"BRK.B Consolidation Near Support: Awaiting Next Move

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Technical Analysis Report: BRK.B (Berkshire Hathaway Inc.)
Timeframe: 4H Chart

Period Reviewed: 2024 – May 9, 2025
Candle Type: Heikin Ashi

🔹 1. Market Trend Structure
Primary Trend: Strong bullish trend from 2024 to early 2025, forming higher highs and higher lows within a well-defined ascending channel.

Recent Structure Change (April–May 2025): Price broke below the upper trendline and appears to be retesting former support levels. A possible trend exhaustion or reversal is forming.

🔹 2. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Major Resistance:
$541.94 All-time high; psychological barrier.
Resistance:
$522.04 Local high before recent downturn.
Current Price:
$513.53 Hovering below broken structure.
New Support Zone:
$513.25 Retest area (former top).
Support 3:
$499.25 Needs to hold to preserve bullish bias.
Support 2 :
$482.11 Former range low and mid-channel support.
Support 1:
$462.34 Key level—loss of this implies deeper drop.

🔹 3. Channel and Pattern Analysis
Main Ascending Channel: Price respected both boundaries until the April 2025 peak.

Breakdown & Retest: Price has broken the channel and is testing lower highs—suggesting possible distribution.

Bearish Wedge-like Structure: Formation between April–May resembles a rising wedge followed by breakdown—bearish continuation pattern.

🔹 4. Price Action Behavior
Volume: Spike in volume near peaks, suggesting distribution by large holders.
Heikin Ashi Trend Candles: Recently showing more red-bodied candles with upper wicks—sign of selling pressure.
Failed Bullish Momentum: The most recent attempt to reclaim $522 failed, showing weakened buying interest.

🔹 5. Potential Scenarios
✅ Bullish Recovery Scenario:
Price reclaims $522 and sustains above $513.60.
Targets: $541.94 and new highs beyond.
Needs volume confirmation and bullish candle formations.

Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
Price loses $499.25 and closes below $482.
Key breakdown below $462.34 = strong bearish shift.
Bearish targets: $440 → $400 → potentially $360–$343 (unfilled gap zone).

📌 Conclusion: Bearish Tilt Emerging
The overall long-term trend remains bullish, but short-term structure has shifted bearish due to:
  • Breakdown from ascending channel
  • Failure to reclaim resistance
  • Lower highs forming
  • Selling pressure with bearish candle structure


If support at $499.25 fails, expect acceleration to $482 → $462. Below $462 confirms trend reversal and bearish continuation into summer 2025.

Penafian

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