🧠 1. Chart Pattern Overview:
The chart depicts a massive symmetrical triangle or contracting wedge formation stretching from early 2021 till now (mid-2025). This is a long-term consolidation pattern, suggesting a major breakout is likely imminent.
Elliott Wave Count (ABCDE Structure):
It follows a classic ABCDE triangle correction pattern:
A: Start of the bearish correction
B: Retracement rally
C: Capitulation dip (2022/2023 bottom)
D: Current push toward resistance (~$2,800)
E (potential): Expected minor pullback before a major breakout
💹 2. Key Levels (Support/Resistance):
Level Type Comment
$2,448 MA Support 200-week MA (in green)
$2,696 MA Resistance Price near golden cross zone
$2,814 Current Price Testing top of wedge (wave D)
$4,868 Historical High 2021 ATH zone
$4,981.93 Key Resistance Breakout target zone
$6,618–7,535 Target Zone Final measured move post-breakout
📐 Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Weekly RSI at ~57: Trending upward, nearing breakout momentum.
Massive descending RSI trendline (since 2021) has been broken, suggesting long-term momentum shift to the upside.
RSI bullish divergence visible between waves C and E.
Volume:
Noticeable volume compression, common before explosive moves.
Watching for volume breakout confirmation (preferably on a weekly close above $3,000).
🔁 Scenario Analysis:
✅ Bullish Scenario (High Probability):
ETH breaks above wave D resistance (~$2,800–3,000).
Post-E breakout toward $4,900, followed by continuation toward $6,600–$7,500.
RSI breakout + triangle resolution = massive upside momentum.
Volume breakout will likely confirm the move.
⚠️ Neutral/Bearish Scenario:
ETH fails to break above wave D (~$2,800–3,000), rolls down toward wave E, which may retest $2,200–$2,400 support.
This forms the final leg (E) of the triangle before real breakout.
📏 Measured Move (Triangle Breakout Target):
Height of triangle: ~$3,500 (from ~$4,800 to ~$1,300)
Breakout target from apex: $6,500–$7,500, aligning with red horizontal resistance lines.
🎯 Conclusion & Strategy:
⚠️ Currently in a high-risk, high-reward zone. ETH is testing the triangle resistance and may either:
Break out above $3,000 → Strong long opportunity with target $4,900 → $6,600+
Reject and retrace to $2,200–$2,400 (wave E) → Final buying opportunity before breakout
📊 Actionable Summary:
Signal Status
Triangle Pattern Forming end of Wave D
RSI Bullish momentum
Volume Compression phase
MA Cross Bullish golden cross
Breakout Confirmation Weekly close > $3,000
Entry Zone $2,600–2,800 (partial)
Safer Entry On retest post-breakout
Long-term Target $6,600 – $7,535
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The chart depicts a massive symmetrical triangle or contracting wedge formation stretching from early 2021 till now (mid-2025). This is a long-term consolidation pattern, suggesting a major breakout is likely imminent.
Elliott Wave Count (ABCDE Structure):
It follows a classic ABCDE triangle correction pattern:
A: Start of the bearish correction
B: Retracement rally
C: Capitulation dip (2022/2023 bottom)
D: Current push toward resistance (~$2,800)
E (potential): Expected minor pullback before a major breakout
💹 2. Key Levels (Support/Resistance):
Level Type Comment
$2,448 MA Support 200-week MA (in green)
$2,696 MA Resistance Price near golden cross zone
$2,814 Current Price Testing top of wedge (wave D)
$4,868 Historical High 2021 ATH zone
$4,981.93 Key Resistance Breakout target zone
$6,618–7,535 Target Zone Final measured move post-breakout
📐 Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Weekly RSI at ~57: Trending upward, nearing breakout momentum.
Massive descending RSI trendline (since 2021) has been broken, suggesting long-term momentum shift to the upside.
RSI bullish divergence visible between waves C and E.
Volume:
Noticeable volume compression, common before explosive moves.
Watching for volume breakout confirmation (preferably on a weekly close above $3,000).
🔁 Scenario Analysis:
✅ Bullish Scenario (High Probability):
ETH breaks above wave D resistance (~$2,800–3,000).
Post-E breakout toward $4,900, followed by continuation toward $6,600–$7,500.
RSI breakout + triangle resolution = massive upside momentum.
Volume breakout will likely confirm the move.
⚠️ Neutral/Bearish Scenario:
ETH fails to break above wave D (~$2,800–3,000), rolls down toward wave E, which may retest $2,200–$2,400 support.
This forms the final leg (E) of the triangle before real breakout.
📏 Measured Move (Triangle Breakout Target):
Height of triangle: ~$3,500 (from ~$4,800 to ~$1,300)
Breakout target from apex: $6,500–$7,500, aligning with red horizontal resistance lines.
🎯 Conclusion & Strategy:
⚠️ Currently in a high-risk, high-reward zone. ETH is testing the triangle resistance and may either:
Break out above $3,000 → Strong long opportunity with target $4,900 → $6,600+
Reject and retrace to $2,200–$2,400 (wave E) → Final buying opportunity before breakout
📊 Actionable Summary:
Signal Status
Triangle Pattern Forming end of Wave D
RSI Bullish momentum
Volume Compression phase
MA Cross Bullish golden cross
Breakout Confirmation Weekly close > $3,000
Entry Zone $2,600–2,800 (partial)
Safer Entry On retest post-breakout
Long-term Target $6,600 – $7,535
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Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.