Buy & Sell XRPBTC:BINANCE 2H Trading BotBuy & Sell Alert system for BINANCE:TRXBTC
Goal is to Beat Buy & Hold on the 2H (see backtest below)
Built upon the Supertrend, ADX and Tilson T3 indicators.
A trailing Stop loss in integrated to the script, as well as a Take profit system.
To get the indicator, please use the link below, thanks!
Strategy
BEST ABCD Pattern StrategyHello traders
This is the strategy version of this script
I - Concept
I present to you, ladies and gentlemen, the first screener for harmonic patterns.
Starting with an ACBD pattern screener this time!!
I used the calculations from Ricardo Santo's script
In short, he's using fractals (regular or Bill Williams ) for the pattern calculations. A masterpiece !!!
II - Definitions
The ABCD pattern ( AB=CD ) is one of the classic chart patterns which is repeated over and over again.
The ABCD pattern shows perfect harmony between price and time.
The Williams Fractal is an indicator, developed by Bill Williams, that aims to detect reversal points (highs and lows) and marks them with arrows.
Up fractals and down fractals have specific shapes. The Williams Fractal indicator helps users determine in which direction price will develop
💎Strategy filters💎
I included some cool backtest filters:
- flexible take profit in USD value (plotted in blue)
- flexible stop loss in USD value (plotted in red)
The take profit and stop loss should work with Forex/FX pairs as well
All the BEST
Dave
The 1h Wick Wicky - Bitcoin BeatsThis script Uses a bunch of different indicators in order to catch wicks.
Included are:
SAR
JME
Range Filter
ADX
RSI
MACD
Automatic Plotted TP
Unconfirmed entries followed by confirmed entries
This is a combination of different indicators therefore the credit shall not go to me but I have changed certain parameters in order to benefit backtesting profitability.
Trade at your own risk!
GapGap
I've seen many trade decisions based on the CME Bitcoin Futures gap, so this indicator will let you know if that strategy is good or not, so use it as another confirmation 👍🏻.
- Shows when a gap is created, when it is filled and if not filled if a new gap is created.
- You can also use another security as a reference.
- Multi Timeframe , by default it will search the daily gaps.
Combo Strategy 123 Reversal & CMOaDisparity Index This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
The related CMO Disparity Index article is copyrighted material from Stocks & Commodities Dec 2009
My strategy modification.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Combo Strategy 123 Reversal & DiNapoli Detrended Oscillator This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
DiNapoli Detrended Oscillator Strategy
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
BEST Engulfing + Breakout StrategyHello traders
This is a simple algorithm for a Tradingview strategy tracking a convergence of 2 unrelated indicators.
Convergence is the solution to my trading problems.
It's a puzzle with infinite possibilities and only a few working combinations.
Here's one that I like
- Engulfing pattern
- Price vs Moving average for detecting a breakout
Definition
Take out the notebooks :) and some coffee (good for focus). I'm bullish in coffee
The engulfing pattern is a two-candle reversal pattern.
The second candle completely ‘engulfs’ the real body of the first one, without regard to the length of the tail shadows.
The bullish Engulfing pattern appears in a downtrend and is a combination of one red candle followed by a larger green candle
The bearish Engulfing pattern appears in a downtrend and is a combination of one green candle followed by a larger red candle
Example: imgur.com
We're bored sir... what's the point of all this?
In summary, an engulfing is a pattern to track reversals. (the whole TradingView audience stands up now giving a standing ovation)
Adding the Price vs Moving average filters allows to track reversals with momentums (half of the audience collapsed because this is too awesome)
Ok sir... you picked up my interest
I included some cool backtest filters:
- date range filtering
- flexible take profit in USD value (plotted in blue)
- flexible stop loss in USD value (plotted in red)
All the best
Dave
Best Supertrend CCI StrategyHello traders
Someone requested the strategy version of the Supertrend CCI indicator
It's a Supertrend not based on candle close but based on a CCI ( Commodity Channel Index )
How does it work?
Bull event: CCI crossing over the 0 line
Bear event: CCI crossing below the 0 line
When the event is triggered, the script will plot the Supertrend as follow
UP Trend = High + ATR * Factor
DOWN Trend = Low - ATR * Factor
This is an alternative of the classical Supertrend based on candle close being above/beyond the previous Supertrend level.
Hope you'll enjoy it and it will improve your trading making you a better trader
Dave
Blackbox (Backtesting version)Blackbox Backtest version is a script with 12 built-in indicators, a list of different conditions you can check/uncheck to enter and exit the market on specific points and 3 different strategies styles.
Use this script to backtest different strategies.
It can't be used to create alerts.
If you found a good strategy and you want to do set alerts too you have to switch to Blackbox Alert version. It's the same script but without the strategy part.
Indicators:
Chaikin Money Flow
Chaikin Money Flow
Chaikin Oscillator
Volume Oscillator
Ichimoku Baseline
SSL
William R%
RSI
Bollinger Bands
ROC
RSI probability (custom)
EMAs
Aroon
ATR
... new indicators very soon
Conditions
Check/uncheck different conditions from setting panel for both entries and exits.
Combine them to create complex strategies and alerts.
This list is constantly updated.
Data Range
Set a data range to backtest.
From Year, Month, Day, Hour, Minute to Year, Month, Day, Hour, Minute.
Order size/settings
ATR Period
TP Multiplier (Used for Take Profit = ATR*TP Multiplier strategies)
SL Multiplier (Used for Stop Loss = ATR*SL Multiplier strategies)
Pips_tp Set a fixed amount of pips for your Take Profit level
Pips_sl Set a fixed amount of pips for your Stop Loss level
Select a strategy style
ATR as TP/SL
Fixed TP/SL
With Exit conditions
Stop Loss for exit conditions
Last update: 13/02/2020
Best Volatility Calculator (Multi Instruments)Hello traders
A bit of context
Definition: Volatility is defined as the close of current candle - close of the previous N candle
This is an alternative version of my Best Volatility Calculator
The other version is displayed on a panel below. This one overlays on the chart using the "overlay=true" setting
This indicator shows the average volatility, of last N Periods, for the selected time frames and for 2 selected instruments.
You can select up to 2 timeframes with this version
Presented as Currency, Pip, percentage labels in a panel below.
Will calculate in real-time only for the current instrument on the chart.
The indicator is coded to not be repainting
Example
In the indicator screenshot, I used a lookback period of 1.
That compares the current candle close versus the previous one for the daily and weekly timeframe
Showing how the results look like using FOREX instruments (where using the PIPS labels make more sense than with cryptocurrency assets)
Best regards
Dave
Best Volatility CalculatorHello traders,
This indicator shows the average volatility, of last N Periods, for the selected time frames.
You can select up to 2 timeframes with this version
Volatility is defined as the close of current candle - close of the previous N candle
Presented as Currency, Pip, percentage labels in a panel below.
Will calculate in real-time only for the current instrument on the chart.
The indicator is coded to not be repainting
Example
In the indicator screenshot, I used a lookback period of 1.
That compares the current candle close versus the previous one for the daily and weekly timeframe
Showing how the results are calculated for the weekly calculations
Enjoy :)
Best regards
Dave
Slow Heiken Ashi and Exponential Moving average Strategy 2.2Strategy using Slow Heiken Ashi by Glaz and Exponential moving averages. Looking for someone to help me turn the strategy into non-reoccuring alerts as I am having trouble doing so.
[fikira] Fibma/Fibema StrategyMy strategy regarding the Fibma/Fibema lines (also see my Fibma/Fibema study)
You can enable/disable each strategy to see what
works best in what timeframe
Thanks!
Strategy - Backtest Uber SSL Channel / SSL Indicator [UTS]Backtesting of Uber SSL Channel / SSL Indicator
Backtest with focus win/loss profitability. Formula: profitability = win / (win+loss)
Do not put too much weight on trade PNL as the value is not necessary correct.
For example: on SL or TP hit an open position is marked as to be closed but executed on the open a new candle, thus leads to incorrect PNL.
Default equity 50k
Default 2% Risk per trade
Default currency USD
Define backtest interval precisely by month, year, day
ATR (len: 14, smooth: SMA)
ATR based Stop-Loss, if hit trade will be closed and considered as loss
ATR based Take-Profit, if hit trade will be closed and considered as win
If TP or SL is hit trade is closed and of course considered as win/loss
---
DM me / Tip (see Signature) or Subscribe for access
Strategy - Backtest Uber ASH - Absolute Strength Histogram [UTS]Backtesting of Uber ASH - Absolute Strength Histogram
Backtest with focus win/loss profitability. Formula: profitability = win / (win+loss)
Do not put too much weight on trade PNL as the value is not necessary correct.
For example: on SL or TP hit an open position is marked as to be closed but executed on the open a new candle, thus leads to incorrect PNL.
Default equity 50k
Default 2% Risk per trade
Default currency USD
Define backtest interval precisely by month, year, day
ATR (len: 14, smooth: SMA)
ATR based Stop-Loss, if hit trade will be closed and considered as loss
ATR based Take-Profit, if hit trade will be closed and considered as win
If TP or SL is hit trade is closed and of course considered as win/loss
---
DM me / Tip (see Signature) or Subscribe for access
NoScoobies Bollinger BandsBollinger Bands strategy that I am trying out, however I can't get my strategy.close to work. Looking for help.
Price Action ChannelsHere are the brand new Price Action Channels.
As time passes and the portfolio grows not only in volume but in assets managed, I have found out that what's needed from technical analysis can't occupy so much time in decision making. Why? I hope you take into consideration other critical variables that affect the market, such as fundamentals, market sentiment, news, the world economy, and so on. Thus, I want to make obvious TA is not supposed to give you miracle formulas. In my investments, technicals count for about 33% of my decision formula.
Now about the indicator.
I'm a big fan of simplicity, and the fact is, everything is numbers and their universal rules.
So the approach we take is entirely following rules of statistics, taking into consideration the maximum amount of data to quantify and qualify moves(changes in price towards a single direction).
Once those moves are defined, we measure their average size, which is the average price range in one direction.
After that, we qualify them by using frequencies and figuring out how often each move happens, let's say:
Asset X, 10% of the times when it moves upwards it's +1%
Asset X, 14% of the times when it moves upwards it's +1,1%
Asset X, 21% of the times when it moves upwards it's +1.3%
Asset X, 25% of the times when it moves upwards it's +1.5%
Asset X, 15% of the times when it moves upwards it's +1.6%
Asset X, 10% of the times when it moves upwards it's +1,7%
Asset X, 5% of the times when it moves upwards it's +2%
With that data, we establish the size of the range and the most reasonable boundaries and thresholds.
This is meant for channels. We consider there are 3 market conditions: Channels(Trending), Sideways, Spikes(abnormal price changes).
So if you try to apply this indicator for huge movements, like news related pumps and such it won't work as it's supposed, since our approach here is to define what's "normal", and such spikes are anomalies.
Sideway assets are doable but not advisable.
We plot all the numbers in a panel, so it's easily readable while trading, and you can fully control where it appears on your screen.
The indicator counts with following features in the Panel:
Channel Sampling Size: Short-term, Mid-term, Long-term
Risk Exposure: Minimum, Low, Modest, Medium, Moderate, High, Maximum
Filtered Price Action
Trading Assist
X & Y Panel Position
Study Strong.
HatiKO EnvelopesPublished source code is subject to the terms of the GNU Affero General Public License v3.0
This script describes and provides backtesting functionality to internal strategy of algorithmic crypto trading software "HatiKO bot".
Suitable for backtesting any Cryptocurrency Pair on any Exchange/Platform, any Timeframe.
Core Mechanics of this strategy are based on theory of price always returning to Moving Average + Envelopes indicator (Moving_average_envelope from Wiki)
Developement of this script and trading software is inspired by:
"Essential Technical Analysis: Tools and Techniques to Spot Market Trends" by Leigh Stevens (published on 12th of April 2002)
"Moving Average Envelopes" by ChartSchool, StockCharts platform (published on 13th of April 2015 or earlier)
"Коля Колеснік" from Crypto Times channel ("Метод сетка", published on 19th of August 2018)
"3 ways to use Moving Average Envelopes" by Rich Fitton, published on Trader's Nest (published on 28st of November 2018 or earlier)
noro's "Robot WhiteBox ShiftMA" strategy v1 script, published on TradingView platform (published on 29th of August 2018)
"Moving Average Envelopes: A Popular Trading Tool" Investopedia article (published 25th of June 2019)
and KROOL1980's blogpost on Argolabs ("Гридерство или Сетка как источник прибыли на форекс", published on 27th of February 2015)
Core Features:
1) Up to 4 Envelopes in each direction (Long/Short)
2) Use any of 6 different basis MAs, optionally use different MAs for Opening and Closure
3) Use different Timeframes for MA calculation, without any repainting and lookahead bias.
4) Fixed order size, not Martingale strategy
5) Close open position earlier by using Deviation parameter
6) PineScript v4 code
Options description:
Lot - % from your initial balance to use for order size calculation
Timeframe Short - Timeframe to use for Short Opening MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is Current Graph Timeframe
MA Type Short - Type of MA to use for Short Opening MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is SMA
Data Short - Source of Price for Short Opening MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is OHLC4
MA Length Short - Period used for Short Opening MA calculation, should be >=1, default is 3
MA offset Short - Offset for MA value used for Short Envelopes calculation, should be >= 0, default is 0
Timeframe Long - Timeframe to use for Long Opening MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is Current Graph Timeframe
MA Type Long - Type of MA to use for Long Opening MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is SMA
Data Long - Source of Price for Long Opening MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is OHLC4
MA Length Long - Period used for Long Opening MA calculation, should be >=1, default is 3
MA offset Long - Offset for MA value used for Long Envelopes calculation, should be >= 0, default is 0
Mode close MA Short - Enable different MA for Short position Closure, default is "false". If false, Closure MA = Opening MA
Timeframe Short Close - Timeframe to use for Short Position Closure MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is Current Graph Timeframe
MA Type Close Short - Type of MA to use for Short Position Closure MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is SMA
Data Short Close - Source of Price for Short Closure MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is OHLC4
MA Length Short Close - Period used for Short Opening MA calculation, should be >=1, default is 3
Short Deviation - % to move from MA value, used to close position above or beyond MA, can be negative, default is 0
MA offset Short Close - Offset for MA value used for Short Position Closure calculation, should be >= 0, default is 0
Mode close MA Long - Enable different MA for Long position Closure, default is "false". If false, Closure MA = Opening MA
Timeframe Long Close - Timeframe to use for Long Position Closure MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is Current Graph Timeframe
MA Type Close Long - Type of MA to use for Long Position Closure MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is SMA
Data Long Close - Source of Price for Long Closure MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is OHLC4
MA Length Long Close - Period used for Long Opening MA calculation, should be >=1, default is 3
Long Deviation - % to move from MA value, used to close position above or beyond MA, can be negative, default is 0
MA offset Long Close - Offset for MA value used for Long Position Closure calculation, should be >= 0, default is 0
Short Shift 1..4 - % from MA value to put Envelopes at, for Shorts numbers should be positive, the higher is number, the higher should be Shift position, example: "Shift 1 = 1, shift 2 = 2, etc."
Long Shift 1..4 - % from MA value to put Envelopes at, for Longs numbers should be negative, the lower is number, the lower should be Shift position, example: "Shift 1 = -1, shift 2 = -2, etc."
From Year 20XX - Backtesting Starting Year number, only 20xx supported as script is cryptocurrency-oriented.
To Year 20XX - Backtesting Final Year number, only 20xx supported as script is cryptocurrency-oriented.
From Month - Years starting Month, optional tweaking, changing not recommended
To Month - Years ending Month, optional tweaking, changing not recommended
From day - Months starting day, optional tweaking, changing not recommended
To day - Months ending day, optional tweaking, changing not recommended
Graph notes:
Green lines - Long Envelopes.
Red lines - Short Envelopes.
Orange line - MA for closing of Short positions.
Lime line - MA for closing of Long positions.
**************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
Опубликованный исходный код регулируется Условиями Стандартной Общественной Лицензии GNU Affero v3.0
Этот скрипт описывает и предоставляет функции бектеста для внутренней стратегии алгоритмического программного обеспечения "HatiKO bot".
Подходит для тестирования любой криптовалютной пары на любой бирже/платформе, на любом таймфрейме.
Кор-механика этой стратегии основана на теории всегда возвращающейся к значению МА цены с использованием индикатора Envelopes (Moving_average_envelope from Wiki)
Разработка этого скрипта и программного обеспечения для торговли вдохновлена следующими источниками:
Книга "Essential Technical Analysis: Tools and Techniques to Spot Market Trends" Ли Стивенса (опубликовано 12 апреля 2002 года)
«Moving Average Envelopes» от ChartSchool, платформа StockCharts (опубликовано 13 апреля 2015 года или раньше)
«Коля Колеснік» с канала Crypto Times («Метод сетка», опубликовано 19 августа 2018 года)
«3 ways to use Moving Average Envelopes» Рича Фиттона, опубликованные в «Trader's Nest» (опубликовано 28 ноября 2018 года или раньше)
Скрипт стратегии noro "Robot WhiteBox ShiftMA" v1, опубликованный на платформе TradingView(опубликовано 29 августа 2018 года)
«Moving Average Envelopes: A Popular Trading Tool», статья Investopedia (опубликовано 25 июня 2019 года)
Блог KROOL1980 из Argolabs («Гридерство или Сетка как источник прибыли на форекс», опубликовано 27 февраля 2015 года)
Основные особенности:
1) До 4-х Ордеров в каждом из направлении (Лонг / Шорт)
2) Выбор из 6-ти разных базовых МА, опционально используйте разные МА для открытия и закрытия.
3) Используйте разные таймфреймы для расчета MA, без перерисовки и "эффекта стеклянного шара".
4) Фиксированный размер ордера, а не стратегия Мартингейла
5) Возможность закрытия открытой позиции заблаговременно, используя параметр Deviation
6) Код реализован на PineScript v4
Описание параметров:
Lot - % от вашего первоначального баланса, используется при расчете размера Ордера
Timeframe Short - таймфрейм, используемый для расчета МА Открытия Шорт позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию - таймфрейм текущего графика
MA Type Short - тип MA, используемый для расчета МА Открытия Шорт позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию SMA
Data Short - источник цены для расчета МА Открытия Шорт позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию OHLC4
MA Length Short - период, используемый для расчета МА Открытия Шорт позиций, должен быть >= 1, по умолчанию 3
MA Offset Short - смещение значения MA, используемого для расчета Шорт Ордеров, должно быть >= 0, по умолчанию 0
Timeframe Long - таймфрейм, используемый для расчета МА Открытия Лонг позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию - таймфрейм текущего графика
MA Type Long - тип MA, используемый для расчета МА Открытия Лонг позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию SMA
Data Long - источник цены для расчета МА Открытия Лонг позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию OHLC4
MA Length Long - период, используемый для расчета МА Открытия Лонг позиций, должен быть >= 1, по умолчанию 3
MA Offset Long - смещение значения MA, используемого для расчета Лонг Ордеров, должно быть >= 0, по умолчанию 0
Mode close MA Short - Включает отдельное MA для закрытия Шорт позиции, по умолчанию «false». Если false, MA Закрытия = MA Открытия
Timeframe Short Close - таймфрейм, используемый для расчета МА Закрытия Шорт позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию - таймфрейм текущего графика
MA Type Close Short - тип MA, используемый при расчете МА Закрытия Шорт позиции. Mожно выбрать из списка, по умолчанию SMA
Data Short Close - источник цены для расчета МА Закрытия Шорт позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию OHLC4
MA Length Short Close - период, используемый для расчета МА Закрытия Шорт позиции, должен быть >= 1, по умолчанию 3
Short Deviation - % отклонения от значения MA, используется для закрытия позиции выше или ниже рассчитанного значения MA, может быть отрицательным, по умолчанию 0
MA Offset Short Close - смещение значения MA, используемого для расчета закрытия Шорт позиции, должно быть >= 0, по умолчанию 0
Mode close MA Long - Включает разные MA для закрытия Лонг позиции, по умолчанию «false». Если false, MA Закрытия = MA Открытия
Timeframe Long Close - таймфрейм, используемый для расчета МА Закрытия Лонг позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию - таймфрейм текущего графика
MA Type Close Long - тип MA, используемый при расчете МА Закрытия Лонг позиции. Mожно выбрать из списка, по умолчанию SMA
Data Long Close - источник цены для расчета МА Закрытия Лонг позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию OHLC4
MA Length Long Close - период, используемый для расчета МА Закрытия Лонг позиции, должен быть >= 1, по умолчанию 3
Long Deviation -% для перехода от значения MA, используется для закрытия позиции выше или ниже рассчитанного значения MA, может быть отрицательным, по умолчанию 0
MA Offset Long Close - смещение значения MA, используемого для расчета закрытия Лонг позиции, должно быть >= 0, по умолчанию 0
Short Shift 1..4 - % от значения MA для размещения Ордеров, для Шорт Ордеров должен быть положительным, чем выше номер, тем выше должна располагаться позиция Shift, например: «Shift 1 = 1, Shift 2 = 2 и т.д. "
Long Shift 1..4 - % от значения MA для размещения Ордеров, для Лонг Ордеров должно быть отрицательным, чем ниже число, тем ниже должна располагаться позиция Shift, например: «Shift 1 = -1, Shift 2 = -2, и т.д."
From Year 20XX - Год начала тестирования, из-за ориентированности на криптовалюты поддерживаются только значения формата 20хх.
To Year 20XX - Год окончания тестирования, из-за ориентированности на криптовалюты поддерживаются только значения формата 20хх.
From Month - Начальный месяц, опционально, менять не рекомендуется
To Month - Конечный месяц, опционально, менять не рекомендуется
From day - Начальный день месяца, опционально, менять не рекомендуется
To day - Конечный день месяца, опционально, менять не рекомендуется
Пояснения к графику:
Зеленые линии - Лонг Ордера.
Красные линии - Шорт Ордера.
Оранжевая линия - MA Закрытия Шорт позиций.
Лаймовая линия - MA Закрытия Лонг позиций.
RSI+MA_Scalping_StrategyOANDA:USDJPY
This strategy is based on Larry Connors' 2-period RSI strategy. I applied this for scalping(5Minutes) in the forex market based on his strategy.
Best use for YEN Crosses (High liquidity) trading such as USD/JPY and EUR/JPY.
Notes:
1. This strategy doesn't work well if volatility is low.
2. Don't go against Long-term trends. This strategy has practically no stop loss during rapid trends, so if going against trends can be devastating.(Especially GBP/JPY)
3. Don't martingale trading with this strategy. Based on my research, At first glance, it seems to work, but lose in the long run.
Grover Llorens Activator Strategy AnalysisThe Grover Llorens Activator is a trailing stop indicator deeply inspired by the parabolic SAR indicator, and aim to provide early exit points and reversal detection. The indicator was posted not so long ago, you can find it here :
Today a strategy using the indicator is proposed, and its profitability is analyzed on 3 different markets with the main time frame being 1 hour, remember that lower time frames involve lower absolute price changes, therefore we are way more affected by the spread, and we can require a larger position sizing depending on our investment target, trading higher time-frames is always a good practice and this is why 1 hour is selected. Based on the result we might make various conclusions regarding the indicator accuracy and might have ideas on future improvements of the indicator.
I'am not great when it comes to strategy design, i still hope to share correct and useful information in this post, let me know your thoughts on the post format and if i should make more of these.
Setup And Rules
The analysis is solely based on the indicator signals, money management isn't taken into account, this allow us to have an idea on the indicator robustness and resilience, particularly on extremely volatile markets and ones exhibiting a chaotic structure, altho it is normally good practice to close any position before a market closure in order to avoid any potential major gaps.
The settings used are 480 for length and 14 for mult, this create relatively mid term signals that are suited for a trend indicator such as the Grover Llorens Activator, unfortunately we can't infer the indicator optimal settings, thats how it is with any technical indicator anyway.
Here are the rules of our strategy :
long : closing price cross over the indicator
short : closing price cross under the indicator
We use constant position sizing, once a signal is triggered all the previous positions are closed.
Description Of The Statistics Used
Various statistics are presented in this post, here is a brief description of the main ones :
Percent Profitability (higher = better): Percentage of winning trades, that is : winning trades/total number of trades × 100
Maximum Drawdown (lower = better) : The highest difference between a peak and a valley in the balance, that is : peak - valley , in percentage : (peak - valley)/peak × 100
Profit Factor (higher = better) : Gross profit divided by gross loss, values under 1 represent gross losses superior to the gross profits
Remember that more volatility = more risk, since higher absolute price changes can logically cause larger losses.
EURUSD
The first market analyzed is the Forex market with the EURUSD major pair with a position sizing of 1000 units (1 micro lot). Since October EURUSD is not showing any particular strong trend but posses a discrete rising motion, fortunately cycles can be observed.
The equity was rising until two trades appeared causing a decline in the equity. Before October a bearish market could be observed.
We can see that the equity is rising, the trend still posses various retracements that affect our indicator, however we can see that the indicator totally nail the end of the trend, thats the power of converging toward the price.
In short :
$ 86.63 net profit
340 closed trades
37.65 % profitable (thats a lot of loosing trades)
1.19 profit factor
$ 76.67 max drawdown
Applying a spread would create negative results (in general the average spread is used), not a great start...
BTCUSD
The cryptocurrency market is relatively more volatile than others, which also mean potentially higher returns, we test the indicator using certainly the most traded cryptocurrency, BTCUSD. We will use a position sizing of 1 unit.
In the case of BTCUSD the strategy balance is relatively stationary around the initial capital, with of course high dispersion.
from september to december the market is bearish with various ranging periods, no apparent cycles can be observed, except maybe in the ranging period of october, this ranging period is followed by a non linear trend (relatively parabolic) that the indicator failed to capture in its integrity (this is a recurrent problem and it is starting to piss me off xD).
In short :
$ 2010.64 net profit (aka how i bet the crypto market)
395 closed trades
38.23 % profitable
1.036 profit factor
$ 5738.01 max drawdown (aka how i lost to the crypto market)
AMD
AMD stand for Advanced Micro Devices and is a company focused on the development of computer technology, i love the microprocessor market and i really like AMD who start this year in a pretty great way with a net bullish trend.
The performance of the indicator on AMD is decent (at last !) with the equity producing many new higher highs. The indicator performance still drop in the middle end of 2019 with a large equity drawdown of 17$ caused by the gap of august 8. Unfortunately AMD, like lot of well behaving stocks can only tells us that the indicator has good performances on heavily trending markets with no excess of noise or chaotic structures.
In short :
$ 17.86 net profit (Enough for a consistent lunch)
295 closed trades
36.27 % profitable
1.414 profit factor
$ 10.37 max drawdown.
Conclusion
A strategy using the recently proposed Grover Llorens activator has been presented. We can easily conclude that the indicator can't possibly generate long term returns under chaotic and volatile markets, and could even produce unnecessary trades in trending markets without much parasitic fluctuations such as noise and retracements (think about a simple linear trend) since the indicator converge toward the price and would therefore automatically cross over/under the trend, thus guaranteeing a false signal.
However we have seen its ability to provide accurate early reversal detection shine from time to time, thus over performing lagging indicators in this aspect, however the duration of price fluctuations isn't fixed at a certain period, the rate of convergence should be way faster during volatile fluctuations, of moderate speed during more cyclic fluctuations, and really slow with apparent long term trends, this could be achieved by making the indicator adaptive, but it won't really make it necessarily perform better.
That said i still believe that converging trend indicators are really interesting and aim to capture the non lasting behavior of price fluctuations, they shouldn't receive so much hate (think about the poor p-sar).
Thanks for reading !
Strategy PyramiCoverStrategy for pyramidization and coverage. (Indicator PyramiCover)
Recommended time frame 60 min.
Adaptive Price Zone Strategy The adaptive price zone (APZ) is a volatility-based technical indicator that helps investors
identify possible market turning points, which can be especially useful in a sideways-moving
market. It was created by technical analyst Lee Leibfarth in the article “Identify the
Turning Point: Trading With An Adaptive Price Zone,” which appeared in the September 2006 issue
of the journal Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities.
This indicator attempts to signal significant price movements by using a set of bands based on
short-term, double-smoothed exponential moving averages that lag only slightly behind price changes.
It can help short-term investors and day traders profit in volatile markets by signaling price
reversal points, which can indicate potentially lucrative times to buy or sell. The APZ can be
implemented as part of an automated trading system and can be applied to the charts of all tradeable assets.
Green color is long.
Red color is short.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Trading Associates slot saverIncludes:
Pivot Reversal Strategy (Source code: pastebin.com )
Donchian Channels
Bollinger Bands
6 MAs with crossing indicator
4 EMAs
Candlestick Patterns identified by repo32
Support and Resistance by RicardoSantos (I just changed it a bit)
Weekly and Daily Pivot Points
Ichimoku Cloud with my parameters
VWAP
You can save some slots with this indicator on Tradingview. Take advantage of it.
The pivot reversal strategy isn't bad on higher timeframes, bot it if you want to.
Cheers