Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend - Strategy [presentTrading]At the heart of this endeavor is a passion for continuous improvement in the art of trading
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend - Strategy " is an advanced trading strategy that integrates the well-known SuperTrend indicator with a nuanced and dynamic approach to market trend analysis. Unlike conventional SuperTrend strategies that rely on static thresholds and fixed parameters, this strategy introduces multi-step take profit mechanisms that allow traders to capitalize on varying market conditions in a more controlled and systematic manner.
What sets this strategy apart is its ability to dynamically adjust to market volatility through the use of an incremental factor applied to the SuperTrend calculation. This adjustment ensures that the strategy remains responsive to both minor and major market shifts, providing a more accurate signal for entries and exits. Additionally, the integration of multi-step take profit levels offers traders the flexibility to scale out of positions, locking in profits progressively as the market moves in their favor.
BTC 6hr Long/Short Performance
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend strategy operates on the foundation of the SuperTrend indicator, but with several enhancements that make it more adaptable to varying market conditions. The key components of this strategy include the SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator, a dynamic normalization process, and multi-step take profit levels.
🔶 SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator
The SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator is the heart of this strategy. It is calculated by applying a series of SuperTrend calculations with varying factors, starting from a defined "Starting Factor" and incrementing by a specified "Increment Factor." The indicator length and the chosen price source (e.g., HLC3, HL2) are inputs to the oscillator.
The SuperTrend formula typically calculates an upper and lower band based on the average true range (ATR) and a multiplier (the factor). These bands determine the trend direction. In the FlexiSuperTrend strategy, the oscillator is enhanced by iteratively applying the SuperTrend calculation across different factors. The iterative process allows the strategy to capture both minor and significant trend changes.
For each iteration (indexed by `i`), the following calculations are performed:
1. ATR Calculation: The Average True Range (ATR) is calculated over the specified `indicatorLength`:
ATR_i = ATR(indicatorLength)
2. Upper and Lower Bands Calculation: The upper and lower bands are calculated using the ATR and the current factor:
Upper Band_i = hl2 + (ATR_i * Factor_i)
Lower Band_i = hl2 - (ATR_i * Factor_i)
Here, `Factor_i` starts from `startingFactor` and is incremented by `incrementFactor` in each iteration.
3. Trend Determination: The trend is determined by comparing the indicator source with the upper and lower bands:
Trend_i = 1 (uptrend) if IndicatorSource > Upper Band_i
Trend_i = 0 (downtrend) if IndicatorSource < Lower Band_i
Otherwise, the trend remains unchanged from the previous value.
4. Output Calculation: The output of each iteration is determined based on the trend:
Output_i = Lower Band_i if Trend_i = 1
Output_i = Upper Band_i if Trend_i = 0
This process is repeated for each iteration (from 0 to 19), creating a series of outputs that reflect different levels of trend sensitivity.
Local
🔶 Normalization Process
To make the oscillator values comparable across different market conditions, the deviations between the indicator source and the SuperTrend outputs are normalized. The normalization method can be one of the following:
1. Max-Min Normalization: The deviations are normalized based on the range of the deviations:
Normalized Value_i = (Deviation_i - Min Deviation) / (Max Deviation - Min Deviation)
2. Absolute Sum Normalization: The deviations are normalized based on the sum of absolute deviations:
Normalized Value_i = Deviation_i / Sum of Absolute Deviations
This normalization ensures that the oscillator values are within a consistent range, facilitating more reliable trend analysis.
For more details:
🔶 Multi-Step Take Profit Mechanism
One of the unique features of this strategy is the multi-step take profit mechanism. This allows traders to lock in profits at multiple levels as the market moves in their favor. The strategy uses three take profit levels, each defined as a percentage increase (for long trades) or decrease (for short trades) from the entry price.
1. First Take Profit Level: Calculated as a percentage increase/decrease from the entry price:
TP_Level1 = Entry Price * (1 + tp_level1 / 100) for long trades
TP_Level1 = Entry Price * (1 - tp_level1 / 100) for short trades
The strategy exits a portion of the position (defined by `tp_percent1`) when this level is reached.
2. Second Take Profit Level: Similar to the first level, but with a higher percentage:
TP_Level2 = Entry Price * (1 + tp_level2 / 100) for long trades
TP_Level2 = Entry Price * (1 - tp_level2 / 100) for short trades
The strategy exits another portion of the position (`tp_percent2`) at this level.
3. Third Take Profit Level: The final take profit level:
TP_Level3 = Entry Price * (1 + tp_level3 / 100) for long trades
TP_Level3 = Entry Price * (1 - tp_level3 / 100) for short trades
The remaining portion of the position (`tp_percent3`) is exited at this level.
This multi-step approach provides a balance between securing profits and allowing the remaining position to benefit from continued favorable market movement.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows traders to specify the trade direction through the `tradeDirection` input. The options are:
1. Both: The strategy will take both long and short positions based on the entry signals.
2. Long: The strategy will only take long positions.
3. Short: The strategy will only take short positions.
This flexibility enables traders to tailor the strategy to their market outlook or current trend analysis.
█ Usage
To use the Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend strategy, traders need to set the input parameters according to their trading style and market conditions. The strategy is designed for versatility, allowing for various market environments, including trending and ranging markets.
Traders can also adjust the multi-step take profit levels and percentages to match their risk management and profit-taking preferences. For example, in highly volatile markets, traders might set wider take profit levels with smaller percentages at each level to capture larger price movements.
The normalization method and the incremental factor can be fine-tuned to adjust the sensitivity of the SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator, making the strategy more responsive to minor market shifts or more focused on significant trends.
█ Default Settings
The default settings of the strategy are carefully chosen to provide a balanced approach between risk management and profit potential. Here is a breakdown of the default settings and their effects on performance:
1. Indicator Length (10): This parameter controls the lookback period for the ATR calculation. A shorter length makes the strategy more sensitive to recent price movements, potentially generating more signals. A longer length smooths out the ATR, reducing sensitivity but filtering out noise.
2. Starting Factor (0.618): This is the initial multiplier used in the SuperTrend calculation. A lower starting factor makes the SuperTrend bands closer to the price, generating more frequent trend changes. A higher starting factor places the bands further away, filtering out minor fluctuations.
3. Increment Factor (0.382): This parameter controls how much the factor increases with each iteration of the SuperTrend calculation. A smaller increment factor results in more gradual changes in sensitivity, while a larger increment factor creates a wider range of sensitivity across the iterations.
4. Normalization Method (None): The default is no normalization, meaning the raw deviations are used. Normalization methods like Max-Min or Absolute Sum can make the deviations more consistent across different market conditions, improving the reliability of the oscillator.
5. Take Profit Levels (2%, 8%, 18%): These levels define the thresholds for exiting portions of the position. Lower levels (e.g., 2%) capture smaller profits quickly, while higher levels (e.g., 18%) allow positions to run longer for more significant gains.
6. Take Profit Percentages (30%, 20%, 15%): These percentages determine how much of the position is exited at each take profit level. A higher percentage at the first level locks in more profit early, reducing exposure to market reversals. Lower percentages at higher levels allow for a portion of the position to benefit from extended trends.
Saham
Relative Strength (Volatility Adjusted)The volatility adjusted relative strength indicator offers a more precise approach to traditional RS indicators by incorporating volatility adjustments into its calculations. This will provide traders with a more nuanced view of relative performance between a selected instrument and a comparison index.
Identifying Relative Strength (RS) and Weakness (RW) against a benchmark like the SPY is crucial for traders, as it highlights institutional activity in an equity, which retail traders rarely achieve on their own. However, the traditional method of simply comparing the rate of change of a stock to the rate of change for the SPY can be flawed. This method often fails to account for the inherent volatility of each stock, leading to misleading RS/RW readings.
Consider two stocks that both move in response to SPY's movements. If SPY moves significantly more than its average (measured by its ATR), and the stock does the same, traditional RS calculations might show strength when, in fact, the stock is just mirroring SPY's increased volatility. For instance, if SPY typically moves $0.25 an hour but suddenly moves $1, and a stock typically moves $0.50 but moves $2, the stock's apparent RS might be overstated, when in reality there is no relative strength for the stock.
By adjusting for volatility using the ATR (Average True Range), we normalize these movements and get a clearer picture of true RS/RW. For example, if SPY moves 5 times its average rate and a stock moves the same multiple of its own ATR, the RS should be considered neutral rather than strong. Similarly if a stock in absolute terms moves $1 while the SPY also moves $1 but the stock usually moves at twice the rate of the SPY, the stock should be considered relatively weak - not neutral.
Usage
Use this to identify stocks with actual strength or weakness compared to the market.
When the RS line is above 0 and above the moving average it indicates a stock with relative strength that is still gaining more strength.
When the RS line is above 0 but above the moving average it indicates a stock with relative strength that is currently losing strength.
When the RS line is below 0 and below the moving average it indicates a stock with relative weakness that is still losing strength.
When the RS line is below 0 but above the moving average it indicates a stock with relative weakness that is starting to gain back some strength.
Portfolio Index Generator [By MUQWISHI]▋ INTRODUCTION:
The “Portfolio Index Generator” simplifies the process of building a custom portfolio management index, allowing investors to input a list of preferred holdings from global securities and customize the initial investment weight of each security. Furthermore, it includes an option for rebalancing by adjusting the weights of assets to maintain a desired level of asset allocation. The tool serves as a comprehensive approach for tracking portfolio performance, conducting research, and analyzing specific aspects of portfolio investment. The output includes an index value, a table of holdings, and chart plotting, providing a deeper understanding of the portfolio's historical movement.
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▋ OVERVIEW:
The image can be taken as an example of building a custom portfolio index. I created this index and named it “My Portfolio Performance”, which comprises several global companies and crypto assets.
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▋ OUTPUTS:
The output can be divided into 4 sections:
1. Portfolio Index Title (Name & Value).
2. Portfolio Specifications.
3. Portfolio Holdings.
4. Portfolio Index Chart.
1. Portfolio Index Title, displays the index name at the top, and at the bottom, it shows the index value, along with the chart timeframe, e.g., daily change in points and percentage.
2. Portfolio Specifications, displays the essential information on portfolio performance, including the investment date range, initial capital, returns, assets, and equity.
3. Portfolio Holdings, a list of the holding securities inside a table that contains the ticker, average entry price, last price, return percentage of the portfolio's initial capital, and customized weighted percentage of the portfolio. Additionally, a tooltip appears when the user passes the cursor over a ticker's cell, showing brief information about the company, such as the company's name, exchange market, country, sector, and industry.
4. Index Chart, display a plot of the historical movement of the index in the form of a bar, candle, or line chart.
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▋ INDICATOR SETTINGS:
Section(1): Style Settings
(1) Naming the index.
(2) Table location on the chart and cell size.
(3) Sorting Holdings Table. By securities’ {Return(%) Portfolio, Weight(%) Portfolio, or Ticker Alphabetical} order.
(4) Choose the type of index: {Equity or Return (%)}, and the plot type for the index: {Candle, Bar, or Line}.
(5) Positive/Negative colors.
(6) Table Colors (Title, Cell, and Text).
(7) To show/hide any indicator’s components.
Section(2): Performance Settings
(1) Calculation window period: from DateTime to DateTime.
(2) Initial Capital and specifying currency.
(3) Option to enable portfolio rebalancing in {Monthly, Quarterly, or Yearly} intervals.
Section(3): Portfolio Holdings
(1) Enable and count security in the investment portfolio.
(2) Initial weight of security. For example, if the initial capital is $100,000 and the weight of XYZ stock is 4%, the initial value of the shares would be $4,000.
(3) Select and add up to 30 symbols that interested in.
Please let me know if you have any questions.
Project Monday Strategy [AlgoAI System]Overview
Project Monday is a sophisticated trading strategy designed for active market participants. This strategy can be used alongside other forms of technical analysis, providing traders with additional tools to enhance their market insights. While it offers a flexible approach for identifying and exploiting market inefficiencies, Project Monday does not fit every market condition and requires adjustments. Its core principles include technical analysis and risk management, all aimed at making informed trading decisions and managing risk effectively.
Features
Project Monday Strategy works in any market and includes many features:
Efficient Trading Presets: Offers ready-to-use presets that allow traders to start efficient trading with one click.
Confirmation Signals: Provides signals to help traders validate trends, emphasizing informed decision-making (not to be followed blindly).
Reversal Signals: Identifies signals to alert traders to potential reversals, encouraging careful analysis (not to be followed blindly).
Adaptability: Can be adjusted to fit different market conditions, ensuring ongoing effectiveness.
Multi-Market Application: Suitable for use across various asset classes including stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies.
Integration: Can be used alongside other technical analysis tools for enhanced decision-making.
Position Sizing: Allows traders to determine optimal trade size using backtesting and trading performance dashboard.
Backtesting: Supports historical testing to refine and validate the strategy.
Continuous Monitoring: Includes features for ongoing performance evaluation and strategy adjustments.
Unique Project Monday Strategy Features on TradingView:
Adaptive Position Sizing: Dynamically adjusts the size of each position based on market conditions and predefined risk management criteria, ensuring optimal trade sizing and risk exposure.
Preliminary Position Opening: Allows traders to enter a position in anticipation of a signal confirmation, enabling them to capture early market movements and improve entry points.
Preliminary Position Closing: Enables traders to exit a position before a signal reversal, helping to lock in profits and minimize potential losses during volatile market conditions.
Adjusting Strategy Parameters:
Price Band Inputs:
Project Monday Strategy uses a set of configurable inputs to tailor its behavior according to the trader's preferences. The following are the key inputs for the price band calculations. Signals are not generated when the price remains within these bands.
“Length of Calculation” determines how many historical data points are used in the trend calculation. A shorter “Length of Calculation” will make the Price Band more responsive to recent price changes but may also increase the noise and the likelihood of false signals. A longer “Length of Calculation” will make the Price Band smoother, with less noise, but may cause more lag in reacting to price changes.
“Offset” determines the position of the Gaussian filter, which is used to weight the data points in the trend calculation. The offset is expressed as a fraction of the “Length of Calculation”, with a value between 0 and 1. A higher “Offset” will shift the Gaussian filter closer to the more recent data points, making the Price Band more responsive to recent price changes but potentially increasing noise. A lower “Offset” will shift the Gaussian filter closer to the centre of the window, resulting in a smoother Price Band but potentially introducing more lag.
“Sigma” refers to the standard deviation used in the Gaussian distribution function. This parameter determines the smoothness of the curve and the degree to which data points close to the centre of the “Length of Calculation” are weighted more heavily than those further away. A smaller “Sigma” will result in a narrower Gaussian filter, leading to a more responsive Price Band but with a higher chance of noise and false signals. A larger “Sigma” will result in a wider Gaussian filter, creating a smoother Price Band but with more lag.
Adjust the “Source” inputs to specify which type of price data should be used for strategy calculations and signal generation.
“Width of Band” input determines the multiplier for the band width. A higher value of “Width of Band” makes the price band wider, which generates fewer signals due to the lower probability of the price moving outside the band. Conversely, a lower multiplier makes the band narrower, generating more signals but also increasing the likelihood of false signals.
Direction input:
The Project Monday strategy includes an input to specify the direction of trades, allowing traders to control whether the strategy should consider long positions, short positions, or both. The following input parameter is used for this purpose:
This input parameter allows traders to define the type of positions the strategy will take. It has three options:
Only Long: The strategy will generate signals exclusively for buying or closing short positions, focusing on potential uptrends.
Only Short: The strategy will generate signals exclusively for selling or closing long positions, focusing on potential downtrends.
Both: The strategy will generate signals for both buying (long positions) and selling (short positions), allowing for a more comprehensive trading approach that captures opportunities in both rising and falling markets.
Signals Filter:
The Project Monday strategy includes inputs to filter signals based on higher timeframes and the length of the data used for filtering. These inputs help traders refine the strategy's performance by considering broader market trends and smoothing out short-term fluctuations.
Filter Timeframe input specifies the timeframe used for filtering signals. By choosing a higher timeframe, traders can filter out noise from shorter timeframes and focus on more significant trends. The options range from intraday minutes (e.g., 1, 5, 15 minutes) to daily (1D, 2D, etc.), weekly (1W, 2W, etc.), and monthly (1M) timeframes. This allows traders to align their strategy with their preferred trading horizon and market perspective.
Filter Length input defines the number of data points used for filtering signals on the selected timeframe. A longer filter length will smooth out the data more, helping to identify sustained trends and reduce the impact of short-term fluctuations. Conversely, a shorter filter length will make the filter more responsive to recent price changes, potentially generating more signals but also increasing sensitivity to market noise.
Adaptive Position Size:
The Project Monday strategy incorporates inputs for unique feature Adaptive Position Sizing (APS), which dynamically adjusts the size of trades based on market conditions and specified parameters. This feature helps optimize risk management and trading performance.
Enable Adaptive Position Size: Users can check or uncheck this box to enable or disable the Adaptive Position Size feature. When checked, the strategy dynamically adjusts position sizes based on the defined parameters. This allows traders to scale their positions according to market volatility and other factors, enhancing risk management and potentially improving returns. When unchecked, the strategy will not adjust position sizes adaptively, and positions will remain fixed as per other settings.
“Timeframe for Adaptive Position Size “input specifies the timeframe used for calculating the position size. Options range from intraday minutes (e.g., 30, 60 minutes) to daily (1D, 3D), weekly (1W), and monthly (1M) timeframes. Selecting an appropriate timeframe helps align position sizing calculations with the trader’s overall strategy and market perspective, ensuring that position sizes are adjusted based on relevant market data.
“APS Length” input defines the number of data points used to calculate the adaptive position size. A longer APS length will result in higher position sizes. Conversely, a shorter APS length will result in smaller position sizes.
Anticipatory Trading:
Project Monday Strategy includes inputs for unique feature Anticipatory Trading, allowing traders to open and close positions preliminarily based on certain conditions. This feature aims to provide an edge by taking action before traditional signals confirm.
Enable Preliminary Position Opening: Users can check or uncheck this box to enable or disable Preliminary Position Opening. When enabled, the strategy will open positions based on preliminary conditions before the standard signals are confirmed. This can help traders capitalize on early trend movements and potentially gain a better entry point.
Enable Preliminary Position Closing: Users can check or uncheck this box to enable or disable Preliminary Position Closing. When enabled, the strategy will close positions based on preliminary conditions before the standard exit signals are confirmed. This can help traders lock in profits or limit losses by exiting positions at the early signs of trend reversals.
“Position Size in %” input specifies the position size as a percentage of the trading capital. By setting this value, traders can control the amount of capital allocated to each trade. For example, a risk value of 40% means that 40% of the available trading capital will be used for each anticipatory trade. This helps in managing risk and ensuring that the position size aligns with the trader's risk tolerance and overall strategy.
Usage:
Signal Generation
Long signal indicates a potential uptrend, suggesting either buying or closing a short position. Short signal indicates a potential downtrend, suggesting either selling or closing a long position. Signals are generated on your chart when the price moves beyond a calculated price band based on the current trend.
Signal Filtering
The strategy includes a filtering mechanism based on the current or another timeframe. Filtering works best with higher timeframes. This component calculates the trend on a higher timeframe and predicts the trend, ensuring trades on the current timeframe are only opened if they align with the higher timeframe trend. Setting the right filter timeframe is crucial for obtaining the best signals.
Position Direction
Users can choose the direction of positions to open via the settings box. Options include only long positions, only short positions, or both.
Adaptive Position Size (APS)
Users can enable the Adaptive Position Size feature to adjust position sizes based on trend strength. The strategy evaluates the strength of the current trend based on a higher timeframe. The stronger the trend, the larger the position size for opening a position.
Anticipatory Trading
Users can activate this unique feature to enhance trading decisions. The strategy assesses the likelihood of receiving a main signal. If the opportunity appears strong, it opens a partial position, as specified in the settings box. As the probability of the signal strengthens, the strategy gradually increases the position size.
Exit Strategy
The strategy exits positions based on receiving a reverse signal. Positions opened through “Anticipatory trading” are exited incrementally as each preliminary signal reverses.
By following these steps, traders can implement the strategy to navigate various market scenarios, manage risk, and adjust trading performance over time. Adjusting parameters and monitoring signals diligently are key to adapting the strategy to individual trading styles and market conditions.
You will get
By purchasing the Project Monday strategy, you not only gain access to a cutting-edge system but also receive ready-to-use presets designed to help you start trading immediately and achieve optimal results. Additionally, you benefit from comprehensive support and the option to request custom presets for your desired financial instruments through our dedicated support team, ensuring you have the tools and assistance needed for successful trading.
Risk Disclaimer
This information is not a personalized investment recommendation, and the financial instruments or transactions mentioned in it may not be appropriate for your financial situation, investment objective(s), risk tolerance, and/or expected return. AlgoAI shall not be liable for any losses incurred in the event of transactions or investments in financial instruments mentioned in this information.
Markov Chain Trend IndicatorOverview
The Markov Chain Trend Indicator utilizes the principles of Markov Chain processes to analyze stock price movements and predict future trends. By calculating the probabilities of transitioning between different market states (Uptrend, Downtrend, and Sideways), this indicator provides traders with valuable insights into market dynamics.
Key Features
State Identification: Differentiates between Uptrend, Downtrend, and Sideways states based on price movements.
Transition Probability Calculation: Calculates the probability of transitioning from one state to another using historical data.
Real-time Dashboard: Displays the probabilities of each state on the chart, helping traders make informed decisions.
Background Color Coding: Visually represents the current market state with background colors for easy interpretation.
Concepts Underlying the Calculations
Markov Chains: A stochastic process where the probability of moving to the next state depends only on the current state, not on the sequence of events that preceded it.
Logarithmic Returns: Used to normalize price changes and identify states based on significant movements.
Transition Matrices: Utilized to store and calculate the probabilities of moving from one state to another.
How It Works
The indicator first calculates the logarithmic returns of the stock price to identify significant movements. Based on these returns, it determines the current state (Uptrend, Downtrend, or Sideways). It then updates the transition matrices to keep track of how often the price moves from one state to another. Using these matrices, the indicator calculates the probabilities of transitioning to each state and displays this information on the chart.
How Traders Can Use It
Traders can use the Markov Chain Trend Indicator to:
Identify Market Trends: Quickly determine if the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways state.
Predict Future Movements: Use the transition probabilities to forecast potential market movements and make informed trading decisions.
Enhance Trading Strategies: Combine with other technical indicators to refine entry and exit points based on predicted trends.
Example Usage Instructions
Add the Markov Chain Trend Indicator to your TradingView chart.
Observe the background color to quickly identify the current market state:
Green for Uptrend, Red for Downtrend, Gray for Sideways
Check the dashboard label to see the probabilities of transitioning to each state.
Use these probabilities to anticipate market movements and adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
Combine the indicator with other technical analysis tools for more robust decision-making.
PUMP IndicatorsPUMP Indicator Description
★ Supported Markets and Assets
The PUMP indicator is a versatile tool that can be effectively applied to various markets and assets, including:
▶ Korean Stocks: KOSPI, KOSDAQ, etc.
▶ U.S. Stocks: NYSE, NASDAQ, etc.
▶ Cryptocurrencies: Major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), etc.
▶ Futures: Major futures contracts like gold, silver, crude oil, etc.
▶ ETFs: SPY, QQQ, etc.
★ Indicator Description
The PUMP indicator is designed to analyze price divergence and volatility.
It is provided with minimal representation on the chart, allowing users to use it in conjunction with other indicators, such as classical RSI, TRIX, CCI, ADX, BWI, Bollinger Bands, etc.
Everything displayed on the chart can be turned on or off in the options, allowing users to customize their setup.
The PUMP indicator is based on the concept of the MACD indicator, which calculates the difference between the leading line and the lagging line to generate signals.
GOOD, UP, and CR signals predict price increases.
DOWN and BAD signals predict price decreases.
WARN emphasizes that the buy position is not certain, regardless of price increases or decreases.
Therefore, the PUMP indicator is good to use with other indicators. It visually displays divergence and volatility signals along with the MACD movements below, and users can receive alerts for movements in their interested stocks using the alarm function.
It can be used as an indicator for viewing buy and sell signals, as well as predicting the price flow.
▶ (Drawback) Unlike typical TRIX, RSI, TRIX, CCI, ADX, BWI indicators, which are implemented in a new lower window, the PUMP indicator displays both signals and the leading and lagging lines simultaneously, so it is not implemented in a new window, meaning the baseline may vary depending on the daily chart appearance.
★ The PUMP indicator consists of the following components:
▶ PUMP Indicator Leading and Lagging Lines
PUMP t: Leading line (yellow)
PUMP p: Lagging line (blue)
The MACD displayed at the bottom of the chart calculates the divergence between the PUMP t leading line and the PUMP p lagging line.
▶ EA Formula
The core calculation of the PUMP indicator is as follows:
EA (Exponential Average): 100 * (eavg1 / eavg2)
Where eavg1 is the short-term EMA, and eavg2 is the long-term EMA.
It calculates the divergence of the index.
▶ The PUMP indicator is a fixed indicator (cannot be arbitrarily modified).
▶ Highlights: The method of calculating the interval or number of uses is an important part of the index calculation and is therefore private.
★ Signal Description
The PUMP indicator provides a total of six major signals:
▶ UP Signal: Occurs when the divergence between the MACD PUMP t leading line and PUMP p lagging line narrows, and the divergence of the exponential moving average widens compared to before.
▶ DOWN Signal: Occurs when the MACD PUMP t leading line crosses above the PUMP p lagging line.
▶ GOOD Signal: Represents an UP signal with added volume.
(The GOOD signal is not necessarily better than the UP signal. If a GOOD signal appears in a stock that has sufficiently fallen in price, it helps understand that a rebound has started. Therefore, the GOOD signal is made to find a rebound in stocks that have continuously declined, rather than finding signals in consistently rising prices.)
▶ BAD Signal: Occurs when the PUMP t leading line crosses above the 0 baseline, indicating a potential sell signal.
▶ WARN Signal: A warning signal occurring at high levels, indicating that buying is not recommended (regardless of buy or sell).
▶ CR Signal: Occurs in all sections where the PUMP t leading line crosses below the PUMP p lagging line.
★ Lower MACD Horizontal Baseline
The PUMP indicator provides three horizontal baselines from the MACD indicator for additional analysis:
▶ Pump H
▶ PUMP M
▶ PUMP L
It visually provides the divergence of the lower MACD indicator for rising and falling changes, with the default set to 0, and users can change the numbers in the options as needed.
★ Moving Averages
The PUMP indicator provides three basic moving averages:
▶ Buzz 7: 7-day moving average
▶ Buzz 26: 26-day moving average
▶ Buzz 120: 120-day moving average
The number of moving averages is fixed, but users can use them in conjunction with the moving averages provided by TradingView as needed.
★ Alert Function
Using the Alert function of TradingView, you can set alerts for various signals generated by the PUMP indicator.
▶ GOOD Signal Alert
▶ UP Signal Alert
▶ CR Signal Alert
▶ DOWN Signal Alert
▶ BAD Signal Alert
▶ WARN Signal Alert
★ Usage
1. The PUMP indicator is not focused on buy and sell signals but calculates the current price movement and divergence and is designed to express it through MACD leading and lagging lines and signals.
2. The PUMP indicator can be used alone or in conjunction with other indicators for technical analysis.
3. You can analyze buy and sell using the signals of the PUMP indicator along with fundamental analysis, such as news, issues, national policies, company profits, and sales increases.
4. The MACD leading and lagging lines at the bottom of the chart move inversely to the price, ensuring that the PUMP indicator does not interfere when used with other indicators.
5. You can receive real-time alerts using the alarm function.
Below, we attach pictures to help users understand.
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PUMP 인디케이터 설명(한글)
★ 지원되는 시장 및 자산
PUMP 표시기는 다음과 같은 다양한 시장 및 자산에 효과적으로 적용할 수 있는 다용도 도구입니다:
▶ 한국주식: KOSPI, KOSDAQ 등.
▶ 미국주식: NYSE, NASDAQ 등.
▶ 암호화폐: 비트코인(BTC), 이더리움(ETH) 등 주요 암호화폐.
▶ 선물 : 금, 은, 원유 등 주요 선물 계약.
▶ 상장지수펀드(ETF) : SPY, QQQ 등.
★ 지표 설명
PUMP 지표는 가격 이격과 변동성을 분석하도록 설계되었습니다.
사용자가 만든 지표 또는 고전 RSI, TRIX, CCI, ADX, BWI, Bollinger Bands 등과 함께 사용할 수 있게 차트에 최소한의 표현으로 제공됩니다.
그리고 차트에 표현되는 모든 것들을 옵션에서 on / off 가능하게 하였기에 사용자가 커스텀 할 수 있게 하였습니다.
PUMP 지표 신호를 생성하기 위해 선행 라인과 후행 라인 간의 차이를 계산하는 MACD 지표의 개념을 기반으로 합니다.
GOOD, UP, CR 신호는 가격 상승을 예측합니다.
DOWN, BAD 신호는 가격 하락을 예측합니다.
WARN은 가격 상승과 하락에 관계없이, 매수 자리는 확실히 아님을 강조한 신호입니다.
그러므로 PUMP 지표는 다른 지표와 함께 사용하기 좋고, 이격과 변동성을 신호와 하단 MACD 움직임을 눈으로 볼 수 있으며, 알람 기능을 활용하여 관심 있는 종목의 움직임을 알람으로 받아 볼 수 있는 지표입니다.
매수와 매도를 보는 지표로 사용할 수 있으며, 가격의 흐름을 예상하는 지표로 사용할 수 있습니다.
▶ (단점) 보통의 TRIX, RSI, TRIX, CCI, ADX, BWI 지표들은 하단의 새로운 창에서 구현됩니다. 하지만 PUMP 지표는 신호와 하단 선행과 후행을 동시에 표현하기 때문에 새로운 창에서 구현되지 않기에 기준 축이 일봉의 모습에 따라 달라질 수 있습니다.
★ PUMP 지표는 다음과 같은 구성요소로 구성됩니다
▶ PUMP 지표 선행과 후행
PUMP t : 선행라인 (노란색)
PUMP p : 후행라인 (파란색)
차트 하단에 나타나는 MACD는 PUMP t선행라인과 PUMP p 후행라인의 이격도를 계산합니다.
▶ EA공식
PUMP 지표의 핵심 계산식은 다음과 같습니다:
EA(지수평균): 100 * (eavg1 / eavg2)
여기서 eavg1은 단기 EMA이고 eavg2는 장기 EMA입니다.
지수의 이격도를 계산합니다.
▶ PUMP 지표는 고정 지표입니다. (임의 수정 불가)
▶ 강조 : 이격의 계산법이나 사용하는 숫자는 지표 계산의 중요한 부분이므로 비공개입니다.
★ 신호 설명
PUMP 표시등은 총 6개의 주요 신호를 제공합니다:
▶ UP 신호: MACD PUMP t 선행과 PUMP p 후행의 이격이 줄어들 때, 지수 이동 평균의 이격도가 이전 보다 넓어지면 발생합니다.
▶ DOWN 신호: MACD PUMP t 선행이 PUMP p 후행을 상향 교차할 때 발생합니다.
▶ GOOD 신호: 거래량이 추가된 UP 신호를 나타냅니다.
(GOOD 신호가 UP 신호보다 좋다기 보다, 충분히 가격 하락한 종목에서 GOOD 신호가 나온다면 반등이 시작되는 것을 이해할 수 있게 만든 지표입니다. 그러므로 GOOD 신호는 가격이 꾸준히 상승하는 곳에서 신호를 찾기보다, 지속 하락하다 반등을 찾는 신호로 만들었습니다.)
▶ BAD 신호: PUMP t 선행이 0 기준선 이상으로 교차할 때 발생하며, 이는 잠재적인 판매 신호를 나타냅니다.
▶ 경고 신호: 높은 수준에서 발생하는 경고 신호로, 매수가 권장되지 않음을 나타냅니다(매수, 매도와 무관함).
▶ CR 신호: PUMP t 선행 라인이 PUMP p 후행 라인 아래로 교차하는 모든 구간에서 발생합니다.
★ 하단 MACD 가로 기준선
PUMP 표시기는 추가 분석을 위해 MACD 지표에서 3가지 가로 기준을 제공합니다:
▶ pump H
▶ PUMP M
▶ PUMP L
하단의 MACD 지표의 이격도를 상승 및 하강의 변화를 시각적으로 기준을 만들 수 있게 제공하며, 기본은 0으로 제공하고, 사용자의 필요에 따라 옵션에서 숫자를 변경할 수 있게 하였습니다.
★ 이동 평균
PUMP 표시기는 세 가지 기본 이동 평균을 제공 합니다:
▶ Buzz 7: 7일 이동 평균
▶ Buzz 26: 26일 이동 평균
▶ Buzz 120 : 120일 이동 평균
이동 평균의 수는 고정되어 있지만, 사용자는 필요에 따라 TradingView에서 제공하는 이동 평균과 함께 사용할 수 있습니다.
★ 알림 기능
TradingView의 Alert 기능을 사용하여 PUMP 지표 생성되는 다양한 신호에 대한 Alert를 설정할 수 있습니다.
▶ GOOD 신호 알림
▶ UP 신호 알림
▶ CR 신호 알림
▶ DOWN 신호 알림
▶ BAD 신호 알림
▶ WARN 신호 알림
★ 사용법
1.PUMP 지표는 매수와 매도에 중점을 둔 지표가 아니며 현재 가격의 움직임과 이격도를 계산하며 MACD 선행과 후행 그리고 신호로 표현하기 위해 만들어진 지표입니다.
2. PUMP 지표는 단일로 사용할 수 있고, 또는 다른 지표와 함께 기술적분석으로 사용할 수 있습니다.
3. 뉴스와 이슈, 국가의 정책, 회사의 이익, 매출의 상승 등 기본적분석과 함께 PUMP 지표의 신호를 이용하여 매수와 매도 분석을 할 수 있습니다.
4. 차트 하단의 MACD 선행과 후행은 가격의 움직임을 반대로 움직이며, 가격과 반대로 움직이게 함으로써 다른 지표와 함께 사용하였을 때, PUMP 지표가 방해가 되지 않게 하였습니다.
5. 알람을 사용하여 실시간으로 알람을 받아 보실 수 있습니다.
아래 사진을 첨부하여 사용자 이해를 돕습니다.
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UP신호는 이격을
▶ The UP signal indicates horizontal divergence.
CR신호는 선행이 후행을 아래로 돌파
▶ The CR signal indicates vertical divergence when the leading line crosses below the lagging line.
WARN 신호를 확인
▶ Check the WARN signal.
BAD와 DOWN 신호
▶ BAD and DOWN signals.
PUMP 지표의 기준 3개
3 criteria for PUMP indicators
따로 그림을 그리지 않은 차트
▶ A chart without separate drawings.
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다른 지표와 + 조합
+ Combination with other indicators
Macro Risk On/Off SentimentOverview
As an Ichimoku trader, I've always found it crucial to understand the broader market sentiment before entering trades. That's why I developed this Macro Risk On/Off Sentiment Indicator. It's designed to provide a comprehensive view of global market risk sentiment by analysing multiple factors across different asset classes. By combining nine key market indicators, it produces an overall risk sentiment score, giving me a clearer picture of the market's mood before I apply my Ichimoku strategy.
Rationale
While Ichimoku is powerful for identifying trends and potential entry points, I realised it doesn't always capture the broader market context. Markets don't exist in isolation—they're influenced by a myriad of factors including volatility, economic indicators, and cross-asset relationships. By creating this indicator, I aimed to fill that gap, providing myself with a macro view that complements my Ichimoku analysis.
How It Works
The indicator analyses nine different market factors:
VIX (Volatility Index): Measures market expectations of near-term volatility.
S&P 500 Performance: Represents the overall US stock market performance.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Indicates bond market sentiment and economic outlook.
Gold Price Movement: Often seen as a safe-haven asset.
US Dollar Index: Measures the strength of the USD against a basket of currencies.
Emerging Markets Performance: Represents risk appetite for higher-risk markets.
High Yield Bond Spreads: Indicates credit market risk sentiment.
Copper/Gold Ratio: An economic growth indicator.
Put/Call Ratio: Measures overall market sentiment based on options trading.
Each factor is assigned a score based on its z-score relative to its recent history, then weighted according to its perceived importance. The overall risk score is a weighted average of these individual scores.
How I Use It
Before applying my Ichimoku strategy, I first check this indicator to gauge the overall market sentiment:
I look at the blue line plotted on the chart, which represents the overall risk score.
I note the background colour: green for risk-on (positive score) and red for risk-off (negative score).
I check the label in the lower-left corner, which provides specific FX pair recommendations and market expectations.
In a risk-on environment (positive score):
I focus on long positions in AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY, EUR/USD, etc.
I look for short opportunities in USD/CAD, USD/NOK, etc.
I expect commodities and yields to rise
In a risk-off environment (negative score):
I focus on long positions in USD/JPY, USD/CHF, USD/CAD
I look for short opportunities in AUD/USD, NZD/USD, EUR/USD
I expect increased volatility and falling yields
The strength of the sentiment is reflected in how close the score is to either 1 (strong risk-on) or -1 (strong risk-off). This helps me gauge how aggressive or conservative I should be with my Ichimoku trades.
Customisation
I've designed this indicator to be flexible. You can modify it to:
Adjust the lookback period and moving average length (both default to 30)
Change the weighting of different factors in the final score calculation
Include or exclude specific factors based on your analysis needs
By combining this Macro Risk On/Off Sentiment Indicator with my Ichimoku analysis, I've found I can make more informed trading decisions, taking into account both the technical setups I see on the chart and the broader market context.
Price Excess with Adjustable RecoveryIndicator: Price Excess with Adjustable Recovery
This indicator detects excessive price movements and displays a potential recovery level. It is particularly useful for identifying trading opportunities after significant market movements.
>> Key Features:
1. Detection of upward and downward price excesses
2. Display of an adjustable recovery level
3. Customizable parameters to adapt to different instruments and timeframes
>> Adjustable Parameters:
- Period: Number of candles for calculating the average and standard deviation (default: 14)
- Excess Threshold: Number of standard deviations to consider a movement as excessive (default: 1.5)
- Recovery Percentage: Recovery level as a percentage (default: 50%)
>> Usage:
1. Red triangles indicate a downward excess
2. Green triangles signal an upward excess
3. The blue line represents the potential recovery level
>> Possible Strategies:
- Counter-trend: Consider buying during downward excesses and selling during upward excesses
- Trend-following: Use the recovery level as a potential profit target
>> Usage Tips:
- Combine this indicator with other technical analysis tools to confirm signals
- Adjust the parameters according to the asset's volatility and your trading horizon
- Use appropriate risk management, as excessive movements can sometimes continue
Feel free to experiment with the parameters to find the configuration that best suits your trading style. Happy trading!
By DL INVEST
Buy-Sell Volume Bar Gauge [By MUQWISHI]▋ INTRODUCTION :
The Buy-Sell Volume Bar Gauge is developed to provide traders with a detailed analysis of volume in bars using a low timeframe, such as a 1-second interval, to measure the dominance of buy and sell for each bar. By highlighting the balance between buying and selling activities, the Buy-Sell Volume Bar Gauge helps traders identify potential volume momentum of a bar; aimed at being a useful tool for day traders and scalpers.
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▋ OVERVIEW:
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▋ METHODOLOGY:
The concept is based on bars from a lower timeframe within the current chart timeframe bar, where volume is categorized into Up, Down, and Neutral Volume, with each one displayed as a portion of a column plot. Up Volume is recorded when the price experiences a positive change, Down Volume occurs when the price experiences a negative change, and Neutral Volume is observed when the price shows no significant change.
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▋ INDICATOR SETTINGS:
(1) Fetch data from the selected lower timeframe. Note: If the selected timeframe is invalid (higher than chart), the indicator will automatically switch to 1 second.
(2) Price Source.
(3) Treating Neutral Data (Price Source) as
Neutral: In a lower timeframe, when the bar has no change in its price, the volume is counted as Neutral Volume.
Previous Move: In a lower timeframe, when the bar has no change in its price, the volume is counted as the previous change; “Up Volume” if the previous change was positive, and “Down Volume” if the previous change was negative.
Opposite Previous Move: In a lower timeframe, when the bar has no change in its price, the volume is counted as the opposite previous change; “Up Volume” if the previous change was negative, and “Down Volume” if the previous change was positive.
(4) Average Volume Length, it's used for lighting/darkening columns in a plot.
(5) Enable Alert.
(7) Total bought (%) Level.
(8) Total Sold (%) Level.
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▋ COMMENT:
The Buy-Sell Volume Bar Gauge can be taken as confirmation for predicting the next move, but it should not be considered a major factor in making a trading decision.
Calculus Free Trend Strategy for Crypto & StocksObjective :
The Correlation Channel Trading Strategy is designed to identify potential entry points based on the relationship between price movements and a correlation channel. The strategy aims to capture trends within the channel while managing risk effectively.
Parameters :
Length: Determines the period for calculating moving averages and the true range, influencing the sensitivity of the strategy to price movements.
Multiplier: Adjusts the width of the correlation channel, providing flexibility to adapt to different market conditions.
Inputs :
Asset Symbol: Allows users to specify the financial instrument for analysis.
Timeframe: Defines the timeframe for data aggregation, enabling customization based on trading preferences.
Plot Correlation Channel: Optional input to visualize the correlation channel on the price chart.
Methodology :
Data Acquisition: The strategy fetches OHLC (Open, High, Low, Close) data for the specified asset and timeframe. In this case we use COINBASE:BTCUSD
Calculation of Correlation Channel: It computes the squared values for OHLC data, calculates the average value (x), and then calculates the square root of x to derive the source value. Additionally, it calculates the True Range as the difference between high and low prices.
Moving Averages: The strategy calculates moving averages (MA) for the source value and the True Range, which form the basis for defining the correlation channel.
Upper and Lower Bands: Using the MA and True Range, the strategy computes upper and lower bands of the correlation channel, with the width determined by the multiplier.
Entry Conditions: Long positions are initiated when the price crosses above the upper band, signaling potential overbought conditions. Short positions are initiated when the price crosses below the lower band, indicating potential oversold conditions.
Exit Conditions: Stop-loss mechanisms are incorporated directly into the entry conditions to manage risk. Long positions are exited if the price falls below a predefined stop-loss level, while short positions are exited if the price rises above the stop-loss level.
Strategy Approach: The strategy aims to capitalize on trends within the correlation channel, leveraging systematic entry signals while actively managing risk through stop-loss orders.
Backtest Details : For the purpose of this test I used the entire data available for BTCUSD Coinbase, with 10% of capital allocation and 0.1% comission for entry/exit(0.2% total). Can be also used with other both directly correlated with current settings of BTC or with new ones
Advantages :
Provides a systematic approach to trading based on quantifiable criteria.
Offers flexibility through customizable parameters to adapt to various market conditions.
Integrates risk management through predefined stop-loss mechanisms.
Limitations :
Relies on historical price data and technical indicators, which may not always accurately predict future price movements.
May generate false signals during periods of low volatility or erratic price behavior.
Requires continuous monitoring and adjustment of parameters to maintain effectiveness.
Conclusion :
The Correlation Channel Trading Strategy offers traders a structured framework for identifying potential entry points within a defined price channel. By leveraging moving averages and true range calculations, the strategy aims to capture trends while minimizing risk through stop-loss mechanisms. While no strategy can guarantee success in all market conditions, the Correlation Channel Trading Strategy provides a systematic approach to trading that can enhance decision-making and risk management for traders.
Index Generator [By MUQWISHI]▋ INTRODUCTION :
The “Index Generator” simplifies the process of building a custom market index, allowing investors to enter a list of preferred holdings from global securities. It aims to serve as an approach for tracking performance, conducting research, and analyzing specific aspects of the global market. The output will include an index value, a table of holdings, and chart plotting, providing a deeper understanding of historical movement.
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▋ OVERVIEW:
The image can be taken as an example of building a custom index. I created this index and named it “My Oil & Gas Index”. The index comprises several global energy companies. Essentially, the indicator weights each company by collecting the number of shares and then computes the market capitalization before sorting them as seen in the table.
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▋ OUTPUTS:
The output can be divided into 3 sections:
1. Index Title (Name & Value).
2. Index Holdings.
3. Index Chart.
1. Index Title , displays the index name at the top, and at the bottom, it shows the index value, along with the daily change in points and percentage.
2. Index Holdings , displays list the holding securities inside a table that contains the ticker, price, daily change %, market cap, and weight %. Additionally, a tooltip appears when the user passes the cursor over a ticker's cell, showing brief information about the company, such as the company's name, exchange market, country, sector, and industry.
3. Index Chart , display a plot of the historical movement of the index in the form of a bar, candle, or line chart.
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▋ INDICATOR SETTINGS:
(1) Naming the index.
(2) Entering a currency. To unite all securities in one currency.
(3) Table location on the chart.
(4) Table’s cells size.
(5) Table’s colors.
(6) Sorting table. By securities’ (Market Cap, Change%, Price, or Ticker Alphabetical) order.
(7) Plotting formation (Candle, Bar, or Line)
(8) To show/hide any indicator’s components.
(9) There are 34 fields where user can fill them with symbols.
Please let me know if you have any questions.
ATR Grid Levels [By MUQWISHI]▋ INTRODUCTION :
The “ATR Levels” produces a sequence of horizontal line levels above and below the Center Line (reference level). They are sized based on the instrument's volatility, representing the average historical price movement on a selected higher timeframe using the average true range (ATR) indicator.
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▋ OVERVIEW:
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▋ IMPLEMENTATION:
The indicator starts by drawing a Center Line that is selected by the user from a variety of common levels. Then, it draws a sequence of horizontal lines above and below the Center Line, which are sized based on the most confirmed average true range (ATR) at the selected higher timeframe.
In the top right corner of the chart, there is a table displaying both the selected ATR (in the right cell) and the ATR of the current bar (in the left cell). This feature enables users to compare these two values. It's important to note that the ATR of the current bar may not be confirmed yet, as the market is still active.
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▋ INDICATOR SETTINGS:
# Section (1): ATR Settings
(1) ATR Period & Smoothing.
(2) Timeframe where ATR value imported from.
(3) To show/hide the table comparison between the current ATR and the ATR for the selected period. Also, ability to color the current ATR cell if it’s greater.
# Section (2): Levels Settings
(1) Selecting a Center Line level among a variety of common levels, which is taken as reference level where a sequence of horizontal lines plot above and below it.
(2) Size of grid in ATR unit.
(3) Number of horizontal lines to plot in a single side.
(4) Grid Side. Ability to plot above or below the Center Line.
(5) Lines colors, and mode.
(6) Line style.
(7) Label style.
(8) Ability to remove old lines, from previous HTF.
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▋ COMMENT:
The ATR Levels should not be taken as a major concept to build a trading decision.
Please let me know if you have any questions.
Thank you.
Bandwidth Volatility - Silverman Rule of thumb EstimatorOverview
This indicator calculates volatility using the Rule of Thumb bandwidth estimator and incorporating the standard deviations of returns to get historical volatility. There are two options: one for the original rule of thumb bandwidth estimator, and another for the modified rule of thumb estimator. This indicator comes with the bandwidth , which is shown with the color gradient columns, which are colored by a percentile of the bandwidth, and the moving average of the bandwidth, which is the dark shaded area.
The rule of thumb bandwidth estimator is a simple and quick method for estimating the bandwidth parameter in kernel density estimation (KSE) or kernel regression. It provides a rough approximation of the bandwidth without requiring extensive computation resources or fine-tuning. One common rule of thumb estimator is Silverman rule, which is given by
h = 1.06*σ*n^(-1/5)
where
h is the bandwidth
σ is the standard deviation of the data
n is the number of data points
This rule of thumb is based on assuming a Gaussian kernel and aims to strike a balance between over-smoothing and under-smoothing the data. It is simple to implement and usually provides reasonable bandwidth estimates for a wide range of datasets. However , it is important to note that this rule of thumb may not always have optimal results, especially for non-Gaussian or multimodal distributions. In such cases, a modified bandwidth selection, such as cross-validation or even applying a log transformation (if the data is right-skewed), may be preferable.
How it works:
This indicator computes the bandwidth volatility using returns, which are used in the standard deviation calculation. It then estimates the bandwidth based on either the Silverman rule of thumb or a modified version considering the interquartile range. The percentile ranks of the bandwidth estimate are then used to visualize the volatility levels, identify high and low volatility periods, and show them with colors.
Modified Rule of thumb Bandwidth:
The modified rule of thumb bandwidth formula combines elements of standard deviations and interquartile ranges, scaled by a multiplier of 0.9 and inversely with a number of periods. This modification aims to provide a more robust and adaptable bandwidth estimation method, particularly suitable for financial time series data with potentially skewed or heavy-tailed data.
Formula for Modified Rule of Thumb Bandwidth:
h = 0.9 * min(σ, (IQR/1.34))*n^(-1/5)
This modification introduces the use of the IQR divided by 1.34 as an alternative to the standard deviation. It aims to improve the estimation, mainly when the underlying distribution deviates from a perfect Gaussian distribution.
Analysis
Rule of thumb Bandwidth: Provides a broader perspective on volatility trends, smoothing out short-term fluctuations and focusing more on the overall shape of the density function.
Historical Volatility: Offers a more granular view of volatility, capturing day-to-day or intra-period fluctuations in asset prices and returns.
Modelling Requirements
Rule of thumb Bandwidth: Provides a broader perspective on volatility trends, smoothing out short-term fluctuations and focusing more on the overall shape of the density function.
Historical Volatility: Offers a more granular view of volatility, capturing day-to-day or intra-period fluctuations in asset prices and returns.
Pros of Bandwidth as a volatility measure
Robust to Data Distribution: Bandwidth volatility, especially when estimated using robust methods like Silverman's rule of thumb or its modifications, can be less sensitive to outliers and non-normal distributions compared to some other measures of volatility
Flexibility: It can be applied to a wide range of data types and can adapt to different underlying data distributions, making it versatile for various analytical tasks.
How can traders use this indicator?
In finance, volatility is thought to be a mean-reverting process. So when volatility is at an extreme low, it is expected that a volatility expansion happens, which comes with bigger movements in price, and when volatility is at an extreme high, it is expected for volatility to eventually decrease, leading to smaller price moves, and many traders view this as an area to take profit in.
In the context of this indicator, low volatility is thought of as having the green color, which indicates a low percentile value, and also being below the moving average. High volatility is thought of as having the yellow color and possibly being above the moving average, showing that you can eventually expect volatility to decrease.
Optimal Buy Day (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Optimal Buy Day (Zeiierman) indicator identifies optimal buying days based on historical price data, starting from a user-defined year. It simulates investing a fixed initial capital and making regular monthly contributions. The unique aspect of this indicator involves comparing systematic investment on specific days of the month against a randomized buying day each month, aiming to analyze which method might yield more shares or a better average price over time. By visualizing the potential outcomes of systematic versus randomized buying, traders can better understand the impact of market timing and how regular investments might accumulate over time.
These statistics are pivotal for traders and investors using the script to analyze historical performance and strategize future investments. By understanding which days offered more shares for their money or lower average prices, investors can tailor their buying strategies to potentially enhance returns.
█ Key Statistics
⚪ Shares
Definition: Represents the total number of shares acquired on a particular day of the month across the entire simulation period.
How It Works: The script calculates how many shares can be bought each day, given the available capital or monthly contribution. This calculation takes into account the day's opening price and accumulates the total shares bought on that day over the simulation period.
Interpretation: A higher number of shares indicates that the day consistently offered better buying opportunities, allowing the investor to acquire more shares for the same amount of money. This metric is crucial for understanding which days historically provided more value.
⚪ AVG Price
Definition: The average price paid per share on a particular day of the month, averaged over the simulation period.
How It Works: Each time shares are bought, the script calculates the average price per share, factoring in the new shares purchased at the current price. This average evolves over time as more shares are bought at varying prices.
Interpretation: The average price gives insight into the cost efficiency of buying shares on specific days. A lower average price suggests that buying on that day has historically led to better pricing, making it a potentially more attractive investment strategy.
⚪ Buys
Definition: The total number of transactions or buys executed on a particular day of the month throughout the simulation.
How It Works: This metric increments each time shares are bought on a specific day, providing a count of all buying actions taken.
Interpretation: The number of buys indicates the frequency of investment opportunities. A higher count could mean more consistent opportunities for investment, but it's important to consider this in conjunction with the average price and the total shares acquired to assess overall strategy effectiveness.
⚪ Most Shares
Definition: Identifies the day of the month on which the highest number of shares were bought, highlighting the specific day and the total shares acquired.
How It Works: After simulating purchases across all days of the month, the script identifies which day resulted in the highest total number of shares bought.
Interpretation: This metric points out the most opportune day for volume buying. It suggests that historically, this day provided conditions that allowed for maximizing the quantity of shares purchased, potentially due to lower prices or other factors.
⚪ Best Price
Definition: Highlights the day of the month that offered the lowest average price per share, indicating both the day and the price.
How It Works: The script calculates the average price per share for each day and identifies the day with the lowest average.
Interpretation: This metric is key for investors looking to minimize costs. The best price day suggests that historically, buying on this day led to acquiring shares at a more favorable average price, potentially maximizing long-term investment returns.
⚪ Randomized Shares
Definition: This metric represents the total number of shares acquired on a randomly selected day of the month, simulated across the entire period.
How It Works: At the beginning of each month within the simulation, the script selects a random day when the market is open and calculates how many shares can be purchased with the available capital or monthly contribution at that day's opening price. This process is repeated each month, and the total number of shares acquired through these random purchases is tallied.
Interpretation: Randomized shares offer a comparison point to systematic buying strategies. By comparing the total shares acquired through random selection against those bought on the best or worst days, investors can gauge the impact of timing and market fluctuations on their investment strategy. A higher total in randomized shares might indicate that over the long term, the specific days chosen for investment might matter less than consistent market participation. Conversely, if systematic strategies yield significantly more shares, it suggests that timing could indeed play a crucial role in maximizing investment returns.
⚪ Randomized Price
Definition: The average price paid per share for the shares acquired on the randomly selected days throughout the simulation period.
How It Works: Each time shares are bought on a randomly chosen day, the script calculates the average price paid for all shares bought through this randomized strategy. This average price is updated as the simulation progresses, reflecting the cost efficiency of random buying decisions.
Interpretation: The randomized price metric helps investors understand the cost implications of a non-systematic, random investment approach. Comparing this average price to those achieved through more deliberate, systematic strategies can reveal whether consistent investment timing strategies outperform random investment actions in terms of cost efficiency. A lower randomized price suggests that random buying might not necessarily result in higher costs, while a higher average price indicates that systematic strategies might provide better control over investment costs.
█ How to Use
Traders can use this tool to analyze historical data and simulate different investment strategies. By inputting their initial capital, regular contribution amount, and start year, they can visually assess which days might have been more advantageous for buying, based on historical price actions. This can inform future investment decisions, especially for those employing dollar-cost averaging strategies or looking to optimize entry points.
█ Settings
StartYear: This setting allows the user to specify the starting year for the investment simulation. Changing this value will either extend or shorten the period over which the simulation is run. If a user increases the value, the simulation begins later and covers a shorter historical period; decreasing the value starts the simulation earlier, encompassing a longer time frame.
Capital: Determines the initial amount of capital with which the simulation begins. Increasing this value simulates starting with more capital, which can affect the number of shares that can be initially bought. Decreasing this value simulates starting with less capital.
Contribution: Sets the monthly financial contribution added to the investment within the simulation. A higher contribution increases the investment each month and could lead to more shares being purchased over time. Lowering the contribution decreases the monthly investment amount.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
ATH Gain PotentialThe indicator quantifies the relative position of a symbol's current closing price in relation to its historical all-time high (ATH).
By evaluating the ratio between the ATH and the present closing price, it provides an analytical framework to estimate the potential gains that could accrue if the symbol were to revert to its ATH from a specified reference point. The ratio serves as a quantitative measure for assessing the distance between the current market value and the symbol's historical peak, enabling investors to gauge the prospective profitability of a return to the ATH.
Trend Change IndicatorThe Trend Change Indicator is an all-in-one, user-friendly trend-following tool designed to identify bullish and bearish trends in asset prices. It features adjustable input values and a built-in alert system that promptly notifies investors of potential shifts in both short-term and long-term price trends. This alert system is crucial for helping less active investors correctly position themselves ahead of major trend shifts and assists in risk management after a trend is established. It's important to note that this indicator is most effective with assets that historically exhibit strong trends.
At the heart of this tool is the interaction between the 30-day and 60-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). A bullish trend is indicated in green when the 30-day EMA is above the 60-day EMA, while a bearish trend is signaled in red when the 30-day EMA is below the 60-day EMA. The appearance of gray alerts users to potential shifts in the current trend as the EMAs converge, falling below the Average True Range (ATR) safety margin. This analysis is conducted across both hourly and daily timeframes, with the 4-hour timeframe providing early signals for daily trend changes. The band visually represents the interaction between the daily EMAs and is also displayed in the second row of the table, with the first row showing the same EMA interaction on the 4-hour timeframe.
This indicator also includes a 140-day (20-week) Simple Moving Average (SMA), visually represented by a line with predictive dots. This feature significantly enhances the investor's ability to understand long-term trends in asset prices, offering forward-looking insights by projecting the SMA value 10 days into the future. The value of this forecast lies in interpreting the slope of the dots; upward trending dots suggest a bullish underlying trend, while downward trending dots indicate a bearish trend. Generally, prices above the SMA signal bullishness, and prices below indicate bearishness.
In summary, the Trend Change Indicator is a comprehensive solution for identifying price trends and managing risk. Its intuitive, color-coded design makes it an indispensable tool for traders and investors who aim to be well-positioned ahead of trend shifts and manage risk once a trend has been established. While it has proven historically valuable in trending markets such as cryptocurrencies, tech stocks, and commodities, it is advisable to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for a more comprehensive and well-rounded decision-making process.
Market Health MonitorThe Market Health Monitor is a comprehensive tool designed to assess and visualize the economic health of a market, providing traders with vital insights into both current and future market conditions. This script integrates a range of critical economic indicators, including unemployment rates, inflation, Federal Reserve funds rates, consumer confidence, and housing market indices, to form a robust understanding of the overall economic landscape.
Drawing on a variety of data sources, the Market Health Monitor employs moving averages over periods of 3, 12, 36, and 120 months, corresponding to quarterly, annual, three-year, and ten-year economic cycles. This selection of timeframes is specifically chosen to capture the nuances of economic movements across different phases, providing a balanced view that is sensitive to both immediate changes and long-term trends.
Key Features:
Economic Indicators Integration: The script synthesizes crucial economic data such as unemployment rates, inflation levels, and housing market trends, offering a multi-dimensional perspective on market health.
Adaptability to Market Conditions: The inclusion of both short-term and long-term moving averages allows the Market Health Monitor to adapt to varying market conditions, making it a versatile tool for different trading strategies.
Oscillator Thresholds for Recession and Growth: The script sets specific thresholds that, when crossed, indicate either potential economic downturns (recessions) or periods of growth (expansions), allowing traders to anticipate and react to changing market conditions proactively.
Color-Coded Visualization: The Market Health Monitor employs a color-coding system for ease of interpretation:
-- A red background signals unhealthy economic conditions, cautioning traders about potential risks.
-- A bright red background indicates a confirmed recession, as declared by the NBER, signaling a critical time for traders to reassess risk exposure.
-- A green background suggests a healthy market with expected economic expansion, pointing towards growth-oriented opportunities.
Comprehensive Market Analysis: By combining various economic indicators, the script offers a holistic view of the market, enabling traders to make well-informed decisions based on a thorough understanding of the economic environment.
Key Criteria and Parameters:
Economic Indicators:
Labor Market: The unemployment rate is a critical indicator of economic health.
High or rising unemployment indicates reduced consumer spending and economic stress.
Inflation: Key for understanding monetary policy and consumer purchasing power.
Persistent high inflation can lead to economic instability, while deflation can signal weak
demand.
Monetary Policy: Reflected by the Federal Reserve funds rate.
Changes in the rate can influence economic activity, borrowing costs, and investor
sentiment.
Consumer Confidence: A predictor of consumer spending and economic activity.
Reflects the public’s perception of the economy
Housing Market: The housing market often leads the economy into recession and recovery.
Weakness here can signal broader economic problems.
Market Data:
Stock Market Indices: Reflect overall investor sentiment and economic
expectations. No gains in a stock market could potentially indicate that economy is
slowing down.
Credit Conditions: Indicated by the tightness of bank lending, signaling risk
perception.
Commodity Insight:
Crude Oil Prices: A proxy for global economic activity.
Indicator Timeframe:
A default monthly timeframe is chosen to align with the release frequency of many economic indicators, offering a balanced view between timely data and avoiding too much noise from short-term fluctuations. Surely, it can be chosen by trader / analyst.
The Market Health Monitor is more than just a trading tool—it's a comprehensive economic guide. It's designed for traders who value an in-depth understanding of the economic climate. By offering insights into both current conditions and future trends, it encourages traders to navigate the markets with confidence, whether through turbulent times or in periods of growth. This tool doesn't just help you follow the market—it helps you understand it.
Volume Speed [By MUQWISHI]▋ INTRODUCTION :
The “Volume Dynamic Scale Bar” is a method for determining the dominance of volume flow over a selected length and timeframe, indicating whether buyers or sellers are in control. In addition, it detects the average speed of volume flow over a specified period. This indicator is almost equivalent to Time & Sales (Tape) .
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▋ OVERVIEW:
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▋ ELEMENTS
(1) Volume Dynamic Scale Bar. As we observe, it has similar total up and down volume values to what we're seeing in the table. Note they have similar default inputs.
(2) A notice of a significant volume came.
(3) It estimates the speed of the average volume flow. In the tooltip, it shows the maximum and minimum recorded speeds along with the time since the chart was updated.
(4) Info of entered length and the selected timeframe.
(5) The widget will flash gradually for 3 seconds when there’s a significant volume occurred based on the selected timeframe.
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▋ INDICATOR SETTINGS:
(1) Timezone.
(2) Widget location and size on chart.
(3) Up & Down volume colors.
(4) Option to enable a visual flash when a single volume is more than {X value} of Average. For instance, 2 → means double the average volume.
(5) Fetch data from the selected lower timeframe.
(6) Number of bars at chosen timeframe.
(7) Volume OR Price Volume.
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▋ COMMENT:
The Volume Dynamic Scale Bar should not be taken as a major concept to build a trading decision.
Please let me know if you have any questions.
Thank you.
Mean Reversion Watchlist [Z score]Hi Traders !
What is the Z score:
The Z score measures a values variability factor from the mean, this value is denoted by z and is interpreted as the number of standard deviations from the mean.
The Z score is often applied to the normal distribution to “standardize” the values; this makes comparison of normally distributed random variables with different units possible.
This popular reversal based indicator makes an assumption that the sample distribution (in this case the sample of price values) is normal, this allows for the interpretation that values with an extremely high or low percentile or “Z” value will likely be reversal zones.
This is because in the population data (the true distribution) which is known, anomaly values are very rare, therefore if price were to take a z score factor of 3 this would mean that price lies 3 standard deviations from the mean in the positive direction and is in the ≈99% percentile of all values. We would take this as a sign of a negative reversal as it is very unlikely to observe a consecutive equal to or more extreme than this percentile or Z value.
The z score normalization equation is given by
In Pine Script the Z score can be computed very easily using the below code.
// Z score custom function
Zscore(source, lookback) =>
sma = ta.sma(source, lookback)
stdev = ta.stdev(source, lookback, true)
zscore = (source - sma) / stdev
zscore
The Indicator:
This indicator plots the Z score for up to 20 different assets ( Note the maximum is 40 however the utility of 40 plots in one indicator is not much, there is a diminishing marginal return of the number of plots ).
Z score threshold levels can also be specified, the interpretation is the same as stated above.
The timeframe can also be fixed, by toggling the “Time frame lock” user input under the “TIME FRAME LOCK” user input group ( Note this indicator does not repain t).
Time & Sales (Tape) [By MUQWISHI]▋ INTRODUCTION :
The “Time and Sales” (Tape) indicator generates trade data, including time, direction, price, and volume for each executed trade on an exchange. This information is typically delivered in real-time on a tick-by-tick basis or lower timeframe, providing insights into the traded size for a specific security.
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▋ OVERVIEW:
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▋ Volume Dynamic Scale Bar:
It's a way for determining dominance on the time and sales table, depending on the selected length (number of rows), indicating whether buyers or sellers are in control in selected length.
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▋ INDICATOR SETTINGS:
#Section One: Table Settings
#Section Two: Technical Settings
(1) Implement By: Retrieve data by
(1A) Lower Timeframe: Fetch data from the selected lower timeframe.
(1B) Live Tick: Fetch data in real-time on a tick-by-tick basis, capturing data as soon as it's observed by the system.
(2) Length (Number of Rows): User able to select number of rows.
(3) Size Type: Volume OR Price Volume.
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▋ COMMENT:
The values in a table should not be taken as a major concept to build a trading decision.
Please let me know if you have any questions.
Thank you.
Fair Value by MMEnglish
IMPORTANT NOTICE
This indicator is used to find fair value based on historical data. Past growth data may not be sustainable, which will cause the price targets given by the indicator to be inaccurate. Any price on this indicator cannot be considered as investment advice. Trading decisions are the responsibility of the person using the indicator.
What is the Fair Value by MM indicator?
This is an indicator that tries to find the fair value of a stock by looking at its historical data and growth over a certain period of time. By analyzing a stock's historical growth data, it generates a fair value and potential price estimate.
The indicator presents the financial data of a stock with 3 different data sets.
1. Summary and Valuation
2. Average Quarterly Growth
3. Profit margins
** Number of Lookback Periods for Quarters **
The first input of the indicator is where you specify how many quarters back to value the stock. By default, it is based on the last 12 quarters, i.e. 3 years. Since there is not enough historical data for newly listed companies, you can change this figure according to the company you are analyzing.
** Show Summary **
The Indicator starts in this mode by default. This mode gives you data such as sales, EBITDA, EBIT, net profit and free cash flow in PER SHARE and TTM values. The reason for using per share values is that a company's price is per share, and it saves you time to look at all other metrics on a per share basis. For example, if a company with a share price of $10 has sales per share of $5, we can say that this company has generated half of its market capitalization in sales revenue in the last 1 year.
In the indicator's default mode (Show Summary);
1. Sales per share TTM (Red)
2. EBITDA per share TTM (Orange)
3. EBIT per share TTM (Yellow)
4. Net Income per share TTM (Blue)
5. Free Cash Flow per share TTM (Green)
6. Share close price (White)
7. Fair value of the share (Green if price is below fair value, Red if price is above fair value)
8. Price target for the next 12 months (Yellow)
** Show AVG Growth QoQ **
When this option is selected, you can see the average quarterly growth in sales, EBITDA, EBIT, net profit and free cash flow, respectively, over the period you have selected (e.g. the last 12 quarters). This data gives an idea about the company's growth and the pace of its growth.
** Show Profit Margins **
When this option is selected, you can see gross profit margin, EBITDA margin, EBIT margin, net profit margin and free cash flow margin data respectively. It provides a quick overview to determine whether the company is increasing revenue by narrowing profit margins or increasing both revenue growth and profit margins.
** Include Sales **
When this option is selected, sales revenues are included in the company's valuation.
** Include Ebitda **
When this option is selected, EBITDA is included in the valuation of the company.
** Include Ebit **
When this option is selected, EBIT is included in the valuation of the company.
** Include Net Profit **
When this option is selected, net profit is included in the valuation of the company.
** Include FCF **
When this option is selected, free cash flow is included in the valuation of the company.
By default, the valuation is based on sales, EBITDA and EBIT. Net profit and free cash flow can be optionally selected. Or the metrics you do not want can be excluded from the valuation calculation.
What do the colors mean?
** Red **
Represents the company's data related to the company's sales.
** Orange **
Represents the company's data related to the company's EBITDA.
** Yellow **
Represents the company's data related to the company's EBIT.
** Blue **
Represents the company's data related to the company's Net Income.
** Green **
Represents the company's data related to the company's Free Cash Flow.
Turkish
ÖNEMLİ UYARI
Bu indikatör geçmiş verileri baz alarak adil değer bulmaya yarar. Geçmişte oluşan büyüme verileri sürdürelebilir olmayabilir, bu da indikatörün verdiği fiyat hedeflerinin yanılmasına sebep olacaktır. Bu indikatör üzerinde yer alan herhangi bir fiyat, yatırım tavsiyesi kapsamında değerlendirilemez. Alım/satım kararları indikatörü kullanan kişinin sorumluluğundadır.
Fair Value by MM indikatörü nedir?
Bu bir hissenin belirli bir periyotu kapsayan geçmiş verilerine ve gelişimlerine bakarak adil değerini bulmaya çalışan bir indikatördür. Bir hissenin geçmiş büyüme verilerini analiz ederek adil değer ve potansiyel fiyat tahmini oluşturur.
İndikatör bir hissenin finansal datasını 3 farklı veri seti ile sunmaktadır.
1. Özet ve Değerleme
2. Ortalama Çeyreklik Büyümeler
3. Kar marjları
** Number of Lookback Periods for Quarters **
İndikatörün ilk input’u, hisseyi değerlemek için kaç çeyrek geriye bakacağınızı belirttiğiniz kısımdır. Varsayılan olarak son 12 çeyrek, yani 3 yılı baz alır. Yeni arz olmuş şirketlerde yeterli geçmiş veri bulunmadığı için bu rakamı incelediğiniz şirkete göre değiştirebilirsiniz.
** Show Summary **
İndikatör varsayılan olarak bu modda başlar. Bu mod, satışlar, favök, esas faaliyet karı, net kar ve serbest nakit akışı gibi verileri HİSSE BAŞINA ve YILLIKLANDIRILMIŞ değerleri ile size verir. Hisse başına değerlerin kullanılmasındaki sebep, bir şirketin fiyatı hisse başınadır, ve diğer tüm metriklere hisse başına bakmak size zaman kazandırır. Örneğin, hisse fiyatı $10 olan bir şirketin, hisse başına satışları $5 ise, bu şirket son 1 yılda piyasa değerinin yarısı kadar satış geliri elde etmiş diyebiliriz.
İndikatörün varsayılan modunda (Show Summary);
1. Hisse başına yıllıklandırılmış Satışlar (Kırmızı)
2. Hisse başına yıllıklandırılmış FAVÖK (Turuncu)
3. Hisse başına yıllıklandırılmış Esas Faaliyet Karı (Sarı)
4. Hisse başına yıllıklandırılmış Net Kar (Mavi)
5. Hisse başına yıllıklandırılmış Serbest Nakit Akışı (Yeşil)
6. Hisse kapanış fiyatı (Beyaz)
7. Hissenin adil değeri (Fiyat Adil değerin altında ise Yeşil, Üstünde ise Kırmızı)
8. Önümüzdeki 12 aylık fiyat hedefi (Sarı)
** Show AVG Growth QoQ **
Bu seçenek seçildiğinde, sırası ile satışlar, favök, esas faaliyet karı, net kar ve serbest nakit akışının, seçmiş olduğunuz periyotta (örneğin son 12 çeyrek), çeyreklik olarak ortalama % kaç büyüdüğünü görebilirsiniz. Bu veri, şirketin gelişimi ve gelişim hızı hakkında fikir vermektedir.
** Show Profit Margings **
Bu seçenek seçildiğinde, sırası ile brüt kar marjı, favök marjı, esas faaliyet kar marjı, net kar marjı ve serbest nakit akışı marjı verilerini görebilirsiniz. Şirketin karlılık marjlarını daraltarak mı gelirini arttırdığını yoksa hem gelir artışı hem de kar marjlarını arttırdığını tespit etmek için hızlı bir bakış sunar.
** Include Sales **
Bu seçenek seçildiğinde, şirketin değerlemesine satış gelirleri dahil edilir.
** Include Ebitda **
Bu seçenek seçildiğinde, şirketin değerlemesine favök dahil edilir.
** Include Ebit **
Bu seçenek seçildiğinde, şirketin değerlemesine esas faaliyet karları dahil edilir.
** Include Net Profit **
Bu seçenek seçildiğinde, şirketin değerlemesine net kar dahil edilir.
** Include FCF **
Bu seçenek seçildiğinde, şirketin değerlemesine serbest nakit akışı dahil edilir.
Varsayılan olarak, satışlar, favök ve esas faaliyet karı üzerinden değerleme yapılır. Net kar ve serbest nakit akışı isteğe göre seçilebilir. Ya da istemediğiniz metrikler değerleme hesaplamasından çıkarılabilir.
Renkler ne anlama geliyor?
** Kırmızı **
Şirketin satışları ile ilgili verilerini temsil eder.
** Turuncu **
Şirketin favök’ü ile ilgili verilerini temsil eder.
** Sarı **
Şirketin esas faaliyet karı ile ilgili verilerini temsil eder.
** Mavi **
Şirketin net karı ile ilgili verileri temsil eder.
** Yeşil **
Şirketin serbest nakit akışı ile ilgili verilerini temsil eder.
SFC Valuation Model - US SectorSector analysis is an assessment of the economic and financial condition and prospects of a given sector of the economy. Sector analysis serves to provide an investor with a judgment about how well companies in the sector are expected to perform. Sector analysis is typically employed by investors who specialize in a particular sector, or who use a top-down or sector rotation approach to investing.
Sector analysis is based on the premise that certain sectors perform better during different stages of the business cycle. The business cycle refers to the up and down changes in economic activity that occur in an economy over time. The business cycle consists of expansions, which are periods of economic growth, and contractions, which are periods of economic decline.
Investors who employ a top-down approach to sector analysis focus first on macroeconomic conditions in their search for companies that have the potential to outperform. They start by looking at those macroeconomic factors that have the biggest impact on the largest part of the population and the economy, such as unemployment rates, economic outputs, and inflation.
Every sector shows the average return from three ETFs - SPDR, Vanguard, iShares. There is a possibility to see the returns from every ETF by just holding the cursor on the sector name.
There are few valuation methods/steps
- Macroeconomics - analyse the current economic;
- Define how the sector is performing;
- Relative valuation method - compare few stocks and find the Outlier;
- Absolute valuation method historically- define how the stock performed in the past;
- Absolute valuation method - define how the stock is performed now and find the fair value;
- Technical analysis
How to use:
1. Once you have completed the initial evaluation step, simply load the indicator.
2. Analyse which sector is outperforming.
Forex & Stock Daily WatchList And Screener [M]Hi, this is a watchlist and screener indicator for Forex and Stocks.
This indicator is designed for traders who trade in the forex markets and monitor developments in indices and other currency pairs.
It includes information on 14 indices such as the volatility index, Baltic dry index, etc. You can customize the indices as you wish. The indices table contains the index's price (or points), daily change, stochastic value, and trend direction.
The second table is designed for trading forex and stock currency pairs.
In this table, you will find information such as price, volume, change, stochastic, RSI, trend direction, and MACD result for all traded pairs. You can customize all the currency pairs in this table as you wish, and you can also tailor the oscillator settings to your preferences.
In the settings section, you can use checkboxes to hide the pairs in both tables.
The "Customize" section in the settings allows you to personalize the table appearances according to your preferences.
