Penunjuk dan strategi
Moving Average Ribbon - version 4There are many different strategies using Moving Averages such as the Guppy, Super Guppy, Madrid Ribbon and others. Some strategies use one type of calculation over the other.
I am not advocating one strategy over another and this indicator is not a particular strategy. It provides up to 27 moving averages. You can choose between Simple, Exponential (default), ALMA, Hull, WMA, RMA and DEMA for the calculation method.
You can choose which Moving Averages to show and not show.
You can change the lengths of any of the Moving Averages.
Some strategies I have seen uses different sources. You can set the source for each individual Moving Average.
If you use this indicator more than once on the same chart, you can offset the two indicators if needed.
The indicator has two methods for coloring the plots. The default is by direction and order. If going up and the faster MA is higher than the next slower MA, it is bullish. If going down and the faster MA is lower than the next slower MA, it is bearish. Otherwise, it is neutral.
An alternate means looks at separation distance. A slower MA will inherit the color of the faster MA if the distance between the two is equal or greater than the previous candle.
If standard colors are used, there is a Strong Bear, Weak Bear, Strong Bull and Weak Bull. If you choose to use Alternate colors, you have a Bullish and Bearish color.
Defaults are simply set to how I have been using it. I also have it applied on multiple charts across multiple timeframes. It is not a recommendation or promise of best method. I am still experimenting with different layouts.
Multi-Timeframe Volume Profile - Auto HVN WallsMulti-Timeframe Volume Profile - Auto HVN Walls
Overview This indicator provides a highly flexible Volume Profile solution that operates across multiple timeframes (Session, Weekly, Monthly, Yearly). Unlike standard profiles, this tool features a unique "Auto HVN Wall" detection system. It automatically identifies meaningful High Volume Nodes (HVNs) within the profile structure and extends them forward as potential support and resistance zones, creating a dynamic map of market structure as it develops.
Key Features
Multi-Timeframe Support: Switch seamlessly between Session, Weekly, Monthly, and Yearly profiles.
Auto HVN Walls (Structure Detection): The script analyzes the profile shape in real-time. When it detects significant clusters of volume (HVNs), it automatically draws extended lines ("walls"). These walls often act as magnets or support/resistance levels where price has previously found acceptance.
Session Filtering: When in "Session" mode, you can define specific time windows (e.g., 0930-1615) to isolate Regular Trading Hours (RTH) volume, ignoring overnight data.
Auto-Scaling Width (Monthly Mode): For Monthly profiles, the histogram width dynamically changes throughout the month. It starts wide at the beginning of the month to be visible and gradually narrows as the month progresses, keeping your chart clean.
High Precision: Uses lower timeframe data (user-selectable) to build the profile, ensuring accuracy even on higher timeframe charts.
Alerts: Built-in alert conditions for price crossing the developing POC, VAH, or VAL.
How It Works
Data Accumulation: The script fetches lower timeframe volume and price data (e.g., 5-minute data on a 1-hour chart) to construct a precise volume histogram.
Wall Detection: It runs a smoothing algorithm over the volume profile. If a price level accumulates volume significantly higher than the average (controlled by the Volume Threshold Multiplier), it marks that level as a "Wall" and extends it.
Value Area: Standard Value Area High (VAH), Value Area Low (VAL), and Point of Control (POC) are calculated and displayed for the selected period.
Settings Guide
Profile Period: Choose between Session, Weekly, Monthly, or Yearly.
Session Time: (Only active in "Session" mode) Define the start and end times for the profile (e.g., 0930-1615).
Calculation Precision: Determines the lower timeframe used to build the profile. Lower is more precise but may load slower.
The Walls:
Smoothing Factor: How much to smooth the volume data before finding walls. Higher = fewer, more significant walls.
Volume Threshold: How much volume is needed to trigger a wall.
Extend Walls: If checked, walls extend infinitely to the right.
Auto-Scale Width: (Monthly Only) dynamically adjusts the profile width based on the day of the month.
Use Case This tool is ideal for auction market theorists and volume profile traders who want to visualize where value is building in real-time and identify "sticky" price levels (Walls) where the market is likely to rotate or consolidate.
Disclaimer This script and the information presented here are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading signals. Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Use this tool at your own discretion and risk.
Ichimoku With GradingDescription:
This indicator is an enhanced version of the classic Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, designed to provide traders with an objective, quantitative assessment of trend strength. By breaking down the complex Ichimoku system into specific conditions, this script calculates a "Total Score" to help visualize the confluence of bullish or bearish signals.
How It Works
The core of this script is a 7-Point Grading System. Instead of relying on a single crossover, the script evaluates 7 distinct Ichimoku conditions simultaneously.
The Grading Criteria:
Tenkan > Kijun: Checks for the classic TK Cross (1 point if Bullish, -1 if Bearish).
Price vs TK/KJ: Checks if the Close is above both the Tenkan and Kijun (Bullish) or below both (Bearish).
Future Cloud: Analyzes the Kumo (Cloud) projected 26 bars ahead. If Senkou Span A > Senkou Span B, it is bullish.
Chikou Span: The Lagging Span validation. It compares the current Close to the Highs, Lows, and Cloud levels of 26 bars ago to ensure there are no obstacles.
Close > Tenkan: Checks immediate short-term momentum.
Close > Current Senkou Span A: Checks if price is above the current cloud's Span A.
Close > Current Senkou Span B: Checks if price is above the current cloud's Span B.
Total Score & Signals:
Maximum Score (+7): When all 7 conditions are met, a Green Triangle is plotted above the bar, indicating a strong trend confluence.
Minimum Score (-7): When all 7 conditions are negative, a Red Triangle is plotted below the bar.
Neutral/Mixed: Scores between -6 and +6 indicate a mixed trend or consolidation phase.
Dashboard Features
A table is displayed in the top-right corner to provide real-time data:
Score Breakdown: Shows the status of every individual metric (1 or -1).
Total Score: The sum of all metrics.
Distance to Tenkan %: This calculates the percentage distance between the Close and the Tenkan-sen.
Usage: Traders often use the Tenkan-sen as a trailing stop-loss level. This percentage helps gauge how extended the price is from the mean; a high percentage may indicate an overextended move, while a low percentage indicates a tight consolidation.
How to Use Ichimoku Lines
Beyond the grading system, this indicator plots the standard Ichimoku lines, which are powerful tools for price action analysis:
Support & Resistance: The Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line) and Kijun-sen (Base Line) act as dynamic support and resistance levels. In a strong trend, price will often respect the Tenkan-sen. In a moderate trend, it may pull back to the Kijun-sen before continuing.
The Kumo (Cloud): The edges of the current cloud (Senkou Span A and B) act as major support and resistance zones. A thick cloud represents strong S/R, while a thin cloud is easily broken.
Trend Identification: Generally, if the price is above the Cloud, the trend is bullish. If below, it is bearish. If the price is inside the Cloud, the market is considered to be in a noise/ranging zone.
Screenshots
1. Bitcoin Daily View:
Here you can see the dashboard in action. The grading system helps filter out noise by requiring all conditions to align before generating a signal.
2. Gold (XAUUSD) Example:
An example of a bearish confluence where the score hit -7, triggering a sell signal as the price broke through all Ichimoku support levels.
3. Euro (EURUSD) Mixed State:
This example shows a market in transition. While some metrics are positive (Green), others are negative (Red), resulting in a score of 4. This prevents premature entries during choppy market conditions.
Settings
Lengths: All Ichimoku periods (Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou B, Displacement) are fully customizable in the settings menu to fit your preferred timeframe or trading style (e.g., Doubled settings for crypto).
Disclaimer: This tool is for educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always manage your risk.
Price Action TrendPrice Action Trend measures trend *strength* by modelling where price sits inside a smoothed price-action channel, then applying RSI to that “channel position”. It doesn’t predict, but shows what price is doing now.
This indicator uses the same calculations as my old "Price Action Trend Overlay" script, which I'd published Protected for some forgotten reason. Some users have asked for the source code, so I'm republishing it as open source. I've also tidied up the code a bit, added some visualisations of elements that were present but never drawn, such as the PA channels themselves, drawn the trend metric in a separate pane, added alerts, and made some more configuration options available.
🟩 HIGHLIGHTS
⭐ Trend colouring on the main chart.
⭐ A trend line drawn in its own pane.
⭐ Overbought/oversold markers on the main chart, derived from the same PA calculations.
⭐ Optional “Price Average” line and channel colouring.
🟩 WHAT’S UNIQUE ABOUT THE TREND CALCULATION
Most “trend RSI” tools run RSI on close, or on some moving average of price.
This script runs RSI on a *normalised* price-action series:
- We build a smoothed channel from RMA(high) and RMA(low).
- We normalise price against that channel (relative to the channel midpoint and width).
- We run RSI on that normalised series (default 14, but optionally matched to the Trend Lookback Period).
Using highs and lows instead of close or OHLC4 makes the trend value sensitive to *range shape* and *asymmetry* (big wicks, uneven extremes), not just the centre of the candle.
As compared to a simple RSI (also included simply for comparison), this PA Trend tends to decay faster and recovers faster.
🟩 HOW TO USE IT (PRACTICAL)
⭐ Trend pane
- Treat the line as a measure of *trend strength*, not a prediction.
- Neutral zone = trend is not convincingly bullish or bearish.
- Strong moves away from neutral = “trend has conviction”.
⭐ Overbought / oversold markers
Overbought/oversold doesn’t mean “reversal right now”.
It means the *rate of directional change* is unsustainably strong.
- Overbought in an uptrend: trend is overheating. Tighten long stops; expect rest/retrace/reversal once overheating ends.
- Oversold in an uptrend: the countertrend down is likely exhausting. Potential “buy the dip” context.
- Reverse the above for downtrends.
This works on any market, any timeframe. Lower timeframes will be choppier.
Don’t trade these signals blindly; use market structure, S/R, and your other tools.
🟩 SETTINGS (OVERVIEW)
🟦 Settings
- Pane Plot Mode: choose whether the pane shows Trend or Overbought/Oversold series.
- Trend Lookback Period: channel smoothing for the trend model (higher = smoother, lower = faster).
- Show Overbought & Oversold Shapes: show/hide the triangles on the main chart.
- Overbought/sold Lookback Period: channel smoothing for OB/OS detection (lower = more sensitive).
- Overbought/sold Adaptive Length: smoothing for the dynamic OB/OS levels (lower = more adaptive).
🟦 Display
- Transparency for the candle colour: bar colour transparency (Gradient mode).
- Trend Colour Mode: Classic vs strength-based Gradient.
🟦 Price Average
- Show Price Average: show/hide the OHLC4 average price line.
- Lookback: length for the price average.
- Smoothing: SMA / EMA / RMA.
- Colour Channel by Price Average: neutral/green/red channel colouring depending on whether the price average is inside/above/below the channel.
🟦 Advanced
- Trend Upper/Lower Neutral Threshold: neutral zone bounds (also used by the dynamic OB/OS logic).
- PA RSI Length: choose Fixed (14) or match the Trend Lookback Period.
- Show RSI (close): optional “reference RSI” plot with length.
🟩 ALERTS
There are built-in alert conditions for this indicator:
- Overbought PA Trend: triggers when the PA overbought condition is true.
- Oversold PA Trend: triggers when the PA oversold condition is true.
- Trend flips up: triggers when the trend changes from down to up (ignores any intervening neutral bars).
- Trend flips down: triggers when the trend changes from up to down (ignores any intervening neutral bars).
- Lost overbought: triggers on the first red candle after the overbought condition ends (set this alert on close to avoid false alerts).
- Lost oversold: triggers on the first green candle after the oversold condition ends (set this alert on close to avoid false alerts).
🟩 REPAINTING / CALCULATION NOTES
According to my understanding, this indicator does not repaint (it does not go back and alter closed bars).
However, while the current candle is forming, values that depend on the current price will update in real time. Once the candle closes, they are fixed.
The overbought/oversold calculations use Williams fractal-style confirmation logic, which cannot be known until some bars afterwards.
This affects when the OB/OS levels update, but new confirmations only affect future calculations, not the past.
🟩 CREDITS
The idea for using smoothed highs/lows to create a price-action channel came from my humble trading mentor. All the code is my own.
🟩 DISCLAIMER
No indicator is a substitute for knowing what you’re doing.
By using this indicator you agree that it might not do what you or anyone else expects.
You retain full responsibility for your trading at all times.
Before trading with actual money, first make sure your risk management is professional-level.
Ripster Clouds (EMA + MTF)v6 EnhancedThis is the most complete, modern, and user-friendly version of the classic Ripster EMA Clouds indicator yet — fully updated for Pine Script @version
=6 (January 2026 compliant).What It DoesPlots up to 5 local timeframe EMA clouds (8-9, 5-12, 34-50, 72-89, 180-200) with authentic Ripster coloring and transparency.
Adds 3 higher-timeframe (MTF) clouds pulled from a user-defined resolution (default Daily): 50-55, 20-21, and 34-50 — perfect for big-picture bias on intraday charts.
Clouds dynamically change color based on which EMA is on top (bullish green/blue/teal/purple → bearish red/orange/yellow).
Optional slope-colored lines for short/long EMAs.
Clean, grouped inputs with intuitive toggles.
Why This Version Is Better Than Prior OnesFeature
Older Versions (v4/v5 originals & early ports)
This v6 Enhanced Version
Pine Version
v4 or v5 (some no longer fully supported)
Fully v6 compliant – compiles cleanly today
MTF Clouds
Either none or only 2, often no color flip
3 MTF clouds with full color flipping for clear higher-TF bias
Usability
Limited toggles, cluttered defaults
"Show All Clouds & Lines" quick toggle + per-cloud on/off + sensible defaults (clouds 4/5 off)
Visual Clarity
Mixed transparency, sometimes too busy
Optimized transparency & modern color palette (works great in dark/light themes)
Flexibility
Fixed source (usually hl2)
Choice of source (close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4, etc.)
Alerts
Usually none
Built-in alerts on tightest cloud (8-9) cross – great for momentum entries
Performance
No limits set
max_lines_count, max_labels_count, max_bars_back for smooth operation
Code Quality
Older syntax, scattered inputs
Clean, well-commented, grouped sections – easy to read/modify
Best Use CasesIntraday (10–30 min): Local clouds for entries/pullbacks, MTF for daily bias.
Swing trading (1H, 4H, Daily): Wider clouds + MTF weekly for multi-day holds.
Works beautifully on QQQ, SPY, TSLA, NVDA and any liquid stock/ETF/index.
This script combines the best of the original Ripster local clouds with powerful multi-timeframe context — all in one clean, publish-ready indicator.Copy-paste ready for TradingView public library. Enjoy the edge! Here are examples of how this enhanced version looks on charts (rich layered clouds with MTF overlay):
Apex Adaptive TrailApex Adaptive Trail: Adaptive Volatility Trend System
This custom trend-following indicator improves on standard SuperTrend implementations by addressing two key weaknesses: excessive whipsaws during high volatility and false signals in ranging markets.
Core Logic:
- Synthetic Heikin Ashi values are calculated internally (without changing chart candles) to provide smoother source data for trend detection.
- ATR-based trailing stop with adaptive multiplier: dynamically adjusts between 0.8x and 1.5x the base factor based on current volatility (ATR / 50-period SMA of ATR). Widens in volatile conditions, tightens in quiet markets.
- Weighted Confluence Score (0-100%): Combines four independent filters, each contributing 25%:
• Price position relative to 21-period EMA (trend alignment)
• ADX > 20 (momentum strength)
• Choppiness Index < 60 (trending vs ranging detection)
• Alignment with Daily EMA(50) trend direction
Signals are only generated when price crosses the adaptive trail AND the confluence score exceeds 75% (standard) or 90% (MAX 🔥 ultra-strong). This combination significantly reduces low-quality entries compared to traditional SuperTrend crossovers.
Key Features:
- Dynamic confidence cloud (opacity based on score)
- Real-time dashboard showing volatility state, active filters, trend bias, and estimated historical win rate
- Optional dynamic/fixed profit targets
- Fully customizable filters and adaptive behavior
Usage: Best on 15m to 4H timeframes for trend-following strategies (Crypto, Forex, Indices). Enter on APEX signals, use trail as stop-loss, TP lines for partial exits.
This script integrates established concepts into a unique adaptive framework with volatility-responsive risk management and multi-filter validation.
Disclaimer: For educational and analysis purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use proper risk management.
"This script combines established indicators (ATR trailing, ADX, Choppiness Index, EMA, MTF) into a unique adaptive system with dynamic volatility adjustment and weighted confluence scoring – features not found together in standard SuperTrend variations."
Previous HLC Single ChoiceThis indicator allows traders to visualize the High, Low, and Close (HLC) levels of a previous timeframe directly on their current chart. By plotting these key levels from a higher timeframe, traders can identify significant support and resistance zones, potential breakout levels, and the overall market context without needing to switch back and forth between different chart intervals.
How it Works
The script utilizes the request.security() function to fetch the High, Low, and Close data from the previous completed bar of a user-selected timeframe.
Unlike static multi-timeframe indicators that might clutter the chart with too many lines, this script is designed for simplicity and flexibility. It uses the input.timeframe functionality, allowing you to select any standard or custom timeframe available on TradingView (e.g., 4-hour, Daily, Weekly, 3-Month, 12-Month) via a simple dropdown menu.
Once a timeframe is selected, the indicator plots three distinct lines:
Green Line: The High of the previous timeframe.
Red Line: The Low of the previous timeframe.
Orange Line: The Close of the previous timeframe.
Usage Examples
These levels often act as dynamic support and resistance.
Breakouts: A move above the previous timeframe's High can signal bullish strength.
Breakdowns: A drop below the previous timeframe's Low can signal bearish weakness.
Ranges: The space between the High and Low often defines the trading range for the current session.
Screenshots
Ethereum (1D Chart / 6M Levels):
Here we see the 6-Month High, Low, and Close plotted on a Daily chart. Note how the previous 6-month levels frame the long-term trend.
Silver (2h Chart / 1W Levels):
This example shows Silver on a 2-hour chart with Weekly levels. This is useful for intraday traders looking for weekly pivots.
EURUSD (30m Chart / 480m Levels):
A granular look at the Euro on a 30-minute chart using an 8-hour (480m) timeframe overlay. This helps identify mid-session reversals.
Apple (1D Chart / 3M Levels):
Apple stock on a Daily chart with Quarterly (3-Month) levels, highlighting major structural levels for swing trading.
Settings
Choose Timeframe: Select the specific timeframe you wish to overlay (Default is 3 Months).
Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only. It DOES NOT constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and risk management before trading.
Sawaes StrategyHere’s a **clear TradingView-style description** you can use directly in the indicator’s **Description** field or when sharing it publicly.
---
## 📈 Sawaes Strategy – Buy & Sell Signal (SuperTrend-Based)
### 🔹 Overview
**Sawaes Strategy** is a trend-following indicator based on a **custom SuperTrend calculation** using **ATR (Average True Range)**.
It is designed to identify **trend direction**, **dynamic support/resistance**, and provide **clear buy and sell signals** when price confirms a trend change.
The indicator plots a colored trailing line on the chart and generates visual arrows for entries, making it suitable for **intraday, swing, and positional trading**.
---
### 🔹 How It Works
1. **ATR Volatility Measurement**
* Uses ATR to measure market volatility.
* The ATR value is multiplied by a user-defined **Factor** to adapt to different markets and timeframes.
2. **Dynamic Trend Lines**
* A **SuperTrend trailing stop line** is calculated above or below price.
* The line moves only in the direction of the current trend, preventing whipsaws.
3. **Trend Direction**
* 🟢 **Green line** → Uptrend (Bullish)
* 🔴 **Red line** → Downtrend (Bearish)
4. **Trend Switching**
* Trend flips when price decisively crosses the trailing stop line.
* Entry arrows appear only on confirmed trend changes.
---
### 🔹 Buy & Sell Signals
#### 🟢 Buy Signal
* Price crosses **above** the SuperTrend line
* Price closes **above** the trailing stop
* Trend changes from **bearish to bullish**
* Displayed as:
* Green **triangle up**
* Green **arrow up** on trend reversal
#### 🔴 Sell Signal
* Price crosses **below** the SuperTrend line
* Price closes **below** the trailing stop
* Trend changes from **bullish to bearish**
* Displayed as:
* Red **triangle down**
* Red **arrow down** on trend reversal
---
### 🔹 Inputs
* **Factor**
Controls sensitivity.
* Higher value → fewer signals, stronger trends
* Lower value → more signals, faster reactions
* **ATR Period**
Defines how volatility is calculated.
---
### 🔹 Best Use Cases
✔ Trending markets
✔ Index, Forex, Crypto, Stocks
✔ Works on all timeframes
✔ Can be combined with:
* Volume confirmation
* RSI / MACD
* Support & Resistance
---
### 🔹 Risk Management Tips
* Use the SuperTrend line as a **dynamic stop-loss**
* Trail stops along the colored trend line
* Avoid choppy or sideways markets
* Confirm higher-timeframe trend for better accuracy
---
### 🔹 Alerts
The indicator includes:
* 📢 Buy alert
* 📢 Sell alert
These can be used for automation or mobile notifications.
---
If you want, I can:
* Rewrite this as a **short public TradingView description**
* Add **disclaimer text**
* Convert it into a **strategy with backtesting**
* Optimize parameters for **crypto / forex / indices**
Just tell me 👍
Relative Strength by MomentradeRelative Strength Indicator (Index Comparison)
This Pine Script indicator displays the Relative Strength (RS) of the selected instrument compared to a benchmark index, primarily designed for Nifty. It measures performance comparison, helping traders identify whether the asset is outperforming or underperforming the index over a chosen period.
A rising Relative Strength line indicates outperformance, while a falling line signals underperformance. This tool is ideal for trend confirmation, stock selection, and strength-based trading, allowing users to focus on strong assets during bullish markets and avoid weak ones. The indicator is fully customizable and can be applied to any index, stock, or timeframe.
Hamazaki-Style Scalping SystemOverview: hmzk-Style Scalping System
This system is designed to identify high-probability entries in the 1-minute time frame while strictly filtering out low-efficiency market noise. It focuses on the concept of "Gensen" (Strict Selection)—only trading when volatility and trend alignment provide a clear statistical edge.
1. Visual Filtering (Background Colors)
The system uses background colors to provide instant environmental awareness:
Green Zone (High Probability):
Condition: ATR is above the 1.5-pip threshold and the price is diverging from the Kernel line.
Meaning: High volatility and momentum are present. This is the optimal "War Zone" for scalping.
Gray Zone (Avoidance):
Condition: Price is overlapping with the Kernel line.
Meaning: A "sideways" or "ranging" market. hmzk labels this as the "Death Point" where traders lose money due to spreads and lack of direction.
2. Technical Components
Calix Kernel Regression (h=21, r=34, x_0=55):
Serves as the primary trend filter. When the line is horizontal and price is tangled with it, stay out.
When the line slants and price moves away ("Gator opening"), follow the trend.
ATR Break-Out (1.5 Pips Threshold):
Ensures there is enough "meat" in the move to cover spreads and generate profit.
Fractal Arrows (▲/▼):
Indicates potential turning points or breakout levels. These are most effective when they appear in a Green Zone.
3. Execution & Discipline
The 40-Trade Rule: Limit yourself to roughly 40 high-quality trades per day to avoid overtrading and maintain focus.
0.4-Second Stop Loss: If the price action does not immediately follow your hypothesis, exit within a fraction of a second to minimize "expenses" (losses).
Pattern Over Instinct: Only enter when your predefined "form" or "pattern" appears. hmzk teaches that "waiting is the ultimate skill".
Market Context: Prioritize trades during high-liquidity windows like the London/NY open or specific time transitions (e.g., the 24:00 winter time shift).
8 AM (UTC-5) 1-Hour Candle High/Low Box This indicator creates a box for the 8 am (UTC-5) 1-hour candle and will delete on the chart once both the high and low is swept. When one side is swept, the box will turn orange.
Weekly RSI + EMA Bias (FREE)Weekly RSI + EMA Bias — FREE
This indicator provides a clean, non-repainting weekly directional bias using:
• EMA trend filter
• RSI strength confirmation
• One controlled flip per week
• IST-based weekly entry & exit logic
• Holiday-safe exit handling (no missed exits)
WHAT THIS IS:
• A bias / confirmation tool
• Designed for positional & weekly traders
• Works on all intraday and higher timeframes
WHAT THIS IS NOT:
• Not a strategy
• No backtesting or performance metrics
• No buy/sell guarantees
METRICS TABLE:
The weekly metrics table is intentionally locked (🔒).
A fully unlocked metrics + strategy version is available separately.
Best used as a decision-support tool alongside your own execution rules.
Gold Projection DivergenceGOLD PROJECTION DIVERGENCE
Oscillator Companion for the Gold Macro Projection Model
OVERVIEW
The Gold Projection Divergence oscillator quantifies how far gold is trading from its projected fair value. While the main indicator shows where gold should be, this oscillator shows how extreme the mispricing is—providing precise timing signals for entries and exits.
HOW IT WORKS
The oscillator calculates the difference between actual gold price and the projected value, then normalizes it as a Z-score . This statistical measure shows how many standard deviations gold is trading away from its projected fair value.
Z > +2 — Gold is 2+ standard deviations above fair value (extremely overvalued)
Z > +1 — Gold is moderately overvalued
Z = 0 — Gold is trading at projected fair value
Z < -1 — Gold is moderately undervalued
Z < -2 — Gold is 2+ standard deviations below fair value (extremely undervalued)
VISUAL ELEMENTS
Histogram — Color-coded divergence magnitude
Yellow Line — Smoothed Z-score
Dashed Lines — +2 and -2 standard deviation levels
Dotted Lines — +1 and -1 standard deviation levels
Triangle Markers — Extreme crossover signals
Circle Markers — Zero-line crossings
HISTOGRAM COLORS
Dark Red — Z > +2 (extreme overvaluation)
Orange — Z between +1 and +2
Light Orange — Z between 0 and +1
Light Green — Z between -1 and 0
Green — Z between -2 and -1
Lime — Z < -2 (extreme undervaluation)
COMPONENT TABLE
The breakdown table shows divergence from each individual factor:
Silver — Is gold over/undervalued relative to silver?
M2 — Is gold over/undervalued relative to money supply?
DXY — Is gold over/undervalued relative to dollar strength?
Equity — Is gold over/undervalued relative to stocks?
TIPS — Is gold over/undervalued relative to real rates?
TRADING APPLICATIONS
Mean Reversion Strategy
Enter LONG when Z < -2 and begins rising
Enter SHORT when Z > +2 and begins falling
Use zero-line crossings for trend confirmation
Trend Following Filter
Only take long trades when Z < 0 (undervalued)
Only take short trades when Z > 0 (overvalued)
Divergence Confirmation
Bearish: Price makes new highs while Z-score makes lower highs
Bullish: Price makes new lows while Z-score makes higher lows
ALERTS
Extreme Undervaluation — Z crosses below -2
Extreme Overvaluation — Z crosses above +2
Moderate Undervaluation — Z crosses below -1
Moderate Overvaluation — Z crosses above +1
Divergence Turned Positive — Crossed above zero
Divergence Turned Negative — Crossed below zero
COMBINED USAGE
For best results, use both indicators together :
Main Indicator — Visual context of actual vs. projected on price chart
Divergence Oscillator — Precise measurement for timing decisions
The main indicator shows where gold should be; the oscillator shows how extreme the mispricing is and when to act.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships. Market conditions can alter historical relationships. Always use proper risk management.
Gold Macro Projection ModelGOLD MACRO PROJECTION MODEL
Multi-Factor Fair Value Estimation for Gold
OVERVIEW
The Gold Macro Projection Model estimates gold's fair value based on its historical relationships with key macroeconomic drivers. By synthesizing data from silver , M2 money supply , the US Dollar Index , TIPS (real rates proxy) , and major equity indices , this indicator projects where gold should theoretically be trading—helping traders identify potential overvaluation and undervaluation conditions.
HOW IT WORKS
This indicator employs three complementary projection methodologies :
Correlation-Weighted Z-Score Composite (50% weight)
Calculates rolling correlations between gold and each input factor. Factors with stronger correlations receive more influence. Each factor is normalized to a z-score, combined into a composite, then converted back to gold's price scale.
Silver/Gold Ratio Mean Reversion (35% weight)
The silver/gold ratio historically exhibits mean-reverting behavior. This component projects gold's implied price based on current silver prices and the historical average ratio.
M2 Money Supply Relationship (15% weight)
Gold tracks monetary expansion over long time horizons. This anchors the projection to the fundamental relationship between gold and the monetary base.
INPUT FACTORS
Silver — Strong positive correlation; precious metals move together
M2 Money Supply — Positive correlation; gold as inflation hedge
US Dollar Index (DXY) — Typically negative correlation; inverse relationship
TIPS ETF — Real interest rate proxy; gold responds to real yields
Equity Indices — Variable correlation; risk-on/risk-off dynamics
VISUAL ELEMENTS
Yellow Line — Actual gold price
Aqua Line — Projected fair value
Green Fill — Gold trading below projection (potentially undervalued)
Red Fill — Gold trading above projection (potentially overvalued)
Aqua Bands — Standard deviation envelope around projection
INFO TABLE
The indicator displays a real-time information panel showing:
Current actual vs. projected price
Divergence percentage and Z-score
Rolling correlations for each factor
Dynamic weight allocation
Buy/Sell signal based on divergence extremes
SIGNAL INTERPRETATION
STRONG BUY — Z-score below -2 (extremely undervalued)
BUY — Z-score between -2 and -1 (moderately undervalued)
NEUTRAL — Z-score between -1 and +1 (fairly valued)
SELL — Z-score between +1 and +2 (moderately overvalued)
STRONG SELL — Z-score above +2 (extremely overvalued)
SETTINGS
Correlation Period — Lookback for correlation calculations (default: 60)
Regression Period — Lookback for mean/standard deviation (default: 120)
Smoothing Period — EMA smoothing for projection line (default: 10)
Auto Weights — Toggle between correlation-based or manual weights
Band Multiplier — Standard deviation multiplier for bands (default: 1.5)
ALERTS
Gold Extremely Undervalued — Z crosses below -2
Gold Extremely Overvalued — Z crosses above +2
Gold Crossed Above Projection
Gold Crossed Below Projection
BEST PRACTICES
Use on daily timeframe for most reliable signals
Combine with the companion Gold Divergence Oscillator for timing
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships. Always use proper risk management.
Broadening Formation Structure Review ToolThis script provides an educational, checklist-based framework for studying Broadening Formations together with basic Strat-style reversal behavior and higher-timeframe direction. It is designed to show multiple structural conditions in one place so users can observe how they interact. It does not execute trades, generate signals, or provide financial advice.
What makes this script original is the integration of four components into a single logical framework:
• dynamic tracking of Broadening Formation high/low levels
• proximity evaluation relative to those levels
• classification of simple bar reversal behavior
• higher-timeframe open–close continuity checks
Instead of using these concepts as separate tools, the script combines them into a single checklist so users can see when multiple conditions occur at the same time.
Broadening Formation levels may be user-defined or automatically derived using:
• unlimited dynamic expansion
• range-limited dynamic expansion
• swing-pivot detection
• manual input mode
Users may also optionally lock levels once a structure is identified.
Proximity to BF levels can be measured in several ways, including percentage, ticks, points, dollars, ATR multiples, or expected-move multiples. The script can also detect when price takes out BF highs or lows.
The script classifies basic Strat-style price behavior, including:
• two-up / two-down moves
• outside bars
• failed 2U/2D reversals
• 2D→2U and 2U→2D reversals
A selectable higher timeframe (such as 60, 240, D, W, or M) is used to evaluate direction by comparing the higher-timeframe open and close.
The on-chart table summarizes:
• current BF High and BF Low levels
• proximity status relative to those levels
• whether BF highs or lows have been taken out
• reversal classification results
• higher-timeframe direction
• theoretical risk distance and 2R/3R projections
Optional alerts can notify when three-condition or four-condition checklist alignment occurs, based only on the logical rules visible in the script. Optional chart lines for BF levels may also be displayed.
Transparency and behavior notes
• swing pivots repaint until confirmed
• higher-timeframe direction is only final at bar close
• dynamically derived BF levels may update as price forms new extremes
This script is intended purely for market-structure study and education. It does not guarantee performance, predict outcomes, or recommend trades.
First Opening Price of the YearOverview
This indicator identifies and plots the opening price of the first trading session of the calendar year. The "Yearly Open" is a significant psychological level for traders and institutions, often serving as a major pivot point for the entire year's trend.
How it Works
The script utilizes Pine Script v5's persistent variables to track the year change.
Detection: It compares the current bar's year (year) with the previous bar's year (year ).
Storage: When a discrepancy is found (indicating a new year has started), the script captures the open price of that specific bar.
Persistence: Using the var keyword, this price is stored in memory and carried forward for every subsequent bar of the year without being recalculated.
Visualization: The price is plotted as a series of blue crosses (style_cross) to clearly mark the level on the chart.
Chart Analysis & Examples
The following examples demonstrate how this simple level dictates market structure across different assets:
Historical Pivot Points (S&P 500):
This chart demonstrates how the Yearly Open acts as a critical pivot. Notice in 2022 how price struggled around the open before dropping, while in 2023 and 2024, the yearly open provided a solid base for the subsequent rallies.
Trend Confirmation (Bitcoin):
In strong trending markets, the Yearly Open serves as a trailing support. As seen in this Bitcoin example, price maintaining its position above the blue line confirms a sustained bullish bias for the year, acting as a "floor" for the trend.
Market Structure & Bias (Gold):
This example highlights the "Line in the Sand" concept. The indicator clearly marks the starting point of the year, allowing traders to instantly gauge if the asset is net positive or negative year-to-date. It filters out the noise and focuses on the macro direction.
How to Use
Traders can use this indicator to determine the higher-timeframe bias:
Bullish Bias: When the current price is trading above the blue crosses, the market is considered to be positive relative to the start of the year.
Bearish Bias: When the current price is trading below the blue crosses, the market is negative relative to the start of the year.
Settings
This script is "plug and play" and requires no manual input adjustments. It automatically detects the timeframe and year changes based on the chart data provided.
Disclaimer
This tool is for informational purposes only and DOES NOT constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk appropriately.
Swing Failure Signals [AlgoAlpha]🟠 OVERVIEW
This script detects swing failure patterns by tracking how price interacts with recent swing highs and lows, then confirming those sweeps with a change in candle behavior. The goal is to highlight areas where price briefly breaks a key level, fails to continue, and then shifts direction. These events often occur around liquidity runs, where stops are triggered before price reverses. The script draws levels, colors bars, and prints clear markers to help visualize where these failures occur and when they are confirmed.
🟠 CONCEPTS
The logic starts with pivot-based swing detection. Recent swing highs and lows are stored and monitored. When price trades beyond one of these levels within a defined historical window, it is treated as a sweep. A sweep alone is not enough. The script then waits for a Change in State of Delivery (CISD), which is defined by a shift in candle structure that shows follow-through in the opposite direction. A tolerance filter measures how far price traveled beyond the level relative to the reaction that followed. If the reaction is strong enough and happens within a limited number of bars, the sweep is validated as a swing failure. In short: the swing defines the reference, the sweep shows intent, and the CISD confirms acceptance or rejection.
🟠 FEATURES
Sweep detection with a maximum lookback to avoid outdated levels
CISD confirmation using candle structure and price expansion
Alert conditions for bullish and bearish swing failures
🟠 USAGE
Setup : Add the script to your chart. It works on any market and timeframe. Lower timeframes highlight intraday liquidity runs, while higher timeframes show structural failures. Start with the default inputs before adjusting.
Read the chart : A bullish swing failure occurs when price sweeps a prior low, then reverses and confirms with a bullish CISD. A bearish swing failure is the opposite, sweeping a prior high and confirming with a bearish CISD. Dashed lines mark the swept swing. Solid lines mark the CISD level. Bars are colored while the SFP state is active.
Settings that matter : Increasing Pivot Detection Length finds more significant swings but fewer signals. Reducing Max Pivot Point Edge limits how far back sweeps are allowed, keeping signals more current. The Patience setting controls how many bars are allowed for confirmation after a sweep. The Trend Noise Filter raises or lowers how strong the reaction must be to qualify as a valid failure.
Silver Projection DivergenceSILVER PROJECTION DIVERGENCE
Standardized Fair Value Divergence Oscillator
OVERVIEW
The Silver Projection Divergence oscillator is the companion indicator to the Silver Macro Projection Model. It quantifies the gap between silver's actual price and its projected fair value, displaying this divergence as a standardized z-score. This format makes it easier to identify extreme conditions and time entries/exits based on mean reversion.
HOW IT WORKS
The oscillator converts raw divergence (Actual Silver - Projected Silver) to a z-score by normalizing against its historical distribution:
Z-Score > 0 - Silver trading ABOVE projected value (overvalued)
Z-Score < 0 - Silver trading BELOW projected value (undervalued)
Z-Score > 2 - Extreme condition (2 standard deviations)
VISUAL ELEMENTS
Main Plot
Green line/histogram - Negative divergence (undervalued)
Red line/histogram - Positive divergence (overvalued)
Color intensity increases when divergence is expanding
Reference Lines
+2 sigma / -2 sigma (dashed) - Extreme zones
+1 sigma / -1 sigma (dotted) - Moderate deviation
Zero line - Fair value equilibrium
Signal Markers
Green Triangle (bottom) - Z-score crosses below -2 (STRONG BUY)
Red Triangle (top) - Z-score crosses above +2 (STRONG SELL)
Background
Light red background - Extreme overvaluation (Z > 2)
Light green background - Extreme undervaluation (Z < -2)
SIGNAL INTERPRETATION
Z > +2.0 - Extreme Overvaluation - STRONG SELL / Take profits
Z +1.0 to +2.0 - Moderate Overvaluation - Caution / Reduce exposure
Z -1.0 to +1.0 - Fair Value Range - Neutral / Hold
Z -2.0 to -1.0 - Moderate Undervaluation - Accumulate / Scale in
Z < -2.0 - Extreme Undervaluation - STRONG BUY signal
COMPONENT TABLE
The bottom-right table breaks down divergence by factor:
Gold Ratio - Deviation from gold-implied fair value
M2 Supply - Divergence from monetary-implied value
DXY Signal - Dollar strength bullish/bearish indication
Equities - Equity market positioning signal
OVERALL - Combined signal with Z-score
TRADING APPLICATIONS
Mean Reversion Strategy
Enter LONG when Z < -2 and begins rising
Enter SHORT when Z > +2 and begins falling
Use zero-line crossings for trend confirmation
Trend Following Filter
Only take long trades when Z < 0 (undervalued)
Only take short trades when Z > 0 (overvalued)
Divergence Confirmation
Bearish: Price makes new highs while Z-score makes lower highs
Bullish: Price makes new lows while Z-score makes higher lows
ALERTS
Extreme Undervaluation - Z crosses below -2
Extreme Overvaluation - Z crosses above +2
Divergence Turned Positive - Crossed above zero
Divergence Turned Negative - Crossed below zero
COMBINED USAGE
For best results, use both with Silver Macro Projection Model - indicator:
Main Indicator - Visual context of actual vs. projected on price chart
Divergence Oscillator - Precise measurement for timing decisions
The main indicator (Silver Macro Projection Model - ) shows where silver should be; this oscillator shows how extreme the mispricing is and when to act.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships. Market conditions can alter historical relationships. Always use proper risk management.
Silver Macro Projection ModelSILVER MACRO PROJECTION MODEL
Multi-Factor Fair Value Estimation for Silver
OVERVIEW
The Silver Macro Projection Model estimates silver's fair value based on its historical relationships with key macroeconomic drivers. By synthesizing data from gold, M2 money supply, the US Dollar Index, and major equity indices, this indicator projects where silver should theoretically be trading, helping traders identify potential overvaluation and undervaluation conditions.
HOW IT WORKS
This indicator employs three complementary projection methodologies:
Correlation-Weighted Z-Score Composite (50% weight) - Calculates rolling correlations between silver and each input factor. Factors with stronger correlations receive more influence. Each factor is normalized to a z-score, combined into a composite, then converted back to silver's price scale.
Gold/Silver Ratio Mean Reversion (35% weight) - The gold/silver ratio historically exhibits mean-reverting behavior. This component projects silver's implied price based on current gold prices and the historical average ratio.
M2 Money Supply Relationship (15% weight) - Silver tracks monetary expansion over long time horizons. This anchors the projection to the fundamental relationship between silver and the monetary base.
INPUT FACTORS
Gold - Strong Positive - Precious metals move together; silver amplifies gold
M2 Supply - Positive - Inflation hedge; expands with monetary base
DXY - Negative - Dollar strength pressures commodity prices
S&P 500 - Variable - Risk sentiment indicator
Dow Jones - Variable - Industrial/economic health proxy
Nasdaq 100 - Variable - Growth/risk appetite indicator
Russell 2000 - Variable - Small-cap risk sentiment
VISUAL ELEMENTS
Silver Line (Gray) - Actual silver price
Yellow Line - Model's projected fair value
Green Fill - Silver trading BELOW projection (potentially undervalued)
Red Fill - Silver trading ABOVE projection (potentially overvalued)
INFORMATION TABLE
The indicator displays a real-time panel showing:
Current correlation coefficients for each factor
Dynamic weight allocation based on correlation strength
Z-scores for each input factor
Actual vs. projected silver price
Percentage divergence from fair value
Signal classification (Strong Buy to Strong Sell)
SETTINGS
Lookback Settings
Correlation Period (default: 60) - Bars used for rolling correlations
Regression Period (default: 120) - Bars for z-score normalization
Smoothing Period (default: 10) - EMA smoothing on projection
Weight Settings
Use Auto Correlation Weights - Weights adjust dynamically based on correlation strength
Manual Weights - Override with custom factor weights
ALERTS
Silver Extremely Undervalued (Z < -2)
Silver Extremely Overvalued (Z > +2)
Price crossed above projection
Price crossed below projection
BEST PRACTICES
Use on daily timeframe for most reliable signals
Combine with the companion Divergence Oscillator for timing
Extreme divergences (>2 sigma) historically precede mean reversion
Consider macro environment as correlations shift during different regimes
Longer regression periods (150-250) for investing; shorter (60-90) for trading
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships. Always use proper risk management.
Percentile-Based BB% Trend - MattesOverview
The Percentile-Based BB% Trend is a robust momentum oscillator that reimagines the classic Bollinger %B indicator using percentile-based bands and median absolute deviation (MAD). Instead of relying on a simple moving average and standard deviation (which can be heavily influenced by outliers), this version builds dynamic bands from the 25th and 75th percentiles of price, creating a noise-resistant framework for measuring where the current price sits relative to its recent distribution.
How It’s Calculated
Percentile Smoothing : 25th percentile (lower boundary) and 75th percentile (upper boundary) of the selected source.
Basis Line : Midpoint between the 25th and 75th percentiles as a robust central measure.
Robust Volatility : Median Absolute Deviation (MAD) multiplied by a user-defined factor to set band width.
PBB% Value : (Price - Lower Band) / (Band Width), then shifted so the midline is at 0.
Trend Line : Light EMA smoothing applied to the raw value and displayed as colored columns.
How It Differs From Traditional %B
Uses 25th/75th percentiles + MAD instead of SMA + standard deviation → far less sensitive to outliers.
More adaptive to real-world skewed price distributions.
Stronger noise filtering while staying responsive to genuine momentum.
Why It’s Useful
Reduced false signals in choppy or spiky markets
Clear view of momentum strength and price extension
Persistent readings above/below 0 indicate sustained bullish/bearish control
Excellent as a trend-strength filter across all asset classes and timeframes
Application Examples
Trend Confirmation – Midline (0) crossovers confirm direction when paired with trend-following tools.
Overextension Warnings – Extreme readings signal potential exhaustion.
Momentum Filtering – Avoid entries when oscillator shows weak or overstretched conditions.
Divergence Hunting – Spot price making new highs/lows while oscillator fails to confirm.
Great inventions require greate care!
Not a Standalone Strategy: This indicator is designed as a complementary tool and should always be combined with other forms of analysis (price action, volume, higher-timeframe trend, or additional indicators).Potential Lags in Explosive Moves: The robust calculations and smoothing can slightly delay signals during very strong trends.Parameter Sensitivity: Optimal length and multiplier vary by market and timeframe — backtesting is essential.No indicator guarantees profits; past performance is not indicative of future results.
This indicator builds directly on the foundation of the Percentile-Based Bollinger Bands - Mattes, extending its robust methodology into oscillator form for deeper momentum analysis.Shoutout to all my Masterclass Brothers and L4 Gs!
