Jfielder_strat

The $dollar is killing Crude prices

NYMEX:CL1!   Hadapan Minyak Mentah Ringan
The Dollar spike crushed oil prices for a second week in a row. Although the $95 support line broke, crude oil reclaimed it by the end of day Friday.

The inflation rate hit the highest level this year at 9.1%. However, Inflation is a lagging indicator because it measures the previous month's data (June). Remember that gas prices peaked in June, from which oil has come down about 25%.

- The dollar doesn't look to be slowing down any time soon

- The Fed is committed to hiking rates by 50-100 bps

I'm expecting oil to make one more move into trend resistance (~ $102), then descent into new lows. I expect the rest of commodities to follow, all driven by dollar strength.

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