[SHORT ONLY] Consecutive Close>High[1] Mean Reversion Strategy█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "Consecutive Close > High " Mean Reversion Strategy is a contrarian daily trading system for stocks and ETFs. It identifies potential shorting opportunities by counting consecutive days where the closing price exceeds the previous day's high. When this consecutive day count reaches a predetermined threshold, and if the close is below a 200-period EMA (if enabled), a short entry is triggered, anticipating a corrective pullback.
█ HOW ARE THE CONSECUTIVE BULLISH COUNTS CALCULATED?
The strategy uses a counter variable called `bullCount` to track how many consecutive bars meet a bullish condition. Here’s a breakdown of the process:
Initialize the Counter
var int bullCount = 0
Bullish Bar Detection
Every time the close exceeds the previous bar's high, increment the counter:
if close > high
bullCount += 1
Reset on Bearish Bar
When there is a clear bearish reversal, the counter is reset to zero:
if close < low
bullCount := 0
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. SHORT ENTRY
A Short Signal is triggered when:
The count of consecutive bullish closes (where close > high ) reaches or exceeds the defined threshold (default: 3).
The signal occurs within the specified trading window (between Start Time and End Time).
2. EXIT CONDITION
An exit Signal is generated when the current close falls below the previous bar’s low (close < low ), prompting the strategy to exit the position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Threshold: The number of consecutive bullish closes required to trigger a short entry (default is 3).
Start Time and End Time: The time window during which the strategy is allowed to execute trades.
EMA Filter (Optional): When enabled, short entries are only triggered if the current close is below the 200-period EMA.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed for Stocks and ETFs on the Daily timeframe and targets overextended bullish moves.
It aims to capture mean reversion by entering short after a series of consecutive bullish closes.
Further optimization is possible with additional filters (e.g., EMA, volume, or volatility).
Backtesting should be used to fine-tune the threshold and filter settings for specific market conditions.
Candlestick analysis
CBC Strategy with Trend Confirmation & Separate Stop LossCBC Flip Strategy with Trend Confirmation and ATR-Based Targets
This strategy is based on the CBC Flip concept taught by MapleStax and inspired by the original CBC Flip indicator by AsiaRoo. It focuses on identifying potential reversals or trend continuation points using a combination of candlestick patterns (CBC Flips), trend filters, and a time-based entry window. This approach helps traders avoid false signals and increase trade accuracy.
What is a CBC Flip?
The CBC Flip is a candlestick-based pattern that identifies moments when the market is likely to change direction or strengthen its trend. It checks for a shift in price behavior between consecutive candles, signaling a bullish (upward) or bearish (downward) move.
However, not all flips are created equal! This strategy differentiates between Strong Flips and All Flips, allowing traders to choose between a more conservative or aggressive approach.
Strong Flips vs. All Flips
Strong Flips
A Strong Flip is a high-probability setup that occurs only after liquidity is swept from the previous candle’s high or low.
What is a liquidity sweep? This happens when the price briefly moves beyond the high or low of the previous candle, triggering stop-losses and trapping traders in the wrong direction. These sweeps often create fuel for the next move, making them powerful reversal signals.
Examples:
Long Setup: The price dips below the previous candle’s low (sweeping liquidity) and then closes higher, signaling a potential bullish move.
Short Setup: The price moves above the previous candle’s high and then closes lower, signaling a potential bearish move.
Why Use Strong Flips?
They provide fewer signals, but the accuracy is generally higher.
Ideal for trending markets where liquidity sweeps often mark key turning points.
All Flips
All Flips are less selective, offering both Strong Flips and additional signals without requiring a liquidity sweep.
This approach gives traders more frequent opportunities but comes with a higher risk of false signals, especially in sideways markets.
Examples:
Long Setup: A CBC flip occurs without sweeping the previous low, but the trend direction is confirmed (slow EMA is still above VWAP).
Short Setup: A CBC flip occurs without sweeping the previous high, but the trend is still bearish (slow EMA below VWAP).
Why Use All Flips?
Provides more frequent entries for active or aggressive traders.
Works well in trending markets but requires caution during consolidation periods.
How This Strategy Works
The strategy combines CBC Flips with multiple filters to ensure better trade quality:
Trend Confirmation: The slow EMA (20-period) must be positioned relative to the VWAP to confirm the overall trend direction.
Long Trades: Slow EMA must be above VWAP (upward trend).
Short Trades: Slow EMA must be below VWAP (downward trend).
Time-Based Filter: Traders can specify trading hours to limit entries to a particular time window, helping avoid low-volume or high-volatility periods.
Profit Target and Stop-Loss:
Profit Target: Defined as a multiple of the 14-period ATR (Average True Range). For example, if the ATR is 10 points and the profit target multiplier is set to 1.5, the strategy aims for a 15-point profit.
Stop-Loss: Uses a dynamic, candle-based stop-loss:
Long Trades: The trade closes if the market closes below the low of two candles ago.
Short Trades: The trade closes if the market closes above the high of two candles ago.
This approach adapts to recent price behavior and protects against unexpected reversals.
Customizable Settings
Strong Flips vs. All Flips: Choose between a more selective or aggressive entry style.
Profit Target Multiplier: Adjust the ATR multiplier to control the distance for profit targets.
Entry Time Range: Define specific trading hours for the strategy.
Indicators and Visuals
Fast EMA (10-Period) – Black Line
Slow EMA (20-Period) – Red Line
VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) – Orange Line
Visual Labels:
▵ (Triangle Up) – Marks long entries (buy signals).
▿ (Triangle Down) – Marks short entries (sell signals).
Credits
CBC Flip Concept: Inspired by MapleStax, who teaches this concept.
Original Indicator: Developed by AsiaRoo, this strategy builds on the CBC Flip framework with additional features for improved trade management.
Risks and Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves significant risk and may result in the loss of capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use this strategy in a simulated environment before applying it to live trading.
Pure Price Action Breakout with 1:5 RR
Description of the Price Action Trading Script (Pine Script v6)
Overview
This script is a pure price action-based breakout strategy designed for TradingView. It identifies key breakout levels and executes long and short trades based on market structure. The strategy ensures a minimum risk-to-reward ratio (RR) of 1:5, aiming for high profitability with well-defined stop-loss and take-profit levels.
How the Script Works
1️⃣ Breakout Identification
The script uses a lookback period to find the highest high and lowest low over the last n bars.
A bullish breakout occurs when the price closes above the previous highest high.
A bearish breakout happens when the price closes below the previous lowest low.
2️⃣ Entry & Exit Strategy
Long Entry: If a bullish breakout is detected, the script enters a long position.
Short Entry: If a bearish breakout is detected, the script enters a short position.
The stop-loss is placed at the recent swing low (for long trades) or recent swing high (for short trades).
The target price is calculated based on a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:5, ensuring profitable trades.
3️⃣ Risk Management
The stop-loss prevents excessive losses by exiting trades when the market moves unfavorably.
The strategy ensures that each trade has a reward potential at least 5 times the risk.
Positions are executed based on price action only, without indicators like moving averages or RSI.
4️⃣ Visual Representation
The script plots breakout levels to help traders visualize potential trade setups.
Entry points, stop-loss, and take-profit levels are labeled on the chart for easy tracking.
Key Features & Benefits
✔ Pure Price Action – No lagging indicators, only real-time price movements.
✔ High Risk-to-Reward Ratio (1:5) – Ensures high-profit potential trades.
✔ Real-time Entry & Exit Signals – Provides accurate trade setups.
✔ Dynamic Stop-loss Calculation – Adjusts based on recent market structure.
✔ Customizable Parameters – Lookback periods and risk ratios can be modified.
ICT NY Kill Zone Auto Trading### **ICT NY Kill Zone Auto Trading Strategy (5-Min Chart)**
#### **Overview:**
This strategy is based on Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concepts, focusing on the **New York Kill Zone**. It is designed for trading GBP/USD exclusively on the **5-minute chart**, automatically entering and exiting trades during the US session.
#### **Key Components:**
1. **Time Filter**
- The strategy only operates during the **New York Kill Zone (9:30 AM - 11:00 AM NY Time)**.
- It ensures execution only on the **5-minute timeframe**.
2. **Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) Detection**
- The script identifies areas where price action left an imbalance, known as Fair Value Gaps (FVGs).
- These gaps indicate potential liquidity zones where price may return before continuing in the original direction.
3. **Order Blocks (OBs) Identification**
- **Bullish Order Block:** Occurs when price forms a strong bullish pattern, suggesting further upside movement.
- **Bearish Order Block:** Identified when a strong bearish formation signals potential downside continuation.
4. **Trade Execution**
- **Long Trade:** Entered when a bullish order block forms within the NY Kill Zone and aligns with an FVG.
- **Short Trade:** Entered when a bearish order block forms within the Kill Zone and aligns with an FVG.
5. **Risk Management**
- **Stop Loss:** Fixed at **30 pips** to limit downside risk.
- **Take Profit:** Set at **60 pips**, providing a **2:1 risk-reward ratio**.
6. **Visual Aids**
- The **Kill Zone is highlighted in blue** to help traders visually confirm the active session.
**Objective:**
This script aims to **capitalize on institutional price movements** within the New York session by leveraging ICT concepts such as FVGs and Order Blocks. By automating trade entries and exits, it eliminates emotions and ensures a disciplined trading approach.
Moving Average Crossover StrategyCertainly! Below is an example of a professional trading strategy implemented in Pine Script for TradingView. This strategy is a simple moving average crossover strategy, which is a common approach used by many traders. It uses two moving averages (a short-term and a long-term) to generate buy and sell signals.
Input Parameters:
shortLength: The length of the short-term moving average.
longLength: The length of the long-term moving average.
Moving Averages:
shortMA: The short-term simple moving average (SMA).
longMA: The long-term simple moving average (SMA).
Conditions:
longCondition: A buy signal is generated when the short-term MA crosses above the long-term MA.
shortCondition: A sell signal is generated when the short-term MA crosses below the long-term MA.
Trade Execution:
The strategy enters a long position when the longCondition is met.
The strategy enters a short position when the shortCondition is met.
Plotting:
The moving averages are plotted on the chart.
Buy and sell signals are plotted as labels on the chart.
How to Use:
Copy the script into TradingView's Pine Script editor.
Adjust the shortLength and longLength parameters to fit your trading style.
Add the script to your chart and apply it to your desired timeframe.
Backtest the strategy to see how it performs on historical data.
This is a basic example, and professional traders often enhance such strategies with additional filters, risk management rules, and other indicators to improve performance.
Bollinger Bounce Reversal Strategy – Visual EditionOverview:
The Bollinger Bounce Reversal Strategy – Visual Edition is designed to capture potential reversal moves at price extremes—often termed “bounce points”—by using a combination of technical indicators. The strategy integrates Bollinger Bands, MACD, and volume analysis, and it provides rich on‑chart visual cues to help traders understand its signals and conditions. Additionally, the strategy enforces a maximum of 5 trades per day and uses fixed risk management parameters. This publication is intended for educational purposes and offers a systematic, transparent approach that you can further adjust to fit your market or risk profile.
How It Works:
Bollinger Bands:
A 20‑period simple moving average (SMA) and a user‑defined standard deviation multiplier (default 2.0) are used to calculate the Bollinger Bands.
When the price reaches or crosses these bands (i.e. falls below the lower band or rises above the upper band), it suggests that the price is in an extreme, potentially oversold or overbought, state.
MACD Filter:
The MACD (calculated with standard lengths, e.g. 12, 26, 9) provides momentum information.
For a bullish (long) signal, the MACD line should be above its signal line; for a bearish (short) signal, the MACD line should be below.
Volume Confirmation:
The strategy uses a 20‑period volume moving average to determine if current volume is strong enough to validate a signal.
A signal is confirmed only if the current volume is at or above a specified multiple (by default, 1.0×) of this moving average, ensuring that the move is supported by increased market participation.
Visual Cues:
Bollinger Bands and Fill: The basis (SMA), upper, and lower Bollinger Bands are plotted, and the area between the upper and lower bands is filled with a semi‑transparent color.
Signal Markers: When a long or short signal is generated, corresponding markers (labels) appear on the chart.
Background Coloring: The chart’s background changes color (green for long signals and red for short signals) on the bars where signals occur.
Information Table: An on‑chart table displays key indicator values (MACD, signal line, volume, average volume) and the number of trades executed that day.
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry:
A long trade is triggered when the previous bar’s close is below the lower Bollinger Band and the current bar’s close crosses above it, combined with a bullish MACD condition and strong volume.
Short Entry:
A short trade is triggered when the previous bar’s close is above the upper Bollinger Band and the current bar’s close crosses below it, with a bearish MACD condition and high volume.
Risk Management:
Daily Trade Limit: The strategy restricts trading to no more than 5 trades per day.
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit:
For each position, a stop loss is set at a fixed percentage away from the entry price (typically 2%), and a take profit is set to target a 1:2 risk-reward ratio (typically 4% from the entry price).
Backtesting Setup:
Initial Capital: $10,000
Commission: 0.1% per trade
Slippage: 1 tick per bar
These realistic parameters help ensure that backtesting results reflect the conditions of an average trader.
Disclaimer:
Past performance is not indicative of future results. This strategy is experimental and provided solely for educational purposes. It is essential to backtest extensively and paper trade before any live deployment. All risk management practices are advisory, and you should adjust parameters to suit your own trading style and risk tolerance.
Conclusion:
By combining Bollinger Bands, MACD, and volume analysis, the Bollinger Bounce Reversal Strategy – Visual Edition provides a clear, systematic method to identify potential reversal opportunities at price extremes. The added visual cues help traders quickly interpret signals and assess market conditions, while strict risk management and a daily trade cap help keep trading disciplined. Adjust and refine the settings as needed to better suit your specific market and risk profile.
The 950 Bar StrategyNQ 9:50 AM Candle Strategy v3 (Trade at 9:55AM) - 1 Contract
Also called the 950 Standard. The 950 Strategy.
This strategy places its trade at 9:55am each day based on the close of the 9:50am candle. Uses 5min timeframe candles. If candle closes red, or bearish, the strategy goes short. If candle closes green, or bullish, the strategy goes long. Brackets are 150tick TP and 200tick SL.
Ultimate T3 Fibonacci for BTC Scalping. Look at backtest report!Hey Everyone!
I created another script to add to my growing library of strategies and indicators that I use for automated crypto trading! This strategy is for BITCOIN on the 30 minute chart since I designed it to be a scalping strategy. I calculated for trading fees, and use a small amount of capital in the backtest report. But feel free to modify the capital and how much per order to see how it changes the results:)
It is called the "Ultimate T3 Fibonacci Indicator by NHBprod" that computes and displays two T3-based moving averages derived from price data. The t3_function calculates the Tilson T3 indicator by applying a series of exponential moving averages to a combined price metric and then blending these results with specific coefficients derived from an input factor.
The script accepts several user inputs that toggle the use of the T3 filter, select the buy signal method, and set parameters like lengths and volume factors for two variations of the T3 calculation. Two T3 lines, T3 and T32, are computed with different parameters, and their colors change dynamically (green/red for T3 and blue/purple for T32) based on whether the lines are trending upward or downward. Depending on the selected signal method, the script generates buy signals either when T32 crosses over T3 or when the closing price is above T3, and similarly, sell signals are generated on the respective conditions for crossing under or closing below. Finally, the indicator plots the T3 lines on the chart, adds visual buy/sell markers, and sets alert conditions to notify users when the respective trading signals occur.
The user has the ability to tune the parameters using TP/SL, date timerames for analyses, and the actual parameters of the T3 function including the buy/sell signal! Lastly, the user has the option of trading this long, short, or both!
Let me know your thoughts and check out the backtest report!
Volatility Momentum Breakout StrategyDescription:
Overview:
The Volatility Momentum Breakout Strategy is designed to capture significant price moves by combining a volatility breakout approach with trend and momentum filters. This strategy dynamically calculates breakout levels based on market volatility and uses these levels along with trend and momentum conditions to identify trade opportunities.
How It Works:
1. Volatility Breakout:
• Methodology:
The strategy computes the highest high and lowest low over a defined lookback period (excluding the current bar to avoid look-ahead bias). A multiple of the Average True Range (ATR) is then added to (or subtracted from) these levels to form dynamic breakout thresholds.
• Purpose:
This method helps capture significant price movements (breakouts) while ensuring that only past data is used, thereby maintaining realistic signal generation.
2. Trend Filtering:
• Methodology:
A short-term Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is applied to determine the prevailing trend.
• Purpose:
Long trades are considered only when the current price is above the EMA, indicating an uptrend, while short trades are taken only when the price is below the EMA, indicating a downtrend.
3. Momentum Confirmation:
• Methodology:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is used to gauge market momentum.
• Purpose:
For long entries, the RSI must be above a mid-level (e.g., above 50) to confirm upward momentum, and for short entries, it must be below a similar threshold. This helps filter out signals during overextended conditions.
Entry Conditions:
• Long Entry:
A long position is triggered when the current closing price exceeds the calculated long breakout level, the price is above the short-term EMA, and the RSI confirms momentum (e.g., above 50).
• Short Entry:
A short position is triggered when the closing price falls below the calculated short breakout level, the price is below the EMA, and the RSI confirms momentum (e.g., below 50).
Risk Management:
• Position Sizing:
Trades are sized to risk a fixed percentage of account equity (set here to 5% per trade in the code, with each trade’s stop loss defined so that risk is limited to approximately 2% of the entry price).
• Stop Loss & Take Profit:
A stop loss is placed a fixed ATR multiple away from the entry price, and a take profit target is set to achieve a 1:2 risk-reward ratio.
• Realistic Backtesting:
The strategy is backtested using an initial capital of $10,000, with a commission of 0.1% per trade and slippage of 1 tick per bar—parameters chosen to reflect conditions faced by the average trader.
Important Disclaimers:
• No Look-Ahead Bias:
All breakout levels are calculated using only past data (excluding the current bar) to ensure that the strategy does not “peek” into future data.
• Educational Purpose:
This strategy is experimental and provided solely for educational purposes. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
• User Responsibility:
Traders should thoroughly backtest and paper trade the strategy under various market conditions and adjust parameters to fit their own risk tolerance and trading style before live deployment.
Conclusion:
By integrating volatility-based breakout signals with trend and momentum filters, the Volatility Momentum Breakout Strategy offers a unique method to capture significant price moves in a disciplined manner. This publication provides a transparent explanation of the strategy’s components and realistic backtesting parameters, making it a useful tool for educational purposes and further customization by the TradingView community.
Advanced Multi-Timeframe Trading System (Risk Managed)Description:
This strategy is an original approach that combines two main analytical components to identify potential trade opportunities while simulating realistic trading conditions:
1. Market Trend Analysis via an Approximate Hurst Exponent
• What It Does:
The strategy computes a rough measure of market trending using an approximate Hurst exponent. A value above 0.5 suggests persistent, trending behavior, while a value below 0.5 indicates a tendency toward mean-reversion.
• How It’s Used:
The Hurst exponent is calculated on both the chart’s current timeframe and a higher timeframe (default: Daily) to capture both local and broader market dynamics.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels
• What It Does:
Using daily high and low data from a selected timeframe (default: Daily), the script computes key Fibonacci retracement levels.
• How It’s Used:
• The 61.8% level (Golden Ratio) serves as a key threshold:
• A long entry is signaled when the price crosses above this level if the daily Hurst exponent confirms a trending market.
• The 38.2% level is used to identify short-entry opportunities when the price crosses below it and the daily Hurst indicates non-trending conditions.
Signal Logic:
• Long Entry:
When the price crosses above the 61.8% Fibonacci level (Golden Ratio) and the daily Hurst exponent is greater than 0.5, suggesting a trending market.
• Short Entry:
When the price crosses below the 38.2% Fibonacci level and the daily Hurst exponent is less than 0.5, indicating a less trending or potentially reversing market.
Risk Management & Trade Execution:
• Stop-Loss:
Each trade is risk-managed with a stop-loss set at 2% below (for longs) or above (for shorts) the entry price. This ensures that no single trade risks more than a small, sustainable portion of the account.
• Take Profit:
A take profit order targets a risk-reward ratio of 1:2 (i.e., the target profit is twice the amount risked).
• Position Sizing:
Trades are executed with a fixed position size equal to 10% of account equity.
• Trade Frequency Limits:
• Daily Limit: A maximum of 5 trades per day
• Overall Limit: No more than 510 trades during the backtesting period (e.g., since 2019)
These limits are imposed to simulate realistic trading frequency and to avoid overtrading in backtest results.
Backtesting Parameters:
• Initial Capital: $10,000
• Commission: 0.1% per trade
• Slippage: 1 tick per bar
These settings aim to reflect the conditions faced by the average trader and help ensure that the backtesting results are realistic and not misleading.
Chart Overlays & Visual Aids:
• Fibonacci Levels:
The key Fibonacci retracement levels are plotted on the chart, and the zone between the 61.8% and 38.2% levels is highlighted to show a key retracement area.
• Market Trend Background:
The chart background is tinted green when the daily Hurst exponent indicates a trending market (value > 0.5) and red otherwise.
• Information Table:
An on-chart table displays key parameters such as the current Hurst exponent, daily Hurst value, the number of trades executed today, and the global trade count.
Disclaimer:
Past performance is not indicative of future results. This strategy is experimental and provided solely for educational purposes. It is essential that you backtest and paper trade using your own settings before considering any live deployment. The Hurst exponent calculation is an approximation and should be interpreted as a rough gauge of market behavior. Adjust the parameters and risk management settings according to your personal risk tolerance and market conditions.
Additional Notes:
• Originality & Usefulness:
This script is an original mashup that combines trend analysis with Fibonacci retracement methods. The description above explains how these components work together to provide trading signals.
• Realistic Results:
The strategy uses realistic account sizes, commission rates, slippage, and risk management rules to generate backtesting results that are representative of real-world trading.
• Educational Purpose:
This script is intended to support the TradingView community by offering insights into combining multiple analysis techniques in one strategy. It is not a “get-rich-quick” system but rather an educational tool to help traders understand risk management and trade signal logic.
By using this script, you acknowledge that trading involves risk and that you are responsible for testing and adjusting the strategy to fit your own trading environment. This publication is fully open source, and any modifications should include proper attribution if significant portions of the code are reused.
SMA + RSI + Volume + ATR StrategySMA + RSI + Volume + ATR Strategy
1. Indicators Used:
SMA (Simple Moving Average): This is a trend-following indicator that calculates the average price of a security over a specified period (50 periods in this case). It's used to identify the overall trend of the market.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): This measures the speed and change of price movements. It tells us if the market is overbought (too high) or oversold (too low). Overbought is above 70 and oversold is below 30.
Volume: This is the amount of trading activity. A higher volume often indicates strong interest in a particular price move.
ATR (Average True Range): This measures volatility, or how much the price is moving in a given period. It helps us adjust stop losses and take profits based on market volatility.
2. Conditions for Entering Trades:
Buy Signal (Green Up Arrow):
Price is above the 50-period SMA (indicating an uptrend).
RSI is below 30 (indicating the market might be oversold or undervalued, signaling a potential reversal).
Current volume is higher than average volume (indicating strong interest in the move).
ATR is increasing (indicating higher volatility, suggesting that the market might be ready for a move).
Sell Signal (Red Down Arrow):
Price is below the 50-period SMA (indicating a downtrend).
RSI is above 70 (indicating the market might be overbought or overvalued, signaling a potential reversal).
Current volume is higher than average volume (indicating strong interest in the move).
ATR is increasing (indicating higher volatility, suggesting that the market might be ready for a move).
3. Take Profit & Stop Loss:
Take Profit: When a trade is made, the strategy will set a target price at a certain percentage above or below the entry price (1.5% in this case) to automatically exit the trade once that target is hit.
Stop Loss: If the price goes against the position, a stop loss is set at a percentage below or above the entry price (0.5% in this case) to limit losses.
4. Execution of Trades:
When the buy condition is met, the strategy will enter a long position (buying).
When the sell condition is met, the strategy will enter a short position (selling).
5. Visual Representation:
Green Up Arrow: Appears on the chart when the buy condition is met.
Red Down Arrow: Appears on the chart when the sell condition is met.
These arrows help you see at a glance when the strategy suggests you should buy or sell.
In Summary:
This strategy uses a combination of trend-following (SMA), momentum (RSI), volume, and volatility (ATR) to decide when to buy or sell a stock. It looks for opportunities when the market is either oversold (buy signal) or overbought (sell signal) and makes sure there’s enough volume and volatility to back up the move. It also includes take-profit and stop-loss levels to manage risk.
MA Crossover with Demand/Supply Zones + Stop Loss/Take ProfitStop Loss and Take Profit Inputs:
Added stopLossPerc and takeProfitPerc as inputs to allow the user to define the stop loss and take profit levels as a percentage of the entry price.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Calculation:
For long positions, the stop loss is calculated as strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stopLossPerc), and the take profit is calculated as strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + takeProfitPerc).
For short positions, the stop loss is calculated as strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + stopLossPerc), and the take profit is calculated as strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - takeProfitPerc).
Exit Strategy:
Added strategy.exit to define the stop loss and take profit levels for each trade. The from_entry parameter ensures that the exit is tied to the specific entry order.
Flexibility:
The stop loss and take profit levels are dynamic and adjust based on the entry price of the trade.
How It Works:
When a buy signal is generated (MA crossover near a demand zone), the strategy enters a long position and sets a stop loss and take profit level based on the input percentages.
When a sell signal is generated (MA crossunder near a supply zone), the strategy enters a short position and sets a stop loss and take profit level based on the input percentages.
The trade will exit automatically if either the stop loss or take profit level is hit.
Example:
If the entry price for a long position is $100, and the stop loss is set to 1% while the take profit is set to 2%:
Stop loss level =
100
∗
(
1
−
0.01
)
=
100∗(1−0.01)=99
Take profit level =
100
∗
(
1
+
0.02
)
=
100∗(1+0.02)=102
Notes:
You can adjust the stopLossPerc and takeProfitPerc inputs to suit your risk management preferences.
Always backtest the strategy to ensure the stop loss and take profit levels are appropriate for your trading instrument and timeframe.
BuyTheDips Trade on Trend and Fixed TP/SL
This strategy is designed to trade in the direction of the trend using exponential moving average (EMA) crossovers as signals while employing fixed percentages for take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) to manage risk and reward. It is suitable for both scalping and swing trading on any timeframe, with its default settings optimized for short-term price movements.
How It Works
EMA Crossovers:
The strategy uses two EMAs: a fast EMA (shorter period) and a slow EMA (longer period).
A buy signal is triggered when the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA, indicating a potential bullish trend.
A sell signal is triggered when the fast EMA crosses below the slow EMA, signaling a bearish trend.
Trend Filtering:
To improve signal reliability, the strategy only takes trades in the direction of the overall trend:
Long trades are executed only when the fast EMA is above the slow EMA (bullish trend).
Short trades are executed only when the fast EMA is below the slow EMA (bearish trend).
This filtering ensures trades are aligned with the prevailing market direction, reducing false signals.
Risk Management (Fixed TP/SL):
The strategy uses fixed percentages for take profit and stop loss:
Take Profit: A percentage above the entry price for long trades (or below for short trades).
Stop Loss: A percentage below the entry price for long trades (or above for short trades).
These percentages can be customized to balance risk and reward according to your trading style.
For example:
If the take profit is set to 2% and the stop loss to 1%, the strategy operates with a 2:1 risk-reward ratio. BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bearish Wick Reversal█ STRATEGY OVERVIEW
The "Bearish Wick Reversal Strategy" identifies potential bullish reversals following significant bearish price rejection (long lower wicks). This counter-trend approach enters long positions when bearish candles show exaggerated downside wicks relative to closing prices, then exits on bullish confirmation signals. Includes optional EMA trend filtering for improved reliability.
█ What is a Bearish Wick?
A price rejection pattern where:
Bearish candle (close < open) forms with extended lower wick
Wick represents failed selloff: Low drops significantly below close
Measured as: (Low - Close)/Close × 100 (Negative percentage indicates downward extension)
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. LONG ENTRY CONDITION
Bearish candle forms with close < open
Lower wick exceeds user-defined threshold (Default: -1% of close price)
The signal occurs within the specified time window
If enabled, the close price must also be above the 200-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
2. EXIT CONDITION
A Sell Signal is generated when the current closing price exceeds the highest high of the previous seven bars (`close > _highest `). This indicates that the price has shown strength, potentially confirming the reversal and prompting the strategy to exit the position.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
Ideal Market: Volatile instruments with frequent price rejections
Key Risk: False signals in sustained bearish trends
Optimization Tip: Test various thresholds
Filter Impact: EMA reduces trades but improves win rate and reduces drawdown
Gap Down Reversal Strategy█ STRATEGY OVERVIEW
The "Gap Down Reversal Strategy" capitalizes on price recovery patterns following bearish gap-down openings. This mean-reversion approach enters long positions on confirmed intraday recoveries and exits when prices breach previous session highs. This strategy is NOT optimized.
█ What is a Gap Down Reversal?
A gap down reversal occurs when:
An instrument opens significantly below its prior session's low (price gap)
Selling pressure exhausts itself during the session
Buyers regain control, pushing price back above the opening level
Creates a candlestick with:
• Open < Prior Session Low (true gap)
• Close > Open (bullish reversal candle)
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. LONG ENTRY CONDITION
Previous candle closes BELOW its opening price (bearish candle)
Current session opens BELOW prior candle's low (gap down)
Current candle closes ABOVE its opening price (bullish reversal)
Executes market order at session close
2. EXIT CONDITION
A Sell Signal is generated when the current closing price exceeds the highest high of the previous seven bars (`close > _highest `). This indicates that the price has shown strength, potentially confirming the reversal and prompting the strategy to exit the position.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
Ideal Market: High volatility instruments with frequent gaps
Key Risk: False reversals in sustained downtrends
Optimization Tip: Test varying gap thresholds (1-3% ranges)
Futures Engulfing Candle Size Strategy (Ticks, TP/SL)The Futures Candle Size Strategy is designed to identify and trade significant price movements in the futures market based on candle size. It is optimized for futures instruments like ES, NQ, or CL, where precise tick-level calculations are essential. The strategy includes a customizable take profit and stop loss in ticks and operates only within a specified time window (e.g., 7:00 AM to 9:15 AM CST).
Key Features:
Candle Size Threshold: Trades are triggered when the candle's high-to-low range exceeds the defined threshold in ticks.
Time Filter: Limits trades to the most active market hours, specifically between 7:00 AM and 9:15 AM CST.
Take Profit and Stop Loss: Customizable exit levels in ticks to manage risk and lock in profits.
Long and Short Trades: Automatically places buy or sell orders based on the candle's direction (bullish or bearish).
Alerts: Sends alerts whenever a trade is triggered, helping you stay informed in real-time.
How It Works:
The strategy calculates the size of each candle in ticks and compares it to the user-defined threshold.
If the candle size meets or exceeds the threshold within the specified time range, it triggers a long or short trade.
The trade automatically exits when the price hits the take profit or stop loss levels.
Sunil 2 Bar Breakout StrategyDetailed Explanation of the Sunil 2 Bar Breakout Strategy
Introduction
The Sunil 2 Bar Breakout Strategy is a simple yet effective price-action-based approach designed to identify breakout opportunities in financial markets. This strategy analyzes the movement of the last three candles to detect momentum and initiates trades in the direction of the breakout. It is equipped with a built-in stop-loss mechanism to protect capital, making it suitable for traders looking for a structured and disciplined trading system.
The strategy works well across different timeframes and asset classes, including indices, stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies. Its versatility makes it ideal for both intraday and swing trading.
Core Concept
The strategy revolves around two primary conditions: breakout identification and risk management.
Breakout Identification:
Long Trade Setup: The strategy identifies bullish breakouts when:
The current candle's closing price is higher than the previous candle's closing price.
The high of the previous candle is greater than the highs of the two candles before it.
Short Trade Setup: The strategy identifies bearish breakouts when:
The current candle's closing price is lower than the previous candle's closing price.
The low of the previous candle is lower than the lows of the two candles before it.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: For each trade, a stop-loss is automatically set:
For long trades, the stop-loss is set to the low of the previous candle.
For short trades, the stop-loss is set to the high of the previous candle.
This ensures that losses are minimized if the breakout fails.
Exit Logic:
The trade is closed automatically when the stop-loss is hit.
This approach maintains discipline and prevents emotional trading.
Strategy Workflow
Entry Criteria:
Long Entry: A long trade is triggered when:
The current close is greater than the previous close.
The high of the previous candle exceeds the highs of the two candles before it.
Short Entry: A short trade is triggered when:
The current close is less than the previous close.
The low of the previous candle is below the lows of the two candles before it.
Stop-Loss Placement:
For long trades, the stop-loss is set at the low of the previous candle.
For short trades, the stop-loss is set at the high of the previous candle.
Trade Management:
Trades are exited automatically if the stop-loss level is hit.
The strategy avoids re-entering trades until new breakout conditions are met.
Default Settings
Position Sizing:
The default position size is set to 1% of the account equity. This ensures proper risk management and prevents overexposure to the market.
Stop-Loss:
Stop-loss levels are automatically calculated based on the previous candle’s high or low.
Timeframes:
The strategy is versatile and works across multiple timeframes. However, it is recommended to test it on 15-minute, 1-hour, and daily charts for optimal performance.
Key Features
Automated Trade Execution:
The strategy handles both trade entry and exit automatically based on pre-defined conditions.
Built-In Risk Management:
The automatic stop-loss placement ensures losses are minimized on failed breakouts.
Works Across Markets:
The strategy is compatible with a wide range of instruments, including indices, stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies.
Clear Signals:
Entry and exit points are straightforward and based on objective conditions, reducing ambiguity.
Versatility:
Can be used for both day trading and swing trading, depending on the chosen timeframe.
Best Practices for Using This Strategy
Backtesting:
Test the strategy on your chosen instrument and timeframe using TradingView's Strategy Tester to evaluate its performance.
Market Conditions:
The strategy performs best in trending markets or during periods of high volatility. Avoid using it in range-bound or choppy markets.
Position Sizing:
Use the default position size (1% of equity) or adjust based on your risk tolerance and account size.
Instrument Selection:
Focus on instruments with good liquidity and volatility, such as indices (e.g., NIFTY, BANKNIFTY), forex pairs, or major cryptocurrencies (e.g., Bitcoin, Ethereum).
Potential Enhancements
To make the strategy even more robust, consider adding the following optional features:
Stop-Loss Multiplier:
Allow users to customize the stop-loss distance as a multiple of the default level (e.g., 1.5x the low or high of the previous candle).
Take-Profit Levels:
Add user-defined take-profit levels, such as a fixed risk-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2).
Time Filter:
Include an option to restrict trading to specific market hours (e.g., avoid low-liquidity times).
Conclusion
The Sunil 2 Bar Breakout Strategy is an excellent tool for traders looking to capitalize on breakout opportunities while maintaining disciplined risk management. Its simplicity, combined with its effectiveness, makes it suitable for traders of all experience levels. By adhering to the clearly defined rules, traders can achieve consistent results while avoiding emotional trading decisions.
This strategy is a reliable addition to any trader’s toolbox and is designed to work seamlessly across different market conditions and instruments.
Falcon Liquidity Grab StrategyHow to Use This Script for Commodities and Indices
Best Timeframes: Start with 15-minute charts but test on higher timeframes like 1 hour for indices.
Risk Settings: Adjust the stop_loss_points and take_profit_multiplier to match the volatility of the chosen instrument.
Big Candle Identifier with RSI Divergence and Advanced Stops1. Strategy Objective
The main goal of this strategy is to:
Identify significant price momentum (big candles).
Enter trades at opportune moments based on market signals (candlestick patterns and RSI divergence).
Limit initial risk through a fixed stop loss.
Maximize profits by using a trailing stop that activates only after the trade moves a specified distance in the profitable direction.
2. Components of the Strategy
A. Big Candle Identification
The strategy identifies big candles as indicators of strong momentum.
A big candle is defined as:
The body (absolute difference between close and open) of the current candle (body0) is larger than the bodies of the last five candles.
The candle is:
Bullish Big Candle: If close > open.
Bearish Big Candle: If open > close.
Purpose: Big candles signal potential continuation or reversal of trends, serving as the primary entry trigger.
B. RSI Divergence
Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator used to detect overbought/oversold conditions and divergence.
Fast RSI: A 5-period RSI, which is more sensitive to short-term price movements.
Slow RSI: A 14-period RSI, which smoothens fluctuations over a longer timeframe.
Divergence: The difference between the fast and slow RSIs.
Positive divergence (divergence > 0): Bullish momentum.
Negative divergence (divergence < 0): Bearish momentum.
Visualization: The divergence is plotted on the chart, helping traders confirm momentum shifts.
C. Stop Loss
Initial Stop Loss:
When entering a trade, an immediate stop loss of 200 points is applied.
This stop loss ensures the maximum risk is capped at a predefined level.
Implementation:
Long Trades: Stop loss is set below the entry price at low - 200 points.
Short Trades: Stop loss is set above the entry price at high + 200 points.
Purpose:
Prevents significant losses if the price moves against the trade immediately after entry.
D. Trailing Stop
The trailing stop is a dynamic risk management tool that adjusts with price movements to lock in profits. Here’s how it works:
Activation Condition:
The trailing stop only starts trailing when the trade moves 200 ticks (profit) in the right direction:
Long Position: close - entry_price >= 200 ticks.
Short Position: entry_price - close >= 200 ticks.
Trailing Logic:
Once activated, the trailing stop:
For Long Positions: Trails behind the price by 150 ticks (trail_stop = close - 150 ticks).
For Short Positions: Trails above the price by 150 ticks (trail_stop = close + 150 ticks).
Exit Condition:
The trade exits automatically if the price touches the trailing stop level.
Purpose:
Ensures profits are locked in as the trade progresses while still allowing room for price fluctuations.
E. Trade Entry Logic
Long Entry:
Triggered when a bullish big candle is identified.
Stop loss is set at low - 200 points.
Short Entry:
Triggered when a bearish big candle is identified.
Stop loss is set at high + 200 points.
F. Trade Exit Logic
Trailing Stop: Automatically exits the trade if the price touches the trailing stop level.
Fixed Stop Loss: Exits the trade if the price hits the predefined stop loss level.
G. 21 EMA
The strategy includes a 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which acts as a trend filter.
EMA helps visualize the overall market direction:
Price above EMA: Indicates an uptrend.
Price below EMA: Indicates a downtrend.
H. Visualization
Big Candle Identification:
The open and close prices of big candles are plotted for easy reference.
Trailing Stop:
Plotted on the chart to visualize its progression during the trade.
Green Line: Indicates the trailing stop for long positions.
Red Line: Indicates the trailing stop for short positions.
RSI Divergence:
Positive divergence is shown in green.
Negative divergence is shown in red.
3. Key Parameters
trail_start_ticks: The number of ticks required before the trailing stop activates (default: 200 ticks).
trail_distance_ticks: The distance between the trailing stop and price once the trailing stop starts (default: 150 ticks).
initial_stop_loss_points: The fixed stop loss in points applied at entry (default: 200 points).
tick_size: Automatically calculates the minimum tick size for the trading instrument.
4. Workflow of the Strategy
Step 1: Entry Signal
The strategy identifies a big candle (bullish or bearish).
If conditions are met, a trade is entered with a fixed stop loss.
Step 2: Initial Risk Management
The trade starts with an initial stop loss of 200 points.
Step 3: Trailing Stop Activation
If the trade moves 200 ticks in the profitable direction:
The trailing stop is activated and follows the price at a distance of 150 ticks.
Step 4: Exit the Trade
The trade is exited if:
The price hits the trailing stop.
The price hits the initial stop loss.
5. Advantages of the Strategy
Risk Management:
The fixed stop loss ensures that losses are capped.
The trailing stop locks in profits after the trade becomes profitable.
Momentum-Based Entries:
The strategy uses big candles as entry triggers, which often indicate strong price momentum.
Divergence Confirmation:
RSI divergence helps validate momentum and avoid false signals.
Dynamic Profit Protection:
The trailing stop adjusts dynamically, allowing the trade to capture larger moves while protecting gains.
6. Ideal Market Conditions
This strategy performs best in:
Trending Markets:
Big candles and momentum signals are more effective in capturing directional moves.
High Volatility:
Larger price swings improve the probability of reaching the trailing stop activation level (200 ticks).
Outside Bar Strategy % (Alessio)Outside Bar Strategy %
This strategy is based on identifying Outside Bars, which occur when the current bar's high is higher than the previous bar's high and its low is lower than the previous bar's low. The strategy enters trades in the direction of the Outside Bar, offering a powerful way to capture price moves following a strong price expansion.
Key Features:
Long and Short Entries: The strategy enters a Long trade when the Outside Bar closes bullish (current close > open), and a Short trade when the Outside Bar closes bearish (current close < open).
Customizable Entry Levels: The entry point is calculated based on a customizable percentage of the Outside Bar's range, allowing flexibility for traders to fine-tune their entries at 50% or 70% of the bar's range.
Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP):
Stop Loss (SL) is automatically placed at the Outside Bar's low for Long trades and at its high for Short trades.
Take Profit (TP) is calculated as a percentage of the Outside Bar's range, with customizable settings for take-profit levels.
Visual Indicators:
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit levels are plotted as lines on the chart, with customizable colors and widths for easy identification.
Labels are placed on the chart to indicate whether the trade is Long or Short, positioned above or below the Outside Bar's candlestick.
Alerts: Users can enable alerts to receive notifications when a trade is triggered, including details such as entry points and stop loss levels.
Strategy Parameters:
Entry Percentage: Set the entry level as a percentage of the Outside Bar's range (e.g., 50%, 70%).
Take Profit Percentage: Customize the Take Profit level as a percentage of the Outside Bar's range.
Customizable Colors and Line Widths: Adjust the colors and thickness of the entry, stop loss, and take profit lines to fit your preferences.
Alerts: Enable alerts to be notified when a trade is executed or when the entry level is reached.
This strategy is ideal for traders who want to capitalize on significant price moves after a breakout, with clear risk management through Stop Loss and Take Profit levels. The customizable features make it suitable for various market conditions and trading styles.
Autonomous 5-Minute RobotKey Components of the Strategy:
Trend Detection:
A 50-period simple moving average (SMA) is used to define the market trend. If the current close is above the SMA, the market is considered to be in an uptrend (bullish), and if it's below, it's considered a downtrend (bearish).
The strategy also looks at the trend over the last 30 minutes (6 candles in a 5-minute chart). The strategy compares the previous close with the current close to detect an uptrend or downtrend.
Volume Analysis:
The strategy calculates buyVolume and sellVolume based on price movement within each candle.
The condition for entering a long position is when the market is in an uptrend, and the buy volume is greater than the sell volume.
The condition for entering a short position is when the market is in a downtrend, and the sell volume is greater than the buy volume.
Trade Execution:
The strategy enters a long position when the trend is up and the buy volume is higher than the sell volume.
The strategy enters a short position when the trend is down and the sell volume is higher than the buy volume.
Positions are closed based on stop-loss and take-profit conditions.
Stop-loss is set at 3% below the entry price.
Take-profit is set at 29% above the entry price.
Exit Conditions:
Long trades will be closed if the price falls 3% below the entry price or rises 29% above the entry price.
Short trades will be closed if the price rises 3% above the entry price or falls 29% below the entry price.
Visuals:
The SMA (50-period) is plotted on the chart to show the trend.
Buy and sell signals are marked with labels on the chart for easy identification.
With this being said this algo is still being worked on to be autonomous
Analyze the Market Direction: Determine whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend over the past 30 minutes (using the last 6 candles in a 5-minute chart).
Use Trend Indicators and Volume: Implement trend-following indicators like moving averages or the SMA/EMA crossover and consider volume to decide when to enter or exit a trade.
Enter and Exit Trades: The robot will enter long positions when the trend is up and short positions when the trend is down. Additionally, it will close positions based on volume signals and price action (e.g., volume spikes, price reversals).
Forex Hammer and Hanging Man StrategyThe strategy is based on two key candlestick chart patterns: Hammer and Hanging Man. These chart patterns are widely used in technical analysis to identify potential reversal points in the market. Their relevance in the Forex market, known for its high liquidity and volatile price movements, is particularly pronounced. Both patterns provide insights into market sentiment and trader psychology, which are critical in currency trading, where short-term volatility plays a significant role.
1. Hammer:
• Typically occurs after a downtrend.
• Signals a potential trend reversal to the upside.
• A Hammer has:
• A small body (close and open are close to each other).
• A long lower shadow, at least twice as long as the body.
• No or a very short upper shadow.
2. Hanging Man:
• Typically occurs after an uptrend.
• Signals a potential reversal to the downside.
• A Hanging Man has:
• A small body, similar to the Hammer.
• A long lower shadow, at least twice as long as the body.
• A small or no upper shadow.
These patterns are a manifestation of market psychology, specifically the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. The Hammer reflects a situation where sellers tried to push the price down but were overpowered by buyers, while the Hanging Man shows that buyers failed to maintain the upward movement, and sellers could take control.
Relevance of Chart Patterns in Forex
In the Forex market, chart patterns are vital tools because they offer insights into price action and market sentiment. Since Forex trading often involves large volumes of trades, chart patterns like the Hammer and Hanging Man are important for recognizing potential shifts in market momentum. These patterns are a part of technical analysis, which aims to forecast future price movements based on historical data, relying on the psychology of market participants.
Scientific Literature on the Relevance of Candlestick Patterns
1. Behavioral Finance and Candlestick Patterns:
Research on behavioral finance supports the idea that candlestick patterns, such as the Hammer and Hanging Man, are relevant because they reflect shifts in trader psychology and sentiment. According to Lo, Mamaysky, and Wang (2000), patterns like these could be seen as representations of collective investor behavior, influenced by overreaction, optimism, or pessimism, and can often signal reversals in market trends.
2. Statistical Validation of Chart Patterns:
Studies by Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992) explored the profitability of technical analysis strategies, including candlestick patterns, and found evidence that certain patterns, such as the Hammer, can have predictive value in financial markets. While their study primarily focused on stock markets, their findings are generally applicable to the Forex market as well.
3. Market Efficiency and Candlestick Patterns:
The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) posits that all available information is reflected in asset prices, but some studies suggest that markets may not always be perfectly efficient, allowing for profitable exploitation of certain chart patterns. For instance, Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) found that momentum strategies, which often rely on price patterns and trends, could generate significant returns, suggesting that patterns like the Hammer or Hanging Man may provide a slight edge, particularly in short-term Forex trading.
Testing the Strategy in Forex Using the Provided Script
The provided script allows traders to test and evaluate the Hammer and Hanging Man patterns in Forex trading by entering positions when these patterns appear and holding the position for a specified number of periods. This strategy can be tested to assess its performance across different currency pairs and timeframes.
1. Testing on Different Timeframes:
• The effectiveness of candlestick patterns can vary across different timeframes, as market dynamics change with the level of detail in each timeframe. Shorter timeframes may provide more frequent signals, but with higher noise, while longer timeframes may produce more reliable signals, but with fewer opportunities. This multi-timeframe analysis could be an area to explore to enhance the strategy’s robustness.
2. Exit Strategies:
• The script incorporates an exit strategy where positions are closed after holding them for a specified number of periods. This is useful for testing how long the reversal patterns typically take to play out and when the optimal exit occurs for maximum profitability. It can also help to adjust the exit logic based on real-time market behavior.
Conclusion
The Hammer and Hanging Man patterns are widely recognized in technical analysis as potential reversal signals, and their application in Forex trading is valuable due to the market’s high volatility and liquidity. This strategy leverages these candlestick patterns to enter and exit trades based on shifts in market sentiment and psychology. Testing and optimization, as offered by the script, can help refine the strategy and improve its effectiveness.
For further refinement, it could be valuable to consider combining candlestick patterns with other technical indicators or using multi-timeframe analysis to confirm patterns and increase the probability of successful trades.
References:
• Lo, A. W., Mamaysky, H., & Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of Technical Analysis: Computational Algorithms, Statistical Inference, and Empirical Implementation. The Journal of Finance, 55(4), 1705-1770.
• Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731-1764.
• Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
This provides a theoretical basis for the use of candlestick patterns in trading, supported by academic literature and research on market psychology and efficiency.
Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy leverages the combination of candlestick pattern Bullish Reversal Bar (description in Methodology and Justification of Methodology), Williams Alligator indicator and Williams Fractals to create the high probability setups. Candlestick pattern is used for the entering into trade, while the combination of Williams Alligator and Fractals is used for the trend approximation as close condition. Strategy uses only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator or the candlestick pattern invalidation to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Trend Trade Filter: strategy uses Alligator and Fractal combination as high probability trend filter.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1.Current candle's high shall be below the Williams Alligator's lines (Jaw, Lips, Teeth)(all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
2.Price shall create the candlestick pattern "Bullish Reversal Bar". Optionally if MFI and AO filters are enabled current candle shall have the decreasing AO and at least one of three recent bars shall have the squat state on the MFI (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3.If price breaks through the high of the candle marked as the "Bullish Reversal Bar" the long trade is open at the price one tick above the candle's high
4.Initial stop loss is placed at the Bullish Reversal Bar's candle's low
5.If price hit the Bullish Reversal Bar's low before hitting the entry price potential trade is cancelled
6.If trade is active and initial stop loss has not been hit, trade is closed when the combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend change from upward to downward.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
Enable MFI (if true trades are filtered using Market Facilitation Index (MFI) condition all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph), by default = false)
Enable AO (if true trades are filtered using Awesome Oscillator (AO) condition all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph), by default = false)
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. The first and key concept is the Bullish Reversal Bar candlestick pattern. This is just the single bar pattern. The rules are simple:
Candle shall be closed in it's upper half
High of this candle shall be below all three Alligator's lines (Jaw, Lips, Teeth)
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
How we can use all these indicators in this strategy? This strategy is a counter trend one. Candle's high shall be below all Alligator's lines. During this market stage the bullish reversal bar candlestick pattern shall be printed. This bar during the downtrend is a high probability setup for the potential reversal to the upside: bulls were able to close the price in the upper half of a candle. The breaking of its high is a high probability signal that trend change is confirmed and script opens long trade. If market continues going down and break down the bullish reversal bar's low potential trend change has been invalidated and strategy close long trade.
If market really reversed and started moving to the upside strategy waits for the trend change form the downtrend to the uptrend according to approximation of Alligator and Fractals combination. If this change happens strategy close the trade. This approach helps to stay in the long trade while the uptrend continuation is likely and close it if there is a high probability of the uptrend finish.
Optionally users can enable MFI and AO filters. First of all, let's briefly explain what are these two indicators. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), created by Bill Williams, is a momentum-based indicator that evaluates market momentum by comparing recent price activity to a broader historical context. It assists traders in identifying potential trend reversals and gauging trend strength.
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
This indicator is filtering signals in the following way: if current AO bar is decreasing this candle can be interpreted as a bullish reversal bar. This logic is applicable because initially this strategy is a trend reversal, it is searching for the high probability setup against the current trend. Decreasing AO is the additional high probability filter of a downtrend.
Let's briefly look what is MFI. The Market Facilitation Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the price movement per unit of volume, helping traders gauge the efficiency of price movement in relation to trading volume. Here's how you can calculate it:
MFI = (High−Low)/Volume
MFI can be used in combination with volume, so we can divide 4 states. Bill Williams introduced these to help traders interpret the interaction between volume and price movement. Here’s a quick summary:
Green Window (Increased MFI & Increased Volume): Indicates strong momentum with both price and volume increasing. Often a sign of trend continuation, as both buying and selling interest are rising.
Fake Window (Increased MFI & Decreased Volume): Shows that price is moving but with lower volume, suggesting weak support for the trend. This can signal a potential end of the current trend.
Squat Window (Decreased MFI & Increased Volume): Shows high volume but little price movement, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. This often precedes a breakout as the pressure builds.
Fade Window (Decreased MFI & Decreased Volume): Indicates a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers, leading to lower momentum. This typically happens in range-bound markets and may signal consolidation before a new move.
For our purposes we are interested in squat bars. This is the sign that volume cannot move the price easily. This type of bar increases the probability of trend reversal. In this indicator we added to enable the MFI filter of reversal bars. If potential reversal bar or two preceding bars have squat state this bar can be interpret as a reversal one.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.29%
Maximum Single Profit: +29.99%
Net Profit: +5472.66 USDT (+54.73%)
Total Trades: 103 (33.98% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.634
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1231.15 USDT (-8.32%)
Average Profit per Trade: 53.13 USDT (+0.94%)
Average Trade Duration: 76 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h ETH/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
