UnknownUnicorn1016020

The $5000 barrier

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BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Zooming out to the daily chart makes we wonder if it will take a while to crack the $5000 barrier. Psychologically it is a very significant number: Half way to $10000, a very nice round number.

Using correlations with random charts is not TA, but this one makes my superstitious brain wonder: twitter.com/JamieSae...s/904062293230669824
Komen:
Now BTC has touched the long term uptrend line.
Komen:
These drops are habit now?
Komen:
Let's see if this fractal plays out over the next days:
Komen:
We reached $4630 and bounced. BTC is currently testing support at $4480.

Komen:
Seems to form a wedge. Currently, I expect another push to $4700 and then a dip to $4300.
Komen:
Looks like the bottom is in. ETH has broken out of the downtrend, so BTC should follow soon.
Komen:
RSI divergence is a sign of reversal.
Komen:
I guess ETH just really needed that bounce at $200. Amazing reversal. And just like that BTC looks quite bullish again.

Komen:
That bullish wedge kinda realized, but lost too much steam.
Komen:
$3400 still looks likely.
Komen:
Did not reach $3400, but maybe another downswing comes. Meanwhile it forms a bullish wedge on a larger timeframe.
Komen:
Some chinese whale bought a big amount of BTC in OKCoin and started a little rally. Still, the volume is not enough for a big rally. It turned our wedge in a bull flag, though. That bull flag should retrace to $3400.

Komen:
Back over $4000. Half way to $5000 from $3000 three days ago.
Komen:
Currently forming another bull flag. After a third impulse, we often see a larger correction.
Komen:
Oy, that breakout failed. Time to decide, Bitcoin.
Komen:
Bitcoin rejected at the downtrend line, so the downtrend continues.


That $5000 barrier is far far away now.
Komen:
ETH has closed above its downtrend line, but BTC is still below.
Komen:
Breakout. Has the downtrend officially ended? I would like to see more volume.

Komen:
BTC seems to be due for a correction now.
However, ETH looks due for another push and they correlate...
Komen:
A bounce at $4000 it pretty important. If support breaks there, we might drop a lot lower.
Komen:
To break through $4400 will probably some serious volume.
Komen:
BTC needs some upwards push soon or we have ended that uptrend.
Komen:
At this point it looks totally ambiguous to me.
Komen:
The market realized that Bitcoin Gold and Segway2x hardforks are coming. People imagine a similar win like with Bitcoin Cash and everybody buys BTC. People even dump their alts. This could lead well beyond $5000.

Komen:
Above $5000. I expect $6000 this week.
Penafian

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