Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion using RSI [Krishna Peri]How it Works
Long entries trigger when:
- RSI reaches oversold levels, and
- At least one bullish candle closes inside the lower Bollinger Band
Short entries trigger when:
- RSI reaches overbought levels, and
- At least one bearish candle closes inside the upper Bollinger Band
This approach aims to capture exhaustion moves where price pushes into extreme deviation from its mean and then snaps back toward the middle band.
Important Disclaimer
This is a mean-reversion strategy, which means it performs best in sideways, ranging, or slowly oscillating market conditions. When markets shift into strong trends, Bollinger Bands expand and volatility increases, which may cause some signals to become inaccurate or fail altogether.
For best results, combine this script with:
- Price action
- Market structure
- Higher-timeframe trend context
- Previous day/week/month highs & lows
- Untested liquidity levels or imbalance zones
- Session timing (Asia, London, NY)
Using these confluences helps filter out low-probability trades and significantly improves consistency and precision.
Bollinger Bands (BB)
Center and Volume AnalyzerCenter and Volume Analyzer that utilizes the chart's Center of Gravity alongside the Rate of Change with Bollinger Bands with a basis for the midpoint. As always, none of this is investment or financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and research.
Oleg_Aryukov_StrategyTrader Oleg Aryukov's strategy, based on a variety of oscillators, allows him to try to catch reversals in cryptocurrencies.
Stochastic + Bollinger Bands Multi-Timeframe StrategyThis strategy fuses the Stochastic Oscillator from the 4-hour timeframe with Bollinger Bands from the 1-hour timeframe, operating on a 10-hour chart to capture a unique volatility rhythm and temporal alignment discovered through observational alpha.
By blending momentum confirmation from the higher timeframe with short-term volatility extremes, the strategy leverages what some traders refer to as “rotating volatility” — a phenomenon where multi-timeframe oscillations sync to reveal hidden trade opportunities.
🧠 Strategy Logic
✅ Long Entry Condition:
Stochastic on the 4H timeframe:
%K crosses above %D
Both %K and %D are below 20 (oversold zone)
Bollinger Bands on the 1H timeframe:
Price crosses above the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a potential reversal
→ A long trade is opened when both momentum recovery and volatility reversion align.
✅ Long Exit Condition:
Stochastic on the 4H:
%K crosses below %D
Both %K and %D are above 80 (overbought zone)
Bollinger Bands on the 1H:
Price reaches or exceeds the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting exhaustion
→ The long trade is closed when either signal suggests a potential reversal or overextension.
🧬 Temporal Structure & Alpha
This strategy is deployed on a 10-hour chart — a non-standard timeframe that may align more effectively with multi-timeframe mean reversion dynamics.
This subtle adjustment exploits what some traders identify as “temporal drift” — the desynchronization of volatility across timeframes that creates hidden rhythm in price action.
→ For example, Stochastic on 4H (lookback 17) and Bollinger Bands on 1H (lookback 20) may periodically sync around 10H intervals, offering unique alpha windows.
📊 Indicator Components
🔹 Stochastic Oscillator (4H, Length 17)
Detects momentum reversals using %K and %D crossovers
Helps define overbought/oversold zones from a mid-term view
🔹 Bollinger Bands (1H, Length 20, ±2 StdDev)
Measures price volatility using standard deviation around a moving average
Entry occurs near lower band (support), exits near upper band (resistance)
🔹 Multi-Timeframe Logic
Uses request.security() to safely reference 4H and 1H indicators from a 10H chart
Avoids repainting by using closed higher-timeframe candles only
📈 Visualization
A plot selector input allows toggling between:
Stochastic Plot (%K & %D, with overbought/oversold levels)
Bollinger Bands Plot (Upper, Basis, Lower from 1H data)
This helps users visually confirm entry/exit triggers in real time.
🛠 Customization
Fully configurable Stochastic and BB settings
Timeframes are independently adjustable
Strategy settings like position sizing, slippage, and commission are editable
⚠️ Disclaimer
This strategy is intended for educational and informational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
Market conditions vary, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Always test any trading strategy in a simulated environment and consult a licensed financial advisor before making real-world investment decisions.
BB SPY Mean Reversion Investment StrategySummary
Mean reversion first, continuation second. This strategy targets equities and ETFs on daily timeframes. It waits for price to revert from a Bollinger location with candle and EMA agreement, then manages risk with ATR based exits. Uniqueness comes from two elements working together. One, an adaptive band multiplier driven by volatility of volatility that expands or contracts the envelope as conditions change. Two, a bias memory that re arms the same direction after any stop, target, or time exit until a true opposite signal appears. Add it to a clean chart, use the markers and levels, and select on bar close for conservative alerts. Shapes can move while the bar is open and settle on close.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Currently adapted for SPY, needs to be optimized for other assets
• Timeframes. Daily primary. Other frames are possible but not the default
• Default demo. SPY on daily
• Purpose. Trade mean reversion entries that can chain into a longer swing by splitting holds into ATR or time segments
Originality and usefulness
• Novelty. Adaptive band width from volatility of volatility plus a persistent bias array that keeps the original direction alive across sequential entries until an opposite setup is confirmed
• Failure modes mitigated. False starts in chop are reduced by candle color and EMA location. Missed continuation after a take profit or stop is addressed by the re arm engine. Oversized envelopes during quiet regimes are avoided by the adaptive multiplier
• Testability. Every module has Inputs and visible levels so users can see why a suggestion appears
• Portable yardstick. All risk and targets are expressed in ATR units
Method overview in plain language
The engine measures where price sits relative to Bollinger bands, confirms with candle color and EMA location, requires ADX for shorts(in our case long close since we use it currently as long only), and optionally requires a trend or mean reversion regime using band width percent rank and basis slope. Risk uses ATR for stop, target, and optional breakeven. A small array stores the last confirmed direction. While flat, the engine keeps a pending order in that direction. The array flips only when a true opposite setup appears.
Base measures
• Range basis. True Range smoothed over a user defined ATR Length
• Return basis. Not required
Components
• Bollinger envelope. SMA length and standard deviation multiplier. Entry is based on cross of close through the band with location bias
• Candle and EMA filter. Close relative to open and close relative to EMA align direction
• ADX gate for shorts. Requires minimum trend strength for short trades
• Adaptive multiplier. Band width scales using volatility of volatility so envelopes breathe with conditions
• Regime gate optional. Band width percent rank and basis slope identify trend or mean reversion regimes
• Risk manager. ATR stop, ATR target, optional breakeven, optional time exit
• Bias memory. Array stores last confirmed direction and re arms entries while flat
Fusion rule
Minimum satisfied gates count style. All required gates must be true. Optional gates are controlled in Inputs. Bias memory never overrides an opposite confirmed setup.
Signal rule
• Long setup when close crosses up through the lower band, the bar closes green, and close is above the long EMA
• Short setup when close crosses down through the upper band, the bar closes red, close is below the short EMA, and ADX is above the minimum
• While flat the model keeps a pending order in the stored direction until a true opposite setup appears
• IN LONG or IN SHORT describes states between entry and exit
What you will see on the chart
• Markers for Long and Short setups
• Exit markers from ATR or time rules
• Reference levels for entry, stop, and target
• Bollinger bands and optional adaptive bands
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Signal timeframe. Uses the chart timeframe
• Invert direction optional. Flips long and short
Logic
• BB Length. Typical 10 to 50. Higher smooths more
• BB Mult. Typical 1.0 to 2.5. Higher widens entries
• EMA Length long. Typical 10 to 50
• EMA Length short. Typical 5 to 30
• ADX Minimum for short. Typical 15 to 35
Filters
• Regime Type. none or trend or mean reversion
• Rank Lookback. Typical 100 to 300
• Basis Slope Length and Threshold. Larger values reduce false trends
Risk
• ATR Length. Typical 10 to 21
• ATR Stop Mult. Typical 1.0 to 3.0
• ATR Take Profit Mult. Typical 2.0 to 5.0
• Breakeven Trigger R. Move stop to entry after the chosen multiple
• Time Exit. Minimum bars and extension when profit exceeds a fraction of ATR
Bias and rearm
• Bias flips kept. Array depth
• Keep rearm when flat. Maintain a pending order while flat
UI
• Show markers and levels. Clean defaults
Usage recipes
Alerts update in real time and can change while the bar forms. Select on bar close for conservative workflows.
Properties visible in this publication
• Initial capital 25000
• Base currency USD
• If any higher timeframe calls are enabled, request.security uses lookahead off
• Commission 0.03 percent
• Slippage 3 ticks
• Default order size method Percent of equity with value 5
• Pyramiding 0
• Process orders on close On
• Bar magnifier Off
• Recalculate after order is filled Off
• Calc on every tick Off
Realism and responsible publication
No performance claims. Costs and fills vary by venue. Shapes can move intrabar and settle on close. Strategies use standard candles only.
Honest limitations and failure modes
High impact releases and thin liquidity can break assumptions. Gap heavy symbols may require larger ATR. Very quiet regimes can reduce contrast in the mean reversion signal. If stop and target can both be touched inside one bar, outcome follows the TradingView order model for that bar path.
Regimes with extreme one sided trend and very low volatility can reduce mean reversion edges. Results vary by symbol and venue. Past results never guarantee future outcomes.
Open source reuse and credits
None.
Backtest realism
Costs are realistic for liquid equities. Sizing does not exceed five percent per trade by default. Any departure should be justified by the user.
If you got any questions please le me know
Tristan's Tri-band StrategyTristan's Tri-band Strategy - Confluence Trading System
Strategy Overview:
This strategy combines three powerful technical indicators - RSI, Williams %R, and Bollinger Bands - into a single visual trading system. Instead of cluttering your chart with separate indicator panels, all signals are displayed directly on the price chart using color-coded gradient overlays, making it easy to spot high-probability trade setups at a glance.
How It Works:
The strategy identifies trading opportunities when multiple indicators align (confluence), suggesting strong momentum shifts:
📈 Long Entry Signals:
RSI drops to 30 or below (oversold)
Williams %R reaches -80 to -100 range (oversold)
Price touches or breaks below the lower Bollinger Band
All three conditions must align during your selected trading session
📉 Short Entry Signals:
RSI rises to 70 or above (overbought)
Williams %R reaches 0 to -20 range (overbought)
Price touches or breaks above the upper Bollinger Band
All three conditions must align during your selected trading session
Visual Indicators:
(faint) Green gradients below candles = Bullish oversold conditions (buying opportunity)
(faint) Red/Orange gradients above candles = Bearish overbought conditions (selling opportunity)
Stacked/brighter gradients = Multiple indicators confirming the same signal (higher probability) will stack and show brighter / less faint
Blue Bollinger Bands = Volatility boundaries and mean reversion zones
Exit Strategy:
Long trades exit when price reaches the upper Bollinger Band OR RSI becomes overbought (≥70)
Short trades exit when price reaches the lower Bollinger Band OR RSI becomes oversold (≤30)
Key Features:
✅ Session Filters - Trade only during NY (9:30 AM-4 PM), London (3 AM-11:30 AM), or Asia (7 PM-1 AM EST) sessions
✅ No Repainting - Signals are confirmed on candle close for realistic backtesting and live trading
✅ Customizable Parameters - Adjust RSI levels, BB standard deviations, Williams %R periods, and gradient visibility
✅ Visual Clarity - See all three indicators at once without switching between panels
✅ Built-in Alerts - Get notified when entry and exit conditions are met
How to Use Effectively:
Choose Your Trading Session - For day trading US stocks, enable only the NY session. For forex or 24-hour markets, select the sessions that match your schedule.
Look for Gradient Stacking - The brightest, most visible gradients occur when both RSI and Williams %R signal together. These are your highest-probability setups.
Confirm with Price Action - Wait for the candle to close before entering. The strategy enters on the next bar's open to prevent repainting.
Respect the Bollinger Bands - Entries occur at the outer bands (price extremes), and exits occur at the opposite band or when momentum reverses.
Backtest First - Test the strategy on your preferred instruments and timeframes. Works best on liquid assets with clear trends and mean reversion patterns (stocks, major forex pairs, indices).
Adjust Gradient Visibility - Use the "Gradient Strength" slider (lower = more visible) to make signals stand out on your chart style.
Best Timeframes: 5-minute to 1-hour charts for intraday trading; 4-hour to daily for swing trading (I have also found the 3 hour timeframe to work really well for some stocks / ETFs.)
Best Markets: Liquid instruments with volatility - SPY, QQQ, major stocks, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, major indices
Risk Management: This is a mean reversion strategy that works best in ranging or choppy markets. In strong trends, signals may appear less frequently. Always use proper position sizing and stop losses based on your risk tolerance.
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Note: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This strategy is provided for educational purposes. Always backtest thoroughly and practice proper risk management before live trading.RetryClaude can make mistakes. Please double-check responses. Sonnet 4.5
Bollinger Bands Breakout StrategyHey guys check out this strategy script.
Chart plotting:
I use a classic plot of Bollinger Bands to define a consolidation zone, I also use a separate Trend Filter (SMA).
Logic:
When the price is above the SMA and above the Bollinger Upper Band the strategy goes Long. When the price is below the SMA and below the Bollinger Lower Band the strategy goes Short. Simple.
Exits:
TP and SL are a percentage of the price.
Notes: This simple strategy can be used at any timeframe (I prefer the 15min for day trading). It avoids consolidation, when the price is inside the Bollinger Bands, and has a good success rate. Adjust the Length of the BB to suit your style of trading (Lower numbers=more volatile, Higher numbers=more restrictive). Also you can adjust the Trend Filter SMA, I presonally chose the 50 SMA. Finally the SL/TP can be also adjusted from the input menu.
Test it for yourself!
Have great trades!
Fury by Tetrad Fury by Tetrad
What it is:
A rules-based Bollinger+RSI strategy that fades extremes: it looks for price stretching beyond Bollinger Bands while RSI confirms exhaustion, enters countertrend, then exits at predefined profit multipliers or optional stoploss. “Ultra Glow” visuals are purely cosmetic.
How it works — logic at a glance
Framework: Classic Bollinger Bands (SMA basis; configurable length & multiplier) + RSI (configurable length).
Long entries:
Price closes below the lower band and RSI < Long RSI threshold (default 28.3) → open LONG (subject to your “Market Direction” setting).
Short entries:
Price closes above the upper band and RSI > Short RSI threshold (default 88.4) → open SHORT.
Profit exits (price targets):
Uses simple multipliers of the strategy’s average entry price:
Long exit = `entry × Long Exit Multiplier` (default 1.14).
Short exit = `entry × Short Exit Multiplier` (default 0.915).
Risk controls:
Optional pricebased stoploss (disabled by default) via:
Long stop = `entry × Long Stop Factor` (default 0.73).
Short stop = `entry × Short Stop Factor` (default 1.05).
Directional filter:
“Market Direction” input lets you constrain entries to Market Neutral, Long Only, or Short Only.
Visuals:
“Ultra Glow” draws thin layered bands around upper/basis/lower; these do not affect signals.
> Note: Inputs exist for a timebased stop tracker in code, but this version exits via targets and (optional) price stop only.
Why it’s different / original
Explicit extreme + momentum pairing: Entries require simultaneous band breach and RSI exhaustion, aiming to avoid entries on gardenvariety volatility pokes.
Deterministic exits: Multiplier-based targets keep results auditable and reproducible across datasets and assets.
Minimal, unobtrusive visuals: Thin, layered glow preserves chart readability while communicating regime around the Bollinger structure.
Inputs you can tune
Bollinger: Length (default 205), Multiplier (default 2.2).
RSI: Length (default 23), Long/Short thresholds (28.3 / 88.4).
Targets: Long Exit Mult (1.14), Short Exit Mult (0.915).
Stops (optional): Enable/disable; Long/Short Stop Factors (0.73 / 1.05).
Market Direction: Market Neutral / Long Only / Short Only.
Visuals: Ultra Glow on/off, light bar tint, trade labels on/off.
How to use it
1. Timeframe & assets: Works on any symbol/timeframe; start with liquid majors and 60m–1D to establish baseline behavior, then adapt.
2. Calibrate thresholds:
Narrow/meanreverting markets often tolerate tighter RSI thresholds.
Fast/volatile markets may need wider RSI thresholds and stronger stop factors.
3. Pick realistic targets: The default multipliers are illustrative; tune them to reflect typical mean reversion distance for your instrument/timeframe (e.g., ATRinformed profiling).
4. Risk: If enabling stops, size positions so risk per trade ≤ 1–2% of equity (max 5–10% is a commonly cited upper bound).
5. Mode: Use Long Only or Short Only when your discretionary bias or higher timeframe model favors one side; otherwise Market Neutral.
Recommended publication properties (for backtests that don’t mislead)
When you publish, set your strategy’s Properties to realistic values and keep them consistent with this description:
Initial capital: 10,000 (typical retail baseline).
Commission: ≥ 0.05% (adjust for your venue).
Slippage: ≥ 2–3 ticks (or a conservative pertrade value).
Position sizing: Avoid risking > 5–10% equity per trade; fixedfractional sizing ≤ 10% or fixedcash sizing is recommended.
Dataset / sample size: Prefer symbols/timeframes yielding 100+ trades over the tested period for statistical relevance. If you deviate, say why.
> If you choose different defaults (e.g., capital, commission, slippage, sizing), explain and justify them here, and use the same settings in your publication.
Interpreting results & limitations
This is a countertrend approach; it can struggle in strong trends where band breaches compound.
Parameter sensitivity is real: thresholds and multipliers materially change trade frequency and expectancy.
No predictive claims: Past performance is not indicative of future results. The future is unknowable; treat outputs as decision support, not guarantees.
Suggested validation workflow
Try different assets. (TSLA, AAPL, BTC, SOL, XRP)
Run a walkforward across multiple years and market regimes.
Test several timeframes and multiple instruments. (30m Suggested)
Compare different commission/slippage assumptions.
Inspect distribution of returns, max drawdown, win/loss expectancy, and exposure.
Confirm behavior during trend vs. range segments.
Alerts & automation
This release focuses on chart execution and visualization. If you plan to automate, create alerts at your entry/exit conditions and ensure your broker/venue fills reflect your slippage/fees assumptions.
Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational and research purposes. It is not investment advice. Trading involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. © Tetrad Protocol.
Universal Breakout Strategy [KedArc Quant]Description:
A flexible breakout framework where you can test different logics (Prev Day, Bollinger, Volume, ATR, EMA Trend, RSI Confirm, Candle Confirm, Time Filter) under one system.
Choose your breakout mode, and the strategy will handle entries, exits, and optional risk management (ATR stops, take-profits, daily loss guard, cooldowns).
An on-chart info table shows live mode values (like Prev High/Low, Bollinger levels, RSI, etc.) plus P&L stats for quick analysis.
Use it to compare which breakout style works best on your instrument and timeframe, whether intraday, swing, or positional trading
🔑 Why it’s useful
* Flexibility: Switch between breakout strategies without loading different indicators.
* Clarity: On-chart info table displays current mode, relevant indicator levels, and live strategy P&L stats.
* Testing efficiency: Quickly A/B test different breakout styles under the same backtest environment.
* Transparency: Every trade is rule-based and displayed with entry/exit markers.
🚀 How it helps traders
* Lets you experiment with breakout strategies quickly without loading multiple scripts.
* Helps identify which breakout method fits your instrument & timeframe.
* Gives clear on-chart visual + statistical feedback for confident decision-making.
⚙️ Input Configuration
* Breakout Mode → choose which strategy to test:
* *Prev Day* → breakouts of yesterday’s High/Low.
* *Bollinger* → Upper/Lower BB pierce.
* *Volume* → Breakout confirmed with volume above average.
* *ATR Stop* → Wide range breakout using ATR filter.
* *Time Filter* → Breakouts inside defined session hours.
* *EMA Trend* → Breakouts only in EMA fast > slow alignment.
* *RSI Confirm* → Breakouts with RSI confirmation (e.g. >55 for longs).
* *Candle Confirm* → Breakouts validated by bullish/bearish candle.
* Lookback / ATR / Bollinger inputs → adjust sensitivity.
* Intrabar mode → option to evaluate breakouts using bar highs/lows instead of closes.
* Table options → show/hide info table, show/hide P&L stats, choose corner placement.
📈 Entry & Exit Logic
* Entry → occurs when breakout condition of chosen mode is met.
* Exit → default exits via opposite signals or optional stop/target if enabled.
* Session filter → optional auto-flat at session end.
* P&L management → optional daily loss guard, cooldown between trades, and ATR-based stop/take profit.
❓ FAQ — Choosing the best setup
Q: Which strategy should I use for which chart?
* *Prev Day Breakouts*: Best on indices, FX, and liquid futures with strong daily levels.
* *Bollinger*: Works well in range-bound environments, or crypto pairs with volatility compression.
* *Volume*: Good on equities where breakout strength is tied to volume spikes.
* *ATR Stop*: Suits volatile instruments (commodities, crypto).
* *EMA Trend*: Useful in trending markets (stocks, indices).
* *RSI Confirm*: Adds momentum filter, better for swing trades.
* *Candle Confirm*: Ideal for scalpers needing visual confirmation.
* *Time Filter*: For intraday traders who want signals only in high-liquidity sessions.
Q: What timeframe should I use?
* Intraday traders → 5m to 15m (Time Filter, Candle Confirm).
* Swing traders → 1H to 4H (EMA Trend, RSI Confirm, ATR Stop).
* Position traders → Daily (Prev Day, Bollinger).
* Breakout
A trade entry condition triggered when price crosses above a resistance level (for longs) or below a support level (for shorts).
* Prev Day High/Low
Formula:
Prev High = High of (Day )
Prev Low = Low of (Day )
* Bollinger Bands
Formula:
Basis = SMA(Close, Length)
Upper Band = Basis + (Multiplier × StdDev(Close, Length))
Lower Band = Basis – (Multiplier × StdDev(Close, Length))
* Volume Confirmation
A breakout is only valid if:
Volume > SMA(Volume, Length)
* ATR (Average True Range)
Measures volatility.
Formula:
ATR = SMA(True Range, Length)
where True Range = max(High–Low, |High–Close |, |Low–Close |)
* EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
Weighted moving average giving more weight to recent prices.
Formula:
EMA = (Price × α) + (EMA × (1–α))
with α = 2 / (Length + 1)
* RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Momentum oscillator scaled 0–100.
Formula:
RSI = 100 – (100 / (1 + RS))
where RS = Avg(Gain, Length) ÷ Avg(Loss, Length)
* Candle Confirmation
Bullish candle: Close > Open AND Close > Close
Bearish candle: Close < Open AND Close < Close
Win Rate (%)
Formula:
Win Rate = (Winning Trades ÷ Total Trades) × 100
* Average Trade P&L
Formula:
Avg Trade = Net Profit ÷ Total Trades
📊 Performance Notes
The Universal Breakout Strategy is designed as a framework rather than a single-asset optimized system. Results will vary depending on the chart, timeframe, and asset chosen.
On the current defaults (15-minute, INR-denominated example), the backtest produced 132 trades over the selected period. This provides a statistically sufficient sample size.
Win rate (~35%) is relatively low, but this is balanced by a positive reward-to-risk ratio (~1.8). In practice, a lower win rate with larger wins versus smaller losses is sustainable.
The average P&L per trade is close to breakeven under default settings. This is expected, as the strategy is not tuned for a single symbol but offered as a universal breakout framework.
Commissions (0.1%) and slippage (1 tick) are included in the simulation, ensuring realistic conditions.
Risk management is conservative, with order sizing set at 1 unit per trade. This avoids over-leveraging and keeps exposure well under the 5-10% equity risk guideline.
👉 Traders are encouraged to:
Experiment with inputs such as ATR period, breakout length, or Bollinger parameters.
Test across different timeframes and instruments (equities, futures, forex, crypto) to find optimal setups.
Combine with filters (trend direction, volatility regimes, or volume conditions) for further refinement.
⚠️ Disclaimer This script is provided for educational purposes only.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Trading involves risk, and users should exercise caution and use proper risk management when applying this strategy.
Penguin Volatility State StrategyThe Penguin Volatility State Strategy is a comprehensive technical analysis framework designed to identify the underlying "state" or "regime" of the market. Instead of just providing simple buy or sell signals, its primary goal is to classify the market into one of four distinct states by combining trend, momentum, and volatility analysis.
The core idea is to trade only when these three elements align, focusing on periods of volatility expansion (a "squeeze breakout") that occur in the direction of a confirmed trend and are supported by strong momentum.
Key Components
The strategy is built upon two main engines
The Volatility Engine (Bollinger Bands vs. Keltner Channels)
This engine detects periods of rapidly increasing volatility. It measures the percentage difference (diff) between the upper bands of Bollinger Bands (which are based on standard deviation) and Keltner Channels (based on Average True Range). During a volatility "squeeze," both bands are close. When price breaks out, the Bollinger Band expands much faster than the Keltner Channel, causing the diff value to become positive. A positive diff signals a volatility breakout, which is the moment the strategy becomes active.
The Trend & Momentum Engine (Multi-EMA System)
This engine determines the market's direction and strength. It uses:
A Fast EMA (e.g., 12-period) and a Slow EMA (e.g., 26-period): The crossover of these two moving averages defines the primary, underlying trend (similar to a MACD).
An Ultra-Fast EMA (e.g., 2-period of ohlc4): This is used to measure the immediate, short-term momentum of the price.
The Four Market States
By combining the Trend and Momentum engines, the strategy categorizes the market into four visually distinct states, represented by the chart's background color. This is the most crucial aspect of the system.
💚 Green State: Strong Bullish
The primary trend is UP (Fast EMA > Slow EMA) AND the immediate momentum is STRONG (Price > Fast EMA).
Interpretation: This represents a healthy, robust uptrend where both the underlying trend and short-term price action are aligned. It is considered the safest condition for taking long positions.
❤️ Red State: Strong Bearish
Condition: The primary trend is DOWN (Fast EMA < Slow EMA) AND the immediate momentum is WEAK (Price < Fast EMA).
Interpretation: This represents a strong, confirmed downtrend. It is considered the safest condition for taking short positions.
💛 Yellow State: Weakening Bullish / Pullback
Condition: The primary trend is UP (Fast EMA > Slow EMA) BUT the immediate momentum is WEAK (Price < Fast EMA).
Interpretation: This is a critical warning signal for bulls. While the larger trend is still up, the short-term price action is showing weakness. This could be a minor pullback, a period of consolidation, or the very beginning of a trend reversal. Caution is advised.
💙 Blue State: Weakening Bearish / Relief Rally
Condition: The primary trend is DOWN (Fast EMA < Slow EMA) BUT the immediate momentum is STRONG (Price > Fast EMA).
Interpretation: This signals that a downtrend is losing steam. It often represents a short-covering rally (a "bear market rally") or the first potential sign of a market bottom. Bears should be cautious and consider taking profits.
How the Strategy Functions
The strategy uses these four states as its foundation for making trading decisions. The entry and exit arrows (Long, Short, Close) are generated based on a set of rules that can be customized by the user. For instance, a trader can configure the strategy to
Only take long trades during the Green State.
Require a confirmed volatility breakout (diff > 0) before entering a trade.
Use the "RSI on Diff" indicator to ensure that the breakout is supported by accelerating momentum.
Summary
In essence, the Penguin Volatility State Strategy provides a powerful "dashboard" for viewing the market. It moves beyond simple indicators to offer a contextual understanding of price action. By waiting for the alignment of Trend (the State), Volatility (the Breakout), and Momentum (the Acceleration), it helps traders to identify higher-probability setups and, just as importantly, to know when it is better to stay out of the market.
License / disclaimer
© waranyu.trkm — MIT License. Educational use only; not financial advice.
逆勢布林+RSI策略 for SOL可以直接套用到 SOLUSDT, SOLPERP, 或其他 SOL 合約。
在策略回測介面中選擇 5min 或 15min 看策略表現。
若要調整停利%或 RSI 數值，改變 rsi < 25 與 (shortEntryPrice - close) / shortEntryPrice >= 0.035 即可。
This can be directly applied to SOLUSDT, SOLPERP, or other SOL futures.
In the strategy backtesting interface, select 5-minute or 15-minute periods to view strategy performance.
To adjust the take-profit percentage or RSI value, set RSI < 25 and (shortEntryPrice - close) / shortEntryPrice >= 0.035.
MACD + RSI + EMA + BB + ATR Day Trading StrategyEntry Conditions and Signals
The strategy implements a multi-layered filtering approach to entry conditions, requiring alignment across technical indicators, timeframes, and market conditions .
Long Entry Requirements
Trend Filter: Fast EMA (9) must be above Slow EMA (21), price must be above Fast EMA, and higher timeframe must confirm uptrend
MACD Signal: MACD line crosses above signal line, indicating increasing bullish momentum
RSI Condition: RSI below 70 (not overbought) but above 40 (showing momentum)
Volume & Volatility: Current volume exceeds 1.2x 20-period average and ATR shows sufficient market movement
Time Filter: Trading occurs during optimal hours (9:30-11:30 AM ET) when market volatility is typically highest
Exit Strategies
The strategy employs multiple exit mechanisms to adapt to changing market conditions and protect profits :
Stop Loss Management
Initial Stop: Placed at 2.0x ATR from entry price, adapting to current market volatility
Trailing Stop: 1.5x ATR trailing stop that moves up (for longs) or down (for shorts) as price moves favorably
Time-Based Exits: All positions closed by end of trading day (4:00 PM ET) to avoid overnight risk
Best Practices for Implementation
Settings
Chart Setup: 5-minute timeframe for execution with 15-minute chart for trend confirmation
Session Times: Focus on 9:30-11:30 AM ET trading for highest volatility and opportunity
External Signals Strategy Tester v5External Signals Strategy Tester v5 – User Guide (English)
1. Purpose
This Pine Script strategy is a universal back‑tester that lets you plug in any external buy/sell series (for example, another indicator, webhook feed, or higher‑time‑frame condition) and evaluate a rich set of money‑management rules around it – with a single click on/off workflow for every module.
2. Core Workflow
Feed signals
Buy Signal / Sell Signal inputs accept any series (price, boolean, output of request.security(), etc.).
A crossover above 0 is treated as “signal fired”.
Date filter
Start Date / End Date restricts the test window so you can exclude unwanted history.
Trade engine
Optional Long / Short enable toggles.
Choose whether opposite signals simply close the trade or reverse it (flip direction in one transaction).
Risk modules – all opt‑in via check‑boxes
Classic % block – fixed % Take‑Profit / Stop‑Loss / Break‑Even.
Fibonacci Bollinger Bands (FBB) module
Draws dynamic VWMA/HMA/SMA/EMA/DEMA/TEMA mid‑line with ATR‑scaled Fibonacci envelopes.
Every line can be used for stops, trailing, or multi‑target exits.
Separate LONG and SHORT sub‑modules
Each has its own SL plus three Take‑Profits (TP1‑TP3).
Per TP you set line, position‑percentage to close, and an optional trailing flag.
Executed TP/SLs deactivate themselves so they cannot refire.
Trailing behaviour
If Trail is checked, the selected line is re‑evaluated once per bar; the order is amended via strategy.exit().
3. Inputs Overview
Group Parameter Notes
Trade Settings Enable Long / Enable Short Master switches
Close on Opposite / Reverse Position How to react to a counter‑signal
Risk % Use TP / SL / BE + their % Traditional fixed‑distance management
Fibo Bands FIBO LEVELS ENABLE + visual style/length Turn indicator overlay on/off
FBB LONG SL / TP1‑TP3 Enable, Line, %, Trail Rules applied only while a long is open
FBB SHORT SL / TP1‑TP3 Enable, Line, %, Trail Rules applied only while a short is open
Line choices: Basis, 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.764, 1.0 – long rules use lower bands, short rules use upper bands automatically.
4. Algorithm Details
Position open
On the very first bar after entry, the script checks the direction and activates the corresponding LONG or SHORT module, deactivating the other.
Order management loop (every bar)
FBB Stop‑Loss: placed/updated at chosen band; if trailing, follows the new value.
TP1‑TP3: each active target updates its limit price to the selected band (or holds static if trailing is off).
The classic % block runs in parallel; its exits have priority because they call strategy.close_all().
Exit handling
When any strategy.exit() fires, the script reads exit_id and flips the *_Active flag so that order will not be recreated.
A Stop‑Loss (SL) also disables all remaining TPs for that leg.
5. Typical Use Cases
Scenario Suggested Setup
Scalping longs into VWAP‐reversion Enable LONG TP1 @ 0.382 (30 %), TP2 @ 0.618 (40 %), SL @ 0.236 + trailing
Fade shorts during news spikes Enable SHORT SL @ 1.0 (no trail) and SHORT TP1,2,3 on consecutive lowers with small size‑outs
Classic trend‑follow Use only classic % TP/SL block and disable FBB modules
6. Hints & Tips
Signal quality matters – this script manages exits, it does not generate entries.
Keep TV time zone in mind when picking start/end dates.
For portfolio‑style testing allocate smaller default_qty_value than 100 % or use strategy.percent_of_equity sizing.
You can combine FBB exits with fixed‑% ones for layered management.
7. Limitations / Safety
No pyramiding; the script holds max one position at a time.
All calculations are bar‑close; intra‑bar touches may differ from real‑time execution.
The indicator overlay is optional, so you can run visual‑clean tests by unchecking FIBO LEVELS ENABLE.
Dskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine ProDskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine Pro:
Buckle up for the Dskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine Pro, is a strategy that’s your ultimate edge for conquering futures markets like ES, MES, NQ, and MNQ. This isn’t just another script—it’s a quant-grade powerhouse, crafted with precision to adapt to market regimes, deliver multi-factor signals, and protect your capital with futures-tuned risk management. With its shimmering DAFE visuals, dual dashboards, and glowing watermark, it turns your charts into a cyberpunk command center, making trading as thrilling as it is profitable.
Unlike generic scripts clogging up the space, the Adaptive Regime is a DAFE original, built from the ground up to tackle the chaos of futures trading. It identifies market regimes (Trending, Range, Volatile, Quiet) using ADX, Bollinger Bands, and HTF indicators, then fires trades based on a weighted scoring system that blends candlestick patterns, RSI, MACD, and more. Add in dynamic stops, trailing exits, and a 5% drawdown circuit breaker, and you’ve got a system that’s as safe as it is aggressive. Whether you’re a newbie or a prop desk pro, this strat’s your ticket to outsmarting the markets. Let’s break down every detail and see why it’s a must-have.
Why Traders Need This Strategy
Futures markets are a gauntlet—fast moves, volatility spikes (like the April 28, 2025 NQ 1k-point drop), and institutional traps that punish the unprepared. Meanwhile, platforms are flooded with low-effort scripts that recycle old ideas with zero innovation. The Adaptive Regime stands tall, offering:
Adaptive Intelligence: Detects market regimes (Trending, Range, Volatile, Quiet) to optimize signals, unlike one-size-fits-all scripts.
Multi-Factor Precision: Combines candlestick patterns, MA trends, RSI, MACD, volume, and HTF confirmation for high-probability trades.
Futures-Optimized Risk: Calculates position sizes based on $ risk (default: $300), with ATR or fixed stops/TPs tailored for ES/MES.
Bulletproof Safety: 5% daily drawdown circuit breaker and trailing stops keep your account intact, even in chaos.
DAFE Visual Mastery: Pulsing Bollinger Band fills, dynamic SL/TP lines, and dual dashboards (metrics + position) make signals crystal-clear and charts a work of art.
Original Craftsmanship: A DAFE creation, built with community passion, not a rehashed clone of generic code.
Traders need this because it’s a complete, adaptive system that blends quant smarts, user-friendly design, and DAFE flair. It’s your edge to trade with confidence, cut through market noise, and leave the copycats in the dust.
Strategy Components
1. Market Regime Detection
The strategy’s brain is its ability to classify market conditions into five regimes, ensuring signals match the environment.
How It Works:
Trending (Regime 1): ADX > 20, fast/slow EMA spread > 0.3x ATR, HTF RSI > 50 or MACD bullish (htf_trend_bull/bear).
Range (Regime 2): ADX < 25, price range < 3% of close, no HTF trend.
Volatile (Regime 3): BB width > 1.5x avg, ATR > 1.2x avg, HTF RSI overbought/oversold.
Quiet (Regime 4): BB width < 0.8x avg, ATR < 0.9x avg.
Other (Regime 5): Default for unclear conditions.
Indicators: ADX (14), BB width (20), ATR (14, 50-bar SMA), HTF RSI (14, daily default), HTF MACD (12,26,9).
Why It’s Brilliant:
Regime detection adapts signals to market context, boosting win rates in trending or volatile conditions.
HTF RSI/MACD add a big-picture filter, rare in basic scripts.
Visualized via gradient background (green for Trending, orange for Range, red for Volatile, gray for Quiet, navy for Other).
2. Multi-Factor Signal Scoring
Entries are driven by a weighted scoring system that combines candlestick patterns, trend, momentum, and volume for robust signals.
Candlestick Patterns:
Bullish: Engulfing (0.5), hammer (0.4 in Range, 0.2 else), morning star (0.2), piercing (0.2), double bottom (0.3 in Volatile, 0.15 else). Must be near support (low ≤ 1.01x 20-bar low) with volume spike (>1.5x 20-bar avg).
Bearish: Engulfing (0.5), shooting star (0.4 in Range, 0.2 else), evening star (0.2), dark cloud (0.2), double top (0.3 in Volatile, 0.15 else). Must be near resistance (high ≥ 0.99x 20-bar high) with volume spike.
Logic: Patterns are weighted higher in specific regimes (e.g., hammer in Range, double bottom in Volatile).
Additional Factors:
Trend: Fast EMA (20) > slow EMA (50) + 0.5x ATR (trend_bull, +0.2); opposite for trend_bear.
RSI: RSI (14) < 30 (rsi_bull, +0.15); > 70 (rsi_bear, +0.15).
MACD: MACD line > signal (12,26,9, macd_bull, +0.15); opposite for macd_bear.
Volume: ATR > 1.2x 50-bar avg (vol_expansion, +0.1).
HTF Confirmation: HTF RSI < 70 and MACD bullish (htf_bull_confirm, +0.2); RSI > 30 and MACD bearish (htf_bear_confirm, +0.2).
Scoring:
bull_score = sum of bullish factors; bear_score = sum of bearish. Entry requires score ≥ 1.0.
Example: Bullish engulfing (0.5) + trend_bull (0.2) + rsi_bull (0.15) + htf_bull_confirm (0.2) = 1.05, triggers long.
Why It’s Brilliant:
Multi-factor scoring ensures signals are confirmed by multiple market dynamics, reducing false positives.
Regime-specific weights make patterns more relevant (e.g., hammers shine in Range markets).
HTF confirmation aligns with the big picture, a quant edge over simplistic scripts.
3. Futures-Tuned Risk Management
The risk system is built for futures, calculating position sizes based on $ risk and offering flexible stops/TPs.
Position Sizing:
Logic: Risk per trade (default: $300) ÷ (stop distance in points * point value) = contracts, capped at max_contracts (default: 5). Point value = tick value (e.g., $12.5 for ES) * ticks per point (4) * contract multiplier (1 for ES, 0.1 for MES).
Example: $300 risk, 8-point stop, ES ($50/point) → 0.75 contracts, rounded to 1.
Impact: Precise sizing prevents over-leverage, critical for micro contracts like MES.
Stops and Take-Profits:
Fixed: Default stop = 8 points, TP = 16 points (2:1 reward/risk).
ATR-Based: Stop = 1.5x ATR (default), TP = 3x ATR, enabled via use_atr_for_stops.
Logic: Stops set at swing low/high ± stop distance; TPs at 2x stop distance from entry.
Impact: ATR stops adapt to volatility, while fixed stops suit stable markets.
Trailing Stops:
Logic: Activates at 50% of TP distance. Trails at close ± 1.5x ATR (atr_multiplier). Longs: max(trail_stop_long, close - ATR * 1.5); shorts: min(trail_stop_short, close + ATR * 1.5).
Impact: Locks in profits during trends, a game-changer in volatile sessions.
Circuit Breaker:
Logic: Pauses trading if daily drawdown > 5% (daily_drawdown = (max_equity - equity) / max_equity).
Impact: Protects capital during black swan events (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES slippage).
Why It’s Brilliant:
Futures-specific inputs (tick value, multiplier) make it plug-and-play for ES/MES.
Trailing stops and circuit breaker add pro-level safety, rare in off-the-shelf scripts.
Flexible stops (ATR or fixed) suit different trading styles.
4. Trade Entry and Exit Logic
Entries and exits are precise, driven by bull_score/bear_score and protected by drawdown checks.
Entry Conditions:
Long: bull_score ≥ 1.0, no position (position_size <= 0), drawdown < 5% (not pause_trading). Calculates contracts, sets stop at swing low - stop points, TP at 2x stop distance.
Short: bear_score ≥ 1.0, position_size >= 0, drawdown < 5%. Stop at swing high + stop points, TP at 2x stop distance.
Logic: Tracks entry_regime for PNL arrays. Closes opposite positions before entering.
Exit Conditions:
Stop-Loss/Take-Profit: Hits stop or TP (strategy.exit).
Trailing Stop: Activates at 50% TP, trails by ATR * 1.5.
Emergency Exit: Closes if price breaches stop (close < long_stop_price or close > short_stop_price).
Reset: Clears stop/TP prices when flat (position_size = 0).
Why It’s Brilliant:
Score-based entries ensure multi-factor confirmation, filtering out weak signals.
Trailing stops maximize profits in trends, unlike static exits in basic scripts.
Emergency exits add an extra safety layer, critical for futures volatility.
5. DAFE Visuals
The visuals are pure DAFE magic, blending function with cyberpunk flair to make signals intuitive and charts stunning.
Shimmering Bollinger Band Fill:
Display: BB basis (20, white), upper/lower (green/red, 45% transparent). Fill pulses (30–50 alpha) by regime, with glow (60–95 alpha) near bands (close ≥ 0.995x upper or ≤ 1.005x lower).
Purpose: Highlights volatility and key levels with a futuristic glow.
Visuals make complex regimes and signals instantly clear, even for newbies.
Pulsing effects and regime-specific colors add a DAFE signature, setting it apart from generic scripts.
BB glow emphasizes tradeable levels, enhancing decision-making.
Chart Background (Regime Heatmap):
Green — Trending Market: Strong, sustained price movement in one direction. The market is in a trend phase—momentum follows through.
Orange — Range-Bound: Market is consolidating or moving sideways, with no clear up/down trend. Great for mean reversion setups.
Red — Volatile Regime: High volatility, heightened risk, and larger/faster price swings—trade with caution.
Gray — Quiet/Low Volatility: Market is calm and inactive, with small moves—often poor conditions for most strategies.
Navy — Other/Neutral: Regime is uncertain or mixed; signals may be less reliable.
Bollinger Bands Glow (Dynamic Fill):
Neon Red Glow — Warning!: Price is near or breaking above the upper band; momentum is overstretched, watch for overbought conditions or reversals.
Bright Green Glow — Opportunity!: Price is near or breaking below the lower band; market could be oversold, prime for bounce or reversal.
Trend Green Fill — Trending Regime: Fills between bands with green when the market is trending, showing clear momentum.
Gold/Yellow Fill — Range Regime: Fills with gold/aqua in range conditions, showing the market is sideways/oscillating.
Magenta/Red Fill — Volatility Spike: Fills with vivid magenta/red during highly volatile regimes.
Blue Fill — Neutral/Quiet: A soft blue glow for other or uncertain market states.
Moving Averages:
Display: Blue fast EMA (20), red slow EMA (50), 2px.
Purpose: Shows trend direction, with trend_dir requiring ATR-scaled spread.
Dynamic SL/TP Lines:
Display: Pulsing colors (red SL, green TP for Trending; yellow/orange for Range, etc.), 3px, with pulse_alpha for shimmer.
Purpose: Tracks stops/TPs in real-time, color-coded by regime.
6. Dual Dashboards
Two dashboards deliver real-time insights, making the strat a quant command center.
Bottom-Left Metrics Dashboard (2x13):
Metrics: Mode (Active/Paused), trend (Bullish/Bearish/Neutral), ATR, ATR avg, volume spike (YES/NO), RSI (value + Oversold/Overbought/Neutral), HTF RSI, HTF trend, last signal (Buy/Sell/None), regime, bull score.
Display: Black (29% transparent), purple title, color-coded (green for bullish, red for bearish).
Purpose: Consolidates market context and signal strength.
Top-Right Position Dashboard (2x7):
Metrics: Regime, position side (Long/Short/None), position PNL ($), SL, TP, daily PNL ($).
Display: Black (29% transparent), purple title, color-coded (lime for Long, red for Short).
Purpose: Tracks live trades and profitability.
Why It’s Brilliant:
Dual dashboards cover market context and trade status, a rare feature.
Color-coding and concise metrics guide beginners (e.g., green “Buy” = go).
Real-time PNL and SL/TP visibility empower disciplined trading.
7. Performance Tracking
Logic: Arrays (regime_pnl_long/short, regime_win/loss_long/short) track PNL and win/loss by regime (1–5). Updated on trade close (barstate.isconfirmed).
Purpose: Prepares for future adaptive thresholds (e.g., adjust bull_score min based on regime performance).
Why It’s Brilliant: Lays the groundwork for self-optimizing logic, a quant edge over static scripts.
Key Features
Regime-Adaptive: Optimizes signals for Trending, Range, Volatile, Quiet markets.
Futures-Optimized: Precise sizing for ES/MES with tick-based risk inputs.
Multi-Factor Signals: Candlestick patterns, RSI, MACD, and HTF confirmation for robust entries.
Dynamic Exits: ATR/fixed stops, 2:1 TPs, and trailing stops maximize profits.
Safe and Smart: 5% drawdown breaker and emergency exits protect capital.
DAFE Visuals: Shimmering BB fill, pulsing SL/TP, and dual dashboards.
Backtest-Ready: Fixed qty and tick calc for accurate historical testing.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Load on a 5min ES/MES chart in TradingView.
Configure Inputs: Set instrument (ES/MES), tick value ($12.5/$1.25), multiplier (1/0.1), risk ($300 default). Enable ATR stops for volatility.
Monitor Dashboards: Bottom-left for regime/signals, top-right for position/PNL.
Backtest: Run in strategy tester to compare regimes.
Live Trade: Connect to Tradovate or similar. Watch for slippage (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES issues).
Replay Test: Try April 28, 2025 NQ drop to see regime shifts and stops.
Disclaimer
Trading futures involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtest results may differ from live trading due to slippage, fees, or market conditions. Use this strategy at your own risk, and consult a financial advisor before trading. Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems is not responsible for any losses incurred.
Backtesting:
Frame: 2023-09-20 - 2025-04-29
Slippage: 3
Fee Typical Range (per side, per contract)
CME Exchange $1.14 – $1.20
Clearing $0.10 – $0.30
NFA Regulatory $0.02
Firm/Broker Commis. $0.25 – $0.80 (retail prop)
TOTAL $1.60 – $2.30 per side
Round Turn: (enter+exit) = $3.20 – $4.60 per contract
Final Notes
The Dskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine Pro is more than a strategy—it’s a revolution. Crafted with DAFE’s signature precision, it rises above generic scripts with adaptive regimes, quant-grade signals, and visuals that make trading a thrill. Whether you’re scalping MES or swinging ES, this system empowers you to navigate markets with confidence and style. Join the DAFE crew, light up your charts, and let’s dominate the futures game!
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade smart, trade bold.
Daily Bollinger Band StrategyOverview of the Daily Bollinger Band Strategy
1. Strategy Overview and Features
This strategy is a tool for backtesting a trading method that uses Bollinger Bands. It is *not* a tool for automated trading.
1-1. Main Display Items
The main chart displays the Bollinger Bands and the 200-day moving average.
It also shows the entry and exit points along with the position size (in units of 100 shares).
1-2. Summary of Trading Rules
For long (buy) strategies, the trade enters when the price crosses above the +1σ line of the Bollinger Bands, aiming to ride an upward trend. The position is exited when the price crosses below the middle band.
For short (sell) strategies, the trade enters when the price crosses below the -1σ line of the Bollinger Bands, aiming to ride a downward trend. The position is exited when the price crosses above the middle band.
1-3. Strategic Enhancements
The strategy uses the slope of the 200-day moving average to determine the trend direction and enter trades accordingly. This improves the win rate and payoff ratio.
Additionally, to reduce the probability of ruin, the risk per trade is limited to 1.0% of capital, and position sizing is adjusted using ATR (a volatility indicator).
2. Trading Rules
2-1. Chart Type
Only daily charts are used.
2-2. Indicators Used
(1) Bollinger Bands** (used for entry and exit signals)
- Period: Fixed at 80 days
- Upper and lower bands: Fixed at ±1σ
(2) Moving Average** (used to determine trend direction)
- Period: Fixed at 200 days
- Trend direction is judged based on whether the difference from the previous day is positive (upward) or negative (downward)
2-3. Buy Rules
Setup:
- Price crosses above the +1σ line from below
- Both the middle band and 200-day moving average are upward sloping
Entry:
- Buy at the next day’s market open using a market order
Exit:
- If the price crosses below the middle band, sell at the next day’s open using a market order
2-4. Sell Rules
Setup:
- Price crosses below the -1σ line from above
- Both the middle band and 200-day moving average are downward sloping
Entry:
- Sell at the next day’s market open using a market order
Exit:
- If the price crosses above the middle band, buy back at the next day’s open using a market order
2-5. Risk Management Rules
- Risk per trade: 1.0% of total capital (acceptable loss = capital × 1.0%)
- Position size: Acceptable loss ÷ 2ATR (rounded down to the nearest unit of 100 shares)
2-6. Other Notes
- No brokerage fees
- No pyramiding
- No partial exits
- No reverse positions (no “stop-and-reverse” trades)
3. Strategy Parameters
The following settings can be specified:
3-1. Period Settings
- Start date: Set the start date for the backtest period
- Stop date: Set the end date for the backtest period
3-2. Display of Trend and Signals
- Show trend: When checked, the background color of the bars is light red for an uptrend and light blue for a downtrend
- Show signal: When checked, entry and exit signals are displayed (note: signals are executed at the next day’s open, so there is a one-day lag in the display)
3-3. Capital Management Settings
- Funds: Capital available for trading (in JPY)
- Risk rate: Specify what percentage of the capital to risk per trade
Settings in the “Properties” tab are not used in this strategy.
4. Backtest Results (Example)
Here are the backtest results conducted by the author:
- Target Stocks: All components of the Nikkei 225
- Test Period: January 4, 2000 – December 30, 2024
- Data Points: 12,886
- Win Rate: 33.45%
- Net Profit: ¥82,132,380
- Payoff Ratio: 2.450
- Expected Value: ¥6,373.8
- Risk Rate: 1.0%
- Probability of Ruin: 0.00%
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デイリー・ボリンジャーバンド・ストラテジーの概要
1. ストラテジーの概要と特徴
このストラテジーは、ボリンジャーバンドを使ったトレード手法のバックテストを行うツールです。自動売買を行うツールではありません。
1-1. 主な表示項目
メインチャートにボリンジャーバンドと 200日移動平均線を表示します。
また、エントリーと手仕舞いのタイミングと数量（100株単位）も表示されます。
1-2. トレードルールの概要
買い戦略の場合、ボリンジャーバンドの +1σ 超えでエントリーして上昇トレンドに乗り、ミドルバンドを割ったら決済します。
売り戦略の場合、ボリンジャーバンドの -1σ 割りでエントリーして下降トレンドに乗り、ミドルバンドを上抜けたら決済します。
1-3. ストラテジーの工夫点
200日移動平均線の傾きを見てトレンド方向にエントリーをしています。こうして勝率とペイオフレシオの成績を向上しています。
また、破産確率を抑えるために、リスク資金比率を 1.0% にして、ATR（ボラティリティ指標） を使って注文数を調整しています。
2. 売買ルール
2-1. 使用するチャート
日足チャートに限定します
2-2. 使用する指標
(1) ボリンジャーバンド（仕掛けと手仕舞いのシグナルに使用）
期間は80日に固定
上下バンドは ±1σ に固定
(2) 移動平均線（トレンドの方向を見るために使用）
期間は200日に固定
移動平均の値の前日との差がプラスのとき上向き、マイナスのとき下向きと判断
2-3. 買いのルール
セットアップ：ボリンジャーバンドの +1σ を価格が下から上に交差 かつ ミドルバンドと 200日移動平均線が上向き
仕掛け：翌日の寄り付きに成行で買う
手仕舞い：ボリンジャーバンドのミドルバンドを価格が上から下に交差したら、翌日の寄り付きに成行で売る
2-4. 売りのルール
セットアップ：ボリンジャーバンドの -1σ を価格が上から下に交差 かつ ミドルバンドと 200日移動平均線が下向き
仕掛け：翌日の寄り付きに成行で売る
手仕舞い：ボリンジャーバンドのミドルバンドを価格が下から上に交差したら、翌日の寄り付きに成行で買い戻す
2-5. 資金管理のルール
リスク資金比率：資産の 1.0%（許容損失 = 資産 × 1.0%）
注文数：許容損失 ÷ 2ATR（単元株数未満は切り捨て）
2-6. その他
仲介手数料：なし
ピラミッディング：なし
分割決済：なし
ドテン：しない
3. ストラテジーのパラメーター
次の項目が指定できます。
3-1. 期間の設定
Staer date : バックテストの検証期間の開始日を指定します
Stop date : バックテストの検証期間の終了日を指定します
3-2. トレンドとシグナルの表示
Show trend : チェックを入れると、バーの背景色が、トレンドが上昇のときは薄い赤で、下落のときは薄い青で表示されます
Show signal : チェックを入れると、エントリーと手仕舞いのシグナルを表示します（シグナルの出た翌日の寄り付きに売買をするので表示に1日のずれがあります）
3-3. 資金管理用の設定
Funds : トレード用の資金(円)
Risk rate : 許容損失を資金の何%にするかで指定します
「プロパティタブ」で設定する値は、このストラテジーでは有効ではありません。
4. バックテストの結果（例）
作者がバックテストを実施した結果をお知らせします。
対象銘柄：日経225構成銘柄すべて
対象期間：2000年1月4日～2024年12月30日
データ件数：12,886
勝率：33.45%
純利益：82,132,380
ペイオフレシオ：2.450
期待値：6,373.8
リスク資金比率：1.0%
破産確率：0.00%
BB Breakout + Momentum Squeeze [Strategy]This Strategy is Based on 3 free indicators
- Bollinger Bands Breakout Oscillator: Link
- TTM Squeeze Pro: Link
- Rolling ATR Bands: Link
Bollinger Bands Breakout Oscillator - This tool shows how strong a market trend is by measuring how often prices move outside their normal Bollinger bands range. It helps you see whether prices are strongly moving in one direction or just moving sideways. By looking at how much and how frequently prices push beyond their typical boundaries, you can identify which direction the market is heading over your selected time period.
TM Squeeze Pro - This is a custom version of the TTM Squeeze indicator.
It's designed to help traders spot consolidation phases in the market (when price is coiling or "squeezing") and to catch breakouts early when volatility returns. The logic is based on the relationship between Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels, combined with a momentum oscillator to show direction and strength.
Rolling ATR Bands - This indicator combines volatility bands (ATR) with momentum and trend signals to show where the market might be breaking out, retesting, or trending. It's highly visual and helpful for traders looking to time entries/exits during trending or volatile moves.
Logic Of the Strategy:
We are going to use the Bollinger Bands Breakout to determine the direction of the market. Than check the Volatility of the price by looking at the TTM Squeeze indicator. And use the ATR Bands to determine dynamic Stop Losses and based on the calculate the Take Profit targets and quantity for each position dynamically.
For the Long Setup:
1. We need to see the that Bull Power (Green line of the Bollinger Bands Breakout Oscilator) is crossing the level of 50.
2. Check the presence of volatility (Green dot based on the TTM Squeeze indicator)
For the Short Setup:
1. We need to see the that Bear Power (Red line of the Bollinger Bands Breakout Oscilator) is crossing the level of 50.
2. Check the presence of volatility (Green dot based on the TTM Squeeze indicator)
Stop Loss is determined by the Lower ATR Band (for the Long entry) and Upper ATR Band (For the Short entry)
Take Profit is 1:1.5 risk reward ration, which means if the Stop loss is 1% the TP target will be 1.5%
Move stop Loss to Breakeven: If the price will go in the direction of the trade for at least half of the Risk Reward target then the stop will automatically be adjusted to the entry price. For Example: the Stop Loss is 1%, the price has move at least 0.5% in the direction of your trade and that will move the Stop Loss level to the Entry point.
You can Adjust the parameters for each indicator used in that script and also adjust the Risk and Money management block to see how the PnL will change.
Reversal Trading Bot Strategy[BullByte]Overview :
The indicator Reversal Trading Bot Strategy is crafted to capture potential market reversal points by combining momentum, volatility, and trend alignment filters. It uses a blend of technical indicators to identify both bullish and bearish reversal setups, ensuring that multiple market conditions are met before entering a trade.
Core Components :
Technical Indicators Used :
RSI (Relative Strength Index) :
Purpose : Detects divergence conditions by comparing recent lows/highs in price with the RSI.
Parameter : Length of 8.
Bollinger Bands (BB) :
Purpose : Measures volatility and identifies price levels that are statistically extreme.
Parameter : Length of 20 and a 2-standard deviation multiplier.
ADX (Average Directional Index) & DMI (Directional Movement Index) :
Purpose : Quantifies the strength of the trend. The ADX threshold is set at 20, and additional filters check for the alignment of the directional indicators (DI+ and DI–).
ATR (Average True Range) :
Purpose : Provides a volatility measure used to set stop levels and determine risk through trailing stops.
Volume SMA (Simple Moving Average of Volume ):
Purpose : Helps confirm strength by comparing the current volume against a 20-period average, with an optional filter to ensure volume is at least twice the SMA.
User-Defined Toggle Filters :
Volume Filter : Confirms that the volume is above average (or twice the SMA) before taking trades.
ADX Trend Alignment Filter : Checks that the ADX’s directional indicators support the trade direction.
BB Close Confirmation : Optionally refines the entry by requiring price to be beyond the upper or lower Bollinger Band rather than just above or below.
RSI Divergence Exit : Allows the script to close positions if RSI divergence is detected.
BB Mean Reversion Exit : Closes positions if the price reverts to the Bollinger Bands’ middle line.
Risk/Reward Filter : Ensures that the potential reward is at least twice the risk by comparing the distance to the Bollinger Band with the ATR.
Candle Movement Filter : Optional filter to require a minimum percentage move in the candle to confirm momentum.
ADX Trend Exit : Closes positions if the ADX falls below the threshold and the directional indicators reverse.
Entry Conditions :
Bullish Entry :
RSI Divergence : Checks if the current close is lower than a previous low while the RSI is above the previous low, suggesting bullish divergence.
Bollinger Confirmation : Requires that the price is above the lower (or upper if confirmation is toggled) Bollinger Band.
Volume & Trend Filters : Combines volume condition, ADX strength, and an optional candle momentum condition.
Risk/Reward Check : Validates that the trade meets a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Bearish Entry :
Uses a mirror logic of the bullish entry by checking for bearish divergence, ensuring the price is below the appropriate Bollinger level, and confirming volume, trend strength, candle pattern, and risk/reward criteria.
Trade Execution and Exit Strateg y:
Trade Execution :
Upon meeting the entry conditions, the strategy initiates a long or short position.
Stop Loss & Trailing Stops :
A stop-loss is dynamically set using the ATR value, and trailing stops are implemented as a percentage of the close price.
Exit Conditions :
Additional exit filters can trigger early closures based on RSI divergence, mean reversion (via the middle Bollinger Band), or a weakening trend as signaled by ADX falling below its threshold.
This multi-layered exit strategy is designed to lock in gains or minimize losses if the market begins to reverse unexpectedly.
How the Strategy Works in Different Market Conditions :
Trending Markets :
The ADX filter ensures that trades are only taken when the trend is strong. When the market is trending, the directional movement indicators help confirm the momentum, making the reversal signal more reliable.
Ranging Markets :
In choppy markets, the Bollinger Bands expand and contract, while the RSI divergence can highlight potential turning points. The optional filters can be adjusted to avoid false signals in low-volume or low-volatility conditions.
Volatility Management :
With ATR-based stop-losses and a risk/reward filter, the strategy adapts to current market volatility, ensuring that risk is managed consistently.
Recommendation on using this Strategy with a Trading Bot :
This strategy is well-suited for high-frequency trading (HFT) due to its ability to quickly identify reversal setups and execute trades dynamically with automated stop-loss and trailing exits. By integrating this script with a TradingView webhook-based bot or an API-driven execution system, traders can automate trade entries and exits in real-time, reducing manual execution delays and capitalizing on fast market movements.
Disclaimer :
This script is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should always conduct your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses incurred while using this script.
02 SMC + BB Breakout (Improved)This strategy combines Smart Money Concepts (SMC) with Bollinger Band breakouts to identify potential trading opportunities. SMC focuses on identifying key price levels and market structure shifts, while Bollinger Bands help pinpoint overbought/oversold conditions and potential breakout points. The strategy also incorporates higher timeframe trend confirmation to filter out trades that go against the prevailing trend.
Key Components:
Bollinger Bands:
Calculated using a Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the closing price and a standard deviation multiplier.
The strategy uses the upper and lower bands to identify potential breakout points.
The SMA (basis) acts as a centerline and potential support/resistance level.
The fill between the upper and lower bands can be toggled by the user.
Higher Timeframe Trend Confirmation:
The strategy allows for optional confirmation of the current trend using a higher timeframe (e.g., daily).
It calculates the SMA of the higher timeframe's closing prices.
A bullish trend is confirmed if the higher timeframe's closing price is above its SMA.
This helps filter out trades that go against the prevailing long-term trend.
Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
Order Blocks:
Simplified as recent price clusters, identified by the highest high and lowest low over a specified lookback period.
These levels are considered potential areas of support or resistance.
Liquidity Zones (Swing Highs/Lows):
Identified by recent swing highs and lows, indicating areas where liquidity may be present.
The Swing highs and lows are calculated based on user defined lookback periods.
Market Structure Shift (MSS):
Identifies potential changes in market structure.
A bullish MSS occurs when the closing price breaks above a previous swing high.
A bearish MSS occurs when the closing price breaks below a previous swing low.
The swing high and low values used for the MSS are calculated based on the user defined swing length.
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry:
The closing price crosses above the upper Bollinger Band.
If higher timeframe confirmation is enabled, the higher timeframe trend must be bullish.
A bullish MSS must have occurred.
Short Entry:
The closing price crosses below the lower Bollinger Band.
If higher timeframe confirmation is enabled, the higher timeframe trend must be bearish.
A bearish MSS must have occurred.
Exit Conditions:
Long Exit:
The closing price crosses below the Bollinger Band basis.
Or the Closing price falls below 99% of the order block low.
Short Exit:
The closing price crosses above the Bollinger Band basis.
Or the closing price rises above 101% of the order block high.
Position Sizing:
The strategy calculates the position size based on a fixed percentage (5%) of the strategy's equity.
This helps manage risk by limiting the potential loss per trade.
Visualizations:
Bollinger Bands (upper, lower, and basis) are plotted on the chart.
SMC elements (order blocks, swing highs/lows) are plotted as lines, with user-adjustable visibility.
Entry and exit signals are plotted as shapes on the chart.
The Bollinger band fill opacity is adjustable by the user.
Trading Logic:
The strategy aims to capitalize on Bollinger Band breakouts that are confirmed by SMC signals and higher timeframe trend. It looks for breakouts that align with potential market structure shifts and key price levels (order blocks, swing highs/lows). The higher timeframe filter helps avoid trades that go against the overall trend.
In essence, the strategy attempts to identify high-probability breakout trades by combining momentum (Bollinger Bands) with structural analysis (SMC) and trend confirmation.
Key User-Adjustable Parameters:
Bollinger Bands Length
Standard Deviation Multiplier
Higher Timeframe
Higher Timeframe Confirmation (on/off)
SMC Elements Visibility (on/off)
Order block lookback length.
Swing lookback length.
Bollinger band fill opacity.
This detailed description should provide a comprehensive understanding of the strategy's logic and components.
***DISCLAIMER: This strategy is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use at your own risk. Always perform thorough backtesting and forward testing before using any strategy in live trading.***
Enhanced BarUpDn StrategyEnhanced BarUpDn Strategy
The Enhanced BarUpDn Strategy is a refined price action-based trading approach that identifies market trends and reversals using bar formations. It focuses on detecting bullish and bearish momentum by analyzing consecutive price bars and key support/resistance levels.
Key Features:
✅ Trend Confirmation – Uses a combination of bar patterns and indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI) to confirm momentum shifts.
✅ Entry Signals – A buy signal is triggered when an "Up Bar" (higher high, higher low) follows a bullish setup; a sell signal when a "Down Bar" (lower high, lower low) confirms bearish momentum.
✅ Enhanced Filters – Incorporates volume analysis and additional conditions to reduce false signals.
✅ Stop-Loss & Risk Management – Uses recent swing highs/lows for stop placement and dynamic trailing stops for maximizing gains.
Bollinger Bounce Reversal Strategy – Visual EditionOverview:
The Bollinger Bounce Reversal Strategy – Visual Edition is designed to capture potential reversal moves at price extremes—often termed “bounce points”—by using a combination of technical indicators. The strategy integrates Bollinger Bands, MACD, and volume analysis, and it provides rich on‑chart visual cues to help traders understand its signals and conditions. Additionally, the strategy enforces a maximum of 5 trades per day and uses fixed risk management parameters. This publication is intended for educational purposes and offers a systematic, transparent approach that you can further adjust to fit your market or risk profile.
How It Works:
Bollinger Bands:
A 20‑period simple moving average (SMA) and a user‑defined standard deviation multiplier (default 2.0) are used to calculate the Bollinger Bands.
When the price reaches or crosses these bands (i.e. falls below the lower band or rises above the upper band), it suggests that the price is in an extreme, potentially oversold or overbought, state.
MACD Filter:
The MACD (calculated with standard lengths, e.g. 12, 26, 9) provides momentum information.
For a bullish (long) signal, the MACD line should be above its signal line; for a bearish (short) signal, the MACD line should be below.
Volume Confirmation:
The strategy uses a 20‑period volume moving average to determine if current volume is strong enough to validate a signal.
A signal is confirmed only if the current volume is at or above a specified multiple (by default, 1.0×) of this moving average, ensuring that the move is supported by increased market participation.
Visual Cues:
Bollinger Bands and Fill: The basis (SMA), upper, and lower Bollinger Bands are plotted, and the area between the upper and lower bands is filled with a semi‑transparent color.
Signal Markers: When a long or short signal is generated, corresponding markers (labels) appear on the chart.
Background Coloring: The chart’s background changes color (green for long signals and red for short signals) on the bars where signals occur.
Information Table: An on‑chart table displays key indicator values (MACD, signal line, volume, average volume) and the number of trades executed that day.
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry:
A long trade is triggered when the previous bar’s close is below the lower Bollinger Band and the current bar’s close crosses above it, combined with a bullish MACD condition and strong volume.
Short Entry:
A short trade is triggered when the previous bar’s close is above the upper Bollinger Band and the current bar’s close crosses below it, with a bearish MACD condition and high volume.
Risk Management:
Daily Trade Limit: The strategy restricts trading to no more than 5 trades per day.
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit:
For each position, a stop loss is set at a fixed percentage away from the entry price (typically 2%), and a take profit is set to target a 1:2 risk-reward ratio (typically 4% from the entry price).
Backtesting Setup:
Initial Capital: $10,000
Commission: 0.1% per trade
Slippage: 1 tick per bar
These realistic parameters help ensure that backtesting results reflect the conditions of an average trader.
Disclaimer:
Past performance is not indicative of future results. This strategy is experimental and provided solely for educational purposes. It is essential to backtest extensively and paper trade before any live deployment. All risk management practices are advisory, and you should adjust parameters to suit your own trading style and risk tolerance.
Conclusion:
By combining Bollinger Bands, MACD, and volume analysis, the Bollinger Bounce Reversal Strategy – Visual Edition provides a clear, systematic method to identify potential reversal opportunities at price extremes. The added visual cues help traders quickly interpret signals and assess market conditions, while strict risk management and a daily trade cap help keep trading disciplined. Adjust and refine the settings as needed to better suit your specific market and risk profile.
Sunil BB Blast Heikin Ashi StrategySunil BB Blast Heikin Ashi Strategy
The Sunil BB Blast Heikin Ashi Strategy is a trend-following trading strategy that combines Bollinger Bands with Heikin-Ashi candles for precise market entries and exits. It aims to capitalize on price volatility while ensuring controlled risk through dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels based on a user-defined Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR).
Key Features:
Trading Window:
The strategy operates within a user-defined time window (e.g., from 09:20 to 15:00) to align with market hours or other preferred trading sessions.
Trade Direction:
Users can select between Long Only, Short Only, or Long/Short trade directions, allowing flexibility depending on market conditions.
Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands are used to identify potential breakout or breakdown zones. The strategy enters trades when price breaks through the upper or lower Bollinger Band, indicating a possible trend continuation.
Heikin-Ashi Candles:
Heikin-Ashi candles help smooth price action and filter out market noise. The strategy uses these candles to confirm trend direction and improve entry accuracy.
Risk Management (Risk-to-Reward Ratio):
The strategy automatically adjusts the take-profit (TP) level and stop-loss (SL) based on the selected Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR). This ensures that trades are risk-managed effectively.
Automated Alerts and Webhooks:
The strategy includes automated alerts for trade entries and exits. Users can set up JSON webhooks for external execution or trading automation.
Active Position Tracking:
The strategy tracks whether there is an active position (long or short) and only exits when price hits the pre-defined SL or TP levels.
Exit Conditions:
The strategy exits positions when either the take-profit (TP) or stop-loss (SL) levels are hit, ensuring risk management is adhered to.
Default Settings:
Trading Window:
09:20-15:00
This setting confines the strategy to the specified hours, ensuring trading only occurs during active market hours.
Strategy Direction:
Default: Long/Short
This allows for both long and short trades depending on market conditions. You can select "Long Only" or "Short Only" if you prefer to trade in one direction.
Bollinger Band Length (bbLength):
Default: 19
Length of the moving average used to calculate the Bollinger Bands.
Bollinger Band Multiplier (bbMultiplier):
Default: 2.0
Multiplier used to calculate the upper and lower bands. A higher multiplier increases the width of the bands, leading to fewer but more significant trades.
Take Profit Multiplier (tpMultiplier):
Default: 2.0
Multiplier used to determine the take-profit level based on the calculated stop-loss. This ensures that the profit target aligns with the selected Risk-to-Reward Ratio.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Default: 1.0
The ratio used to calculate the take-profit relative to the stop-loss. A higher RRR means larger profit targets.
Trade Automation (JSON Webhooks):
Allows for integration with external systems for automated execution:
Long Entry JSON: Customizable entry condition for long positions.
Long Exit JSON: Customizable exit condition for long positions.
Short Entry JSON: Customizable entry condition for short positions.
Short Exit JSON: Customizable exit condition for short positions.
Entry Logic:
Long Entry:
The strategy enters a long position when:
The Heikin-Ashi candle shows a bullish trend (green close > open).
The price is above the upper Bollinger Band, signaling a breakout.
The previous candle also closed higher than it opened.
Short Entry:
The strategy enters a short position when:
The Heikin-Ashi candle shows a bearish trend (red close < open).
The price is below the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a breakdown.
The previous candle also closed lower than it opened.
Exit Logic:
Take-Profit (TP):
The take-profit level is calculated as a multiple of the distance between the entry price and the stop-loss level, determined by the selected Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR).
Stop-Loss (SL):
The stop-loss is placed at the opposite Bollinger Band level (lower for long positions, upper for short positions).
Exit Trigger:
The strategy exits a trade when either the take-profit or stop-loss level is hit.
Plotting and Visuals:
The Heikin-Ashi candles are displayed on the chart, with green candles for uptrends and red candles for downtrends.
Bollinger Bands (upper, lower, and basis) are plotted for visual reference.
Entry points for long and short trades are marked with green and red labels below and above bars, respectively.
Strategy Alerts:
Alerts are triggered when:
A long entry condition is met.
A short entry condition is met.
A trade exits (either via take-profit or stop-loss).
These alerts can be used to trigger notifications or webhook events for automated trading systems.
Notes:
The strategy is designed for use on intraday charts but can be applied to any timeframe.
It is highly customizable, allowing for tailored risk management and trading windows.
The Sunil BB Blast Heikin Ashi Strategy combines two powerful technical analysis tools (Bollinger Bands and Heikin-Ashi candles) with strong risk management, making it suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
Feebacks are welcome from the users.
Adaptive Momentum Reversion StrategyThe Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy: An Empirical Approach to Market Behavior
The Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy seeks to capitalize on market price dynamics by combining concepts from momentum and mean reversion theories. This hybrid approach leverages a Rate of Change (ROC) indicator along with Bollinger Bands to identify overbought and oversold conditions, triggering trades based on the crossing of specific thresholds. The strategy aims to detect momentum shifts and exploit price reversions to their mean.
Theoretical Framework
Momentum and Mean Reversion: Momentum trading assumes that assets with a recent history of strong performance will continue in that direction, while mean reversion suggests that assets tend to return to their historical average over time (Fama & French, 1988; Poterba & Summers, 1988). This strategy incorporates elements of both, looking for periods when momentum is either overextended (and likely to revert) or when the asset’s price is temporarily underpriced relative to its historical trend.
Rate of Change (ROC): The ROC is a straightforward momentum indicator that measures the percentage change in price over a specified period (Wilder, 1978). The strategy calculates the ROC over a 2-period window, making it responsive to short-term price changes. By using ROC, the strategy aims to detect price acceleration and deceleration.
Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands are used to identify volatility and potential price extremes, often signaling overbought or oversold conditions. The bands consist of a moving average and two standard deviation bounds that adjust dynamically with price volatility (Bollinger, 2002).
The strategy employs two sets of Bollinger Bands: one for short-term volatility (lower band) and another for longer-term trends (upper band), with different lengths and standard deviation multipliers.
Strategy Construction
Indicator Inputs:
ROC Period: The rate of change is computed over a 2-period window, which provides sensitivity to short-term price fluctuations.
Bollinger Bands:
Lower Band: Calculated with a 18-period length and a standard deviation of 1.7.
Upper Band: Calculated with a 21-period length and a standard deviation of 2.1.
Calculations:
ROC Calculation: The ROC is computed by comparing the current close price to the close price from rocPeriod days ago, expressing it as a percentage.
Bollinger Bands: The strategy calculates both upper and lower Bollinger Bands around the ROC, using a simple moving average as the central basis. The lower Bollinger Band is used as a reference for identifying potential long entry points when the ROC crosses above it, while the upper Bollinger Band serves as a reference for exits, when the ROC crosses below it.
Trading Conditions:
Long Entry: A long position is initiated when the ROC crosses above the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a potential shift from a period of low momentum to an increase in price movement.
Exit Condition: A position is closed when the ROC crosses under the upper Bollinger Band, or when the ROC drops below the lower band again, indicating a reversal or weakening of momentum.
Visual Indicators:
ROC Plot: The ROC is plotted as a line to visualize the momentum direction.
Bollinger Bands: The upper and lower bands, along with their basis (simple moving averages), are plotted to delineate the expected range for the ROC.
Background Color: To enhance decision-making, the strategy colors the background when extreme conditions are detected—green for oversold (ROC below the lower band) and red for overbought (ROC above the upper band), indicating potential reversal zones.
Strategy Performance Considerations
The use of Bollinger Bands in this strategy provides an adaptive framework that adjusts to changing market volatility. When volatility increases, the bands widen, allowing for larger price movements, while during quieter periods, the bands contract, reducing trade signals. This adaptiveness is critical in maintaining strategy effectiveness across different market conditions.
The strategy’s pyramiding setting is disabled (pyramiding=0), ensuring that only one position is taken at a time, which is a conservative risk management approach. Additionally, the strategy includes transaction costs and slippage parameters to account for real-world trading conditions.
Empirical Evidence and Relevance
The combination of momentum and mean reversion has been widely studied and shown to provide profitable opportunities under certain market conditions. Studies such as Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) confirm that momentum strategies tend to work well in trending markets, while mean reversion strategies have been effective during periods of high volatility or after sharp price movements (De Bondt & Thaler, 1985). By integrating both strategies into one system, the Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy may be able to capitalize on both trending and reverting market behavior.
Furthermore, research by Chan (1996) on momentum-based trading systems demonstrates that adaptive strategies, which adjust to changes in market volatility, often outperform static strategies, providing a compelling rationale for the use of Bollinger Bands in this context.
Conclusion
The Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy provides a robust framework for trading based on the dual concepts of momentum and mean reversion. By using ROC in combination with Bollinger Bands, the strategy is capable of identifying overbought and oversold conditions while adapting to changing market conditions. The use of adaptive indicators ensures that the strategy remains flexible and can perform across different market environments, potentially offering a competitive edge for traders who seek to balance risk and reward in their trading approaches.
References
Bollinger, J. (2002). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. McGraw-Hill Professional.
Chan, L. K. C. (1996). Momentum, Mean Reversion, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns. Journal of Finance, 51(5), 1681-1713.
De Bondt, W. F., & Thaler, R. H. (1985). Does the Stock Market Overreact? Journal of Finance, 40(3), 793-805.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1988). Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices. Journal of Political Economy, 96(2), 246-273.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Trend Research.
Forex Pair Yield Momentum This Pine Script strategy leverages yield differentials between the 2-year government bond yields of two countries to trade Forex pairs. Yield spreads are widely regarded as a fundamental driver of currency movements, as highlighted by international finance theories like the Interest Rate Parity (IRP), which suggests that currencies with higher yields tend to appreciate due to increased capital flows:
1. Dynamic Yield Spread Calculation:
• The strategy dynamically calculates the yield spread (yield_a - yield_b) for the chosen Forex pair.
• Example: For GBP/USD, the spread equals US 2Y Yield - UK 2Y Yield.
2. Momentum Analysis via Bollinger Bands:
• Yield momentum is computed as the difference between the current spread and its moving
Bollinger Bands are applied to identify extreme deviations:
• Long Entry: When momentum crosses below the lower band.
• Short Entry: When momentum crosses above the upper band.
3. Reversal Logic:
• An optional checkbox reverses the trading logic, allowing long trades at the upper band and short trades at the lower band, accommodating different market conditions.
4. Trade Management:
• Positions are held for a predefined number of bars (hold_periods), and each trade uses a fixed contract size of 100 with a starting capital of $20,000.
Theoretical Basis:
1. Yield Differentials and Currency Movements:
• Empirical studies, such as Clarida et al. (2009), confirm that interest rate differentials significantly impact exchange rate dynamics, especially in carry trade strategies .
• Higher-yields tend to appreciate against lower-yielding currencies due to speculative flows and demand for higher returns.
2. Bollinger Bands for Momentum:
• Bollinger Bands effectively capture deviations in yield momentum, identifying opportunities where price returns to equilibrium (mean reversion) or extends in trend-following scenarios (momentum breakout).
• As Bollinger (2001) emphasized, this tool adapts to market volatility by dynamically adjusting thresholds .
References:
1. Dornbusch, R. (1976). Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics. Journal of Political Economy.
2. Obstfeld, M., & Rogoff, K. (1996). Foundations of International Macroeconomics.
3. Clarida, R., Davis, J., & Pedersen, N. (2009). Currency Carry Trade Regimes. NBER.
4. Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands.
5. Mendelsohn, L. B. (2006). Forex Trading Using Intermarket Analysis.
