Volume Spike DetectorVolume Spike Detector
This script is designed to identify significant spikes in trading volume and visually represent them on the chart. It calculates the 20-period simple moving average (SMA) of the trading volume and multiplies it by a user-defined threshold to determine the spike threshold. When the current volume exceeds this threshold, the script detects and highlights a volume spike.
Key Features:
Dynamic Spike Threshold:
The script calculates the spike threshold dynamically based on the average trading volume. Users can customize the threshold multiplier using an input setting.
Example: A threshold multiplier of 2.0 means the current volume must be twice the 20-period SMA to trigger a detection.
Visual Representation:
The current volume is plotted in blue bars.
The spike threshold is plotted as a red line, making it easy to visually identify when the volume crosses the threshold.
Alert Notification:
When a volume spike is detected, an alert is triggered to notify the user.
This feature is useful for real-time monitoring and spotting potential trading opportunities.
Use Case:
Traders can use this tool to identify sudden increases in trading activity, which may indicate a significant market move or event. It’s suitable for all markets, including cryptocurrencies, stocks, and forex.
Ketidakstabilan
Linear Regression Intensity [AlgoAlpha]Introducing the Linear Regression Intensity indicator by AlgoAlpha, a sophisticated tool designed to measure and visualize the strength of market trends using linear regression analysis. This indicator not only identifies bullish and bearish trends with precision but also quantifies their intensity, providing traders with deeper insights into market dynamics. Whether you’re a novice trader seeking clearer trend signals or an experienced analyst looking for nuanced trend strength indicators, Linear Regression Intensity offers the clarity and detail you need to make informed trading decisions.
Key Features:
📊 Comprehensive Trend Analysis: Utilizes linear regression over customizable periods to assess and quantify trend strength.
🎨 Customizable Appearance: Choose your preferred colors for bullish and bearish trends to align with your trading style.
🔧 Flexible Parameters: Adjust the lookback period, range tolerance, and regression length to tailor the indicator to your specific strategy.
📉 Dynamic Bar Coloring: Instantly visualize trend states with color-coded bars—green for bullish, red for bearish, and gray for neutral.
🏷️ Intensity Labels: Displays dynamic labels that represent the intensity of the current trend, helping you gauge market momentum at a glance.
🔔 Alert Conditions: Set up alerts for strong bullish or bearish trends and trend neutrality to stay ahead of market movements without constant monitoring.
Quick Guide to Using Linear Regression Intensity:
🛠 Add the Indicator: Simply add Linear Regression Intensity to your TradingView chart from your favorites. Customize the settings such as lookback period, range tolerance, and regression length to fit your trading approach.
📈 Market Analysis: Observe the color-coded bars to quickly identify the current trend state. Use the intensity labels to understand the strength behind each trend, allowing for more strategic entry and exit points.
🔔 Set Up Alerts: Enable alerts for when strong bullish or bearish trends are detected or when the trend reaches a neutral zone. This ensures you never miss critical market movements, even when you’re away from the chart.
How It Works:
The Linear Regression Intensity indicator leverages linear regression to calculate the underlying trend of a selected price source over a specified length. By analyzing the consistency of the regression values within a defined lookback period, it determines the trend’s intensity based on a percentage tolerance. The indicator aggregates pairwise comparisons of regression values to assess whether the trend is predominantly upward or downward, assigning a state of bullish, bearish, or neutral accordingly. This state is then visually represented through dynamic bar colors and intensity labels, offering a clear and immediate understanding of market conditions. Additionally, the inclusion of Average True Range (ATR) ensures that the intensity visualization accounts for market volatility, providing a more robust and reliable trend assessment. With customizable settings and alert conditions, Linear Regression Intensity empowers traders to fine-tune their strategies and respond swiftly to evolving market trends.
Elevate your trading strategy with Linear Regression Intensity and gain unparalleled insights into market trends! 🌟📊
WhalenatorThis custom TradingView indicator combines multiple analytic techniques to help identify potential market trends, areas of support and resistance, and zones of heightened trading activity. It incorporates a SuperTrend-like line based on ATR, Keltner Channels for volatility-based price envelopes, and dynamic order blocks derived from significant volume and pivot points. Additionally, it highlights “whale” activities—periods of exceptionally large volume—along with an estimated volume profile level and approximate bid/ask volume distribution. Together, these features aim to offer traders a more comprehensive view of price structure, volatility, and institutional participation.
This custom TradingView indicator integrates multiple trading concepts into a single, visually descriptive tool. Its primary goal is to help traders identify directional bias, volatility levels, significant volume events, and potential support/resistance zones on a price chart. Below are the main components and their functionalities:
SuperTrend-Like Line (Trend Bias):
At the core of the indicator is a trend-following line inspired by the SuperTrend concept, which uses Average True Range (ATR) to adaptively set trailing stop levels. By comparing price to these levels, the line attempts to indicate when the market is in an uptrend (price above the line) or a downtrend (price below the line). The shifting levels can provide a dynamic sense of direction and help traders stay with the predominant trend until it shifts.
Keltner Channels (Volatility and Range):
Keltner Channels, based on an exponential moving average and Average True Range, form volatility-based envelopes around price. They help traders visualize whether price is extended (touching or moving outside the upper/lower band) or trading within a stable range. This can be useful in identifying low-volatility consolidations and high-volatility breakouts.
Dynamic Order Blocks (Approximations of Supply/Demand Zones):
By detecting pivot highs and lows under conditions of significant volume, the indicator approximates "order blocks." Order blocks are areas where institutional buying or selling may have occurred, potentially acting as future support or resistance zones. Although these approximations are not perfect, they offer a visual cue to areas on the chart where price might react strongly if revisited.
Volume Profile Proxy and Whale Detection:
The indicator highlights price levels associated with recent maximum volume activity, providing a rough "volume profile" reference. Such levels often become key points of price interaction.
"Whale" detection logic attempts to identify bars where exceptionally large volume occurs (beyond a defined threshold). By tracking these "whale bars," traders can infer where heavy participation—often from large traders or institutions—may influence market direction or create zones of interest.
Approximate Bid/Ask Volume and Dollar Volume Tracking:
The script estimates whether volume within each bar leans more towards the bid or the ask side, aiming to understand which participant (buyers or sellers) might have been more aggressive. Additionally, it calculates dollar volume (close price multiplied by volume) and provides an average to gauge the relative participation strength over time.
Labeling and Visual Aids:
Dynamic labels display Whale Frequency (the ratio of bars with exceptionally large volume), average dollar volume, and approximate ask/bid volume metrics. This gives traders at-a-glance insights into current market conditions, participation, and sentiment.
Strengths:
Multifaceted Analysis:
By combining trend, volatility, volume, and order block logic in one place, the indicator saves chart space and simplifies the analytical process. Traders gain a holistic view without flipping between multiple separate tools.
Adaptable to Market Conditions:
The use of ATR and Keltner Channels adapts to changing volatility conditions. The SuperTrend-like line helps keep traders aligned with the prevailing trend, avoiding constant whipsaws in choppy markets.
Volume-Based Insights:
Integrating whale detection and a crude volume profile proxy helps traders understand where large players might be interacting. This perspective can highlight critical levels that might not be evident from price action alone.
Convenient Visual Cues and Labels:
The indicator provides quick reference points and textual information about the underlying volume dynamics, making decision-making potentially faster and more informed.
Weaknesses:
Heuristic and Approximate Nature:
Many of the indicator’s features, like the "order blocks," "whale detection," and the approximate bid/ask volume, rely on heuristics and assumptions that may not always be accurate. Without actual Level II data or true volume profiles, the insights are best considered as supplementary, not definitive signals.
Lagging Components:
Indicators that rely on past data, like ATR-based trends or moving averages for Keltner Channels, inherently lag behind price. This can cause delayed signals, particularly in fast-moving markets, potentially missing some early opportunities or late in confirming market reversals.
No Guaranteed Predictive Power:
As with any technical tool, it does not forecast the future with certainty. Strong volume at a certain level or a bullish SuperTrend reading does not guarantee price will continue in that direction. Market conditions can change unexpectedly, and false signals will occur.
Complexity and Overreliance Risk:
With multiple signals combined, there’s a risk of information overload. Traders might feel compelled to rely too heavily on this one tool. Without complementary analysis (fundamentals, news, or additional technical confirmation), overreliance on the indicator could lead to misguided trades.
Conclusion:
This integrated indicator offers a comprehensive visual guide to market structure, volatility, and activity. Its strength lies in providing a multi-dimensional viewpoint in a single tool. However, traders should remain aware of its approximations, inherent lags, and the potential for conflicting signals. Sound risk management, position sizing, and the use of complementary analysis methods remain essential for trading success.
Risks Associated with Trading:
No indicator can guarantee profitable trades or accurately predict future price movements. Market conditions are inherently unpredictable, and reliance on any single tool or combination of tools carries the risk of financial loss. Traders should practice sound risk management, including the use of stop losses and position sizing, and should not trade with funds they cannot afford to lose. Ultimately, decisions should be guided by a thorough trading plan and possibly supplemented with other forms of market analysis or professional advice.
Risks and Important Considerations:
• Not a Standalone Tool:
• This indicator should not be used in isolation. It is essential to incorporate additional technical analysis tools, fundamental analysis, and market context when making trading decisions.
• Relying solely on this indicator may lead to incomplete assessments of market conditions.
• Market Volatility and False Signals:
• Financial markets can be highly volatile, and indicators based on historical data may not accurately predict future movements.
• The indicator may produce false signals due to sudden market changes, low liquidity, or atypical trading activity.
• Risk Management:
• Always employ robust risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss orders, diversifying your portfolio, and not over-leveraging positions.
• Understand that no indicator guarantees success, and losses are a natural part of trading.
• Emotional Discipline:
• Avoid making impulsive decisions based on indicator signals alone.
• Emotional trading can lead to significant financial losses; maintain discipline and adhere to a well-thought-out trading plan.
• Continuous Learning and Adaptation:
• Stay informed about market news, economic indicators, and global events that may impact trading conditions.
• Continuously evaluate and adjust your trading strategies as market dynamics evolve.
• Consultation with Professionals:
• Consider seeking advice from financial advisors or professional traders to understand better how this indicator can fit into your overall trading strategy.
• Professional guidance can provide personalized insights based on your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Disclaimer:
Trading financial instruments involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making any trading decisions.
Note: The effectiveness of any technical indicator can vary based on market conditions and individual trading styles. It's crucial to test indicators thoroughly using historical data and possibly paper trading before applying them in live trading scenarios.
Volume Rate of Change (VROC)Volume Rate of Change (VROC) is an indicator that calculates the percentage change in trading volume over a specific period, helping analyze market momentum and activity. It is calculated as:
VROC = ((Current Volume - Past Volume) ÷ Past Volume) × 100
This indicator shows changes in market interest. Positive values indicate increasing volume, while negative values signal a decrease. High VROC values often suggest potential trend reversals or breakouts.
Applications:
Breakout Validation: VROC > 200% confirms strong breakouts; below this may signal false moves.
Market Stagnation: VROC < 0% suggests shrinking volume and range-bound markets.
Trend End Alert: A drop below 0% during trends may indicate weakening momentum.
Adjusting for Timeframes: Tailor VROC to timeframes.
Examples:
Daily: VROC(5) compares with last week's same day; VROC(20) with 1 month ago.
Monthly: VROC(12) compares with the same month last year; VROC(1) with last month.
Intraday: VROC(24) (hourly) and VROC(288) (5 minutes) for the same time yesterday.
Adaptive ATR Trailing Stops█ Introduction
This script is based on the average true range (ATR) and has been improved with the HHV or LLV. The script supports the trader to have his stoploss trailed. In this case, the stoploss is dynamic and can be adjusted with each candleclose.
█ What Does This Indicator Do?
The ATR SL Trailing Indicator helps you dynamically adjust your stop-loss levels based on market movements. It uses market volatility to calculate trailing stop-loss levels, ensuring you can secure profits or minimize losses. The indicator creates two lines:
A green/red line for long positions (when you’re betting on prices going up).
A green/red line for short positions (when you’re betting on prices going down).
█ Key Concepts: How Does the Indicator Work?
The Average True Range (ATR) measures market volatility, showing how much the price moves over a specific period.
A high ATR indicates a volatile market (large price swings), while a low ATR indicates a quiet market (smaller price changes).
Why is ATR important? ATR helps dynamically adjust the distance between your stop-loss and the current price. In volatile markets, the stop-loss is placed further away to avoid being triggered by short-term fluctuations. In quieter markets, the stop-loss is set closer to the price.
The HHV is the highest price over a specific period. For long positions, the indicator uses the highest price minus an ATR-based value to determine the stop-loss level.
Why is HHV important? HHV ensures the stop-loss for long positions only moves up when the price reaches new highs. Once the price starts falling, the stop-loss remains unchanged to lock in profits or minimize losses.
The LLV is the lowest price over a specific period. For short positions, the indicator uses the lowest price plus an ATR-based value to determine the stop-loss level.
Why is LLV important? LLV ensures the stop-loss for short positions only moves down when the price reaches new lows. Once the price starts rising, the stop-loss remains unchanged to lock in profits or minimize losses.
█ How Does the Indicator Work?
For Long Positions:
The indicator sets the stop-loss below the current price, based on:
Market volatility (ATR).
The highest price over a specific period (HHV).
The line turns green when the current price is above the stop-loss.
The line turns red when the price drops below the stop-loss, signaling you may need to exit the trade.
For Short Positions:
The indicator sets the stop-loss above the current price, based on:
*Market volatility (ATR).
*The lowest price over a specific period (LLV).
*The line turns green when the current price is below the stop-loss.
*The line turns red when the price moves above the stop-loss, signaling you may need to exit the trade.
█ Advantages of the ATR SL Trailing Indicator
*Dynamic and adaptive: Automatically adjusts stop-loss levels based on market volatility.
*Visual clarity: Green and red lines clearly indicate whether your position is safe or at risk.
*Effective risk management: Helps you lock in profits and minimize losses without the need for constant manual adjustments.
█ When Should You Use This Indicator?
*If you practice trend-based trading and want your stop-losses to automatically adapt to market movements.
*In volatile markets, to avoid being stopped out by short-term fluctuations.
*When you want to implement efficient risk management without manually adjusting your positions.
█ Inputs
The user can set the indicator for both longs and shorts. This is particularly important because the calculation is different. The HHV is used for longs and the LLV for shorts. The user can therefore set the period/length for the ATR on the one hand and the HHV/LLV on the other. He also has a multiplier, which can also be customized. The multiplier multiplies the price change of each individual candle.
█ Color Change
If the SL is trailed and the price breaks a line, the color changes. In this case, it would have executed the SL on an open trade.
Combined VolumeThis indicator displays the combined volume for all the exchanges listed in the settings menu.
For example, with the default settings, on BTCUSD the indicator will display the current market's volume AND the volume of all other major exchanges listed on TradingView.
The gray indicator value is the current exchange's volume, the colored volume is the combined volume of all other exchanges, allowing you to compare the current exchange's volume to the broad market to give you a better idea of local exchange activity versus broad market activity.
If you want to add more exchange tickers, turn "debug" mode on and a small label will appear in the top right telling you which market type & exchange ticker you're currently on. All exchange tickers must be separated by a comma.
The "Other Exchanges" input setting overrides all other lists allowing you to specify your own exchange list for assets not provided by the default settings (the indicator supports crypto, forex and stocks by default).
EMA Volatility Channel [QuantAlgo]EMA Volatility Channel 🌊📈
The EMA Volatility Channel by QuantAlgo is an advanced technical indicator designed to capture price volatility and trend dynamics through adaptive channels based on exponential moving averages. This sophisticated system combines EMA-based trend analysis with dynamic volatility-adjusted bands to help traders and investors identify trend direction, potential reversals, and market volatility conditions. By evaluating both price momentum and volatility together, this tool enables users to make informed trading decisions while adapting to changing market conditions.
💫 Dynamic Channel Architecture
The EMA Volatility Channel provides a unique framework for assessing market trends through a blend of exponential moving averages and volatility-based channel calculations. Unlike traditional channel indicators that use fixed-width bands, this system incorporates dynamic volatility measurements to adjust channel width automatically, helping users determine whether price movements are significant relative to current market conditions. By combining smooth EMA trends with adaptive volatility bands, it evaluates both directional movement and market volatility, while the smoothing parameters ensure stable yet responsive channel adjustments. This adaptive approach allows users to identify trending conditions while remaining aware of volatility expansions and contractions, enhancing both trend-following and reversal strategies.
📊 Indicator Components & Mechanics
The EMA Volatility Channel is composed of several technical components that create a dynamic channel system:
EMA Midline: Calculates a smoothed exponential moving average that serves as the channel's centerline, providing a clear reference for trend direction.
Volatility Measurement: Computes average price movement to determine dynamic channel width, adapting to changing market conditions automatically.
Smooth Band Calculation: Applies additional smoothing to the channel bands, reducing noise while maintaining responsiveness to significant price movements.
📈 Key Indicators and Features
The EMA Volatility Channel combines various technical tools to deliver a comprehensive analysis of market conditions.
The indicator utilizes exponential moving averages with customizable length and smoothing parameters to adapt to different trading styles. Volatility calculations are applied to determine channel width, providing context-aware boundaries for price movement. The trend detection component evaluates price action relative to the channel bands, helping validate trends and identify potential reversals.
The indicator incorporates multi-layered visualization with color-coded channels and bars to signal both trend direction and market position. These adaptive visual cues, combined with programmable alerts for channel breakouts, help traders and investors track both trend changes and volatility conditions, supporting both trend-following and mean-reversion strategies.
⚡️ Practical Applications and Examples
✅ Add the Indicator: Add the indicator to your TradingView chart by clicking on the star icon to add it to your favorites ⭐️
👀 Monitor Channel Position: Watch the price position relative to the channel bands to identify trend direction and potential reversals. When price moves outside the channel, consider potential trend changes or extreme conditions.
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts for channel breakouts and trend changes, ensuring you can act on significant technical developments promptly.
🌟 Summary and Tips
The EMA Volatility Channel by QuantAlgo is a versatile technical tool, designed to support both trend following and volatility analysis across different market environments. By combining smooth EMA trends with dynamic volatility-based channels, it helps traders and investors identify significant price movements while measuring market volatility, providing reliable technical signals. The tool's adaptability across timeframes makes it suitable for both trend-following and reversal strategies, allowing users to capture opportunities while maintaining awareness of changing market conditions.
Adaptive Supertrend with Dynamic Optimization [EdgeTerminal]The Enhanced Adaptive Supertrend represents a significant evolution of the traditional Supertrend indicator, incorporating advanced mathematical optimization, dynamic volatility adjustment, intelligent signal filtering, reduced noise and false positives.
Key Features
Dynamic volatility-adjusted bands
Self-optimizing multiplier
Intelligent signal filtering system
Cooldown period to prevent signal clustering
Clear buy/sell signals with optimal positioning
Smooth trend visualization
RSI and MACD integration for confirmation
Performance-based optimization
Dynamic Band Calculation
Dynamic Band Calculation automatically adapts to market volatility, generates wider bands in volatile periods, reducing false signals. It also generates tighter bands in stable periods, capturing smaller moves and smooth transitions between different volatility regimes.
RSI Integration
The RSI and MACD play multiple crucial roles in the Adaptive Supertrend.
It first helps with momentum factor calculation. This dynamically adjusts band width based on momentum conditions. When the RSI is oversold, bands widen by 20% to prevent false signals during strong downtrends and provide more room for price movements in extreme conditions.
When the RSI is overbought, brands tighten by 20% and they become more sensitive to potential reversals to help catch trend changes earlier.
This reduces false signals in strong trends, helps detect potential reversals earlier than the usual, create adaptive band width based on market conditions and finally, better protection against whipsaws.
MACD Integration
The MACD in this supertrend indicator serves as a trend confirmation tool. The idea is to use MACD crossovers to confirm trend changes to reduce false trend change signals and enhance the signal quality.
For this to become a signal, MACD crossovers must align with price movement to help filter out weak or false signals, which acts as an additional layer of trend confirmation.
Additionally, MACD line position relative to signal line indicates trend strength, helps maintain positions in strong trends and assists in early detection of trend weakening.
Momentum Integration
Momentum Integration prevents false signals in extreme conditions, It adjusts dynamic bands based on market momentum, improves trend confirmation in strong moves and reduces whipsaws during consolidations.
Improved signals
There are a few systems to generate better signals, allowing for generally faster signals compared to original supertrend, such as:
Enforced cooldown period between signals
Prevents signal clustering
Clearer entry/exit points
Reduced false signals during choppy markets
Performance Optimization
This script implements a Sharpe ratio-inspired optimization algorithm to balance returns against risk, penalize large drawdowns, adapt parameters in real-time and improve risk-adjusted performance
Parameter Settings
ATR Period: 10 (default) - adjust based on timeframe
Initial Multiplier: 3.0 (default) - will self-optimize
Optimization Period: 50 (default) - longer periods for more stability
Smoothing Period: 3 (default) - adjust for signal smoothness
Best Practices
Use on multiple timeframes for confirmation
Allow the optimization process to run for at least 50 bars
Monitor the adaptive multiplier for trend strength indication
Consider RSI and MACD alignment for stronger signals
Did it move?That is the eternal question in trading.: Is the price moving? This indicators aims to answer that question. It is based on concepts from 2 Bars from "The Strat". This indicator measures the distance the current price is above the previous high or below the previous low and on two timeframes. The assumption is that the price is moving as long as the price is above or below the previous bar.
The distance the price moved is normalized by the standard deviation. This serves the trader in two ways: 1) you can quickly determine if a price movement is significant (score > 1), and 2) you can plan exits when the score falls below 1 (e.g., movement become insignificant). Movement upwards are colored green and down movements are red. When the price is also above the higher timeframe high (below the HTF low), the color are more intense. When the price is not moving, the background is highlighted.
Finally, there are two alert setting. One is for then the price stops moving (movement score falls below a threshold. The other is a exit/reversal warning. For example if there is a strong move in the opposite it will trigger that alert.
Chande Volatility-Based Trailing Stops This indicator is developed from a description outlined in the Chande - Kroll book, "The New Technical Trader". It is designed to help control risk by plotting two lines that function as long and short trailing stops.
How does it work?
"These stops are derived from recent highest high or lowest low. They adjust based on volatility. However, to avoid giving up a sizable chunk of profit before the stop is hit, it is modified in such a way that the stop can only advance with price, not retreat. This will lock in a greater portion of potential profits..."
Settings:
The default settings are those described in the book. They are described as being best for intermediate term trades. Use the multiplier to tighten or loosen the stop. A smaller multiplier will result in tighter stops. It is recommended to adjust this value for your preferred timeframe. You can toggle the trailing stop lines on or off as well as cross over marker.
Volume IQOverview
Volume IQ is meant to be the ‘intelligent volume distribution analyzer’ that takes much of the work of interpreting volume profiles off of your shoulders. It attempts to ‘do the technical analysis’ of volume data for you, with its capstone feature being "Trading Action Zones": ranges on the chart whose placement are determined by high and low volume nodes and sentiment analysis, and their adapting range affected by current volatility. These zones are meant to offer practical levels for potential entries, exits, targets, and stops while trading. These zones are the cherry on top of other useful and original features like visuals for grouping areas of similar buy/sell bias.
Originality and Usefulness
Volume IQ stands out for its originality by offering a data-driven approach to interpreting volume profiles and presenting its analysis on the chart. Unlike traditional volume profiles, Volume IQ automates much of the volume analysis process, helping traders identify potential opportunities and key trading areas with minimal effort. Its unique "Trading Action Zones" leverage high and low volume nodes, sentiment analysis, and current volatility to highlight practical levels for entries, exits, targets, and stops. Additionally, the tool provides grouped bias visuals, gradient coloring, and flexible customization options, allowing traders to gain a clearer understanding of market sentiment and structure. By simplifying complex volume data into actionable insights, Volume IQ provides a valuable and efficient resource for charting on TradingView.
The ‘Capstone’ Feature:
Trading ‘Action Zones’: Potential areas to take trading action based on built-in interpretations of high-volume nodes, low-volume nodes, and overarching chart sentiment (whose calculation is described below), and their interplay. Categorized by tiers - with Tier 2 zones intended as potential entry areas, and Tier 1 zones for exits or adds. These zones can also present logical areas to consider targets and stops, for example placing a stop loss in a Tier 1 sell zone below price where there is a series of low-volume nodes and potentially not much support. These zones help you quickly identify potential areas on the chart to ‘take action’.
Key Features:
Level and Block Biases: By estimating buying and selling volume, as well as leveraging intrabar data, the Volume IQ profile provides detailed buy/sell sentiment at individual price levels. It then groups together consecutive price levels with the same bias into what we call ‘Block Biases’ making it easy to determine larger price areas with distinct buying or selling pressure.
Chart Sentiment Analysis: A ‘continuously optimizing algorithm’ configured to find high average runups after a sentiment switch powers what we call ‘bias guidelines’ which border the Volume IQ profile and influence the determination of Action Zones. This algorithm is based on comparing many combinations of volume-weighted trends, largely based on smoothed volume weighted moving averages, on each bar, to ensure that the approach with the highest average runup amongst the combinations is used.
Zones of Control: A gradient-coloring approach to the profile highlighst areas of influence at a glance, making it easier to focus on key price levels.
Broad Compatibility: Works across all chart timeframes and market types - so long as volume data and OHLC candle data is available.
Highly Customizable: Configure features to align with your trading preferences and workflow. Show them all, or pick and choose the ones you want.
Settings
Use a Color Theme: Toggle between our predefined color themes or customize your own.
Style: Select your preferred color theme (e.g., "TI Fusion").
Colors (When Not Using a Theme): Customize primary, secondary, and background colors for your own non-theme styling.
Gradient Coloring: Enable or disable gradient shading of the profile for visual enhancement of zones with high control and low control.
Action Zones: Turn trading action zones on or off to highlight key trading levels.
Time Staggering: Enabling this option will simply ‘stagger’ the display of action zones horizontally. Zones closer to price will be placed leftwards, and as they become more distant from price, they will be ‘staggered out’ rightwards, to give an intuitive feel for the time it may take for price to reach these zones.
Tier Labels: Enable or disable the ‘tier labels’ (1 square for Tier 1, 2 squares for Tier 2) for action zones.
Bias Blocks: Toggle the display of grouped buy/sell bias blocks.
Extend: Choose how the bias blocks are displayed: “Left” to stretch them from the end to the beginning of the histogram, “Right” to extend from the end outwards, and “Across” to extend from the beginning to outwards past the end, enveloping the bias and volume count labels.
Opacity: Adjust the transparency level of bias blocks (0–100).
Level Bias Labels: Turn on/off labels for individual price level biases.
Bias Guidelines: Enable the visual guidelines for bias levels which border the profile.
Volume Counts: Toggle volume count labels for each of the profile’s price levels.
Split Buy/Sell Volume: Enable separate display of buy and sell volume for each level (buy volume on the left, sell volume on the right).
Font Size: Adjust the font size for these labels.
Histogram Display: Choose the display option for the histogram bars of the profile themselves: "Full View" will display the profile, and “None” will hide it.
BG Shading Logic: Adjust the background shading logic for the display: “Neutral” will use the ‘Neutral Color’ from your color theme to put some emphasis around high and low volume nodes, while “None” will remove any background shading.
Detail: This option allows you to set the granularity of the volume data used: “Bar Data” will simply use the bar data from the chart timeframe, while “Intrabar Data” will attempt to use bar data from a lower timeframe. Please note that using intrabar data may not be available with your TradingView subscription on some timeframes, and also that using intrabar data may increase calculation time.
Data Request: Choose the lookback for the volume distribution: "Long-term" will look back 500 bars, and “Short-Term” will halve this.
# of Levels: Specify the number of levels/rows to display for visualizing the distribution.
Ultra Smart TrailIntroduction
The Ultra Smart Trail indicator is a comprehensive tool for traders seeking to identify and follow market trends efficiently. Combining dynamic trend detection with adaptive price bands, this indicator simplifies the process of understanding market direction and strength. It provides clear visual cues and customizable settings, catering to both novice and experienced traders.
Detailed Description
The Ultra Smart Trail indicator works by calculating a Trend Flow Line (TFL) using a hybrid moving average technique. This TFL dynamically adjusts to market conditions, smoothing out price fluctuations while remaining responsive to significant market shifts.
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Trend Flow Line (TFL)
A color-coded line indicating bullish, bearish, or neutral trends based on price movement relative to the TFL.
The TFL uses a combination of weighted moving averages (WMA) and double-weighted moving averages (DWMA) for accuracy.
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Dynamic Price Bands
The indicator plots upper and lower bands around the TFL, based on customizable multipliers of standard deviation. These bands adapt dynamically to volatility, helping traders spot overbought or oversold conditions.
The script calculates standard deviation-based bands with customizable multipliers, enabling precise adjustment to trading styles or instruments.
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Uptrend/Downtrend Highlights
The background and price bands visually differentiate trending and ranging markets, making it easier to identify high-probability trade setups.
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Reversal Alerts
By analyzing the relationship between price and bands, the script highlights potential reversals or continuation zones with distinct levels and fills.
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This indicator is a powerful addition to any trader’s toolkit, simplifying market analysis and enhancing decision-making.
Volatility vs ATRVolatility vs ATR Indicator Description for TradingView
Volatility vs ATR is a powerful custom indicator designed to help traders analyze and compare market volatility with the Average True Range (ATR). This indicator provides valuable insights into the dynamic behavior of asset prices, enabling traders to make informed decisions about market trends, potential reversals, and risk management.
What Does It Measure?
Volatility: Represents the degree of price variation over a given period. Calculated using standard deviation or other measures, it highlights periods of heightened or reduced market activity.
Average True Range (ATR): Measures the average range of price movement over a specific period, providing a sense of the asset's price fluctuations and market activity.
How It Works
The indicator plots both Volatility and ATR on the same chart, making it easy to visualize how these metrics interact.
Rising Volatility often signals increased market uncertainty or the beginning of strong trends.
ATR Spikes typically accompany high volatility, helping identify potential breakout or breakdown scenarios.
By tracking the interplay between these metrics, traders can anticipate shifts in momentum, recognize consolidation phases, and plan trades more effectively.
Key Features
Dual-Line Display: Clearly plots both Volatility (red) and ATR (blue) for easy comparison.
Customizable Periods: Allows you to adjust the lookback period for both metrics to match your trading style.
Versatile Application: Works across all asset classes, including stocks, forex, crypto, and commodities.
Why Use Volatility vs ATR?
Trend Analysis: Identify trending vs. ranging markets by observing the relationship between Volatility and ATR.
Breakout Confirmation: Use Volatility and ATR spikes as confirmation signals for potential breakouts.
Risk Management: Plan stop-loss levels and position sizing based on ATR values.
How to Use It
Add the indicator to your chart.
Look for periods where Volatility diverges from ATR to spot potential market shifts.
Use the indicator in conjunction with price action and other technical tools for a comprehensive analysis.
This indicator is ideal for traders looking to enhance their strategies by understanding market dynamics through the lens of volatility and average price movement.
Let me know if you’d like further refinement!
Breakaway Fair Value Gaps [LuxAlgo]The Breakaway Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a typical FVG located at a point where the price is breaking new Highs or Lows.
🔶 USAGE
In the screenshot above, the price range is visualized by Donchian Channels.
In theory, the Breakaway FVGs should generally be a good indication of market participation, showing favor in the FVG's breaking direction. This is a combination of buyers or sellers pushing markets quickly while already at the highest high or lowest low in recent history.
While this described reasoning seems conventional, looking into it inversely seems to reveal a more effective use of these formations.
When the price is pushed to the extremities of the current range, the price is already potentially off balance and over-extended. Then an FVG is created, extending the price further out of balance.
With this in consideration, After identifying a Breakaway FVG, we could logically look for a reversion to re-balance the gap.
However, it would be illogical to believe that the FVG will immediately mitigate after formation. Because of this, the dashboard display for this indicator shows the analysis for the mitigation likelihood and timeliness.
In the example above, the information in the dashboard would read as follows (Bearish example):
Out of 949 Bearish Breakaway FVGs, 80.19% are shown to be mitigated within 60 bars, with the average mitigation time being 13 bars.
The other 19.81% are not mitigated within 60 bars. This could mean the FVG was mitigated after 60 bars, or it was never mitigated.
The unmitigated FVGs within the analysis window will extend their mitigation level to the current bar. We can see the number of bars since the formation is represented to the right of the live mitigation level.
Utilizing the current distance readout helps to better judge the likelihood of a level being mitigated.
Additionally, when considering these mitigation levels as targets, an additional indicator or analysis can be used to identify specific entries, which would further aid in a system's reliability.
🔶 SETTINGS
Trend Length: Sets the (DC) Trend length to use for Identifying Breakaway FVGs.
Show Mitigation Levels: Optionally hide mitigation levels if you would prefer only to see the Breakaway FVGs.
Maximum Duration: Sets the analysis duration for FVGs, Past this length in bars, the FVG is counted as "Un-Mitigated".
Show Dashboard: Optionally hide the dashboard.
Use Median Duration: Display the Median of the Bar Length data set rather than the Average.
Session High/Low Average & Range [1CG]The Session High/Low Average & Range indicator independently measures the average price movement from the opening price in each direction. It also displays the maximum high and low distance, called Range. Separating the averages and range into highs and lows helps analyze the volatility of the market as well as the direction.
USE EXAMPLES
Session Open
Session Close
Customization
Minimal - 1x and 2x Averages are replaced with custom lines, in order to show distance to3x.
Calculations
Average High: (high price of session - session opening price) / (session period)
Average Low: (session opening price - low price of session) / (session period)
Range High: The highest price of the last (session period)
Range Low: The lowest price of the last (session period)
INPUTS
Session
Here you can choose the hours for your session and time zone. The default is London session in New York time. Next, the session period determines how many sessions to sample from for the average and range lines, the default is 20. Lastly, you can choose the number of sessions to appear on the chart not including the current session if you are in one, 5 by default.
Lines
All of the lines allow you to change the color, width, and style. They also have a label option to choose to display the price. The bottom of the section allows you to change the location and size of the label text.
**Open Line** -Displays the opening price for the length of the session.
**Average Lines** - Displays the 1x, 2x, and 3x the average distance from open in each direction. Additionally, you can toggle a background color to highlight the area.
**Custom Lines** - Displays a customizable multiple of either the average or range. By default the first custom line displays the Range at a 1x multiplier and the second line displays an Average at a 1.5x multiplier
Display Distance
Here you can choose to display the distance from the lines to the open. This data is marked with a “Δ”. For the three Average lines this will display in the area between the line and the open in the position and size of your choice. The custom lines will have the distance information displayed on the line itself. This helps keep the data organized.
Icaro [VekiSeba]
Icaro Indicator: Monitoring Price Extensions
Overview
The Icarus Indicator is a tool designed to help traders identify critical points in the price movements of financial assets. Inspired by the Greek myth of Icarus , this indicator alerts on potential exhaustions in bullish movements or significant price extensions. It is ideal for traders looking to optimize profitability and make strategic decisions on when to exit a position, thereby minimizing the risk of dramatic price reversals.
How the Indicator Works: The Icarus Indicator combines various volatility and trend metrics to provide signals:
ATR (Average True Range): Measures the asset’s volatility, providing insight into the intensity of price movements. This component is crucial for understanding the strength behind the asset’s fluctuations.
Gain from Average Trend: This metric calculates how much the current price has deviated from an average trend line. It helps identify how extended or overvalued the price might be in relation to its overall trend.
ATR Acceleration: Assesses how the pace of volatility change compares to its recent average, indicating rapid changes in volatility that might suggest an increase in momentum or an early warning of overextension.
Visual Signals:
Wing Momentum (Purple Cross): Indicates a significant increase in volatility acceleration, suggesting that the price may be entering a phase of unusual momentum. There is also the potential that this signal could lead to a correction.
Solar Roof (Red Circle): Activates when the price reaches an exhaustion level as defined by the user’s threshold, indicating a possible turning point or correction.
NASDAQ:SMCI
Configuration and Use: Users can customize the "Flight Threshold" to adjust the sensitivity of the indicator to their specific trading strategies. Modifying this threshold allows the indicator to be less or more reactive to the asset’s fluctuations.
Originality and Utility of the Indicator: Icarus stands out from other indicators with its unique focus on measuring volatility, offering a dynamic perspective on the asset's conditions. A notable feature of Icarus is its ability to reduce the number of false signals through its specialized formula, which prioritizes accuracy over the frequency of alerts. Although this may mean that the indicator does not react to all price extensions and might occasionally overlook some, it is intentionally designed to provide a higher percentage of correct signals when it does issue an alert. This "lower frequency, higher accuracy" approach is particularly valuable for traders who prefer the quality of signals over quantity, thus minimizing reactions to incorrect market movements and optimizing trading decisions based on highly reliable indicators. However, it is important to note that no indicator, including Icarus, can guarantee 100% effectiveness. Indeed, we cannot quantify the exact success rate of Icarus, as its performance can vary widely depending on the volatility of each asset and the market context at any given time.
True Range Trend StrengthThis script is designed to analyze trend strength using True Range calculations alongside Donchian Channels and smoothed moving averages. It provides a dynamic way to interpret market momentum, trend reversals, and anticipate potential entry points for trades.
Key Functionalities:
Trend Strength Oscillator:
Calculates trend strength based on the difference between long and short momentum derived from ATR (Average True Range) adjusted stop levels.
Smooths the trend strength using a simple moving average for better readability.
Donchian Channels on Trend Strength Oscillator:
Plots upper and lower Donchian Channels on the smoothed trend strength oscillator.
Traders can use these levels to anticipate breakout points and determine the strength of a trend.
Zero-Cross Shading:
Highlights bullish and bearish zones with shaded backgrounds:
Green for bullish zones where smoothed trend strength is above zero.
Red for bearish zones where smoothed trend strength is below zero.
Moving Averages for Oscillator:
Overlays fast and slow moving averages on the oscillator to provide crossover signals:
Fast MA Cross Above Slow MA: Indicates bullish momentum.
Fast MA Cross Below Slow MA: Indicates bearish momentum.
Alerts:
Alerts are available for MA crossovers, allowing traders to receive timely notifications about potential trend reversals or continuation signals.
Anticipating Entries with Donchian Channels:
The integration of Donchian Channels offers an edge in anticipating excellent trade entries.
Traders can use the oscillator's position relative to the channels to gauge oversold/overbought conditions or potential breakouts.
Use Case:
This script is particularly useful for traders looking to:
Identify the strength and direction of market trends.
Time entries and exits based on dynamic Donchian Channel levels and trend strength analysis.
Incorporate moving averages and visual cues for better decision-making.
UVR Crypto TrendINDICATOR OVERVIEW: UVR CRYPTO TREND
The UVR Crypto Trend indicator is a custom-built tool designed specifically for cryptocurrency markets, utilizing advanced volatility, momentum, and trend-following techniques. It aims to identify trend reversals and provide buy and sell signals by analyzing multiple factors, such as price volatility(UVR), RSI (Relative Strength Index), CMF (Chaikin Money Flow), and EMA (Exponential Moving Average). The indicator is optimized for CRYPTO MARKETS only.
KEY FEATURES AND HOW IT WORKS
Volatility Analysis with UVR
The UVR (Ultimate Volatility Rate) is a proprietary calculation that measures market volatility by comparing significant price extremes and smoothing the data over time.
Purpose: UVR aims to reduce noise in low-volatility environments and highlight significant movements during higher-volatility periods. While it strives to improve filtering in low-volatility conditions, it does not guarantee perfect performance, making it a balanced and adaptable tool for dynamic markets like cryptocurrency.
HOW UVR (ULTIMATE VOLATILITY RATE) IS CALCULATED
UVR is calculated using a method that ensures precise measurement of market volatility by comparing price extremes across consecutive candles:
Volatility Components:
Two values are calculated to represent potential price fluctuations:
The absolute difference between the current candle's high and the previous candle's low:
Volatility Component 1=∣High−Low ∣
The absolute difference between the previous candle's high and the current candle's low:
Volatility Component 2=∣High −Low∣
Volatility Ratio:
The larger of the two components is selected as the Volatility Ratio, ensuring UVR captures the most significant movement:
Volatility Ratio=max(Volatility Component 1,Volatility Component 2)
Smoothing with SMMA:
To stabilize the volatility calculation, the Volatility Ratio is smoothed using a Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA) over a user-defined period (e.g., 14 candles):
UVR=(UVR(Previous)×(Period−1)+Volatility Ratio)/Period
This calculation ensures UVR adapts dynamically to market conditions, focusing on significant price movements while filtering out noise.
RSI FOR MOMENTUM DETECTION
RSI (Relative Strength Index) identifies overbought and oversold conditions.
Trend Confirmation at the 50 Level
RSI values crossing above 50 signal the potential start of an upward trend.
RSI values crossing below 50 indicate the potential start of a downward trend.
Key Reversals at Extreme Levels
RSI detects trend reversals at overbought (>70) and oversold (<30) levels.
For example:
Overbought Trend Reversal: RSI >70 followed by bearish price action signals a potential downtrend.
Oversold Trend Reversal: RSI <30 with bullish confirmation signals a potential uptrend.
Rare Extreme RSI Readings
Extreme levels, such as RSI <12 (oversold) or RSI >88 (overbought), are used to identify rare yet powerful reversals.
---HOW IT DIFFERS FROM OTHER INDICATORS---
Using UVR High and Low Values
The Ultimate Volatility Rate (UVR) focuses on analyzing the high and low price ranges of the market to measure volatility.
Unlike traditional trend indicators that rely primarily on momentum or moving average crossovers, UVR leverages price extremes to better identify trend reversals.
This approach ensures fewer false signals during low-volatility phases and more accurate trend detection during high-volatility conditions.
UVR as the Core Component
The indicator is fundamentally built around UVR as the primary filter, while supporting tools like RSI (momentum detection), CMF (volume confirmation), and EMA (trend validation) complement its functionality.
By integrating these additional components, the indicator provides a multidimensional analysis rather than relying solely on a single approach.
Dynamic Adaptation to Volatility
UVR dynamically adjusts to market conditions, striving to improve filtering in low-volatility phases. While not flawless, this approach minimizes false signals and adapts more effectively to varying levels of market activity.
Trend Clouds for Visual Guidance
UVR-based dynamic clouds visually mark high and low price areas, highlighting potential consolidation or retracement zones.
These clouds serve as guides for setting stop-loss or take-profit levels, offering clear risk management strategies.
BUY AND SELL SIGNAL LOGIC
BUY CONDITIONS
Momentum-Based Buy-Entry
RSI >50, CMF >0, and the close price is above EMA50.
The price difference between open and close exceeds a threshold based on UVR.
Oversold Reversal
RSI <30 and CMF >0 with a strong bullish candle (close > open and UVR-based sensitivity filter).
Breakout Confirmation
The price breaks above a previously identified resistance, with conditions for RSI and CMF supporting the breakout.
Reversal from Oversold RSI Extreme
RSI <12 on the previous candle with a strong rebound on the current candle with UVR confirmation filter.
SELL CONDITIONS
Momentum-Based Sell-Entry
RSI <50, CMF <0, and the close price is below EMA50.
The price difference between open and close exceeds the UVR threshold.
Overbought Reversal
RSI >70 with bearish price action (open > close and UVR-based sensitivity filter).
Breakdown Confirmation
The price breaks below a previously identified support, with RSI and CMF supporting the breakdown.
Reversal from Overbought RSI Extreme
RSI >88 on the previous candle with a bearish confirmation on the current candle with UVR confirmation filter.
BUY AND SELL SIGNALS VISUALIZATION
The UVR Crypto Trend Indicator visually represents buy and sell conditions using dynamic plots, making it easier for traders to interpret and act on the signals. Below is an explanation of the visual representation:
Buy Signals and Visualization
Signal Trigger:
A buy signal is generated when one of the defined Buy Conditions is met (e.g., RSI >50, CMF >0, price above EMA50).
Visual Representation:
A blue upward arrow appears at the candle where the buy condition is triggered.
A blue cloud forms above the price candles, representing the strength of the bullish trend. The cloud dynamically adapts to market volatility, using the UVR calculation to mark support zones or consolidation levels.
Purpose of the Blue Cloud:
It acts as a visual guide for price movements and stay horizontal when the trend is not moving up
Sell Signals and Visualization
Signal Trigger:
A sell signal is generated when one of the defined Sell Conditions is met (e.g., RSI <50, CMF <0, price below EMA50).
Visual Representation:
A red downward arrow appears at the candle where the sell condition is triggered.
A red cloud forms below the price candles, representing the strength of the bearish trend. Like the blue cloud, it uses the UVR calculation to dynamically mark resistance zones or potential retracement levels.
Purpose of the Red Cloud:
It acts as a visual guide for price movements and stay horizontal when the trend is not moving down.
CONCLUSION
The UVR Crypto Trend indicator provides a powerful tool for trend reversal detection by combining volatility analysis, momentum confirmation, and trend-following techniques. Its unique use of the Ultimate Volatility Rate (UVR) as a core element, supported by proven indicators like RSI, CMF, and EMA, ensures reliable and actionable signals tailored for the crypto market's dynamic nature. By leveraging UVR’s high and low price range analysis, it achieves a level of precision that traditional indicators lack, making it a high-performing system for cryptocurrency traders.
Sigma ScoreFunction and Purpose
The Sigma Score indicator is a tool for analyzing volatility and identifying unusual price movements of a financial instrument over a specified timeframe. It calculates the "Sigma Score," which measures how far the current price change deviates from its historical average in terms of standard deviations. This helps identify potential extremes and unusual market conditions.
Features
Timeframe Control
Users can select the desired timeframe for analysis (e.g., minutes, hours, days). This makes the indicator adaptable to various trading styles:
Supported timeframes: Minutes (M1, M5, M10, M15), Hours (H1, H4, H12), Days (D), Weeks (W), Months (M).
Sigma Score Calculation
The indicator computes the logarithmic return between consecutive price values.
It calculates a simple moving average (SMA) and the standard deviation (StDev) of these returns.
The Sigma Score is derived as the difference between the current return and the average, divided by the standard deviation.
Visual Representation
Sigma Score Plot: The Sigma Score is displayed as a line.
Horizontal Threshold Lines:
A middle line (0) for reference.
Upper and lower threshold lines (default: 2.0 and -2.0) for highlighting extremes.
Background Highlighting:
Green for values above the upper threshold (positive deviations).
Red for values below the lower threshold (negative deviations).
Custom Settings
Timeframe
Select the timeframe for analysis using a dropdown menu (default: D for daily).
Thresholds
Upper Threshold: Default = 2.0 (positive extreme area).
Lower Threshold: Default = -2.0 (negative extreme area).
Both values can be adjusted to modify the indicator's sensitivity.
Use Cases
Identifying Extremes: Values above or below the thresholds can signal unusual market conditions, such as overbought or oversold areas.
Analyzing Market Anomalies: The Sigma Score quantifies how unusual a price movement is based on historical data.
Visual Aid: Threshold lines and background highlighting simplify the interpretation of boundary conditions.
Notes and Limitations
Timeframe Dependency: Results may vary depending on the selected timeframe. Shorter timeframes highlight short-term movements, while longer timeframes capture broader trends.
Volatility Sensitivity: The indicator is sensitive to changes in market volatility. Sudden price swings may produce extreme Sigma values.
Summary
The Sigma Score indicator is a powerful tool for traders and analysts to quickly identify unusual market conditions and make informed decisions. Its flexibility in adjusting timeframes and thresholds makes it a versatile addition to any trading strategy.
Aeon FluxAeon Flux visualizes rolling cumulative realized volatility, as a signal-generating leading indicator.
'Realized volatility' is shorthand for the metric's true output: entropy . The uniformity (or lack of uniformity) of price and volume distributions over a rolling cumulative period, normalized across the asset's full history.
Entropy = x⋅log2(x)−(1−x)⋅log2(1−x)
AEON FLUX VISUALIZES TIME CYCLES
Aeon Flux distills any asset's cyclical pendulum-like behavior, from bull to bear and vice versa, in a visualization that surfaces and isolates the pendulum shift.
As such, Aeon Flux may be the first metric to automate visualization of time cycles.
Time cycles are a soft science and esoteric concept in markets: an opinion, hard to prove or disprove.
They're ultimately just cycles of accumulation & distribution, that tend to recur at rough consistent intervals.
(Aeon Flux does not measure accumulation & distribution directly, those forces are merely implied.)
ENTROPY AS A LEADING INDICATOR
The transitions between state (from bullish to bearish & vice versa) are often good swing entries & exits, across a wide range of high cap risk markets.
ENTROPY AS A DISTRIBUTION MONITOR
Aeon Flux has a track record of detecting higher timeframe macro distribution on the BTC Index.
The signal: two cycles in a row of lower highs, where the cycle high (the highest oscillator print achieved that cycle) is lower than the previous cycle's high.
Invalidation: if the second cycle in a row of lower highs touches the green AND red target areas on its way up, that demonstrates robust volatility, and the distribution signal is invalidated.
ALERTS & NOTIFICATIONS
Alerts are enabled for swing long & short signals. Automating alerts to monitor distribution are a potential enhancement for future iterations of the script.
Bitcoin Value Capture HeatmapBTC Value Capture Heatmap answers a question originally posed by Willy Woo:
"How much pressure on Bitcoin's market cap does one dollar of purchasing power exert?"
The higher the print, the more market cap grows per dollar invested -- adjusted for global M2 growth.
Bitcoin Value Capture Heatmap = ( market cap / global M2 ) / realized cap
A NOVEL INGREDIENT REVEALS A UNIQUE USE CASE
Adjusting bitcoin's market cap for global M2 growth sharpens a legacy metric with a normalizing factor that 'stabilizes' its view across cycles.
The metric peaked at identical levels (4.2), three bitcoin bull markets in a row. On the same day bitcoin price volatility peaked for the cycle, every time.
One might naturally expect this to coincide with cycle tops. But it doesn't.
It precede's cycle's tops: in a consistent, very specific way, that predisposing a unique use case.
BITCOIN'S VOLATILTY TOP
The metric's true use case only comes into clear focus when paired with an unrelated insight:
Whether in distribution (in Spring 2021) or a parabolic blow off top (2017 & 2013), each of the last 3 bitcoin cycle tops shows tight consistent adherence to the Wykoff Distribution Schematic.
"But Wykoff schematics apply to distribution tops, not to blow off tops."
A closer look at the last 15-20 years of parabolic blow off tops, across all asset classes , viewed through a Wykoff lens, reveals recurring tight adherence to Wykoff's Distribution Schematic.
Including (and especially) BTC's parabolic top in Dec 2017; BTC's parabolic top in 2013; and ETH's blow off top in Jan 2018.
In our age of automation, this makes sense. Wykoff's schematics mirror the timeless archetypal goal of his 'Composite Operator': max pain for all other market participants.
A process that lends itself to automation, optimized a bit more each passing year.
Peak cycle volatility maps directly to the Wykoff Distribution Schematic's 'Buying Climax'.
An event that preceded parabolic cycle tops, by about 2 weeks.
Future BTC parabolas (should they recur) would come at exponentially higher market caps, so they may take longer to unfold -- I don't take the 2 week pattern too seriously.
But Parabolic Distribution as an emergent archetypal market structure is likely encoded.
PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER
Bitcoin Value Capture Heatmap signals peak cycle volatility, on a daily close of 4.2 on the metric's Y axis. It has never reached that level twice in the same cycle.
Awareness that:
(a) peak volatility for the cycle has likely been reached, and
(b) peak volatility has a history of tightly preceding bitcoin cycle tops, can
(c) empowers traders with a data-driven 'guide post' to their likely exactly location in an increasingly archetypal topping process.
SPECIFIC USES IN AN EXIT STRATEGY
When the Heatmap's signal level is reached, one might (for instance):
* Hedge, since bitcoin is likely closing in on its cycle top, OR
* Start to DCA out, over a pre-planned time period OR
* Rotate up the risk curve, since BTC probably doesn't have much upside left, OR
* Wait for acceptance one leg higher, which (consistent with Wykoff logic) is the likeliest place to expect an actual cycle top.
Though the ratio (in the past) touched 4.2 each cycle, a closer look shows subtly lower peaks per cycle, like most other on-chain cycle oscillators.
Extrapolating out, one might expect bitcoin's next top on volatility to print on any touch of 4.0 or higher.
Or one might give it more room to run, consistent with record institutiional flows this cycle.
Alerts are enabled for both options.
The metric works on any timeframe, but should only be used on the 1D chart.
Statistical Volatility Injections [neo.|]Introduction:
The Statistical Volatility indicator is a versatile tool designed to help traders gauge market volatility over time. By analyzing historical data through a customizable lookback period, it highlights zones of high and low volatility using intuitive colored gradients. This indicator enables traders to make informed decisions by identifying patterns in price movement or volume fluctuations, helping to optimize entries, exits, and overall trading strategy.
Description:
Volatility plays a critical role in financial markets, influencing price movements and trader behavior. This indicator calculates historical volatility using two approaches:
Ranges: Evaluates the price movement by measuring the high-to-low range of candles relative to their closing price.
Volume: Considers trading activity by analyzing the volume associated with each candle.
By mapping out periods of high and low volatility, the indicator provides traders with actionable insights into time where potential breakouts, reversals, or consolidations are more likely to happen. High volatility zones may indicate strong market movements, while low volatility zones often precede significant price action, giving traders a valuable edge.
Key Features:
Compare time based volatility between assets:
Adaptive display will calculate intraday volatility when under the 1h timeframe, and weekly volatility if on the 1h timeframe or above:
OANDA:GBPJPY On the 5min timeframe:
OANDA:GBPJPY On the 1h timeframe:
Display modes allow the volatility to be viewed as ranges and as bars:
How It Works:
Data Collection: The script analyzes historical candles using the user-defined lookback period and calculation type.
Data Processing: Each candle’s volatility is calculated and stored, enabling comparisons across the selected timeframe.
Visual Representation: Using a gradient color scheme, the indicator overlays the results on your chart, highlighting areas of interest based on historical volatility levels.
How to Use:
Setup:
Add the indicator to your chart.
Adjust the lookback period, gradient colors, and choose your preferred calculation mode (Ranges or Volume).
Interpretation:
Look for red zones to identify high-volatility periods—potential breakout or reversal areas.
Use yellow zones to anticipate consolidation or low-activity phases.
Customization:
Enable "Display ranges" to see box height variations reflecting volatility intensity.
Use the "Use Table" feature to summarize volatility data for quick reference.
Advanced Settings:
Adjust style options such as color gradients and overlapping controls for a cleaner chart view.
UVR ChannelsUVR CHANNELS: A VOLATILITY-BASED TREND ANALYSIS TOOL
PURPOSE
UVR Channels are designed to dynamically measure market volatility and identify key price levels for potential trend reversals. The channels are calculated using a unique volatility formula(UVR) combined with an EMA as the central reference point. This approach provides traders with a tool for evaluating trends, reversals, and market conditions such as breakouts or consolidations.
CALCULATION MECHANISM
1. Ultimate Volatility Rate (UVR) Calculation:
The UVR is a custom measure of volatility that highlights significant price movements by comparing the extremes of current and previous candles.
Volatility Components:
Two values are calculated to represent potential price fluctuations:
The absolute difference between the current candle's high and the previous candle's low:
Volatility Component 1=∣high−low ∣
The absolute difference between the previous candle's high and the current candle's low:
Volatility Component 2=∣high −low∣
Volatility Ratio:
The larger of the two components is selected as the Volatility Ratio, ensuring the UVR captures the most significant movement:
Volatility Ratio=max(Volatility Component 1,Volatility Component 2)
Smoothing with SMMA:
To stabilize the volatility calculation, the Volatility Ratio is smoothed using a Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA) over a user-defined period (e.g., 14 candles):
UVR= (UVR(Previous) × (Period−1))+Volatility Ratio)/Period
2. Band Construction:
The UVR is integrated into the band calculations by using the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as the central line:
Central Line (EMA):
The EMA is calculated based on closing prices over a user-defined period (e.g., 20 candles).
Upper Band:
The upper band represents a dynamic resistance level, calculated as:
Upper Band=EMA+(UVR × Multiplier)
Lower Band:
The lower band serves as a dynamic support level, calculated as:
Lower Band=EMA−(UVR × Multiplier)
3. Role of the Multiplier:
The Multiplier adjusts the width of the bands based on trader preferences:
Higher Multiplier: Wider bands to capture larger price swings.
Lower Multiplier: Narrower bands for tighter market analysis.
FEATURES AND USAGE
Dynamic Volatility Analysis:
The UVR Channels expand and contract based on real-time market volatility, offering a dynamic framework for identifying potential price trends.
Expanding Bands: High market volatility.
Contracting Bands: Low volatility or consolidation.
Trend Identification:
Price consistently near the upper band indicates a strong bullish trend.
Price near the lower band signals a bearish trend.
Trend Reversal Signals:
Price reaching the upper band may signal overbought conditions, while price touching the lower band may signal oversold conditions.
Breakout Potential:
Narrow bands often precede significant price breakouts, making UVR Channels a useful tool for spotting early breakout conditions.
DIFFERENCES FROM BOLLINGER BANDS
Unlike Bollinger Bands, which rely on standard deviation to measure volatility, the UVR Channels use a custom volatility formula based on price extremes (highs and lows). This approach adapts to market behaviour in a unique way, providing traders with an alternative and accurate view of volatility and trends.
INPUT PARAMETERS
Volatility Period:
Determines the number of periods used to smooth the volatility ratio. A higher value results in smoother bands but may lag behind sudden market changes.
EMA Period:
Controls the calculation of the central reference line.
Multiplier:
Adjusts the width of the bands. Increasing the multiplier widens the bands, capturing larger price movements, while decreasing it narrows the bands for tighter analysis.
VISUALIZATION
Purple Line: The EMA (central line).
Red Line: Upper band (dynamic resistance).
Green Line: Lower band (dynamic support).
Shaded Area: Fills the space between the upper and lower bands, visually highlighting the channel.
