bars between signals (balanced)
10 = 20 bars between signals (most selective)
Lower values generate more signals, higher values filter for better setups.
2. Stop Loss Distance
Determines how stops are calculated using ATR (Average True Range):
Tight = 1.5x ATR from entry
Normal = 2.0x ATR from entry
Wide = 2.5x ATR from entry
ATR adapts to market volatility, so stops are tighter in calm markets and wider in volatile markets.
3. Take Profit Target
Sets your risk-to-reward ratio:
1.5R = Target is 1.5 times your risk
2R = Target is 2 times your risk
3R = Target is 3 times your risk
Example: With a $100 stop distance and 2R setting, your take profit will be $200 away from entry.
4. Show Stats Table
Toggle to show/hide the performance dashboard in the top-right corner.
5. Show Risk Lines
Toggle to show/hide the entry/stop/target lines on the chart.
📋 HOW TO USE
Step 1: Apply to Chart
Add the indicator to your preferred instrument and timeframe (daily recommended).
Step 2: Wait for Signal
A BUY or SELL label will appear on the chart when conditions align.
Step 3: Enter Position
Enter at the close of the signal candle in the indicated direction.
Step 4: Set Risk Parameters Use the displayed lines:
Red line = Your stop loss
Green line = Your take profit
Step 5: Hold Position
Wait for the position to hit either the stop or target. No new signals will appear while you're in a position.
Step 6: Review Results
Check the stats table to track your win rate and adjust settings if needed.
🎯 RISK MANAGEMENT
Stop Loss Calculation
Stops are based on ATR (Average True Range) which measures recent price volatility:
In quiet markets: Stops are placed closer to entry
In volatile markets: Stops are placed further away
This adaptive approach helps prevent stop-hunting while maintaining appropriate risk levels.
Take Profit Calculation
Targets are calculated as a multiple of your stop distance:
If stop is 50 points away and you use 2R, target is 100 points away
Maintains consistent risk-reward ratios across all trades
Required Win Rates To break even after fees:
1.5R requires ~40% win rate
2R requires ~34% win rate
3R requires ~25% win rate
📊 RECOMMENDED USAGE
Timeframes:
Daily charts show strongest performance in testing
4H and 1H timeframes work but may have lower win rates
Lower timeframes generate more signals but reduced quality
Markets:
Works on all instruments: Stocks, Forex, Crypto, Futures, Indices
Best suited for trending markets
May generate false signals in tight ranges or choppy conditions
Jon Secret SauceJon Secret Sauce — Advanced Trend + Momentum Entry Signals
A premium trade-timing engine that combines MA trend confirmation, volatility filters, RSI momentum, and smart volume validation to identify high-probability long & short entries on your preferred timeframe.
Includes auto-managed exits (TP / SL / technical breakdown), professional visuals, and alert notifications so you catch the move and protect profits — without overcrowding your chart.
Yesterday Low LineTraces a red dotted line on the low of yesterdays session for the present graph - and extends into the future
Markov ProjectionThe idea here is to provide mobile S/R through Markov chaining. Definitely not a reversion to the mean trading system, or a trading system of any sort. More like an error bounded future price envelope that dramatically overshoots projected price in the direction it's moving in while just barely failing price bounding in the opposite direction. So in an uptrend, it'll overshoot the top while the bottom pokes out a bit and vice versa. Looks rather pretty. You'll have to adjust transparency settings. Happy hunting.
Bifurcation Early WarningBifurcation Early Warning (BEW) — Chaos Theory Regime Detection
OVERVIEW
The Bifurcation Early Warning indicator applies principles from chaos theory and complex systems research to detect when markets are approaching critical transition points — moments where the current regime is likely to break down and shift to a new state.
Unlike momentum or trend indicators that tell you what is happening, BEW tells you when something is about to change. It provides early warning of regime shifts before they occur, giving traders time to prepare for increased volatility or trend reversals.
THE SCIENCE BEHIND IT
In complex systems (weather, ecosystems, financial markets), major transitions don't happen randomly. Research has identified three universal warning signals that precede critical transitions:
1. Critical Slowing Down
As a system approaches a tipping point, it becomes "sluggish" — small perturbations take longer to decay. In markets, this manifests as rising autocorrelation in returns.
2. Variance Amplification
Short-term volatility begins expanding relative to longer-term baselines as the system destabilizes.
3. Flickering
The system oscillates between two potential states before committing to one — visible as increased crossing of mean levels.
BEW combines all three signals into a single composite score.
COMPONENTS
AR(1) Coefficient — Critical Slowing Down (Blue)
Measures lag-1 autocorrelation of returns over a rolling window.
• Rising toward 1.0: Market becoming "sticky," slow to mean-revert — transition approaching
• Low values (<0.3): Normal mean-reverting behavior, stable regime
Variance Ratio (Purple)
Compares short-term variance to long-term variance.
• Above 1.5: Short-term volatility expanding — energy building before a move
• Near 1.0: Volatility stable, no unusual pressure
Flicker Count (Yellow/Teal)
Counts state changes (crossings of the dynamic mean) within the lookback period.
• High count: Market oscillating between states — indecision before commitment
• Low count: Price firmly in one regime
INTERPRETING THE BEW SCORE
0–50 (STABLE): Normal market conditions. Existing strategies should perform as expected.
50–70 (WARNING): Elevated instability detected. Consider reducing exposure or tightening risk parameters.
70–85 (DANGER): High probability of regime change. Avoid initiating new positions; widen stops on existing ones.
85+ (CRITICAL): Bifurcation likely imminent or in progress. Expect large, potentially unpredictable moves.
HOW TO USE
As a Regime Filter
• BEW < 50: Normal trading conditions — apply your standard strategies
• BEW > 60: Elevated caution — reduce position sizes, avoid mean-reversion plays
• BEW > 80: High alert — consider staying flat or hedging existing positions
As a Preparation Signal
BEW tells you when to pay attention, not which direction. When readings elevate:
• Watch for confirmation from volume, order flow, or other directional indicators
• Prepare for breakout scenarios in either direction
• Adjust take-profit and stop-loss distances for larger moves
For Volatility Adjustment
High BEW periods correlate with larger candles. Use this to:
• Widen stops during elevated readings
• Adjust position sizing inversely to BEW score
• Set more ambitious profit targets when entering during high-BEW breakouts
Divergence Analysis
• Price making new highs/lows while BEW stays low: Trend likely to continue smoothly
• Price consolidating while BEW rises: Breakout incoming — direction uncertain but move will be significant
SETTINGS GUIDE
Core Settings
• Lookback Period: General reference period (default: 50)
• Source: Price source for calculations (default: close)
Critical Slowing Down (AR1)
• AR(1) Calculation Period: Bars used for autocorrelation (default: 100). Higher = smoother, slower.
• AR(1) Warning Threshold: Level at which AR(1) is considered elevated (default: 0.85)
Variance Growth
• Variance Short Period: Fast variance window (default: 20)
• Variance Long Period: Slow variance window (default: 100)
• Variance Ratio Threshold: Level for maximum score contribution (default: 1.5)
Regime Flickering
• Flicker Detection Period: Window for counting state changes (default: 20)
• Flicker Bandwidth: ATR multiplier for state detection — lower = more sensitive (default: 0.5)
• Flicker Count Threshold: Number of crossings for maximum score (default: 4)
TIMEFRAME RECOMMENDATIONS
• 5m–15m: Use shorter periods (AR: 30–50, Var: 10/50). Expect more noise.
• 1H: Balanced performance with default or slightly extended settings (AR: 100, Var: 20/100).
• 4H–Daily: Extend periods further (AR: 100–150, Var: 30/150). Cleaner signals, less frequent.
ALERTS
Three alert conditions are included:
• BEW Warning: Score crosses above 50
• BEW Danger: Score crosses above 70
• BEW Critical: Score crosses above 85
LIMITATIONS
• No directional bias: BEW detects instability, not direction. Combine with trend or momentum indicators.
• Not a timing tool: Elevated readings may persist for several bars before the actual move.
• Parameter sensitive: Optimal settings vary by asset and timeframe. Backtest before live use.
• Leading indicator trade-off: Early warning means some false positives are inevitable.
CREDITS
Inspired by research on early warning signals in complex systems:
• Dakos et al. (2012) — "Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions"
DISCLAIMER
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own analysis and risk management. Use at your own risk.
Quantrader📊 Overview
This custom indicator combines intraday session analysis with multi-timeframe trend confirmation to identify high-probability trading opportunities. It features:
Custom intraday session tracking (GMT+7 timezone)
Multi-level moving average confluence (SMA 20, 100, 200)
Bollinger Bands mean reversion signals
Key intraday reference levels
⚙️ Core Components
1. Custom Intraday Session Tracking
Session Start: 7:00 AM GMT+7 (Vietnamese market open)
Calculates per session:
Intraday High/Low (resets at 7:00 AM daily)
Intraday Midline = (Session High + Session Low) / 2
Pre-Day Center = Previous day's midline (carried forward)
Open Day = First 15-minute candle's open price
2. Trend Analysis Framework
SMA 20 (Short-term momentum)
SMA 100 (Medium-term trend)
SMA 200 (Long-term trend direction)
Bollinger Bands (20-period, 2 standard deviations)
3. Signal Detection Logic
Bullish Mean Reversion Setup:
javascript
Condition 1: Green candle closes ABOVE Upper Bollinger Band
Condition 2: Following candle is ALSO green
→ Triggers: Green highlight + Triangle below bar
Bearish Mean Reversion Setup:
javascript
Condition 1: Red candle closes BELOW Lower Bollinger Band
Condition 2: Following candle is ALSO red
→ Triggers: Red highlight + Triangle above bar
🎯 Visual Elements
Element Color Description
Intraday Midline Blue Real-time session midpoint
Pre-Day Center Yellow Yesterday's midline (reference)
Open Day Purple (dashed) Day's opening price
SMA 20 Red Short-term trend
SMA 100 Green Medium-term trend
SMA 200 Orange Long-term trend
Bollinger Bands Red/Green/Blue Volatility boundaries
Bull Signal Green triangle ↓ Oversold bounce potential
Bear Signal Red triangle ↑ Overbought rejection potential
📈 Trading Applications
1. Trend Confirmation
Bullish Alignment: Price > All SMAs + Above Intraday Midline
Bearish Alignment: Price < All SMAs + Below Intraday Midline
2. Mean Reversion Opportunities
Overbought Scenario: Consecutive green candles above Upper BB → Potential reversal
Oversold Scenario: Consecutive red candles below Lower BB → Potential bounce
3. Intraday Level Trading
Intraday Midline: Dynamic support/resistance
Pre-Day Center: Psychological reference level
Open Day: Key opening price level
⚡ Key Features
Automatic Session Reset: Daily at 7:00 AM GMT+7
Multi-Timeframe Confluence: Combines intraday, daily, and trend analysis
Clean Visual Design: Non-cluttered, focused on key levels
Real-Time Calculation: All levels update with each new candle
🛠️ Recommended Settings
Timeframe: 15-minute to 1-hour charts
Markets: Forex, Indices, Commodities
Best Pairs: EURUSD, XAUUSD, VN30, USDJPY
Trading Style: Swing trading, Day trading
📖 Usage Tips
Trend Trading: Enter in direction of SMA alignment (20 > 100 > 200 for bullish)
Mean Reversion: Use BB signals at key intraday levels (Midline, Pre-Day Center)
Confirmation: Wait for candle close above/below key levels
Risk Management: Place stops beyond opposite intraday extreme
🎨 Customization Options
Users can modify:
Session start time (line 6)
Bollinger Band parameters (length, multiplier)
SMA periods
Color schemes
BTC Price Prediction Model [Global PMI]V2🇺🇸 English Guide
1. Introduction
This indicator was created by GW Capital using Gemini Vibe Coding technology. It leverages advanced AI coding capabilities to reconstruct complex macroeconomic models into actionable trading tools.
2. Credits
Special thanks to the original model author, Marty Kendall. His research into the correlation between Bitcoin's price and macroeconomic factors lays the foundation for this algorithm.
3. Model Principles & Formula
This model calculates the "Fair Value" of Bitcoin based on four key macroeconomic pillars. It assumes that Bitcoin's price is a function of Global Liquidity, Network Security, Risk Appetite, and the Economic Cycle.
💡 Unique Insight: PMI & The 4-Year Cycle
A key distinguishing feature of this model is the hypothesis that Bitcoin's famous "4-Year Halving Cycle" may be intrinsically linked to the Global Business Cycle (PMI), rather than just supply shocks.
Therefore, the model incorporates PMI as a valuation "Amplifier".
Note: Due to TradingView data limitations, US PMI is currently used as the proxy for the global cycle.
The Formula
$$\ln(BTC) = \alpha + (1 + \beta \cdot PMI_{z}) \times $$
Global Liquidity (M2): Sum of M2 supply from US, China, Eurozone, and Japan (converted to USD). Represents the pool of fiat money available to flow into assets.
Network Security (Hashrate): Bitcoin's hashrate, representing the physical security and utility of the network.
Risk Appetite (S&P 500): Used as a proxy for global risk sentiment.
Economic Cycle (PMI Z-Score): US Manufacturing PMI is used to amplify or dampen the valuation based on where we are in the business cycle (Expansion vs. Contraction).
4. How to Use
The indicator plots the Fair Value (White Line) and four sentiment bands based on statistical deviation (Z-Score).
Sentiment Zones
🚨 Extreme Greed (Red Zone): Price > +0.3 StdDev. Historically indicates a market top or overheated sentiment.
⚠️ Greed (Orange Zone): Price > +0.15 StdDev. Bullish momentum is strong but caution is advised.
⚖️ Fair Value (White Line): The theoretical "correct" price based on macro data.
😨 Fear (Teal Zone): Price < -0.15 StdDev. Undervalued territory.
💎 Extreme Fear (Green Zone): Price < -0.3 StdDev. Historically a generational buying opportunity.
Sentiment Score (0-100)
100: Maximum Greed (Top)
50: Fair Value
0: Maximum Fear (Bottom)
5. Usage Recommendations
Timeframe: Daily (1D) or Weekly (1W) ONLY.
Reason: The underlying data sources (M2, PMI) are updated monthly. The S&P 500 and Hashrate are daily. Using this indicator on intraday charts (e.g., 15m, 1h, 4h) adds no value because the fundamental data does not change that fast.
Long-Term View: This is a macro-cycle indicator designed for identifying cycle tops and bottoms over months and years, not for day trading.
6. Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. The model relies on historical correlations which may not hold true in the future. All trading involves risk. GW Capital and the creators assume no responsibility for any trading losses.
7. Support Us ❤️
If you find this indicator useful, please Boost 👍, Comment, and add it to your Favorites! Your support keeps us going.
🇨🇳 中文说明 (Chinese Version)
1. 简介
本指标由 GW Capital 使用 Gemini Vibe Coding 技术制作。利用先进的 AI 编程能力，将复杂的宏观经济模型重构为可执行的交易工具。
2. 致谢
特别感谢模型原作者 Marty Kendall。他对这一算法的研究奠定了基础，揭示了比特币价格与宏观经济因素之间的深层联系。
3. 模型原理与公式
该模型基于四大宏观经济支柱计算比特币的“公允价值”。它假设比特币的价格是全球流动性、网络安全性、风险偏好和经济周期的函数。
💡 独家洞察：PMI 与 4年周期
本模型的一个核心独特之处在于：我们认为比特币著名的“4年减半周期”背后的真正驱动力，可能与全球商业周期 (PMI) 高度同步，而不仅仅是供应减半。
因此，模型特别引入 PMI 作为估值的“放大器” (Amplifier)。
注：由于 TradingView 数据源限制，目前采用历史数据最详尽的美国 PMI 作为全球周期的代理指标。
模型公式
$$\ln(BTC) = \alpha + (1 + \beta \cdot PMI_{z}) \times $$
全球流动性 (M2): 美、中、欧、日四大经济体的 M2 总量（折算为美元）。代表可流入资产的法币资金池。
网络安全性 (Hashrate): 比特币全网算力，代表网络的物理安全性和实用价值。
风险偏好 (S&P 500): 作为全球风险情绪的代理指标。
经济周期 (PMI Z-Score): 美国制造业 PMI 用于根据商业周期（扩张 vs 收缩）来放大或抑制估值。
4. 指标用法
指标会在图表上绘制 公允价值 (白线) 以及基于统计偏差 (Z-Score) 的四条情绪带。
情绪区间
🚨 极度贪婪 (红色区域): 价格 > +0.3 标准差。历史上通常预示市场顶部或情绪过热。
⚠️ 一般贪婪 (橙色区域): 价格 > +0.15 标准差。多头动能强劲，但需谨慎。
⚖️ 公允价值 (白线): 基于宏观数据的理论“正确”价格。
😨 一般恐惧 (青色区域): 价格 < -0.15 标准差。进入低估区域。
💎 极度恐惧 (绿色区域): 价格 < -0.3 标准差。历史上通常是代际级别的买入机会。
情绪评分 (0-100)
100: 极度贪婪 (顶部)
50: 公允价值
0: 极度恐惧 (底部)
5. 使用建议
周期: 仅限日线 (1D) 或周线 (1W)。
原因: 底层数据源（M2, PMI）是月度更新的。标普500和算力是日度更新的。在日内图表（如15分钟、1小时、4小时）上使用此指标没有任何意义，因为基本面数据不会变化得那么快。
长期视角: 这是一个宏观周期指标，旨在识别数月甚至数年的周期顶部和底部，而非用于日内交易。
6. 免责声明
本指标仅供教育和参考使用，不构成任何财务建议。该模型依赖于历史相关性，未来可能不再适用。所有交易均涉及风险。GW Capital 及制作者不对任何交易损失承担责任。
