The project basics
Non binding LOI for A$400m of coal sales at 50k t/month
US$126/t assumed price therefore A$164/t (discount to be negotiated for pre payment)
50,000t = A$8.2m/month implied revenue A$98m p.a
Margin expected to be around A$40/t, $24 m/year or 3.7cps
The companies cash reserves are low however the terms in the LOI are designed with a prepayment of approx $25m to cover the costs involved in mining. Assuming that the deal progresses to binding then the market should begin to value the company based on future revenue.
Initial target is 15c which will rely on a binding agreement to be achieved